Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 17, 2007
Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Economy
The Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary index of sentiment declined to an eight-month low of 85.3 in April from 88.4 a month earlier.
Producer prices increased 1% in March. The core rate remained unchanged. The U.S. Trade deficit narrowed to 0.7% in February.
Producer Prices were up 3.2% year over year. March Import Prices were up 2.8% year over year. March's Fiscal Deficit jumped 12.9% to $96.27 billion.
The G7 meet this weekend to determine the course of world affairs. Let's hope they get it right, as it is quite a bit of responsibility to lay on a group of just seven men, but alas that's how it's done. They are sort of a counsel of Elders, if you will. And who is El?
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
The Ultimate ETF Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony's busy planning his next trip to China. So we've asked Dan Ascani, Executive Vice President of our separate affiliate, Weiss Capital Management, to give you some new insights into his specialty — ETFs.
Dan knows ETFs like the back of his hand. He is a pioneer in the development of mutual-fund and ETF models. And now he's created what could be the ultimate ETF portfolio. Here's his report …
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
Nolte Stock Market Notes - Emulating Janus look towards Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Like the Roman god, Janus, the markets are looking both forwards and backwards – hence the reluctance to put on a big show and rally strongly to new highs. Also, a reason for the swoon mid-week as the Fed indicated that they remain concerned about inflation and that rates may still be increased in the future. Many would believe that inflation figures are backward looking and that the Fed should be more concerned with housing and the issues surrounding the sub-prime loan market (a forward looking item), the reported inflation figures from the producers indicated that inflation remains relatively tame. Spurred by a good start to the earnings season, stocks generally rose as investors hoped companies have talked down their earnings to such a low level that even a snake could hurdle “expectations”.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 17, 2007
A look at Stock Market Psychology / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Clif_Droke
The past five days were bullish, overall, for the stock market. That isn't surprising given the level of bearish sentiment we saw in last week's AAII investor sentiment survey. This week's AAII poll, released Thursday, showed a slight increase in bullish sentiment (41%) over bearish sentiment (38%). That's not enough of a disparity between the bulls and the bears to cause any overt worries in the immediate term, but it's enough to slightly increase our caution.
The still rising dominant internal momentum indicator for the NYSE, the 200-day HILMO index, should act as a strong underlying support for anything unusual that gets thrown at this market in the coming weeks. The interim trend remains bullish.
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Monday, April 16, 2007
Elliott Wave Theory and Financial Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Elliott wave theory in the hands of experienced professionals, has time and again shown itself as an important indicator of future trend, a road map that is constantly adjusted in the light of unfolding price action.
If you have been following the various articles on Elliott Wave theory at the Market Oracle website, you will have experienced the usefulness of elliott wave theory in projecting targets both in terms of price and time with also clear examples of how unfolding price action adjusts the wave count expectations.
In a recent lengthy article (16th April), one of our contributors Joseph Russo illustrated this in his unfolding analysis of Gold over several months, and how at each stage Elliott Wave theory gave important clues in terms of probable price action, as well as how to interpret price action that deviated from the probable road map.
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Sunday, April 15, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - Future's So Bright ! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dominick
Since I didn't write an update last week, I will go back to the April 1 st update to review where we had left off. In that update I had stated:
“This week, we might have the same situation, but on a smaller degree. Has the market topped out in a second wave retracement on March 23rd, or are we about to set a huge bear trap to finally get that run to new highs that sets up the classic capitulation?
As we've basically nailed these last two swings, we think we have the correct possible patterns and are waiting for a bit more price action to confirm. It might only take another day or two. I believe we will have a decent move within the next 20 points that we are ready to trade.”
Saturday, April 14, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 14th April 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is-
• The S&P mid cap index (MID) hit an all time high Friday.
• Next week is seasonally one of the strongest weeks of the year.
Short Term
Last Wednesday the MID ended its 2nd consecutive string of 8 consecutive up days for the year. You have to go back to April - June 2004 to find a similar performance. Following the late June 2004 string of 8 consecutive up days the index made an intermediate term high about a month later.
What has been defining this market is a lack of sellers.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2007
Is it Time to Double Up on Brazil in your BRIC Portfolio? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Michael_K_Dawson
BRIC is becoming a fairly common acronym amongst investors. The term was coined in a research paper by Goldman Sachs in 2003 to describe an economic block composed of Brazil, Russia, India and China. The combination has the potential to be larger than the G6 in US dollar terms by 2050. Since the paper's release, investors have been scrambling for ways to leverage this theme. Last fall, Claymore introduced the first BRIC ETF (EBB).
Before the Claymore ETF, the easiest way to invest into the theme was to use country specific ETFs. In the past, I have used EWZ (Brazil), TRF (Russia), IFN (India) and FXI (China) to capture the trend. An advantage of the country ETF approach is the ability to specify your own weighting for each country versus being locked in to Claymore's weighting.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2007
Special China Stock Market Update - Another Shanghai Index Correction Due? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Most of you know that I spend at least 15 hours a week on new research or exploring new market patterns. I found something very unusual going on in the Shanghai Index, unusual enough that I thought it was important to share it with you ...
Will the Shanghai 180 Index correct within 4 days and take our markets down with it?
This morning, we made a very interesting observation about the Shanghai 180 Index. The Shanghai is an index that we are watching pretty closely due to its correlation with our Feb. 27th. market drop.
I will show you two Shanghai 180 charts this morning with a very interesting pattern.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2007
The Yen Carry Trade Means New Rules for Global Investing in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Gary_Dorsch
Jesse Livermore, widely regarded as one of the greatest stock market operators of all-time, considered himself a humble student of the market until his last day in 1940. “I study the market, because it's my business to trade. In the forty years which I have devoted to making speculation a successful business venture, I am still discovering new rules to apply to that business,” he once remarked.“Experience has taught me the way a market behaves is an excellent guide for an operator to follow. Observation gives you the best tips of all, and the behavior of a certain market is all you need at times. You observe, and then experience shows you how to profit by variations from the usual, that is to say, from the probable.” Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 09, 2007
Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
March ISM's factory gauge came in at 50.9 down from 52.3 the previous month. It remains just barely above the important 50 level. Most of the internal figures were weak as well.
The new orders index fell to 51.6 from 54.9. The Production Index fell to 53 from 54.1 and the Employment Index fell to 48.7 from 51.1. Even the Prices Paid Index fell to 65.5 from 69.
The ISM's non-manufacturing index fell to 52.4 in March, the lowest level in almost four years. Not the best of reports.
The Labor Department reported the jobless rate fell to 4.4%. Employment increased 180,000 that followed an 113,000 rise in February.
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Monday, April 09, 2007
Nolte Notes - Wall Street Hops on Jobs Data and PMI / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Save for the still frigid upper tier of states, spring has sprung! (I'll save the frozen robin jokes) A bit of celebration was also in the economic numbers released on Friday, as the employment situation is looking much better – good for stocks, bad for bonds. While the guess may have been too low, the actual number added to payrolls was still not huge.
With all the monthly revisions, the average twelve-month gain has been falling for a year, after peaking at a rate well below those of the past 45 years. Many will argue that 125k in new jobs is the same as 250 is years past miss the point that the decline in jobs in 2002 was in line or larger than past job losses. Wage growth continues at roughly a 4% clip, a concern, but it merely matches prior peaks since the early 80's.
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Monday, April 09, 2007
Stock Market Severe Correction Commentary - Don't Listen to the Talking Heads / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
Watch the market!
I ran across an interesting article in the Financial Times on Wednesday. It caught my eye because of the headline: “Fund sells ahead of severe ‘correction'”. Here's what the article had to say:
“A leading UK fund manager has sold off around half the equities in the portfolios he oversees in anticipation of an imminent and severe market correction. Ken Murray, the founder and chief executive of Blue Planet Investment Management, has revealed he has offloaded equities and cut the gearing on the firm's portfolios to zero in the belief a U.S. economic recession is set to wipe more than 20 percent from the value of global stock markets.
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Saturday, April 07, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 7th April 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: After a little rest this week the market is likely to move up sharply.
Short Term
The S&P mid cap index (MID) has been the champ at putting together unbroken strings of consecutive up days.
The first chart shows the MID in magenta with an indicator showing the percentage of the previous 6 trading days that were up. The indicator touches the top of the chart when there have been 6 or more consecutive up days and it touches the bottom of the chart when there have been 6 or more consecutive down days. It is a little difficult to see, but, as of Thursday's close, the indicator is at the top of the chart.
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Friday, April 06, 2007
The Private Equity Bubble - When smart money does dumb things … / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes : During the housing bubble, a lot of lenders lost their minds. It was as if some mass psychosis took over even the experienced executives, convincing them to do exceedingly dumb things.
They didn't bother checking borrowers' incomes or assets …
They didn't care if the loan covered the entire value of the house …
And they weren't the least bit concerned that all kinds of exotic mortgages were being doled out to people with horrible credit histories.
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Wednesday, April 04, 2007
The Right Market at The Right Time - Canadian Income Trusts a Screaming Buy / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
By: Roger_Conrad
Remember when investors could retire and live well on a modest nest egg? Remember when taxes were only 15% a year, and when you didn't have to worry about losing your shirt before the closing bell?That way of life has gradually been taken from you. But this letter is going to bring it all back, courtesy of the Canadian government. They've invented a whole new kind of investment, one that's pulling hundreds of billions of US dollars across the border into Canada today.
In a nutshell, Canadian Income Trusts are a brilliant structure that allows a business to avoid taxes--all taxes. That's one pretty obvious reason they're so popular.
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Wednesday, April 04, 2007
Bubbles, Derivatives and Global Financial Shocks - Itchy Trigger Fingers / Stock-Markets / US Economy
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
In his new book “FINANCIAL ARMAGEDDON” ( www.financialarmageddon.com ) Michael Panzner paints a chilling picture of how he sees the current global asset and credit bubbles climaxing. Need I say it… not at all well!
Panzner, is “a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets…(who) has worked in New York and London for HSBC, Soros Funds, ABN Amro, Dresdner Bank. and JPMorgan Chase”.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2007
Four Rules for Investing in Asian Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
Less than a month ago, everyone was talking about the Chinese stock market's 9.2% single-day loss, and the global sell-off it triggered. At the time, I urged you to hold steady and treat the drop as a buying opportunity. I said,
"I believe this is an unwarranted knee-jerk reaction. But it's also a good thing for longer-term investors. There are dozens of Asian blue chip stocks that have now come back down to levels that look pretty darn appealing to me."
That proved to be good advice. Reason: The Shanghai Composite Index hit a new, all-time high last week. Yup, in just four weeks, the Chinese stock market recovered everything it had previously lost … and then some!
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Monday, April 02, 2007
Brazil the New Back Door to Investing in China / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes : This weekend, Elisabeth and I finally got away to our favorite spot — the smallest, most beautiful, semi-private beach in the southern State of São Paulo.
I'm glad. It gives me a chance to contemplate the escalating Persian Gulf crisis from afar, something our editors and I talked about intensely before I left home late last week.
Plus, it gives me a chance to survey the opportunities here.
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Sunday, April 01, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - Show me the money! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dominick
Surprise, surprise, another volatile week. The bears got their big selloff, but it was in corn, not in the S&P's! Corn opened down lock limit as the S&P's created great trading opportunities for the “unbiased” trader.
As we ended 2006, I promised 2007 would be the year of volatility, and hasn't that been the truth?! It feels like only yesterday we were grinding up each day point by point. Friday's closing bell wrapped up March, as well as the first quarter, but investors who were pegged to the S&P are in for a surprise when they receive their quarterly statements. The S&P closed 2 points from its 2006 close.
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