Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, January 21, 2018
Stocks, Gold and Interest Rates Three Amigos Ride On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
As symbolized by the 3 Amigos, the macro backdrop is riding on to its destiny. That forward destiny is a top in stocks vs. gold (Amigo 1), a rise in long-term interest rates to potential if not probable limits (Amigo 2) and an end to the yield curve’s flattening trend (Amigo 3).
When our zany friends complete the journey, big changes are likely in the macro markets.
Let’s take a checkup on each Amigo and consider some implications as well.
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Sunday, January 21, 2018
Why Sometimes, "Beating the S&P 500" Isn't Good Enough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
How money managers who beat a benchmark can still "ruin your retirement"
Would you like to invest with a money manager who has a track record of "beating the market"?
"Who wouldn't" you might reply. But, hold onto your horses -- or, in this case, onto your portfolio.
Even a professional manager who "performs" the S&P 500 can financially ruin you.
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Saturday, January 20, 2018
Jim Rickards: Next Financial Panic Will Be the Biggest of All, with Only One Place to Turn… / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my great privilege now to be joined by James Rickards. Mr. Rickards is Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a monthly newsletter and Director of the James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics and global capital. He's also the author of several bestselling books including The Death of Money, Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold and The Road to Ruin. In addition to his achievements as a writer and author, Jim is also a portfolio manager, lawyer and renowned economic commentator, having been interviewed by CNBC, the BBC, Bloomberg, Fox News and CNN, just to name a few. And we're happy to have him back on the Money Metals Podcast.
Friday, January 19, 2018
SPX is Higher But No Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures got as high as 2806.00, but could not break higher. It was higher than yesterday’s Wave three peak, producing a fifth of a fifth wave, but may not conquer Tuesday’s peak at 2807.54. Should this happen, the SPX may have made a truncated Wave v of (c). At this point, anything goes…
ZeroHedge reports, “If US and global stocks sold off yesterday on fears of a government shutdown, coupled with a spike in US Treasury yields to the highest level since March and approaching Gundlach's "equity selloff redline"...
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Thursday, January 18, 2018
The Interest Rates Are What Matter In This Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: WMA
The “Trump rally” in U.S. stocks has gone ballistic. Even the most bullish of the bulls did not expect this. A couple weeks ago, bank strategists were forecasting a 2018 year-end target on the S&P 500 at 2850. After the first two weeks of the New Year the index is already closing in on this timid 2018 target price.
Many are saying that the equity rally is due to the tax cuts. We disagree. The tax cuts added fuel to the fire, but if markets are still efficient, the tax cut news should have been priced in last year. Deregulation may continue benefiting the financial sector in particular, but again the broad equity market should not continue to rally on known news. The only reason equity markets have jumped again in the past weeks is momentum – nothing has changed in 2018 (other than perhaps sentiment as people become believers in the unending equity rally). What does matter is the rates environment (plural) – (1) interest rates and (2) the inflation rate. We’ll be looking in this Commentary at where these rates may be headed and levels at which a change in these rates may matter for risk assets.
Thursday, January 18, 2018
Here’s What Historically Happens to Stocks When Bull Markets End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: GoldSilver
You undoubtedly know that 2017 was a record-setting year for the broad stock markets. And while gold was up last year despite numerous headwinds, most mainstream investors aren’t paying much attention to gold since they keep seeing so much green in their stock portfolios.
Even I was taken back by some of the data from the bull market in stocks…
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Buy S&P 500 on Drop To 2,740 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: New_Forex_Trends
Stock Markets have started to show some signs of stalling in the early parts of this year, and this could indicate the potential for weakness given our proximity to the historical averages. The S&P 500 continues to trade near its record highs but the lack of event drivers over the next several weeks suggests that there is a growing possibility that markets could gravitate sideways to lower over this coming period.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Bitcoin and Stock Prices, Both Symptoms of Speculative Extremes! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
Hi everyone.
I had another look at bitcoin today!
The low of the day is hit 11121 so far,
So the price has collapsed 43% since the 17th of December.
Thats a hell of a decline for the so called 'asset' that was on its way to the moon!
Wednesday, January 17, 2018
So That’s What Stock Market Volatility Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: John_Rubino
2017 was literally the smoothest stretch of highway that US stocks have ever traveled. Rising almost every day and seldom falling hard, they made it virtually impossible for investors to lose money. Here’s the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the past two years. Note how unnaturally smooth the recent action was.
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
Stock Market Intraday Price Prediction Setup for Short-Term Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Tuesday morning in our video forecast we warned that cycles were pointing to lower prices today. With price reaching the 2800 level on the SPX (resistance) and stocks trading in extreme overbought conditions with the morning gap higher this pullback has played out almost perfectly today.
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
SPX, NDX, INDU and RUT Stock Indices all at Resistance Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures challenged the 2800.00 round number resistance, rising to 2803.50 over the extended weekend.
ZeroHedge comments, “When markets open for trading today, the S&P will rise above 2,800 and the Dow Jones will not only make a new record high (those have become a bit of a boring daily occurrence lately) it will do so in historic fashion with just 12 days needed to move from 25,000 to 26,000, the fastest 1,000 point move in history, nearly twice as fast as the previous record when it took just 23 days for the DJIA to move from 24,000 to 25,000. And yes, get ready for the imminent (self-)congratulatory tweet from Donald Trump...”
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Monday, January 15, 2018
Stock Market Near an Intermediate Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 15, 2018
Some Fascinating Stock Market Fibonacci Relationships... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may recall that I had mentioned in December that I was looking to see whether the INDU would make 27521.00 by year end. Since it took to January 12 to make that target may be telling us that Social Mood may be making a reversal. We may pin the reversal on an event, but the fact is, the fruit doesn’t fall from the tree until it is ripe. What I mean to say is that the conditions for a fall must be there. Hopefully I will be able to guide you through the process until the fruit actually falls. We know from the indicators on the SPX that the fruit is ripe. Here are some of the reasons why.
Sunday, January 14, 2018
How to Know If This Stock Market Rally Will Continue for Two More Months? / Stock-Markets / Articles
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research has been “spot on” with regards to the markets for the first few weeks of 2018. We issued our first trade on Jan 2nd, plus two very detailed research reports near the end of 2017 and early 2018. We urge you to review these research posts as they tell you exactly what to expect for the first Quarter in 2018.
Continuing this research, we have focused our current effort on the Transportation Index, the US Majors, and the Metals Markets. The Transportation Index has seen an extensive rally (+19.85%) originating near November 2017. This incredible upside move correlates with renewed US Tax policies and Economic increases that are sure to drive the US Equity market higher throughout 2018.
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Saturday, January 13, 2018
Stock Market Leadership In 2018 To Come From Oil & Gas / Stock-Markets / Oil Companies
By: WMA
The thirty-three (33) Oil & Gas companies of the S&P 500 will lead that important benchmark, maybe not during January, but through 2018 and beyond. The reason is simple. It’s all about revenue, cash flow and earnings growth on account of higher Crude Oil prices, rising to the level where this crucially important industry is now achieving sustainable economics.
The Oil narrative is changing. No longer is the industry full of doom and gloom.
Investors who study a company’s fundamentals before taking positions in stocks got on board early. Trend followers have now gotten the message and are becoming invested. At some point this year, the public will follow. Oil stocks will lead the S&P 500 by the end of 1Q2018.
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Saturday, January 13, 2018
Stock Market Primed for a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave 5 counts well as an Ending Diagonal at all the lesser degrees of trend. All three Fibonacci targets were met. The Cycles Model call for a turn over the weekend. What more can we ask for?
To answer that question we need an unequivocal decline. Friday afternoons are not good times to start a bear market, since the status quo is so strong.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock Selloffs Great for Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The stock markets have rocketed higher since Trump’s election win on hopes for big corporate tax cuts. This extreme rally has left stocks exceedingly overvalued and overbought today. A major selloff is long overdue and likely imminent. When stocks inevitably roll over and mean revert lower to rebalance away euphoric sentiment, gold is the main beneficiary. Gold investment demand soars when stocks materially slide.
Two trading days before the November 2016 presidential election, I published an essay that explored how stock-market action leading into elections really sways their results. Its conclusion based on long market history was “The stock markets overwhelmingly and conclusively predict Donald Trump will win!” That was a hardcore contrarian stance before Election Day, when such an upset seemed impossible to most.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock Market January Rally May Be Taken Out in January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The recurring 20 week low is due within this general time frame. Last seen on August 21, 2017, it generally runs about 100 trading days. For it to sync with the 16 TD low due around Jan 24 it needs to be topping this week. Ideally, the low should hit about January 25th and top out on Friday, January 12. I’m thinking we could easily be due for about a 100 SPX point pullback taking out the entire January rally from 2673.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock futures are struggling. May reverse Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are easing away from their morning high at 2776.75. The cash market may be complete at 2767.56. We’ll know at the open.
ZeroHedge reports, “World stocks hit a new all time high on Friday with U.S. equity futures rising for the 8th trading day out of 9 in 2018 - the Dow is just a little over 300 points away from 26,000 - alongside Asian shares while European stocks and oil are little changed. The euro surged to a three-year high as Germany was said to reach a "grand coalition" agreement, heaping more pressure on the dollar before inflation data.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Semi Seconductor Stocks Canary Still Chirping, But He’s Gonna Croak in 2018 / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Gary_Tanashian
Since January 2013 we have been using the worldwide Semiconductor Equipment industry as a leader within the Semiconductor sector, which is an economic cyclical leader itself. That month we noted a positive move in Equipment bookings, which became a (3 month) trend that spring. This trend was used to project positive economic signals to come.
Through some turbulence in 2014 and 2015 the sector has remained on ‘economic up’ along with our cross reference indicator, the Palladium/Gold ratio right up to the current time as the economic Canary in a Coal Mine has kept on chirping.
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