Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 15, 2018
Stock Market Near an Intermediate Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A short-intermediate term top is re-forming at a higher level!.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 15, 2018
Some Fascinating Stock Market Fibonacci Relationships... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may recall that I had mentioned in December that I was looking to see whether the INDU would make 27521.00 by year end. Since it took to January 12 to make that target may be telling us that Social Mood may be making a reversal. We may pin the reversal on an event, but the fact is, the fruit doesn’t fall from the tree until it is ripe. What I mean to say is that the conditions for a fall must be there. Hopefully I will be able to guide you through the process until the fruit actually falls. We know from the indicators on the SPX that the fruit is ripe. Here are some of the reasons why.
Sunday, January 14, 2018
How to Know If This Stock Market Rally Will Continue for Two More Months? / Stock-Markets / Articles
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research has been “spot on” with regards to the markets for the first few weeks of 2018. We issued our first trade on Jan 2nd, plus two very detailed research reports near the end of 2017 and early 2018. We urge you to review these research posts as they tell you exactly what to expect for the first Quarter in 2018.
Continuing this research, we have focused our current effort on the Transportation Index, the US Majors, and the Metals Markets. The Transportation Index has seen an extensive rally (+19.85%) originating near November 2017. This incredible upside move correlates with renewed US Tax policies and Economic increases that are sure to drive the US Equity market higher throughout 2018.
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Saturday, January 13, 2018
Stock Market Leadership In 2018 To Come From Oil & Gas / Stock-Markets / Oil Companies
By: WMA
The thirty-three (33) Oil & Gas companies of the S&P 500 will lead that important benchmark, maybe not during January, but through 2018 and beyond. The reason is simple. It’s all about revenue, cash flow and earnings growth on account of higher Crude Oil prices, rising to the level where this crucially important industry is now achieving sustainable economics.
The Oil narrative is changing. No longer is the industry full of doom and gloom.
Investors who study a company’s fundamentals before taking positions in stocks got on board early. Trend followers have now gotten the message and are becoming invested. At some point this year, the public will follow. Oil stocks will lead the S&P 500 by the end of 1Q2018.
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Saturday, January 13, 2018
Stock Market Primed for a Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Wave 5 counts well as an Ending Diagonal at all the lesser degrees of trend. All three Fibonacci targets were met. The Cycles Model call for a turn over the weekend. What more can we ask for?
To answer that question we need an unequivocal decline. Friday afternoons are not good times to start a bear market, since the status quo is so strong.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock Selloffs Great for Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The stock markets have rocketed higher since Trump’s election win on hopes for big corporate tax cuts. This extreme rally has left stocks exceedingly overvalued and overbought today. A major selloff is long overdue and likely imminent. When stocks inevitably roll over and mean revert lower to rebalance away euphoric sentiment, gold is the main beneficiary. Gold investment demand soars when stocks materially slide.
Two trading days before the November 2016 presidential election, I published an essay that explored how stock-market action leading into elections really sways their results. Its conclusion based on long market history was “The stock markets overwhelmingly and conclusively predict Donald Trump will win!” That was a hardcore contrarian stance before Election Day, when such an upset seemed impossible to most.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock Market January Rally May Be Taken Out in January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The recurring 20 week low is due within this general time frame. Last seen on August 21, 2017, it generally runs about 100 trading days. For it to sync with the 16 TD low due around Jan 24 it needs to be topping this week. Ideally, the low should hit about January 25th and top out on Friday, January 12. I’m thinking we could easily be due for about a 100 SPX point pullback taking out the entire January rally from 2673.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Stock futures are struggling. May reverse Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are easing away from their morning high at 2776.75. The cash market may be complete at 2767.56. We’ll know at the open.
ZeroHedge reports, “World stocks hit a new all time high on Friday with U.S. equity futures rising for the 8th trading day out of 9 in 2018 - the Dow is just a little over 300 points away from 26,000 - alongside Asian shares while European stocks and oil are little changed. The euro surged to a three-year high as Germany was said to reach a "grand coalition" agreement, heaping more pressure on the dollar before inflation data.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
Semi Seconductor Stocks Canary Still Chirping, But He’s Gonna Croak in 2018 / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Gary_Tanashian
Since January 2013 we have been using the worldwide Semiconductor Equipment industry as a leader within the Semiconductor sector, which is an economic cyclical leader itself. That month we noted a positive move in Equipment bookings, which became a (3 month) trend that spring. This trend was used to project positive economic signals to come.
Through some turbulence in 2014 and 2015 the sector has remained on ‘economic up’ along with our cross reference indicator, the Palladium/Gold ratio right up to the current time as the economic Canary in a Coal Mine has kept on chirping.
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Friday, January 12, 2018
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By: xxx
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
Stock Market Investing 2018 - “I Hope I’m Making a Bad Buy” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chad_Champion
Yesterday was a lesson from Barton Biggs on how important it is to “listen to the market crowd.”
Today, we continue learning from his book, Wealth, War & Wisdom. As a reminder, it’s about what happened to stock markets and wealth during World War II.
Biggs calls WW2 “the most excruciating, destructive global disaster in all history.” No one knows if something similar will ever happen again.
The chances are that it will, whether that’s a decade or two hundred years from now.
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
S&P 500 Fluctuates As Stock Market May Be Topping, Or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly accurate, because the S&P 500 lost 0.1% following slightly lower opening of the trading session (-0.2%). The broad stock market fluctuates after its record-setting rally. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,765 and potential profit target is at 2,710 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Thursday, January 11, 2018
7 Market Forecasts 2018 from the Brightest Financial Minds I Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: John_Mauldin
In my fairly upbeat 2018 forecast, I predicted that the US economy and markets will probably hold up well, thanks to tax cuts and deregulation. That’s, of course, assuming the Federal Reserve gets no more hawkish than it already has.
Continuing my series of forecasts, here I’ll look at predictions from some of my most trusted friends and colleagues (subscribe to Thoughts from the Frontline to receive all my forecasts). Some disagree with my own views—and that’s perfectly fine. I want you to see all sides so you can make good decisions for your own family and portfolio.
I’ll let these forecasters speak for themselves in longer quotes than I usually allow, then add my own comments.
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
It’s Not Enough to Be Contrarian / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
By: Chad_Champion
Barton Biggs was a guru hedge fund manager and global investment strategist.
He was also a serious student of World War II. His book Wealth, War & Wisdom is about what happened to stock markets and wealth during WW2.
Today is part one of a two-part series on the takeaways from this book.
This is important because it was during a time he calls “the most excruciating, destructive global disaster in all history.”
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Thursday, January 11, 2018
Stocks That Take One for A Roller Coaster Ride Through the Thick And Thin Of Every Single Investment Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Kavinesh_A
Today stocks categorically are subject to a lot of affluence and positivity where everyone can look over it without any hesitation. The rapid growth of many companies has resulted in the stocks surging higher than ever in the markets with a lot of potential gains that are to be foretold coming to act. In the same dimension of situations, one can easily comprehend the many diverse ways of making money that are essentially a driving force to the activity that completely leads to a fresh new perspective with which one can always lead a hand to willfully ensure an act that is worth indicating the good indexes with. Where there is a strong line of defense that can very much entice the crowd with which there is completely new dimensions of finding out the best of symmetrical and systematic investments that can guarantee a very definite option worth trying for.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
Stock Market Early Super Cycle Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We now early evidence of the start of Super Cycle Wave (c). The first item is an unfilled gap, which may be a hallmark of The Wave (c) all the way to the bottom. The second is the bounce may have ended at 2747.36, beneath the 2-hour Cycle Top. There may be another attempt at filling the gap, but should also remain beneath the Cycle Top. As a result, that may temporarily be our stop loss level. The urge to buy the dip has not been extinguished, so be prepared for some whipsaw. However, a repeated decline may start to weaken the resolve of those willing to buy the dip.
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Wednesday, January 10, 2018
Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX opened beneath its Cycle Top support at 2748.11 and stayed beneath it. Thus far the bounces have been weak and new lows are being made. This may be a good place for an aggressive short position. A partial position is recommended until the decline develops further. Usually you want to take a short position on a bounce, but since the decline isn’t yet fully developed, be prepared for a pullback.
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
The 2018 Decline in Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The precious metals sector moved higher in the first days of this year, but based on yesterday’s decline and the current price levels, 2018 is already a down year for silver and mining stocks. Gold is almost flat. This is a subtle clue that the rally may have already ran its course. The confirmation comes from what happened yesterday. Miners continued their decline, invalidating the previous breakout, while gold finally joined the rest of the sector and started its own decline as well. Is the rally indeed over?
Most likely – yes. Let’s start today’s analysis with a look at gold’s performance (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, January 09, 2018
Investment Advice That Probably No One Gave You Before / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON: Welcome to 2018.
Now is the time for New Year’s resolutions, so you might have important financial decisions to make.
If so, here’s a suggestion: Pay attention to that ugly prospectus, policy, or other disclosure that comes with your new stock or fund purchase. As you’ll learn in this article, it could save you from making a costly mistake.
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Tuesday, January 09, 2018
S&P 500 Sets Another Record, But This May Be Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Monday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong, because the S&P 500 gained just 0.2% following slightly lower opening of the trading session. The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend, but it remained within a relatively narrow trading range. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored today. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,765 and potential profit target is at 2,710 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral