Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

SPX is higher. USD is Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Happy New Year!

SPX futures are higher this morning, but have not breached Friday’s high at 2692.12. The top view is that it is back-testing the trendline at 2690.00 from a possible Leading Diagonal. Should it exceed it, there is a possibility of a new high. There is an alternate Wave structure that would accommodate it.

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Stocks, Oil and US Dollar Forecasts Summary 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We continue to be bullish on virtually all global stocks as we have been for well over a year, our longer term forecasts show the potential for another consolidation during 2018 but for now our daily forecasts show a continued increase in the value of most global stock markets.

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

2017 The Year of Weapons of Mass Distraction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

2017 proved to be a year of mass distractions. There was Trump the con man who promised everything but delivered near nothing. though that did not stop him from claiming success in everything! However he remains very entertaining with his mad tweets and rhetoric of unleashing nuclear war, that the mainstream media were more than eager to regurgitate 24/7. So the greatest weapon of mass distraction of 2017 was being engrossed by the actor playing the part of being President of the United States. A year of twitter storms and war of words especially against North Korea's 'little rocket man':

“If the US is forced to defend itself or its allies, we will have no choice but to totally destroy North Korea.”

“Rocket man is on a suicide mission for himself and his regime".

Monday, January 01, 2018

Dow Stock Market Trend Expectations into Early 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

2017 surprised most by proving to be one of the greatest years of the past decade for stock investors, traders and gamblers as bull markets appeared everywhere as the financial markets basically discounted Trump as an irrelevance, a side-show for the masses to be distracted by and focus upon whilst the wealthy continued to concentrate each nations wealth into their own hands. The Dow ended the year at 24,719, up 4,957 points for an exceptionally strong 25% gain, a remarkable performance for what at the start of the year was seen as being a mature 8 year old bull market. Whilst the S&P gained 19% and the Nasdaq 29%. With the FTSE lagging behind for a 15% gain. Which given where we began the year and the chaos that the BrExit election wrought is definitely nothing to complain about for UK investors!

Sunday, December 31, 2017

Stock Market Q1 2018 Outlook: We’re Gonna Need a Bigger Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: F_F_Wiley

If 2018 rings in a bear market, it could look something like the Kennedy Slide of 1962.

That was my conclusion in “Riding the Slide,” published in early September, where I showed that the Kennedy Slide was unique among bear markets of the last eighty years. It was the only bear that wasn’t obviously provoked by rising inflation, tightening monetary policy, deteriorating credit markets or, less commonly, world war or depression.

Moreover, market conditions leading up to the Slide should be familiar—they’re not too far from market conditions since Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election. In the first year after Kennedy’s election, as in the first year after Trump’s election, inflation seemed under control, interest rates were low, credit spreads were tight, and the economy was growing. And, in both cases, the stock market was booming.

Sunday, December 31, 2017

National Stock Trading is Different From International / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Kavinesh_A

In this present day trading world, there are two types of trading available for the welfare of share traders. One is within the country; another one is trading with international countries. A person could trade with one thousand five hundred countries with his money and earn a lot of money. Because in a country currency value is less, when compared to US dollars at the same time, that person is high valued currency country, he would be in a position to earn more money from his country, for the earning more revenue purpose he has to register with the international trading company, which would be providing assistance to trade with all countries. In that case, a person could be in a position to invest a small amount of his country money and take back huge amount from the country which share is purchased. In general calculation is very important in investing money with the other countries. Because, in case the country is poor country will not support the trade market, and it would be taking all the share holders money for the government.

Saturday, December 30, 2017

Stock Markets Hyper Risky 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets enjoyed an extraordinary surge in 2017, shattering all kinds of records.  This was fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon since Republicans regained control of the US government.  But such relentless rallying has catapulted complacency, euphoria, and valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes.  This has left today’s beloved and lofty stock markets hyper-risky, with serious selloffs looming large.

History proves that stock markets are forever cyclical, no trend lasts forever.  Great bulls and bears alike eventually run their courses and give up their ghosts.  Sooner or later every secular trend yields to extreme sentiment peaking, then the markets inevitably reverse.  Popular greed late in bulls, and fear late in bears, ultimately hits unsustainable climaxes.  All near-term buyers or sellers are sucked in, killing the trend.

Saturday, December 30, 2017

UK Markets: FTSE 100 Diverges With British Pound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Submissions

UK markets continue to garner more of the attention in the financial media as we are now seeing a strong divergence between the activity of the FTSE 100 stock benchmark and the underlying value of the British Pound (GBP).  This is significant because it ignores many of the market trends that have been place since the early parts of 2017, and so there are real concerns here for traders that might be positioned on the wrong sides of these markets.

Friday, December 29, 2017

EU Bank Bank Bail-in Tool Happy 2nd Birthday! We Suggest Gold As The Perfect Gift / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: GoldCore

– Two years since bail-in rules officially entered EU regulations
– EU bail-in rules have wiped out billions for savers and and businesses, with more at risk
– Future of many failing banks now rests on depositors who may no longer be protected by deposit insurance
– Physical gold enables savers to stay out of banking system and reduce exposure to bail-ins
– For more listen to our Goldnomics Podcast: What does 2018 have in store for financial markets?

Friday, December 29, 2017

Stocks Rise, USD Falls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures finally made the final high that has been discussed earlier this week. Of course, the central banks had to wait until the last day of the year. Yesterday was proposed as the final day of strength by the Cycles Model, but that doesn’t mean it cannot be stretched. The final target may be as high as 2719.00, but as it rises over 2700.00, we may see some selling prossure kick in.

ZeroHedge reports, “With just a few hours left until the close of the last US trading session of 2017, and most of Asia already in the books, S&P futures are trading just shy of a new all time high as the dollar continued its decline ahead of the New Year holidays.

Friday, December 29, 2017

Stock Market 2018 First Quarter Technical Analysis Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As 2017 draws to a close, our analysis shows the first Quarter of 2018 should start off with a solid rally.  Our researchers use our proprietary modeling and technical analysis systems to assist our members with detailed market analysis and timing triggers from expected intraday price action to a multi-month outlook.  These tools help us to keep our members informed of market trends, reversals, and big moves.  Today, we are going to share some of our predictive modelings with you to show you why we believe the first three months of 2018 should continue higher.

Friday, December 29, 2017

Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will S&P 500 Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate, because the S&P 500 gained 0.1% following neutral opening of the trading session. The broad stock market extended its short-term fluctuations. We still can see medium-term technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Thursday, December 28, 2017

Euro Markets: ECB Stance Supports Stocks / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Dividend_Investors

Global stock markets managed to garner most of the public attention in 2017, as a strong sequence of new record highs was posted in many of the most closely watched equities benchmarks.  But the real question is whether or not we will see quarterly earnings performances through the next few quarters that actually support these rallies.  At the macro level, we are still seeing several scenarios that support the bullish outlook in these areas.  But if you are an investor that is focused on the Eurozone region, it will be critical to watch for new developments within the central bank. 

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

What Is The Difference Between Bitcoin, Amazon, Tesla And The S&P500? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Bitcoin has certainly gone much higher than most investors have expected, but so have Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and the S&P500. In fact, in 2015, we targeted the 2537-2611 region as our ideal target from the 1800 region. And, the market is now approximately 3% beyond even our upper target region set two years ago for just this wave degree. But, we still expect the SPX to be well over 3000 before this bull market off the 2009 lows completes.

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Will the Last Week of December Surprise the Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Holiday Greetings!

I hope you and those you love are doing well over the holidays. My wife and I were happy to learn that another grandchild is on the way. SPX futures are marginally lower, but continue to find support at the upper trendline of the Broadening formation.

ZeroHedge reports, “For the second day in a row, most Asian markets - at least the ones that are open - were dragged lower by tech stocks and Apple suppliers, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index down 0.2% led by Samsung Electronics and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in response to the previously noted report that Apple will slash Q1 sales forecasts for iPhone X sales by 40% from 50 million to 30 million. Most Asian equity benchmarks fell except those in China. European stocks were mixed in a quiet session while U.S. equity futures are little changed as markets reopen after the Christmas holiday.”

Monday, December 25, 2017

SPX at Key Support Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend – Possible short-term high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, December 24, 2017

Stock Market 2018 - Four Calling Charts.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Submissions

Chad Champion writes: It’s a good time to look at the big picture as 2017 comes to an end.

In other words, what are the indicators telling us?

Today, I’m going to talk about four charts. The bottom line is this… Investors need to be more cautious and more selective in what they buy.

Friday, December 22, 2017

Economic And Technical Outlook Of Indian Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Macroeconomic Fundamentals

India is the sixth largest in terms of nominal GDP already. Moreover it has shown a outstanding momentum in its GDP growth rates. The country is the world’s fastest growing major economy.

Future prospects are magnificent. India is right in the sweet spot of the „new economy“ that the world is going to. It has a very young and well-educated workforce, which is already a major exporter of IT and outsourcing services.

Friday, December 22, 2017

Stock Market Importance of the Final Hour / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Here is some information that I thought I’d pass along.

The first is an article by ZeroHedge, which begins, “For months, the so-called "Smart Money" has been on-board with the incessant rally in US equity markets, buying every dip - no matter how shallow.

However, since the end of November, a very different regime appeared to take hold.”

Friday, December 22, 2017

The Stock Market Train Left the Station Years Ago, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Chad Champion writes:The S&P 500 hit record highs 53 times this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) had 70 record closes this year.

It’s tempting to jump in.

Here’s 2017 summed up by the Wall St. Journal in yesterday’s piece, This Year in Review:

A global stock-market surge powered by corporate earnings and economic growth sent major indexes to repeated records this year, defying predictions that the rally would peter out.