Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, December 17, 2017

Stock Market Final Thrust is Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend –Final top next week?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Friday, December 15, 2017

Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals, but Discretion is Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are higher with the expectation of the passage of the tax reform bill. Yesterday’s decline may not be impulsive and did not make it to Short-term support. Let’s see how the bounce develops before taking positions. I would suggest that Short-term support should be broken before short positions are added.

ZeroHedge reports, “U.S. equity index futures point to a higher open, having rebounded some 10 points off session lows with the VIX stuck on the edge between single and double digits, while European and Asian shares decline as investors assess central banks’ shift toward tighter monetary policy and concern over tax overhaul ahead of final plan. “

Friday, December 15, 2017

Stock Market Decline Signals are Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have begun its decline. However, it may bounce at the two trendlines intersecting with Short-term support at 2644.74. Relief may be coming for those who have remained short the past two weeks.

While I will be discussing the signals from the VIX and Hi-Lo, I wish to point out that the best short entries are often at a bounce. Aggressive short entries will be subject to whipsaw. Thus, smaller portions are recommended until fully confirmed.

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Dollar and Bonds are Showing Weakness/Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USD/JPY is on a sell signal by crossing beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 112.88.

USD has also crossed beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 93.71. It is currently at 92.45.

TNX has also crossed beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 23.61. It is still within its consolidation area, so I will withhold judgement pending further developments.

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

2 Charts That Might Define the Fed’s Jerome Powell Era / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: F_F_Wiley

In September, we proposed a theory of the Fed and suggested that the FOMC will soon worry mostly about financial imbalances without much concern for recession risks. We reached that conclusion by simply weighing the reputational pitfalls faced by the economists on the committee, but now we’ll add more meat to our argument, using financial flows data released last week. We’ve created two charts, beginning with a look at cumulative, inflation-adjusted asset gains during the last seven business cycles:

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Stock Market Elliott Wave Forecasts - Is the World coming to the end? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

We now live in an interesting time. Every day we wake up with the news about either World Indices make all-time records or bad news about terrorist attack and nuclear test. Historically, humans have gone through these stages and we were able to withstand all these events. At ElliottwaveForecast.com, we try to ignore all these events because, at the end, we believe in the Market Nature or code.

The Market or World Indices is not ready for a crash and we have been saying that for a while. $SPX had a chance for a major correction when it reached the 100% extension at 2234.00 area, but the Index hasn’t done anything and keeps going higher. We believe that the Market works as a whole and that looking only at the $SPX or an individual Index is not enough. For the last 6 years, many Elliott wave Theory participants have been calling for a 50% crash and the crash has never happened.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Epic Stock Market & Fixed Income Bubble Will Not End Well / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Michael_Pento

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento, President and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book, The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a well-known and successful money manager and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals Podcast, and shares is astute insights on markets and geopolitics from the perspective of an Austrian School economist's viewpoint.

Monday, December 11, 2017

Have Stocks Reached A Permanently Rigged Plateau? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brady_Willett

A painting recently sold for a record $450 million, a blanket recently sold for $1.5 million, Bitcoin has gone ballistic, and Cramer thinks there are ‘bubbles’ everywhere except stocks.  Are these the types of signals that bears have been waiting for?  In a word, maybe.

The problem with calling for an end to the good times is that there has been so many false contrarian signals in recent years it is as if the very idea of “risk/reward” has been temporarily laid to waste.  To use a quick example, in early 2016 alarm bells were ringing as junk bonds were imploding, confidence was sliding, and technical market levels were being struck.  At the time it looked like the big bad bull was done.

Monday, December 11, 2017

Investors Why Do You Keep Doing This To Yourself? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

As I am known to do, I will peruse articles on the web to find some interesting tidbits. And, I found one in one of Lance Robert’s recent posts.

Within this article, he cited a Doug Kass note, which stated:

“Despite many who are suggesting this has been a 'rational rise' due to strong earnings growth, that is simply not the case as shown below . . . Since 2014, the stock market has risen (capital appreciation only) by 35% while reported earnings growth has risen by a whopping 2%. A 2% growth in earnings over the last 3-years hardly justifies a 33% premium over earnings.

Sunday, December 10, 2017

Evidence of a Stock Market Top Mounting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend – Possible top at 2665.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, December 10, 2017

Is it “Late 2007” For the Everything Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

Timing the end of a major bubble is extraordinarily difficult as it entails figuring out when a critical mass of investors shift from greed to fear.

Having said that, we’ve recently seen a number of developments that would suggest we’re near the end of the current Bond Bubble.

Back in June the world saw the unveiling of perhaps the single most insane investment of all time: the 100-year bond.

Saturday, December 09, 2017

Stock Market Bull/Bear Ratio: Is "More Leverage" Better? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

Bull/Bear Ratio: Is "More Leverage" Better?

Friday, December 08, 2017

SPX Make a 61.8% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has been challenging the Cycle Top at 4649.38 which is very close to the 61.8% retracement at 2649.68. This may be the final probe with a reversal to follow. From there a panic decline may develop. A 4.3 day decline may take the SPX until Thursday to find a bottom.

While even some bears are expecting another push higher, the Model says a nasty decline may be imminent.

Friday, December 08, 2017

Gold, Stocks and Bonds - The 3 Amigos Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

I realize this theme could be wearing on some people, but with all the subtlety of a sledgehammer I am going to pound it until it either aborts or completes. It is, in my opinion, too important not to.

Amigo 1: Stock Market vs. Gold

The pattern that formed from 2015 to 2017 measures to 2.50. The 38% Fib retrace level just happens to be that as well. Interpretation: Bullish until the 2.50 area is reached, then major caution.

Friday, December 08, 2017

Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed a 38.2% retracement of its decline from the top. Yesterday’s 23.6% apparently allowed room for one more push higher. This is what I had originally expected.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Stock Market Tops Look Like This / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

The signs of crazed speculation just keep pouring in these days.
We another Doozie from the Bloomberg wire today!
TD Ameritrade tracks its clients inflows and outflows from retail accounts on a monthly basis.
you can follow it here

November saw the largest inflow into stocks in the index's history,
surging the index to a new all time high.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

EU Bailins Coming – 114 Italian Banks Have NP Loans Exceeding Tangible Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: GoldCore

– Italy opposes ECB proposal that holds banks to firm deadlines for writing down bad loans
– Italy’s banks weighed down under €318bn of bad loans
– New ECB rules could ‘derail’ any recovery in Italy’s financial system
– Draft proposal requires banks to provision fully for loans that turn sour from 2018
– ECB insists banks have better access to collateral on delinquent debt to solve problem
– Investors should secure assets as proposal suggests more bailins on horizon and banks remain at risk

Monday, December 04, 2017

Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will S&P 500 Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 reached our intraday profit target level of 2,615 (daily low at 2,605.52). the index fell sharply following relatively neutral opening of the trading session. The market has managed to close neutral (-0.2%). We still can see some short-term technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Monday, December 04, 2017

Stock Market Classic Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures have peaked higher than the Thursday haigh at 2657.74. This means Wave c of (v) isn’t finished yet. That may mean a final probe to 2670.00 to 2682.00. A possible target. Wave (v) at 1.382 times Wave (i) equals 2670.14. Wave (v) at 1.5 times Wave (i) gives a possible target of 2675..68 while Wave (v) at 1.62 times Wave (i) yields a target of 2581.18.

Monday, December 04, 2017

Stock Market Top Distribution Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend – Coming to an end at anytime!

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.