Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, November 06, 2017
Nothing Can Bring Down This Stock Market Except . . . / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
This past week, we experienced yet another horrendous terrorist attack in New York City. And, amazingly, just like what occurred after several other terrorist attacks that have been experienced over the last year, the market rallied right after the attack.
It has almost gotten to the point that people now expect the stock market to rally after a terrorist attack. Have we really become this warped in our thinking? Must we hold fast to ridiculous notions that news is what drives the stock market to the point that we have to resign ourselves to believing that the market will rally “because” of a terrorist attack? Do you not see how ridiculous these perspectives really are?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 06, 2017
Stock Market Still Bullish, (Near-Term)! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 04, 2017
Markets At the Junction of Risk ‘On’ and Risk ‘Off’ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
[edit] As I do the actual work of plowing through NFTRH 472 I am noting some non-bond related indicators in line with the fading Junk/Quality ratios and easing Treasury yields noted in this post. If preliminary hints in these indicators intensify and long-term yield breakouts fail, we may get a market reaction of some kind and lurch to risk ‘off’ sooner rather than later. Most market charts remain straight up bullish. But charts are charts and indicators are a whole other animal.
This post serves as a public version (i.e. more wordiness than is usual in an NFTRH report) of NFTRH 472’s Bonds & Related Indicators segment. If you’re not following bonds closely, you’re not really following stock and asset markets. You’re throwing darts.
At the junction of the inflated risk ‘on’ trade (stocks, global growth assets, etc.) and risk ‘off’ (gold, Treasury bonds, cash & equivalents, etc.) are the pivotal indicators to these conditions, Treasury bond yields, yield dynamics and bond market signals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 03, 2017
SPX Trying to Digest a Whopper of a Monthly Labor Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are flat, trying to digest a big letdown in the BLS October Employment Situation Report. To make matters worse, 216,000 of the 261,000 reported new jobs are from a hypothetical model called the CES Birth/Death Model.
ZeroHedge reports, “Well, with virtually everyone expecting a 300K+ payrolls number after last month's negative hurricane-distorted print, and with whispers of a 400K print floating around, it only made sense that not only would payrolls disappoint, printing at 261K, one standard deviation below the 310K consensus estimate (and that even with a whopping 89,000 waiters and bartenders added)”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 03, 2017
Someone doesn't want the Stock Market to decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The VIX got walloped just after challenging the 50-day Moving Average this morning. It appears that someone didn’t want to see the equities markets go down after the tax plan was announced. Thus far the lows are higher, so there is no apparent threat to the VIX. However, it may mean that the “big one” may come overnight so they can blame it on other news.
Thursday, November 02, 2017
Timing the Peak in Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Is Stock Market Valuation in Bubble Territory?
Many analysts and forecasters argue that stock market is in bubble territory and about to do significant correction or even a crash. There’s a lot of reasons given, both from fundamental and technical point of view. For example, some popular reasons are:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 01, 2017
Is a Year End Rally in Risk Markets Coming ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Submissions
The Bank of Japan left its massive monetary stimulus program unchanged even as it trimmed its inflation forecasts, signaling further divergence ahead from its global peers.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
The Bubble Economy Is Set To Burst / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Mauldin
My friend Andy Xie, based in Shanghai, is a very independent-minded investment analyst and economist. With a PhD from MIT, he has been at the IMF and was a star economist for the Morgan Stanley Asia-Pacific group.
His often bearish calls on various parts of the Chinese economy have elicited a lot of criticism from Chinese officials and retail investors. I have been on the stage with him several times, both on the same side of debates and on opposite sides—he is a formidable opponent!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Is Trump’s Tax Reform Bullish for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
EWFHendra : The tax reform is perhaps the single most important agenda for Republicans. The consequence for falling short of the tax overhaul is dire. Should Republicans fail to deliver the tax reform, they could face rout in the mid-term elections next year. This means losing control of the Senate and possibly also the House of Representatives where they have a majority now. Recently, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has suggested that stock market could give back much of the gain if tax reform fails. Mnuchin said during a recent interview with Politico: “There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done”. Given the high stake, the market seems to believe that some version of tax reform is likely to come out of Washington.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
It’s Time To Challenge What You Think You “Know” About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
I know I am not the traditional author you come across on most financial sites. Most others will provide you with traditional notions of the stock market based upon rationalities. So, many authors will suggest that we “cannot separate public policy and geopolitics from the markets,” they will focus on “market valuations,” they will claim that “fundamentals do not support this rally,” and will provide you with many, many other reasons as to why they have continually believed that this rally would never happen.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Fragile Stock Market Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: James_Quinn
“So the modern world may be increasing in technological knowledge, but, paradoxically, it is making things a lot more unpredictable.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
“Success brings an asymmetry: you now have a lot more to lose than to gain. You are hence fragile.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
I had read Nassim Taleb’s other best-selling tomes about risk, randomness and black swans – Fooled by Randomness & The Black Swan. They were not easy reads, but they were must reads. He is clearly a brilliant thinker, but I like him more because he is a prickly skeptic who scorns and ridicules academics, politicians, and Wall Street scumbags with gusto. There were many passages which baffled me, but so many nuggets of wisdom throughout each book, you couldn’t put them down.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Stock Market Bullish Trend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 28, 2017
Fed/ECB Strangle Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
This epic central-bank-easing-driven global stock bull is starting to be strangled by the very central banks that fueled it. This week the European Central Bank made a landmark decision to drastically slash its quantitative easing next year. That follows the Fed’s new quantitative-tightening campaign just getting underway this month. With CBs aggressively curtailing easy-money liquidity, this stock bull is in serious trouble.
The US flagship S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) has powered an incredible 280.6% higher over the past 8.6 years, making for the third-largest and second-longest bull market in US history! The resulting popular euphoria, a strong feeling of happiness and confidence, is extraordinary. So investors brazenly shrugged off the Fed’s September 20th QT and the ECB’s October 26th QE-tapering announcements.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 27, 2017
Description of DAX German Stock Index / Stock-Markets / Germany
By: Kavinesh_A
A stock exchange is that thing where the stocks, shares can be bought or sold by traders and stock brokers. Lots of facilities are provided by the stock exchange including different types of financial issues or any payment of dividends and income. There are several listed companies which are traded on stock exchange. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 27, 2017
U.S. Stocks: A Sentiment Extreme You MUST Pay Attention to / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Here's what it's telling you about this bull market
Robert Kelley, the editor of our US Stocks Intraday Pro Service, tells you about a sentiment extreme that he's seen recently. Watch this new interview to find out what has caught his attention and what they mean for U.S. stocks going forward.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 27, 2017
Here’s Why Stocks and Home Runs Are at All-Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
By Alan Hall, senior analyst at the Socionomics Institute
This article was originally published on CNBC under the headline "Home Runs and Strikeouts Can Track the Stock Market."
________________________________________
Why in the world would Major League Baseball home run statistics track the U.S. stock market?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 26, 2017
More Volatility As Stocks Retrace Some Of Their Recent Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 index lost 0.5%, following neutral opening of the trading session. However, the market didn't reach our intraday profit target level of 2,535 (daily low at 2,544.00). The S&P 500 index may retrace more of its October rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is now at the level of 2,575 and potential profit target is at 2,535 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 26, 2017
Elliott wave: Are the Stock Indices Ending 5 Waves or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Elliott wave: The 5 waves advance
The Elliott wave Theory is a famous trading tool and is based in the idea that the Market advances in 5 waves and corrects in 3 waves. The Theory has some basic rules which are listed below
1) Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of wave 1.
2) Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves, namely waves 1, 3 and 5.
3) Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1, except in a diagonal formation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
Stock Market Trendlines Being Crossed / Stock-Markets / Articles
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be breaking its Diagonal trendline and still has Short-term support at 2558.10 to break for confirmation.
This will be our SPX sell signal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
Stock Market Crash of October Crash 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
OCTOBER the month when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of each year, October 19th, this year was the 30th anniversary of the 1987 stock market Black Monday crash that saw the market fall of a cliff, plunging by an unprecedented 22% on one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesise the repeat of every October. Furthermore this year marks the 9th October of the current stocks bull market that the perma-crowd have been betting against for its duration. Which means that most of the doom merchants will already have gotten the stock market badly wrong for EIGHT OCTOBERS IN A ROW!