Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 18, 2016

A Look at the Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

`SPX futures remained beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline overnight, despite ZeroHedge’s report of an equity futures rebound. Since that early report, SPX and Dow futures dumped. “Remember when oil was in the green (because Iran was "priced in") and stocks were in the green (because China was "fixed") this morning? Well, that's over. The dip-buying algo's reflex has run the stops, filled the gaps to unchanged and now stocks and crude are turning lower once again.

Monday, January 18, 2016

Financial Crisis 2016 - This Is Not 2008: It’s Actually Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Michael_Pento

The S&P 500 has begun 2016 with its worst performance ever. This has prompted Wall Street apologists to come out in full force and try to explain why the chaos in global currencies and equities will not be a repeat of 2008. Nor do they want investors to believe this environment is commensurate with the Dot.Com Bubble that caused the NASDAQ to plummet 78% and the S&P 500 to shed 35% of its value. In fact, they claim the current turmoil in China is not even comparable to the 1997 Asian Debt Crisis: when dollar-denominated debt loads couldn’t be repaid and the Thai baht lost half its value, and the stock market dropped 75%.

Monday, January 18, 2016

Stock Market Panic Could Drop Like 1987 Crash - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Gary_Savage

Transcript Excerpt: In this weekend update just gonna take a quick look at the stock market on Friday
the market did come down like I was looking for and we did break that August
low so we have to fill the requirement of this left translated intermediate
cycle breaking below the previous low this August low however it's still
pretty early in the daily cycle so we should still have 15 least 15 trading
days I would think and I am before we get that final ozawa really gonna look
for final bottom until the end of January that last week in January to see
what the Fed does it text of CBT maybe the first week or two
February before we get debt problems we may have to go past the next employment

Monday, January 18, 2016

The Stock Market Punch Bowl is Gone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

It has been a long time since I put up this chart comparing the S&P 500 index with the size of the Federal Reserve's Balance sheet. The old adage that "a picture is worth a thousand words" is most appropriate in this instance.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

First things first. An equity bear market has been confirmed on Friday by OEW. The market started the week at SPX 1922. After three gap up openings the market gyrated its way up to SPX 1950 by Wednesday, then started to head lower. Thursday also had a gap up opening, and the market recovered to SPX 1934. Friday, however, we had a big gap down opening and the market traded down to SPX 1858 before recovering to end the week at 1880. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 3.15%, and the DJ World index lost 3.0%. Economic reports for the week were nearly all negative. On the uptick only Consumer sentiment. On the downtick: export/import prices, retail sales, the PPI, the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, business inventories, the WLEI, the GDPn, plus the treasury deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on the Philly FED, the CPI, and Housing.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Stock Market Crash Apocalypse or Bull Market Severe Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The 7 year long mature stocks bull market has got off to a disastrous start to 2016, apparently the worst start to a new year EVER! Which on Friday saw the Dow close sharply lower at 15,988, down 391 points and recovering from an earlier 537 point plunge. Whilst the relentless selling of the past 2 weeks has increasingly emboldened the usual suspects, the perma bears who tend to see the start of a bear market in EVERY dip. However for those who actually managed to ride this 7 year long stocks bull market (15 Mar 2009 - Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 ), which for its first full 3 years at least was a stealth bull market that was met with denial from right across the financial media, never mind the blogosfear, now have to seriously consider whether the relentless weakness could be an early sign that the stocks bull market may be rolling over into a bear market.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Stock Market Another Day In The Downtrend....7-Year Uptrend Line Gone For Now.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

We had a confluence of events come together this morning. Last night we had the usual bad action out of China, which naturally put some pressure on the global markets. Europe follows China and we follow Europe, thus, step one took place. Step two was the price of oil, which is definitely affecting the markets. Oil got crushed overnight and this too had an adverse effect on our futures. Lastly, and in my opinion, most importantly, we had a cascade of bad earnings reports from two key sectors in the market. In the world of semi-conductors, we saw Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) warn on future guidance. They are a key supplier to Apple Inc. (AAPL), and this also verifies the reports coming in that AAPL is seeing a slowdown. Intel Corportation (INTC) joined in with the bad news as well.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Don't ya Want to SHORT This Stock Market Like Crazy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Denali_Guide

And get the snot knocked out us in the process?  Admittedly, the DJIA has made it's way into the 15's.   The real question is, how long before THEY decide the DOW must be back in the 17's?  I don't think they can make it happen.  Rather I think they will pump like madmen aboard a sinking ship, using MLK Day as a smokescreen, resting the market, and then a burst to 16 + some change, and then let it burn out. 

Friday, January 15, 2016

Stock Market Hour of Truth is Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The algos are attempting a ramp into 3:00 because they know that the institutional investors are coming back into the market to close out the trading day. This will reveal how they have been positioned for options expiration, since the word on the street is that nearly all the major dealer banks have been net short the market for the past two weeks.

Friday, January 15, 2016

How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

As I'm writing this email, over 3 trillion dollars have been wiped off the value of global stocks since the start of 2016.

With that in mind, I urge you to read Robert Prechter's free report, How to Survive and Prosper in this Global Financial Crisis.

Friday, January 15, 2016

Another Atrocious Stock Market Week Going Out With A Bang / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

On days when lots of financial numbers are released, the normal pattern is for some to point one way and some another, giving everyone a little of what they want and overall presenting a reassuringly muddled picture of the economy.

Not today. A wave of economic stats flowed out of Washington, almost all of them terrible, while corporate news was, in some high-profile cases, shocking. Let's go to the highlight reel:

Friday, January 15, 2016

Major Stocks Bear Market Awakening / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets have suffered their worst early-year losses in history in young 2016, an ominous proof that a major trend change is underway.  The Fed’s new tightening cycle is already slaying recent years’ extraordinary easy-Fed-fueled stock-market levitation.  Unfortunately the only possible reckoning after such a record artificial stock boost is a long-overdue major bear market that is finally awakening.

Just a month ago, the stock markets looked radically different.  The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee that sets monetary policy mustered the courage to hike rates, ending exactly 7 years of a record zero-interest-rate policy.  Stock traders rejoiced, interpreting the first rate hike in 9.5 years as a sign the Fed had great confidence that the US economy was improving.  So they bid stocks higher that day.

Friday, January 15, 2016

VIX Asleep as Stock Market Weakness Escalates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ashraf_Laidi

One notable reason the VIX is trading at only half the level seen in August (53.0), a time when equity indices plunged near today's levels is related to market's absorption of risk versus macro negatives.

The China devaluation of August 24 came as a complete surprise to financial markets, which were neither ready for the PBOC's FX manoeuvres, nor prepared for the dangers of rapid decline in the currency of the world's biggest buyer of commodities as they are today.

Friday, January 15, 2016

A Huge Gap Down Awaits the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX appears to have crossed beneath its neckline and may be challenging its September 29 low at 1871.91. A fall beneath the August 24 low at 1867.01 may release a barrage of sell orders, driving the SPX to the final support level at 1820.66 made on October 15, 2014.

Whether intentional or not, this may trap a lot of bulls in a very dicey proposition. Hoping for a bottom today is not a viable strategy. Today’s outcome was amply suggested yesterday by the Hi-Lo Index, which closed very near the bottom of its range at -698.00.

Friday, January 15, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Gaining Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Christopher_Quigley

On the 15th. of December last we noted that the Dow Transports had given a re-confirmed bear signal and accordingly we advised caution. Since then the Dow Industrials have fallen 989 points (approx). The Industrials need to break the 15,750 level for a full bear market to be re-confirmed. Based on yesterday’s price action, in all probability, this will happen sooner rather than later. (Remember our initial Dow Theory sell signal was triggered January 2015).

Friday, January 15, 2016

Stock Market Flippity Flop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

Stocks were in rally mode today, in an attempt to dampen fear and encourage confidence.

While they were most likely short term oversold, the 'rally' was all artifice, and had the feel of the kind of forced cheeriness in the big household during times of plague.

Friday, January 15, 2016

Brazillian Bovespa Stock Market Set To Rally / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Austin_Galt

The Brazillian stock index, the Bovespa, has generally been trading exactly as outlined back in May 2015 and I believe we now have the final low at hand with today's low of 38459.

Let's analyse the technicals using the daily and monthly charts.

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Retracement May be Winding Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The recent moves in SPX have added clarity to the Wave formation. On the left you can see the “best fit” of the Elliott Waves to the decline. The impulse ended at 1886.40, as originally proposed. The rest is a corrective retracement of that decline. Thus far, it has retraced 27.4% of the decline. It may go as high as the Wave [iv] peak at 1950.33, but may be finished already.

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Rally with No Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX completed a Wave (b) of [ii] at 1878.93. Wave (b)s are erratic and do not obey trendlines and necklines as a general rule. While this Wave (b) did break the neckline, it didn’t stay beneath due to the necessity of Wave (c) to finish the correction and relieve the oversold condition. So my anticipation of a pop this morning was correct, but not in the way I had anticipated.

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Stock Market Analysts are Now Bearish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Head & Shoulders neckline has now been crossed. As soon as it is retested from beneath, we may see a much larger decline in speed and distance. There is a lot of open space between the neckline and the next support.

The analyst community have thrown in the towel, as ZeroHedge reports, “Something has definitely changed in the market: while for the past seven years (a period largely coincident with an easy, ZIRPing or QEing Fed) every day would be greeted with numerous research pieces, all urging traders to buy the dip, and to otherwise stay invested in stocks, now all the equity firms have turned their back on the S&P, and first Goldman, then JPM, then UBS, then every other equity trader has urged clients not only not to BTFD any more, but to STFR.