Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, August 21, 2015
Full on Crash Alert for Major World Stock Markets... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Clive_Maund
There are various reasons, both fundamental and technical, to believe that a market crash is almost upon us. This crash will affect virtually all world markets, including and especially the big Western Markets which have thus far escaped the devastation already afflicting the developing markets. Here we are going to focus on US markets, but they will all get taken down - European markets including the UK, and Far Eastern markets such as Hong Kong and Japan.
The fundamental reasons for a market crash now are big and obvious - the ravages of deflation and depression brought about by extremes of debt which must cut into corporate profits - in Japan the debt situation is now hopeless, the Sovereign debt crisis set to crush Europe and probably destroy the euro, the collapse and implosion of the monstrous debt fuelled bubble in China which is already underway, an accelerating currency crisis in the Far-East exacerbated by the recent Chinese devaluation of the Yuan, and the collapse also already underway in Emerging Markets. Given that US markets have been driven to giddying heights by the combination, among other things, of maxed out margin debt and stock buybacks, it is clear that a crash of perhaps unprecedented proportions in on the cards. So much for the fundamentals, since we are more concerned with timing, we now turn to consider the latest charts.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets - Why it's Worse than October 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Fed funds futures are coming around to the idea of no September rate hike, a position we long held since last December based on the argument that inflation in 2015 will move further below the Fed's mandate, to the extent that the tightening in labour markets is inadequate to stir up inflationary pressures.
Friday, August 21, 2015
China Weakens the Yuan; Rattles Global Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Dorsch
On August 11th, the hierarchy of the Chinese Politburo surprised the global financial markets, by unilaterally devaluing the yuan against the US$, without any advance notice. Beijing quickly engineered a -3% devaluation of the yuan against the US$ in two days, in what it called a "one-off" operation. Still, the surprise move sent various financial markets around the world into a tizzy, as analysts, pundits and traders began to speculate that the latest move by Beijing was just the first salvo in a campaign to gradually weaken the yuan against the US$, and possibly, to keep the yuan on an even keel with other major reserve currencies, such as the Euro and the Japanese yen.
Friday, August 21, 2015
Stock Market - Fasten Your Seat Belt! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
It is official; the multi-month trading range on Wall Street has now ended with a breakout to the downside. You will recall that the major US indices were in a quiet, consolidation phase since December and over the past several weeks, we wrote extensively about the deterioration in the stock market’s internals.
In fact, about a month ago, our proprietary set of trend following indicators flashed ‘market under distribution’ which prompted us to reduce our equity exposure and partially hedge our book. Unfortunately, over the past few trading sessions, these set of indicators have deteriorated even more and there is now a high probability of an autumn plunge. Accordingly, we have reduced our equity exposure even more and currently, only half of the capital under our management is invested in common stocks.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Global Stocks Slide, Markets are Moving! Want to Get Onboard? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
"When the alarm goes off and the dreamers awake, it will be pandemonium in the stock market." -- Bob Prechter, from the just-released Elliott Wave Theorist.
You would agree that markets around the world have served investors a lot of surprises lately:
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
SPX Stock Index Breaking Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX broke below its prior low at 2052.09. There may not be much of a bounce this time since this appears to be a third wave scenario.
ZeroHedge comments, “Small Caps hitting 6 month lows, S&P swinging red year-to-date, and Dow near 7-month lows... but remember China doesn't matter and Fed is priced in...”
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
The Ultimate Insurance Against Financial Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
By Brian Hunt: You wake up in the morning, turn on the news, and get a sick feeling in your stomach...
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Yesterday's Retreat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Stock Market More Bearish Behavior.... 17,300 Dow Important Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Today was fascinating. Truly fascinating, and certainly not boring. The market plunged early on as the European markets fell hard. We gapped down and continued to fall hard. After getting close to oversold on the short-term sixty-minute charts we noticed a small rally ensue into the FOMC at 2 PM Eastern Time. It stated that the economy hadn't quite gotten to a level where they'd feel good about slowly raising rates. The market absolutely exploded, with a twenty handle S&P 500 move up in a matter of minutes. The market looked ready to rock up, but something funny happened along the way. The market hit gaps, and the selling exploded back in taking the market right back down.
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
Shanghai and DAX-30 Stock Indices Dance around 200-DMA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5% decline. This is especially crucial as the index held above its 200-DMA since Jul 23, 2014. The latest selling pressure may have resulted by three consecutive daily gains in the Chinese yuan, following media assault from the rest of the world on the day of the CNY devaluation. Coincidently, the Shanghai Composite's late Wednesday session recovery emerged on the day the CNY depreciated for the first time four days.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Why You Should Go to Africa Instead of College / Stock-Markets / Africa
By: Casey_Research
Recently Doug Casey was a guest on the always excellent podcast, The Tom Woods Show.
Tom and Doug talked about the enormous economic potential in Africa, Doug’s efforts to build a truly free market country, and better uses of your time and money than going to college.
It’s an exciting and informative conversation.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
The Trigger For The Upcoming Stock Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
I recently explained that it’s one thing for a central bank to artificially prop up its own stock market. It’s another thing entirely to even imagine doing something similar to falling oil prices. What’ll they do – buy oil futures? Give me a break.Oil hit a six-year low this week. As I write this, it’s around $43, closer yet to the $42 target I forecast when oil bounced back to $63. After another tepid bounce, it will very likely fall to the $32 support level we saw in late 2008. John Kilduff, a leading oil analyst who will be speaking at our Irrational Economic Summit in Vancouver next month, sees this happening earlier than his original Christmas call.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Keeping the Stock Market Bubble-Boom Going / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Thorsten_Polleit
The US Federal Reserve is playing with the idea of raising interest rates, possibly as early as September this year. After a six-year period of virtually zero interest rates, a ramping up of borrowing costs will certainly have tremendous consequences. It will be like taking away the punch bowl on which all the party fun rests.
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
SPX Keeping a Bearish Profile / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Although SPX hasn’t crossed below the 50-day Moving Average at 2095.05, it hasn’t made any progress higher, either. This increases the probability of a Diamond formation, where the breakout is down. Diamond formations usually precede an average decline of 20% from the lower trendline, suggesting a target near 1656.00. The Diamond may supersede the Orthodox Broadening Top, so I may have to alter the Wave structure should that happen. Tomorrow is the Pivot day.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Junk Bonds Call for Stock Market Crash ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Clive_Maund
We have looked at plenty enough evidence in recent weeks that a crash is looming for US markets, and now we are going to take a look at another important piece of evidence that we haven't previously considered - the Junk Bond market.
When confidence deteriorates Junk Bonds get sold off. A reason for this is that Junk Bond Holders are low on the list of creditors who can expect to be paid off in the event of corporate default, hence the name. They yield more because they carry more risk, so when risk threatens to rise or rises, savvy holders want out.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
What Credit Markets Are Telling Us About Stocks Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Rather than trust markets to heal themselves, the world's central banks have polluted markets with flawed economic theories and trillions of dollars of debt. Rather than ignite economic growth as they had hoped, however, they have suffocated the global economy.
It began with the U.S. Federal Reserve's move to lower interest rates to zero seven years ago, followed by several bouts of quantitative easing.
This was followed by Mario Draghi's August 2012 declaration to do "whatever it takes" to defend the euro.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Global Stock Markets and Dow Jones Fire Warning Shot Across Investors Bow! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week, the global equity markets were quite undecided. China’s and Japan’s equity prices have been moving higher. The Japanese Nikkei reached its highest level since 1996 on Tuesday, August 11th, but then pulled back at the end of the week. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng made a new monthly low and the Australian Market fell to a new 6-month low.
Europe was more decisive. Traders mostly sold stocks. The German DAX, London FTSE, and Zurich SMI all fell to monthly lows by mid-week and did not recover much by Friday August 14th’s close. In Russia, it was much different. Moscow’s MICEX index rallied to its highest mark in 3 months.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
The Staggering Scope of the Next Financial Crisis And How It Will Hit / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Graham_Summers
As you know, I’ve been calling for a bond market crisis for months now. That crisis has officially begun in Greece, and will be spreading in the coming months. Currently it’s focused in countries that cannot print their own currencies (the PIIGS in Europe, particularly Greece).
However, China and Japan are also showing signs of trouble and ultimately the bond crisis will be coming to the US’s shores.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Doomsday Clock Strikes One Minute To Midnight For Global Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: GoldCore
It is only a matter of time before stock markets collapse under the weight of their lofty expectations and record valuations.
China currency devaluation signals endgame leaving equity markets free to collapse under the weight of impossible expectations.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Corporate Debt - Road To Oblivion In A Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: James_Quinn
Any article that starts with a quote from Jim Grant is guaranteed to be a fact based, common sense, reasoned analysis of our warped, debt saturated, over-valued, Federal Reserve rigged financial markets. John Hussman starts his weekly letter with this quote from Jim Grant:
Read full article... Read full article..."The way to wealth in a bull market is debt. The way to oblivion in a bear market is also debt, and nobody rings a bell." - James Grant