Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

U.S. Fears a European “Lehman Brothers” / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: GoldCore

• European complacency regarding Greek default and exit is high – Tett
• Narrative to reassure investors that markets have already priced in effects of Greek default
• U.S. Council on Economics is alarmed by risk being taken by European elites to bring Greece to heel
• Greek default would cause a new and very “unpredictable” paradigm – huge uncertainty in markets 
• U.S. policy makers fear unforeseeable knock-on effects

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Stock Market Holding Well..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

So yes, we saw yet another failure today when the S&P 500 got back to 2119, and turned south, but it didn't turn south very hard. That's good to see if you're bullish. The market is trying to hold up better on this latest test of the usual 2119 S&P 500 area. The oscillators on the daily chart are actually bullish with the stochastic trying to turn up from the 50's. Add in the MACD not too elevated, and the RSI in the 50's, there really are no excuses for the bulls. It doesn't have to break out on our time meaning the immediate, but it is set up pretty solidly for the bulls.

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Stock Market Waiting for Clarity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX rallied beyond my maximum wave structure for a retracement Wave c. It may rally once more to complete a larger Wave c to make a nominal new high. That seems to be the most likely course of action, since the decline is not impulsive.

ZeroHedge reports that there is a record divergence between the price of SPX and the money flows, which are exiting the index. Which begs the question,,,who is buying?

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Mice, Mazes & Investor Perception Management / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Dan_Amerman

Confidence in retirement investing is once again soaring among the general public. According to a recent survey, those who own retirement accounts are feeling almost twice as confident about their ability to retire and what their standard of living will be in retirement than they were two years ago.

At the same time, a well known and highly sophisticated investment executive has recently semi-retired at age 56.  And now that this Oxford economics PhD is managing his own retirement portfolio instead of being CEO of one of the largest investment companies in the world, he isn't buying stocks, he isn't buying bonds – and indeed he is running away from conventional retirement investments as fast as he can.

Monday, May 04, 2015

Stock Market Last Hurrah? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.

Monday, May 04, 2015

Stocks – Bulls, Bears, And Pigs : Which Are You? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

When we started out in this business, one of the first saws of trading we learned was: Bulls make money, Bears make money, Pigs get slaughtered. That simple admonition is coming full circle as the stock market has been muscled to all time highs by central bankers seeking to protect their fiat currency Ponzi scheme at all costs. For anyone not paying attention, that cost will be passed onto you.

Monday, May 04, 2015

Why Stock Market Investors Should Be Terrified of this Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

Advisor Perspectives’ Doug Short recently published an update on margin debt, accompanied by several well-made charts. But it only takes one to make the point.

See below for the relationship between margin debt — money borrowed by retail investors against their stocks and used to buy more stock — where Short has enhanced the visual impact by inverting the margin debt line. As presented here, a downward sloping red line means margin debt is increasing. So when the two lines diverge, that means stock prices and margin debt are both rising.

Monday, May 04, 2015

The Real Stock Market Read on What Happened in April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: T.S. Eliot must roll over in his grave every time some smart-alecky financial writer says that "April is the cruelest month."

Having to hear the anti-intellectual elite pretend to have read, never mind think they have the remotest understanding of those words or what follows in one of the most complex literary works of the 20th century is galling enough. But hearing that over-used phrase misused to excuse more underperformance and bad policy is flat-out nauseating.

Monday, May 04, 2015

This Financial “Seismograph” Signals A Monetary Earthquake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Stock markets in the U.S. are trading approximately 2% from their all-time highs, the German DAX has slightly retraced from its all-time highs, the Nikkei index in Japan has almost surpassed its 2000 highs in recent days, the Shanghai stock index used to be a laggard but is making up at an incredible pace (currently trading at 7-year highs). Indeed, it feels like nothing can go wrong.

We are not yet in bubble territory, and the market is not setting up for an implosion as it did in December 1999 or July 2008. However, we are in the midst of a monetary bubble, driven by an explosion of the monetary base and an implosion of interest rates. Paper assets, as opposed to hard assets, have been pumped up by the liquidity that is being funneled into the economic system and the markets.

Sunday, May 03, 2015

Stocks, Gold and Oil Markets Chopsville / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: WavePatternTraders

SPX

Last week we were looking for new highs on the SPX, the prior declines have all been corrective move so as long as that continues I don't see much in the way of any evidence to support a bearish reversal. Don't get me wrong I am now looking for a reversal but the market appears to be clinging on for dear life as it chops higher. This back and forth choppy price action is more and more supporting the ending diagonal idea that we have been tracking since the start of the New Year. It would need a strong advance above 2070SPX to cast doubt on the idea.

Sunday, May 03, 2015

Stock Market Big Sell-Off Looming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last time I wrote, I was expecting the stock market to fill the gap left on the SPX near 2081-82 by Friday last week. That was accomplished on Thursday when the SPX fell to 2077. What I saw on my indicators showed more a lack of buying than true selling and it also presented a looming Head and Shoulders Pattern Top. We went long on the dip and sold into strength on Friday. In fact, we started to short late in the day as the strength of the move was not enough to offset the damage done on the charts. We plan on completing our short selling Monday on the open.

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Stock Market Correction Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another month completed and the choppy activity continues. The market started the week at SPX 2118, gapped up on Monday and hit an all time high of 2126. Then it went into its recent choppy activity again until Thursday: 2095-2116-2097-2114-2091-2103-2079. Then gapped up hitting SPX 2108 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.50%, and the DJ World lost 0.90%. On the economic front reports came in just as mixed. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, personal spending, PCE prices, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer confidence, Q1 GDP, pending home sales, personal income, construction spending and the monetary base. Next week is highlighted by the monthly Payrolls report and ISM services.

Saturday, May 02, 2015

New Month Begins With Spectacular Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a spectacular rally and closed at the highs for the day going away. They opened with big gaps up, went into consolidation during the morning session, came on again late morning, rallied strongly, pulled back in the last hour, only to come on again in the last 20-30 minutes, and close with a bang.

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Stock Market Giving A Pass? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

There really is no other way to explain it. Earnings have been terrible this quarter. To go along with that theme almost all of the economic reports from retail sales to the ISM Manufacturing Report have been poor at best. So why isn't the market crashing out is the question many are asking. Before today we saw a recent sell off, which hit the Nasdaq to the tune of 199 points. That's good selling. 4%. Today we saw the market shoot back up off an oversold sixty-minute event from that selling. While some buying should have been expected based on oversold, the strong move higher caught many off guard.

Friday, May 01, 2015

Stock Market 2015 Top May be in Cyclical Harmony with 1929 Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Do you sometimes turn a question over and over in your mind…and suddenly the answer comes to you? That was my experience as I kept asking the question…”Why did the market top come on April 27?”

I had done shorter-term calculations and arrived at the 7.525 year (90.3 months + 7 days) calculation from the peak in 2007. By the way, the 2007 high was also 7.525 years from the March 23, 2000 market peak.

Friday, May 01, 2015

Stock Market Kondratieff Waves and the Greater Depression 2013- 2020 update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

In February 2012 I wrote an essay on Kondratieff waves (K waves). At that time based on the teaching of Nikolai Kondratieff it appeared that the world economy was in the middle of a Kondratiev winter or “greater recession”. (See chart below).
The K wave is a 60 year cycle ( a year or so) with internal phases that are sometimes characterized as seasons: spring, summer, autumn and winter:

Friday, May 01, 2015

Stock Market Broadening Tops Hidden in Plain View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Sometimes the traditional trendline analysis hides the unusual but valid crash formations. I must admit that I was slow in picking this up and only “saw” the formation after I had erased some of the other analysis.

What came out at me was the Megaphone formation that I had expected to be there at this juncture, but couldn’t see it. The Orthodox Broadening Top confirms the larger Broadening Wedge that has been there so long that you can easily miss it. In fact, I was beginning to wonder about its validity.

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Why Stock Market Investors Are Ruining America / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Economic inequality - the fact that a small percentage of Americans have so much more than the rest of us - has gotten a lot of press in recent months.

You are a big part of the problem.

I say that because this column is written by and for investors. Nothing exacerbates economic inequality like successful investing.

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Stock Market Sell Signal is Getting Stronger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced off the 50-day Moving Average early today. Overhead resistance is now at 2100.54. Once the retest fails, the 50-day is also likely to fail. This will confirm the sell signal in the SPX. The signal is an aggressive sell here and a confirmed sell beneath 2090.72.

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Is the Fed about to Ignite the Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away Trade? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Rajveer_Rawlin

First and foremost most fed meetings are positive for the stock market. The fed usually gives the market what it wants and the markets keep going up and away. The last fed meeting stocks rallied after the fed successfully jaw boned the dollar into submission. Since then stocks have rallied and are encountering major resistance at the top end of their trading ranges.