Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, May 18, 2015
European Banks Vulnerable Today As 2008 Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
- Euro banks no more stable now than in run-up to 2008 crash
- Banks in France, Spain and Italy are “highly vulnerable to failure”
- Low quality bank equity not sufficient to withstand shock
- Risk to system “enormously underestimated”
- Investor deposits at risk of “bail-ins”
Monday, May 18, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Rally - Topping Action Or Just A Flat Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, May 18, 2015
U.S. Dollar Impact on Stocks, Oil, Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The 1st major corrective phase in almost 10 months for the U.S. dollar continues to unfold. With the US$ declining 7.5% since March, it has provided a boost for many global currencies and a much needed lift for commodity bulls.
The dollar's drop has escalated the Euro by almost 10%, lifted the British Pound by 8%, raised the Australian dollar by 6.6% and increased the value of the Canadian currency by 6.4%.
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Monday, May 18, 2015
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away - Last Hurrah - Take2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is still intact.
Intermediate trend - Are long-term cycles sketching an important top?
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
The No. 1 Reason Stocks Will Climb Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Andrew Snyder writes: There’s no end in sight for this bull market. As long as money is cheap, the gains will continue. It’s great news as we embark on our journey to unleash liberty through wealth.
But before I show you why there’s plenty more gains to come, let me remind you of two key facts.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market The Economic Decline Toddles On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Empire Manufacturing, Industrial Production, and even Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in weakly this morning.
Stocks were trying to rally, but were just able to hold their ground into the weekend.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
The Stock Market is Topping! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last time I wrote, I expected to see new highs on the S&P 500. The week before, I submitted a cycle chart where an expected three week cycle top should occur on May 18th. We are within a hair's breadth of the 2130 target I had for last week and should tag that price on Monday. We also have a new moon, which should easily reverse the trend back to down in the coming days.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
Stock Market CAC40 Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / France
The French stock index, the CAC40, looks to have the final top to its bull market already in place. Let's analyse the technicals using the weekly, monthly and yearly charts.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Diagonal Pattern Nearly Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market did this week what it had done the previous three weeks: open higher, dip mid-week, then close the week over 2100. Last four weekly closes: 2118, 2108, 2116 and 2123. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.40%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.80%. On the economic front the reports came in biased to the downside. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY FED, the WLEI, plus the budget surplus improved and weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: export/import prices, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, and the monetary base declined. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the CPI and reports on Housing.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
Stock Market Basing Below The Breakout.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When you watch price action near critical levels of resistance you want to see how it holds up, even if the short-term charts are at or near overbought. Watching the action today with those short-term sixty-minute charts near or at 70 RSI it has to give the bulls some comfort due to the fact that the bears couldn't pound the market lower the way they have been in recent weeks whenever the market went to these levels on the oscillators. The market tried many times today to sell off, but the bulls made sure things held up well enough. A change of character for the short term.
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Saturday, May 16, 2015
A Financial "Perfect Storm" May Be Brewing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
The "Perfect Storm" of 1991, as described in the best-selling book by Sebastian Junger, resulted from massive weather systems converging to create the storm of a century.
In the financial world at this very moment, we have eight different "weather systems" that are all developing in real time. While the defenses in place may be able to easily withstand any one or two of these concerns in isolation – the danger is the increased power of a "storm" that can result from the merging of multiple systems together.
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Friday, May 15, 2015
Economic Expansion Ahead? World Stock Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - The global economy softened during the first quarter of this year; however, reflationary efforts by the central banks should bring about a pick-up in business activity. At this stage, it is difficult to tell precisely when the economy will accelerate, but we suspect that various data points will show a marked improvement during the back half of this year.
You will recall that the world's economy slowed down significantly at the beginning of 2015 and this coincided with a surge in the US Dollar and extreme strength in government bonds. In response to the deflationary pressures, the European Central Bank (ECB) unleashed its QE program and unsurprisingly, this policy initiative immediately sparked a rally in European stocks. A few weeks later, the US Dollar Index put in an intermediate-term top, government bonds peaked, crude oil bottomed and the major foreign currencies ended their relentless downtrend.
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Friday, May 15, 2015
Stock Market Excellent Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market indices had a huge session today. The day started out with a breakaway gap, they ran sharply higher, running all day, and closing near the session highs going away.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 191.75 at 18,252.24. The S&P 500 was up 22.62 at 2121.10. The Nasdaq 100 was up 68.48 at 4495.04.
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
Global Debt Now $200 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
- McKinsey Institute says global debt is $199 trillion and unsustainable
- Total global debt is $27,204 for every person living today
- All major economies have “higher levels of borrowing relative to GDP” than in 2007
- 3 risk areas – rising Chinese debt, government and household debt
- Debt report ignores U.S. unfunded liabilities of over $100 trillion
- Major cause of risky, unprecedented debt levels – QE and ultra loose monetary policies not acknowledged
- Risk of new global financial crisis – wealth taxes, currency wars and devaluations and bail-ins
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Learn from Geithner and Profit from the Next Big Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: Former Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner was as close as it gets to the epicenter of the 2008 U.S. financial crisis.
Together with Treasury chief Hank Paulson and Fed boss Ben Bernanke, he presided over the crisis at the Bush administration, which let the conflagration get out of control. He then led the Obama administration's response.
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
Trade Secret For being Positioned to Profit When Stocks Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: I’ve been telling you about market “Disruptors” for several weeks now, and showing how these “agent-of-change” catalysts are the trigger points for some of the greatest profit opportunities you’ll find.
But that’s only part of the message I’ve been emphasizing to you in our get-togethers here.
I’ve also urged you to keep your eyes open for all profit opportunities – on both the “long” side of the market… as well as on the “short” side.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
The End Is Near? Peak Trophy Asset Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Stories about insane prices being paid for unique (and some not so unique) things are now a daily occurrence. A few examples:
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Stock Investors Should Keep an Eye on the Dow Transportation Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When does the market break down?
There are a lot of ol' timers out there who have their programs set for "not going against the DOW Theory". That means, if the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials fail to the downside, sell programs will kick in.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Lindsay Forecasting the End of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The first step in forecasting an important high is accomplished using Lindsay's 15yr interval. It isolates an eleven month period in which the high is found. Lindsay wrote that the interval (15yr-15yr, 11m) can be counted from any "important" low leaving the identification of the low somewhat ambiguous.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Financial Markets - There Is No Silver Lining / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Rodney Johnson writes: As I read the news and watch the markets, I’m struck by the yawning difference between what’s going on with the economy and what is happening with equities.
I know the worn out arguments.
People are buying stocks because they don’t have many choices. That’s fair, to some extent. The return on stocks (dividends, expected earnings growth) is higher than the interest paid on bonds.
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