Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
Stock Market Investors Conditioned To Catch The Falling Knife / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
That’s not a bad metaphor to work with. “Conditioned to catch the falling knife”. The expression comes from the investment world, but it describes a much larger world today pretty accurately.
Investors use it to describe people who see a stock fall, rapidly, from for instance $50 to $20, call the low, and decide it’s a good buy, only to be stuck with huge losses (the knife that cuts their hand) as it goes down all the way to 25 cents.
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Friday, August 15, 2014
The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – The ongoing bull market is over 5 years old and both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P500 Index have climbed to record highs. Yet, the vast majority of retail investors are still not convinced and many are waiting for the elusive stock market crash!
Despite the fact that this primary uptrend has tacked on impressive gains, it remains one of the most hated bull markets in recorded history. If you follow the mainstream financial print media, you may have seen that many prominent publications have recently called this stock market a ‘bubble’! In fact, the very same magazines have doubted the durability of this bull market since its very inception.
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Thursday, August 14, 2014
Russian Bear Rattles Stock Markets, but Plunge Protection Team Rides to the Rescue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
Investing is an inherently risky business with lots of uncertainties. At any given moment, the bullets can fly from any direction, and at a bare minimum, the investor hopes to emerge unscathed from the battlefield. But of course, the goal of investing is not just to break-even, but to earn a sizeable profit in the marketplace. And for the past 5-½ years, there has been no better way to maximize gains, than sticking with the traditional “Buy-and-Hold” strategy. It requires a lot of patience, a lack of emotion, and a firmly held belief that the Federal Reserve and its central bank allies will always bail you out of a difficult position.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
More Bad News is Good News for the Stocks Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Europe is not growing.
Italy, Romania and Cyprus are in Recession (2 consecutive negative quarters) and Belgium dropped 75%, Czech 100% (to zero), Germany down 130%, Latvia down 85%, Hungary down 30%, Poland down 45%… These are NOT GOOD numbers!
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Thursday, August 14, 2014
Gold, Silver, Dow and VIX Market Updates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Since my last report on gold and silver, both commodities have bounced from their lows. Does that mean the pullback low is in? Yes and no. Gold looks safe while silver looks shaky. Let’s examine both commodities price charts.
Let’s begin with gold.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
Dangerous Investor Choices - Black Swans on Final Approach / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
There are several potential disasters that could disrupt the financial and political status quo, much like what happened after an Archduke was shot 100 years ago.
Brutal Facts: From Simon Black regarding the experiences of US Navy Pilot James Stockdale in captivity in the "Hanoi Hilton" in the late 1960s.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Low and Expanding Risk Premiums Are the Root of Abrupt Stock Market Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Risk premiums. I don’t know anyone who seriously maintains that risk premiums are anywhere close to normal. They more closely resemble what we see just before a major bear market kicks in. Which doesn’t mean that they can’t become further compressed. My good friend John Hussman certainly wouldn’t argue for such a state of affairs, and this week for our Outside the Box we let John talk about risk premiums.
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market at the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Afternoon!
SPX appears to be wrapping up its retracement at the 50% Fibonacci level. This is an irregular Wave 2 in the form of an expanding diagonal. Normally we see prices go to the mid-Cycle resistance, but the SPX does not appear as if it will go any higher.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Pop and Drop May be in Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Pre-market is up 6.50 this morning, challenging Short-term resistance at 1940.77. This appears to be a retracement probe that may not go much higher. The SPX futures are up 4.95 as I write.
ZeroHedge reports on the effect of the dismal retail sales number.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Japan Economic Collapse - GDP Plunges by 6.8%! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
MORE FREE MONEY!!!
That's all this chart says to traders this morning, who are taking the European Markets up over half a point this morning and are goosing our Futures by half a point as well as bad news is good news and TERRIBLE news is even better in this Central Bank-sponsored market. v
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Two-Day Rally Ends with a Small Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
A two-day rally in the S&P 500 was snapped today by a small decline. The index opened fractionally lower and spent the next hour struggling at the level of yesterday’s close. It then slowly zigzagged to its -0.45% mid-afternoon intraday low. A late rally trimmed to loss to a modest -0.16.
The big economic news this week will be tomorrow’s Retail Sales, although we won’t have an official deflator for Real Retail Sales until the CPI data is released a week from today.
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Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Shanghai Composite Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Ed_Carlson
On the one hand…
Three weeks ago the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) broke out from a multi-year bullish wedge formation. Wedges imply a minimum move back to the start of the wedge which, in this case, would mean an advance to over 3,000 – a 36% rally! Whoo-hoo! A recent spike in volume, however, warns of a short-term top and the better play is to wait until a pullback has completed.
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Correction could be over.
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Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Market Rebound Change Of Trend Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Markets Keep Calm and Carry On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
At the end of July global equity bull markets had a moment of doubt, falling three or four per cent. In the seven trading days up to 1st August the S&P500 fell 3.8%, and we are not out of the woods yet. At the same time the Russell 2000, an index of small-cap US companies fell an exceptional 9%, and more worryingly it looks like it has lost bullish momentum as shown in the chart below. This indicates a possible double-top formation in the making.
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Sunday, August 10, 2014
Are Stocks Finally Starting the Topping Process? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
With all the uncertainty in the world, and everything that could happen over the weekend, I think it's safe to say that the market didn't rally 22 points naturally to complete a swing low as we go into the weekend. When I saw the index futures turn from deeply oversold to positive as if by magic in the pre-market Friday morning I had a pretty good idea that the Fed was ready to put an end to this correction. By the end of the day it looks like they probably succeeded (at least for now).
Sunday, August 10, 2014
Stock Market Retail Investors About to Get Fleeced Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Pater Tenebrarum, The Acting Man writes: Mistiming the Market
As a small addendum to our previous post on the market situation, here is a chart recently posted by the “Short Side of Long”. It shows the cash allocation reported by AAII, which surveys retail investors. Not surprisingly, retail investors tend to be completely wrong in their positioning at major lows and major highs, while generally not doing too badly in the middle portion of trends. That latter remark has to be qualified by the fact that they tend to lose their gains from this portion of a trend by being wrongly positioned at its end.
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Saturday, August 09, 2014
Dow Stock Market Rally is On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The rally is on! Let’s get straight into it by looking at the daily chart.
I have added a Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) which shows a little bullish divergence. This week’s low was less weak than the previous week’s low. Also, notice how the RSI pushed deep into negative territory compared to the previous times the RSI came down during the bull trend. This is the first time it went so deep under the 30 level since the February correction low. This type of negative reading is synonymous with the end of a significant correction or the first swing low in a new bear market.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a roller coaster week for such a small correction. The market started the week at SPX 1925 and rallied to 1943 on Monday. Then it made a choppy eleven small waves on its way down to SPX 1905 on Thursday. On Friday it turned the whole week’s losses green. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.30%, but the DJ World index lost 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 7 to 2. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Stock Market Risk is On the Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Weak Secondary Stocks and Declining Junk-to-Treasury Bond Ratio Indicate the Stock Market is Ripe for Reversal
The following article is adapted from the August 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published Aug. 1. For the latest from the Financial Forecast Service, click here.
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