Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Stock Market Crash a Historical Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Wim_Grommen

Every production phase or civilization or other human invention goes through a so called transformation process. Transitions are social transformation processes that cover at least one generation. In this article I will use one such transition to demonstrate the position of our present civilization and its possible effect on stock exchange rates.

When we consider the characteristics of the phases of a social transformation we may find ourselves at the end of what might be called the third industrial revolution. Transitions are social transformation processes that cover at least one generation (= 25 years). A transition has the following characteristics:

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Fed Minutes Not Hurting Stock Bulls.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Even though there was the usual language of maybe we should raise rates sooner than later. The market is smart enough to understand that raising rates isn't in the cards for a long time to come, and even it was raised, it would be done very slowly over a very long period of time, meaning there's still nowhere to go with your dollars other than the stock market. The bears, and anyone looking for something other than the status quo, seem to be wasting their mental energy. Even Fed Yellen said last month that when housing and employment is where they want them to be, they will still keep rates at historically low levels.

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Meet Your Investment Manager / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Fred_Sheehan

There is little else left in the asset-pricing world than central bankers. The redoubtable Ben Hunt, chief risk officer at Salient investment managers ($20 billion under management), wrote on David Stockman's Contra Corner: "I've spent the past few weeks meeting Salient clients and partners across the country.... When I had conversations [with clients and partners] six months ago, I would get a fair amount of resistance to the notion that narratives dominate markets and that we're in an Emperor's New Clothes world. Today, everyone believes that market price levels are largely driven by monetary policy and that we are being played by politicians and central bankers using their words for effect rather than direct communication. No one requires convincing that markets are unsupported by real world economic activity. Everyone believes that this will all end badly, and the only real question is when."

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Is the U.S. Dollar and Stock Market Ready to Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

As the yearly end of summer doldrums engulf the Hamptons, the uber-wealthy position themselves for a rocky coming storm when the robust fall trading season begins. Some of the most memorable major equity collapses happen during this time of year. Logic, fundamentals and sound business analysis has very little to do in forecasting when the actual plug will be pulled on the rocket ride in stocks. In a rigid game, the house always knows when and at what time the fleecing of the mark happens. Such timing projections do not apply to the decline in the purchasing power of the dollar. More appropriately, Federal Reserve Notes are only compulsory money because of the legal tender laws. Yet, financial instruments are gauged in terms of their worth by the dollar redemption value they produce.

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

How Today's Stock Market Valuations Compare to 2000 and What to Do About It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Opinions on stock market valuations flow easily around Wall Street, too often without backing.

Looking at the typical measurement used to determine stock valuations, I'm increasingly cautious.

Indeed, some of the numbers are downright scary just now, both in nominal value and in terms of red-light factors blinking on the horizon.

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Stock Market Investors What's Your Exit? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Axel_Merk

Are you prepared for an “exit”? If the Fed pursues an “exit” from ultra low interest rate policy, are you prepared for an exit from the stock market should things turn South? We discuss how investors prepare, noting the most common mistakes investors make along the way.

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Stock Market Mirror Image Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

In the preserved, written work of George Lindsay, Lindsay makes several references to an approach he calls “mirror image”. Unfortunately, the most he ever wrote was that he had never explained it in writing but hoped to someday. If he did, it has been lost to time. This is why the topic has not appeared in any of my three books about his work.

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Market Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits.
– Albert Einstein

Genius is a rising stock market.
– John Kenneth Galbraith

Any plan conceived in moderation must fail when circumstances are set in extremes.
– Prince Metternich

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Stock Market Strong Start to Jackson Hole Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

The S&P 500 rallied at the open and drifted higher to its 0.87% intraday high during the lunch hour. It then traded in a narrow range to its 0.85% close. The popular press attributes the gain to reduced tensions in Ukraine. It also comes in advance of potential Fed signals in Wednesday’s release of the FOMC minutes for their July meeting and more significantly, from the Fed’s Jackson Hole summit that starts on Thursday. The index is up 6.67% year-to-date and only 0.82% off its record close.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Why Short Stock Traders Are Losing Money This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One thing I have talked about several times which cannot be understated is that is the tendency for investors to believe that complex trading ideas and automated trading systems are better than simple, logical ones.

At first thought this notion is completely understandable. After all, if an idea is fairly simple, how could it possibly be "a secret" and investors not using it yet?

Monday, August 18, 2014

Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Minute Wave [c] now appears to be complete at the top of its trend channel. In Cycle measure, the Minor Wave 1 decline took 60 hours to its 1911.45 low, while Minor Wave 2 has taken 56 (55.9) hours. We’ll have a better indication of the completeness of the retracement after SPX declines beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 1958.72 and the bottom trendline of its trading channel at 1948.00.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Understand and Profit from Surging European Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: With the Ukraine conflict advancing to new and dangerous territory, Russia refuses to take Western sanctions lying down.

Led by autocrat Putin, the former Soviet nation is striking back, and as of mid-day Friday the blows remained primarily economic.

And that's where I want to focus today...

Monday, August 18, 2014

Stock Market New Highs Less Certain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Correction appears to be over.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, August 18, 2014

German Stock Market DAX About To Drop / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Austin_Galt

The German index, the DAX, has been Europe's shining light in recent years. But thats about to change if my analysis is correct. Let's proceed with a top down approach beginning with the yearly chart to put it all in perspective.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Stay on Board - Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Over the past few weeks, geo-political tensions have increased in various parts of the world and we have also experienced a sovereign debt default. Despite these developments, the majority of the stock markets have held up relatively well and so far, we have not witnessed any panic-fueled liquidation of assets.

Although this can change, we are inclined to believe that these 'events' will not derail the primary uptrend in equities; and if anything, changes in the monetary landscape will bring about the next prolonged bear market.

Sunday, August 17, 2014

India BSE SENSEX The Party Is Over In Bombay / Stock-Markets / India

By: Austin_Galt

The Indian stock exchange, the BSE SENSEX, seems relatively neglected compared to its more famous counterparts in the US and UK. But with a country in excess of 1 billion people, I feel it should garner more respect on the world stage. Based in Mumbai, the home town of the great Sachin Tendulkar, this index has smashed it out of the park in recent years. Let's take a look using a bottom up approach beginning with the daily chart.

Sunday, August 17, 2014

HFT Rats Find New Targets Even as They Flee Banks / Stock-Markets / HFT

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Rats are fleeing their listing ships.

Of course, that’s not surprising.

The Financial Times reported yesterday that high-frequency traders are leaving investment banks for hedge funds, prop trading houses and their own startups.

Sunday, August 17, 2014

Stock Market Uptrend Looks Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market opened the week with a gap up to SPX 1945, pulled back to 1928 by tuesday, then gapped up twice more during the week to hit 1964 on friday. Then some geopolitical news spooked the market and it sold off to SPX 1942 before rebounding in the afternoon. For the week the SPX/DOW 0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.40%, and the DJ World index rose 1.65%. On the economic front positive reports were slightly more than negative ones. On the uptick: business inventories, export prices, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, consumer sentiment, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, reports on Housing, Jackson Hole, Wy., and Leading indicators.

Saturday, August 16, 2014

Stock Market Ukraine-Triggered Volatility, But a Flat Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today was a busy one for economic updates: the Producer Price Index, Industrial Production and Consumer Sentiment. But the market was primarily focused on the international scene — most notably the conflict in Ukraine. The S&P 500 rose at the open, hitting its 0.45% intraday high an hour later. The breaking news from Europe then sent the index into a sharp nosedive to its -0.70% intraday low shortly before noon. It slowly slogged its way back to an essentially flat finish, down -0.01% for the day. On a brighter note, the index was up 1.22% for the week.

Saturday, August 16, 2014

Stock Market Gap To Gap...Hit The Top...Reversal....Nothing For Either Side / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market came off the bottom with a series of gap ups as it back tested lost 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages. The big question was would those moving averages get taken back out or would those levels act as a wall of resistance, cascading the market back down once hit. We got through the moving averages, and hit the 197.00 SPY gap. That is where the market rejected the move higher with Ukraine/Russia the catalyst to get things moving back down intraday. At the same time that news came out, we also saw the short-term sixty-minute RSI's hit extreme levels of overbought with some readings as high as 80.