Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
After establishing an all time high on OPEX Friday a week ago the market went into volatility mode this week. Every day we observed the DOW moving triple digits: three down and two up. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.2%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.3%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were skewed to the downside. On the uptick: the FHFA, new home sales and Q2 GDP. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, end of month/quarter, will be highlighted by Friday’s Payrolls report and the PCE and ISM during the week.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Debt and Inflation Consquences of American Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Fear is defined by the ‘online dictionary’ as ‘a distressing emotion aroused by impending danger, evil, pain, etc., whether the threat is real or imagined’. America is in a permanent state of distress. America is in a permanent state of fear. Americans are, or must be, very fearful people. Why else would they surrender all their assets and all their liberties in exchange for some perceived protection?
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Bulls Roar Back... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
That's what a strong GDP can do for you if you're a bull. The market is ultimately always looking to go higher, so if you give it an excuse it usually doesn't have a problem doing so. The bears had their day yesterday with some strong down side action, which carried the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 below their 50-day exponential moving averages. You want to see, if you're a bear, a follow-through the very next day, but it didn't come. The futures were up last night immediately after the close. They built over night and exploded higher after the GDP report came out. After some decline ahead of the open, they ran higher as they day moved along.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
U.S. and Global Confidence are in Divergence - So Are Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
It’s not a secret. Investor sentiment in the U.S. is at very high levels of bullishness and confidence.
However, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research reported this week that its investor confidence index fell from 8.6 in August to 6.9 in September. It has fallen for nine straight months.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Retracement Stronger than Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After the abject failure at the 50-day this morning, I thought that the SPX decline was in the bag. But that was not to be. It turned out that this morning’s ramp was only Micro Wave a. Since then, SPX has done a 61.8% retracement of sub-Minute Wave (i).
Friday, September 26, 2014
Stock Market vs the Developing Bear Market for Liberal Democracy? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
Friday, September 26, 2014
Stock Market Major Selloff Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Since early 2013 the US stock markets have done nothing but rally, levitating thanks to the Fed’s oft-implied backstop. This incredibly unnatural behavior has left sentiment dangerously unbalanced, with hyper-complacency and euphoria running rampant. Only a major selloff can restore normal psychology. And with the Fed’s third quantitative-easing campaign ending, odds are high such a big downside event looms.
Stock markets are forever cyclical. Stock prices don’t move in straight lines forever, they endlessly rise and fall. Great cyclical bulls that earn investors fortunes are followed by brutal cyclical bears that create the best opportunities to buy low again. The perpetual cyclicality of the stock markets reminds me of Mark Twain’s famous weather quip. If you don’t like current stock prices, just wait a spell and they’ll change!
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Friday, September 26, 2014
What Cycles Reveal About Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Harry_Dent
You can’t compare favorable geopolitical cycles (such as the 1983 to 2000) to unfavorable cycles (2001 to 2019). It’s like comparing apples to oranges.
A case in point is comparing demographic and generational boom periods, such as 1983 to 2007 to a down cycle like the one we’re in now which will come to an end in approximately 2020.
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Friday, September 26, 2014
Inflate or Die! When Leverage Fails and Market Hope Turns to Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
In today's TedBits we will be outlining a lot of smoke signals. They signal fires burning and about to break out. As everyone is aware, the Federal Reserve has been tightening monetary policy for almost a year now and has been joined by the Chinese central bank. The Federal Reserve has been reducing its balance sheet expansion from $85 billion a month (85,000 million) to zero in mid-November. While the fed does not characterize it as a tightening, it is one. Numerous studies have put the amount of interest rate reduction to -3 % when QE3 was at full bore. Now that the reduction is approaching zero negative interest rates are ending, they have raised rates by about 3% in real terms. We are Austrians at TedBits and believe in all of the core truths from Ludwig Von Mises:
Read full article... Read full article..."There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." - Ludwig von Mises
Friday, September 26, 2014
Market Forecasts for Stocks, Gold, Silver, Commodities, Financials and Currencies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear reader,
We are thrilled to announce EWI's first-ever Investor Open House!
For one exciting week -- from noon Eastern time Thursday, Sept. 25, to noon Wednesday, Oct. 1 -- EWI has thrown open the doors to ALL of their investor services. And it's free.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
Stock Market Future Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: John_Mauldin
In a conversation this morning, I remarked how rapidly things change. It was less than 20 years ago that cutting-edge tech for listening to music was the cassette tape. We blew right past CDs, and now we all consume music from the cloud on our phones. Boom. Almost overnight.
A lot has changed about the global economy and politics, too. Things that were unthinkable only 10 years ago now seem to be reality. What changes, I wonder, will we be writing about a few years from now that will seem obvious with the advantage of hindsight?
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
It’s The U.S. Dollar, Stupid! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
There are substantial and profound changes developing in the global economy, and in my view we should all pay attention, because everyone will be greatly affected. Some more than others, but still.
‘Metal markets’, be they gold, silver, copper or iron, exhibit distress and uncertainty, prices are falling, or at least seem to be. Partly, that is because of the apparently still ongoing investigation in the Chinese port of Qingdao, through which a $10 billion ‘currency fraud’ is reported today, ostensibly related to the double/triple borrowing that has been exposed, in which the same iron ore and copper shipments were used as collateral multiple times.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
All Major Market Analysis and Forecasts Investor Open House has Started! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: EWI
It's here! For one week only, you have free access to the whole kit 'n' caboodle of investor services from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm. During this week-long event, you'll see their U.S., European and Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Services. Each of these three services comprises two regional publications plus the flagship, big-picture investor publication, The Elliott Wave Theorist, by EWI Founder and President Robert Prechter.
Get complete details and access your Investor Open House now >>
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Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Stock Market Decline Below Wave (iv) Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I may have received my morning wish after all. In the after-hours, SPX continued to decline another 5.30 points to 1977.47 before starting a bounce. Micro Wave v appeared complete at 1983.80, so the additional decline after hours was a corrective Wave b, although it is undetectable in this chart. That leave a Micro wave c left to go back to 1997.03 in the morning. This puts SPX back on the Cycle schedule for its Pivot day tomorrow.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
ASX200 Stocks Index False Break Low? / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
By: Austin_Galt
I don't normally put out a report so soon after an in-depth report as was put out just last weekend but some important price action has taken place that I feel warrants a quick follow up. That is the potential for a false break low setup. Let's have a look.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Stock Market Beyond Belief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week's commentary, Beyond all Doubt, quickly turned to 'beyond belief' as the Dow exceeded its July 16 closing high. The market timing models of George Lindsay don't use the terms bull and bear market and I shouldn't have either. Rather his work speaks in terms of basic advances, basic declines, and basic cycles. Understanding the difference between these concepts was how he was able to make such incredible market calls during his career.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Hedge Funds Surpass 2007 Leverage; New Era of 'Permanent Investigations' Confirms Imminent Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
By Elliott Wave International
Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Stocks Rally Following Janet Yellen's Conference and Scotland's Historic Referendum Result / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
Interest rates can't stay zero forever, but for now it's more of the same.
The Federal Reserve's bond-buying program, enacted to spur growth, will indeed be winding down next month, as expected. But record-low interest rates will stay as they are for a "considerable time," Fed Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen insisted during her Wednesday press conference last week.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Death Knell for the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Submissions
Rick Ackerman writes: When will the bull market end? With money velocity collapsing and ominous divergences developing in both the NYSE Advance/Decline line and the New Highs/New Lows summation, U.S. stocks closed at an all-time high last week. If this were not disconcerting enough, the Hindenburg Omen, which signals an increased probability of a stock market crash, flashed red on Friday. There was also this unequivocal pronouncement from the Elliott Wave Theorist after the Dow Industrials came within a single point last week of fulfilling their long-term rally target at 17280: “Next week, the U.S. stock averages should begin their biggest decline ever.” As for your editor, Rick’s Picks has been drum-rolling a key “Hidden Pivot” target at 2028 in the S&P 500 Index that has been 27 years in coming. On Friday, the index hit a record 2019.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
The Macro View and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
Last week we noted that Uncle Buck would be front and center in the analysis, not because the strength in the (anti-market) currency was not expected (it was), but because our big picture theme of an ongoing economic contraction had remained intact (ref: gold vs. commodities ratio) over the long-term.
It is important here to remember that NFTRH would only be on its big picture macro themes as long as indictors implied they are still viable. I will be damned if I will let us follow a Pied Piper off an ideological cliff, no matter what readers (including me) might want to hear. We must dedicate to know what is happening, not what our hopes, dreams, egos, etc. think or worse, hope will happen.
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