Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Foolish Investment Ideas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
With April Fools' Day behind us, it's time to get serious about investing. Don't be fooled by this week's non-farm payroll report; nor by the assertion that the U.S. may have the cleanest of the dirty shirts. And certainly don't be fooled into thinking the market has your interests in mind...
Foolish to believe the job market drives the stock market?
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Outlook For GOLD, Crude OIL and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
S&P500 broke above 1876 and is now approaching all time highs, so we adjusted the wave count and now looking for a five wave rally in progress from 1833 swing low. At the moment leg still cannot be counted in three waves, so looks like price will stay bullish for the next few sessions and possibly hit 1890/1900 area.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Dow Jones Stocks Index - A Hoax or Not A Hoax, That's the Question / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
After intensive consultation with his advisors, President Obama has decided to modify the formula used for calculating the Dow Jones Index. On January 1, 2015 the Dow Divisor will be changed to 30. The result of this change will be that the Dow Jones Index drops from the current 16532 points to about 85.8 points. The underlying value of the 30 component stocks of course remains unchanged. With this modification to the formula Obama aims to make the large Dow fluctuations of recent decennia a thing of the past, and hopes that this will bring stability to the stock market. Banks, major investors and pension funds welcome this change in the Dow Jones Index formula.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Lindsay Long Cycle Stock Market Low in 2016 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
In his seminal paper An Aid to Timing (published March, 1950) George Lindsay included a representation of all his long cycles from 1798 until 1949. Each long cycle was approximately 20 years in length and can be divided into two multiple cycles. These long cycles are what we refer to today as secular bull and bear markets.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
World Financial InStability - Stock Market Wealthbuilder Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
I came across the inverted pyramid below last year which outlines the “asset backing configuration” between gold, cash and all other financial instruments.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Bubbleberg News Drivel Masquerading as Financial Reporting / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
David A. Stockman writes: One of the evils of massive over-financialization is that it enables Wall Street to scalp vast “rents” from the Main Street economy. These zero sum extractions not only bloat the paper wealth of the 1% but also fund a parasitic bubble finance infrastructure that would largely not exist in a world of free market finance and honest money.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Stock Market Double-Digit Gain or 30% Crash - How to Profit from S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: After a miserable winter of weak economic indicators (which were mostly blamed on the weather), the warmer spring weather will be a godsend for Wall Street. Unless, of course, there’s more holding the U.S. economy back than cold winds and snow.
That riddle will be answered in the coming weeks, but the long-term prognosis for the U.S. economy is a little murkier. While the S&P 500 is trading at record-highs, there is mounting evidence to suggest the U.S. economy could slow down, putting the brakes on the bull market.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Stock Index Trading Strategies and Plan of Attack / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Index ETF Trading Strategies: Stocks have kick started this week with a 0.85% pop in price but the big question is if the market can hold up. Last week stocks repeatedly gap higher and sold off with strong volume telling us that institutions are slowing phasing out of stocks (distribution selling) unloading shares into strength and passing them onto the a average investor to be left holding bag.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Are Bank Stocks Sending an SOS Signal? / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
If you turn on CNBC first thing in the morning, you hear a lot about market indicators. Consumer behavior, GDP numbers, the Fed, interviews with CEOs -- it's all in the mix.
Instead, Steve Hochberg of Elliott Wave International looks at important indicators that mainstream finance often overlooks.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Faked Stock Markets Waiting for the Real Thing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
How can you tell when the markets are FAKED?
I've been telling you for years about the various ways the market is rigged and now Michael Lewis has written a whole book about it called Flash Boys, which was featured last night on 60 Minutes. If you don't have time to read the book – at least PLEASE watch the 60 Minutes video.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high.
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Sunday, March 30, 2014
GOLD, Crude OIL and S&P500 Elliott Wave Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
GOLD have turned bearish last week from 1380-1400 Fibonacci resistance zone and extended losses in this week beneath 1300 psychological level where market could look for some support if we consider five sub-waves down from 1391. We are talking above red wave i)/a) that could be near completion, so traders should be aware of three wave rally back to 1327-1342 region. The RSI is also showing some signs of a divergence. Keep an eye on upper trendline of a current downward channel; a break above it will suggest that three wave rally has began.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market started the week opening higher, but then took on the character that had started on expiration Friday: sell growth stocks after the opening. During the week the market had three gap up openings, no gap downs, and still ended the week lower. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ lost 2.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.8%. Economic reports for the week remained positive. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, FHFA housing prices, consumer confidence/sentiment, durable goods orders, personal income/spending, PCE prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, new/pending home sales and the M1-multiplier. Next week we get a look at the monthly Payrolls, ISM and Auto sales. Best to your week!
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Fed Hammers Home A Message....Rates Will Not Rise....Nas/Froth Nasty.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Hammer time. Ugly, ugly candlestick on the Nasdaq today off the highs. It tried to back test the broken 50-day exponential moving average, but couldn't make it stick. Sellers came in hard at that point. A back test and true failure, but for now you can't be bearish, because the S&P 500 and Dow remain bullish on price for reasons that are hard to explain.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Stock Market Negative Close to a Volatile Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Friday morning was loaded with economic news. We learned that Personal Income and Spending were both up 0.3% in February, although my preferred spending metric, Real Disposable Income Per Capita, has essentially been flat for the past seven months. The Core PCE Price index shows inflation at about half what the Fed wants. The March Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index at 80.0 was down from February’s 81.6.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Why Mutual Fund Managers Cannot Protect Investors In Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Over my 27 years in the business, I often discuss bull and bear markets with investors. A couple of popular beliefs frequently surprise me.
The first is that bear markets are rare events. Investors are still surprised, some even shocked, that two bear markets, 2000-2003 and 2007-2009, took place within a nine-year period. Yet there have been 25 bear markets over the last 113 years, or one on average of every 4.5 years.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Friday Fake Stock Market Rally – Wnat Are People So Happy About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
As I walk on through this wicked world,
Searching for light in the darkness of insanity,
I ask myself, Is all hope lost?
Is there only pain, and hatred, and misery? – Elvis and Lowe
Once again the Futures are up in the morning and once again we have to wonder why?
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Stocks and Gold Simply Cannot Get it Up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX made a sideways consolidation and closed beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline today. It may pop briefly above it in the morning, but this is a good sign that the decline is gathering momentum to the downside.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
The Next Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Investors dodged another bullet recently as geopolitical instability temporarily subsided after Russia's annexation of Crimea. Although U.S. equities have experienced an internal correction since then, most of the damage has been relegated to over-extended tech stocks that were in need of a pullback.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Covered Calls / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
The strategy I’m writing about today is one of my favorite, guaranteed moneymakers. These are trades we can all easily make, requiring no capital outlay and guaranteed to make a profit or you don’t make them. What’s the catch? We might occasionally find ourselves lamenting how much more money we might have made.
Experienced investors have likely figured out that I’m talking about a stock option called a “covered call.” Buying options is for speculators, and that’s not what I’m talking about today. I want to show you the one and only option trade that meets my stringent criteria for comfort.
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