Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 13, 2014
Biggest Bubble Ever Marks 5th Year of Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dallas Fed president: Asset-price bubble "may result in tears" for investors
Editor's note: You will find a text version of this story below the video.
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Thursday, March 13, 2014
QE Stimulus Bubble will Burst / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: John_Mauldin
Seth Klarman: Investors Downplaying Risk “Never Turns Out Well”
Today’s Outside the Box is unusual in that it isn’t an original document but rather a summary of a client letter from one of the greatest investors of our generation, Seth Klarman, who is also one of the more reclusive – he rarely speaks in public or grants interviews. He is known for his very deep value investing style and willingness to pursue value where others get very nervous.
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Thursday, March 13, 2014
Stocks Bears Try....Bears Fail....For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
That's what you have to say for now, simply because there is still hope for them based on sentiment, which I'll talk about later. The bears created a solid reversal down yesterday. The key would be whether they could follow up the reversal lower with a large gap down today that runs lower in to the close. They accomplished step one with a strong, nearly ten handle S&P 500 gap down. They almost succeeded with step two as once we gapped lower we ran hard to the down side. Step three, however, the most important step, they could not pull off. They needed a large gap that closed at or near the lows. That just did not take place.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2014
Three Stocks for Celebrating the Bull Market’s Fifth Anniversary / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: Normally, an anniversary is worth celebrating. But with the S&P 500 having recently celebrated the fifth anniversary of its bull market run, there are many economic reasons to question its longevity. Considering the economic data of the last five years, it may make more sense to question how the bull market ever got to this point.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2014
Copper and China Stocks Credit Wobbles is a Worry / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
By: readtheticker
China credit issues are about to jump from the back page of the WSJ to the front page, you can expect these charts to change as the Chinese credit shakes get more violent.
As it looks like the Chinese will NOT be bailing out everything that goes bust, ZeroHedge have been covering this story.
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Tuesday, March 11, 2014
Stock Market SPX Pop-N-Drop Appears Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After a flat overnight market, the SPX is bid higher in the Pre-market. It appears that a Minor C or Minute Wave [c] is in progress, with Waves 1-2-3-4 complete. My Model suggests resistance at 1880.63, so we could see a challenge of that before the final probe is over. The outer limit, if my analysis is correct, is 1883.00, which appears to be a very close call to the top made last Friday morning.
Tuesday, March 11, 2014
Stock Market Crash Five-Year Anniversary Has Investors Worried / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Tara Clarke writes: The stock market crash this week that occurred five years ago this Sunday marks a solemn anniversary for U.S. stock markets.
Subprime financial crisis-related events would ultimately become responsible for five out of the top ten biggest single-day Dow Jones Industrial Average stock market crashes, including the top two spots.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Intense Wall Street Battle About To Give Main Street Investor’s A Rude Awakening / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: So far today U.S. stocks aren’t celebrating the 5-year anniversary of the bull market, which technically-speaking began on March 9, 2009.
Will they rally by the end of the day, in a formal salute to moving onward and upwards?
If not today, then how about tomorrow, or the next day, or the next day?
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I just came back from juror orientation and will be on call the rest of this week. I will let you know when I get called later this week.
The NYHL broke down beneath its prior low and beneath mid-Cycle support at 194.91. This gives us a tentative sell signal, since we must see whether the signal remains at the close.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Stock Markets Short-Term Uncertainty As Indexes Fluctuate Near Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, March 10, 2014
Disinformation War Still Dominates Stock Markets - Charts to watch / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Bulls--t and criminality back in 1970 was much the same as bulls--t and criminality now.January 2014 marked the 44th anniversary of one of the biggest mistakes of my life. Back in January 1970, I was young and inexperienced as to how stock markets functioned and balked at selling on the huge profit I was making at the time. The Australian speculative boom in nickel stocks was peaking and everyone around me was saying it was going to last forever. Even the solicitor I was using at the time told me to hold on, while unbeknown to me, he was actually dumping huge quantities of one of the stocks I was holding. This was in the middle of a huge feeding frenzy of disinformation that makes up a large part of every bull trap that has ever existed. But then as now the market tone was and is changing, from one where greed and overoptimism dominate, to one where fear again regains ascendance. Bull traps have forever been defined in these terms.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started with Russia flexing its military muscle in the Ukraine, and the market sold off to SPX 1834 by Monday noon. After the event was temporarily neutralized the market recovered, and made all time new highs every day thereafter. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.90%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.45, and the DJ World index rose 0.40%. Economic reports for the week finally turned positive, with positive reports outpacing negatives ones 10 to 7. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the MIS, monetary base, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: monthly auto sales, the ADP, ISM services, factory orders, consumer credit, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit nudged higher. Next week we have Retail sales, Business/Wholesale inventories and the PPI.
Monday, March 10, 2014
Stock Market Indicators Increase Their Warning Of A Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - New uptrend still in doubt.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 09, 2014
Stocks Bull Market 5th Year Anniversary Grinding Towards Another New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the most hated stocks bull markets in history has passed its fifth year milestone with the DJIA last closing at 16,453, less than 1% away from its all time closing high of 16,577. This now five year long bull market that I termed as a stocks stealth bull market for much of its life-time has remained mostly invisible to the mass of retail investors who followed the approx 95% of that which purports to be market commentators but in reality are just journalists regurgitating ad nauseam the ramblings of clueless academics and a financial sales industry that is mostly populated by failed traders who have turned to selling services and products that never worked in the first place to trader and investor wannabe's, tools and services that are guaranteed to fail due to the fact their primary purpose is to perpetuate sales when the real secrets for successful trading are diametrically opposed to that which most are exposed to as illustrated below.
Sunday, March 09, 2014
Gold, Commodities and Stock Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Trying to predict short term direction is notoriously difficult, especially in the volatile metals market, but I'm going to take a stab at it today.
First off let me start with the big picture: For almost a year now I've been saying that the inflation that's been stored in the stock market for the last three years is eventually going to start leaking into the commodity markets. You can see in the next chart that process has begun as smart money investors begin to move capital out of an overvalued and overextended stock market that is destined to top some time during the first half of this year, and into undervalued commodity markets where they are getting a better return on their investment.
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Sunday, March 09, 2014
Stock Market Squeaks Out Another Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the headline Nonfarm Jobs in the February employment report came in better than expected. The S&P 500 rallied briefly at the open, hitting its all-time intraday high, up a modest 0.35%, in the first five minutes of trading. The index then retreated to its similarly modest -0.34% intraday low in the late morning. It spent the rest of the day in a fairly narrow trading range and managed to rise above yesterday’s close in the final minutes to squeak out another record high, up 0.05%. The 500 rose an even one percent for the week.
Saturday, March 08, 2014
Safe Havens Are Trouncing Stocks So Far This Year / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Investors are going crazy for stocks, piling into individual stocks and equity mutual funds at a near record pace. Investor sentiment polls confirm the high level of bullishness. Margin debt is at record highs. Brokerage firms and polls of investor groups show individual investors have unusually high portfolio allocations skewed to stocks and away from bonds and cash.
Saturday, March 08, 2014
Intensifying Currency War Investor Consequences / Stock-Markets / Currency War
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“When the dollar collapse comes, it will happen in two ways: gradually then suddenly. That formula, famously used by Hemingway to describe how one goes bankrupt, is an apt description of critical state dynamics in complex systems. The gradual part is a snowflake disturbing a small patch of snow, while the sudden part is the avalanche. The snowflake is random yet the avalanche is inevitable. Both ideas are easy to grasp. What is difficult to grasp is the critical state of the system in which the random event occurs.”Jim Rickards, Currency Wars
Saturday, March 08, 2014
How the Ukraine/Russia Situation Is Misleading Stock Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Sometimes, what seems obvious on the surface isn’t necessarily the best way of looking at a situation. The recent crisis between Ukraine and Russia is a perfect example.
A very basic fundamental analysis of the situation would lead one to conclude that if hostilities were to break out, one of the results would be a disruption to the oil and natural gas supplied to Europe. This makes sense, since many pipelines and oil/gas fields are located in Ukraine and Russia.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Proof Your Money Is not Safe In Europe, Or Anywhere / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Jeff_Berwick
As I write this, the European Union has just announced a possible $15b aid package to the Ukraine (including 8 billion euros in fresh credit). Everybody has read the headlines about Europe: record unemployment, no end in sight, and so on. So you might be wondering just where the European Union, and its' constituent nations, scrapped together the money to propose aid for the Ukraine. Well, wonder no more, because the following eight events might give you an idea of where governments go to get a little extra cash.
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