Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 03, 2014
The S&P500, Dow and Nasdaq Since Their 2000 Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Here is a update in response to a standing request from David England, a retired professor now actively educating investors through his Trader’s Eye website. In his presentations, he likes to disprove the standard message of Wall Street, “Don’t worry! The market will always come back.” I furnished David with some charts, and I now share them with regular visitors to my Advisor Perspectives pages.
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Sunday, March 02, 2014
Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
-- VIX closed below its cluster of weekly Model supports after challenging weekly mid-Cycle resistance at 15.63. VIX did not make new lows this week, a non-confirmation of the SPX rally attempts.
SPX is repelled by Cycle Top resistance.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The S&P 500 Index is most likely to be in a topping pattern with an upside bias that lasts for at least another 18 months. This provocative thought is based upon the collective technical analysis of the S&P charts at different time frames (Daily, weekly and monthly), alongside the Elliott Wave count. There has been a comparison to 1987 and more recently, 1929 analog charts that suggest a very sharp decline in the broad stock market indices.
The chances of such a sharp decline occurring before 18 months (end of June 2015) is slim and more probable to occur at some point in September 2015. This time frame is based upon Elliott Wave analysis time considerations between wave structures from inter-market analysis. One of the main reasons that I examine gold, US Dollar, 3 currencies, oil, natural gas, AMEX Gold BUGS Index, AMEX Oil Index, S&P 500 Index, 10 Year US Treasury Index, Toronto Stock Exchange, Euro 350 iShares, Nikkei along with various exchange traded funds is to try and view the total picture of the landscape to see how everything is inter-related.
Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stocks Bull Market New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The market opened the week with a rally to new highs by noon Monday. After that it tested and retested the 1841 pivot four times, day traders delight, with the last test Thursday morning. Then the market hit an even higher high on Friday, before again selling off again. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.30%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.00%, and the DJ World index was +1.00%. Economic reports for the week were again slightly biased negatively, for the fourth week in a row. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA index, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, and consumer sentiment. On the downtick: consumer confidence, durable goods orders, Q4 GDP, median new home prices, the WLEI (4th week in a row), the M-1 multiplier and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week we get reports on the ISM, the FED’s beige book and monthly Payrolls.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Another Stock Market Record High With Some Afternoon Drama / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the US market opened, the Second Estimate of Q4 GDP showed slower growth than previously reported. But the market wasn’t fazed. The S&P 500 rallied for the first hour, assisted by an improvement in Michigan Consumer Sentiment. The index hit is 0.74% intraday high in the early afternoon. However, shortly before 2 PM it began a sudden and fairly dramatic selloff to its -0.36% intraday low — a move that roughly coincided with news of Russian military action in the Ukrainian crisis. The selloff reversed in the final hour, and the index closed with a trimmed gain of 0.28%, setting another record high.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Stocks Unconvincing Despite New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high Friday, but again it was another stumbling, directionless performance. Markets opened higher, perhaps relieved that Q4 GDP was not much worse than forecasts, but then declined on news of heightened tensions in Ukraine. Gains were recovered into the close on late buying as investors realized that despite social media hysteria, a world war is not imminent.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 01, 2014
The Deadly Economic Undercurrent of Deflation / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Despite the overall positive state of U.S. equities and the improvements in the retail economy, the stealth enemy known as deflation is still lurking in the shadows.
Consider the following graph of real disposable income, courtesy of Zerohedge.com. This shows the true underlying state of the real economy and is a testament to the continued presence of deflation.
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Essential Investor Knowledge for Maximizing Real Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
“Noted investor Jim Rogers says outgoing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has set the stage for the collapse of the U.S. central bank within the next decade, and had turned the nation’s fiscal balance sheet into ‘garbage.’
“In a recent interview with the British financial website Mineweb, Rogers said Bernanke and his fellow central bankers in other countries have brought the global economy to the brink of disaster….
“Rogers predicted that history will remember Bernanke as ‘the guy who set the stage for the demise of the central bank in America.’
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Stocks at New Highs, But Keep the Champagne on Ice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high on Thursday, but the mood is far from celebratory. The index has made modest gains this year, a far cry from the fearless risk appetite one would expect to be associated with all-time highs. Instead, nervousness is prevailing over markets, with the S&P 500 closing at these lofty levels after several days of directionless trading.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
German DAX: Correcting Within Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Germany
We have seen some risk-off moves on European markets with the Dax falling more than 100 points on the day down to 9500 where recent support was found. From an Elliott Wave perspective we see the Dax in an expanded flat correction with wave (c) now underway down to 9430-9470 support area. Wave (c) also needs to be made by five subdivisions so looks like there is room for more weakness before corrective pullback can be finished.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Where’s the Stock Market New All-Time High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Courtesy of Doug Short: Once again the S&P 500 spent a good part of the day slightly above its all-time closing high of January 15th, and once again it disappointed hopeful market watchers eager for that new high. The index opened in the green, sold into the shallow red, and then rallied to its 0.41% intraday high on the better-than-expected new home sales. It then lost traction and sold off to its -0.24% mid-afternoon intraday low. Ninety minutes later the index closed essentially at the flatline (at three decimal places was a gain of 0.002%).
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Stock Market Strike Three-You're Out!......Well, Maybe...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Three consecutive days have come and gone, with each day testing above 1850 on the S&P 500 intraday. Each day the S&P 500 failed to complete the breakout. Normally, when a key index fails for three straight days the bulls give up for a while, allowing the bears to do some damage for the very short-term. I said normally. And this should be one of those normal times, but this market has been stubborn to fall, even when it's obvious that it should. That said, I would expect some selling here, but how much is difficult to know. It could be all the way down to key support approximately at 1800, or it could stay above that. It's very unclear, and we all know by now that anything between 1800 and 1850 on the S&P 500 is nothing but emotional noise.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Stock Market Ghosts of Bubbles Past / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The New Homes Sales number came in much higher than expected this morning, and so stocks reversed from their initial slump. They rose to challenge the overhead resistance once again, only to fall back down in the afternoon.
Rinse, wash, repeat.
Wednesday, February 26, 2014
The Coming Global Monetary Reset / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
The Opposite of Emerging is Submerging
Lulled and distracted by the antics of developed country central banks – and emerging economy central banks – to constantly “pump up the jam” and flood the economy with paper chips from either Fort Knox or Mount Gox, the tectonic shift of the global economy since 2008 has been ignored. It is taken as “normal” that deflation or disinflation is operating in the developed economies, but riproaring inflation now operates in the emerging economies. Supposedly, this is Muddle Through but since 2008 the North-South paradigm has dissolved – the developed OECD economies are locked in a death embrace with the Emerging economies. The developed economies export monetary inflation and import cheap industrial goods, services and resources.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
What’s Happening in the Stock Market Today Reminds Me of 1999… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
What year is this—1999?
Some of you might have been active investors in the bull market during the late 90s, as I was, witnessing the S&P 500 soar during that decade. In fact, the bull market was so strong back then that it created a false sense of confidence, as many people quit their regular jobs to become traders. As we all know, this didn’t last forever and the S&P 500 bull market popped and sold off sharply.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Prepare for the Biggest Financial Catastrophe Since Founding of the U.S. Republic / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The stock market's current big picture price pattern has never before been seen in 300 years of stock market history. Learn why you need to prepare to batten down the hatches.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Top 10 Signs That Reveal Mounting Panic In The World Banking System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
Dear Depositor:
We don’t want to cause you unnecessary stress or worry, but it might be prudent to pay attention to a series of unusual news reports recently emanating from the banking world. Viewed independently, each event might be rather insignificant.
However, when examined collectively, these events paint a very dire warning for the safety of bank deposits everywhere. Naturally, most all of these have received little to no coverage by the mainstream media. That is to be expected.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Bernanke’s Legacy - Good for Bankers, Bad for Anyone Who Wants to Retire / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
"Mr. Bernanke, on the way out, don't let the door hit ya, where the good Lord split ya!" That's what I've imagined my former coworker Charley—a brilliant Alabamian who was proud to be called a redneck—might have said as the former Fed chairman stepped down.
In case you missed it, here's Bernanke's highlight reel:
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
How to Profit from the Yellen Fed / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
Janet Yellen might have the most powerful job in the world, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) she now chairs controls what may be the world’s most powerful printing press. We take a closer look at what her reign might mean for investors’ portfolios.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Fed Still Pumping, But FDI Goes Negative? Stock Market M Tops / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Bear Stearn, Lehman Level Foreign Flows
If you are traveling at 100 mph and you abruptly hit the car breaks, as a passenger it can cause serious consequences. If the car is then suddenly slammed into a reverse direction, a fatality may often the likely outcome. Similarly, with FDI (Foreign Direct Invest) not only dramatically slowing but also being slammed into a negative direction, we might expect major consequences! However, true to form our Keynesian government economist and the compliant media report this by saying it is a short term anomaly. Tell this to the passengers!
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