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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Returning U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500 Relationship / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Donald_W_Dony

During the 1980s and 1990s, the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500 moved in near parallel trends. This relationship was particularly close from 1995 to 2000. This five year stretch produced some of the highest performance from both securities. Yet when the dollar started to fall in 2002 that relationship was broken until 2009.

Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, the US$ and the U.S. index steadily advanced together. However, this 20-year period represented a challenging time for commodities as a higher dollar forces natural resource prices lower.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Dramatic Shifts in Stock Market Equity Fund Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Richard_Shaw

We’ve been tracking the differential flows between US domestic and international or global equity mutual funds since 2002 with Investment Company Institute Data. The shifts since the 2008 crash have been dramatic, as shown in this chart:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

The Danger of Gold and Stock Market Investors Ignoring Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

The cyclical recovery that began in March 2009 has been impressive but is getting long in the tooth. Investors wonder when it will end, and while this can’t be known with precision there are signs that its terminus isn’t far away.

One sign this bull is getting old can be seen in Wall Street’s attitude toward practitioners of technical analysis. Market technicians have never been highly respected on Wall Street and are usually accorded only second-class status in the research departments of large institutions. About the only time technical analysts are given a hearing is in bear markets when the fundamentals stop working and everyone wants to know what’s going on with the market. In desperation they turn to the despised technicians because they are the only ones properly equipped to navigate the treacherous waters of a cascading stock market. As my mentor the late Bud Kress used to say, “In a bear market everyone becomes a closet technician.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 22, 2013

Waiting for the Stock Market SPX to Break Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 21, 2013

United States Decaying From Within! Stocks, Gold and Dollar Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Robert_M_Williams

No one seemed to notice or care that on June 28, 2012 the City of Stockton, California filed a petition for chapter 9 bankruptcy protection with the United States Bankruptcy Court, Eastern District of California, Sacramento, Case No. 2012-32118. On Monday, April 1, 2013, a federal judge ruled that Stockton was eligible for bankruptcy protection, over the objection of creditors who argued the city could come up with more money. U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Christopher Klein said Stockton can move forward with a plan to reorganize debt. He twice stated that the creditors had acted in bad faith and had refused to pay their share of the costs for negotiations.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Stock Market Long View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyWealth

Fear has returned to the market. On Monday, stocks suffered their biggest one-day drop since November. Volatility spiked.

At a time like this, the average investor needs to take a breath, calm down, and consider the "long view" on what's happening...

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

What European Stock Markets Telling Us About the State of the Eurozone Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

If you happened to simply glance over the headlines in the financial media over the last few months, you’d think the European Crisis was over.

In November, no less than France’s Prime Minister, Spain’s Prime Minister, and even Germany’s Finance Minister suggested that the worst is over for the Euro Crisis or that the Crisis as a whole was over completely.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Argentina is a Ph.D. in Monetary Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation

By: Bill_Bonner

Stocks down again yesterday. The Dow slipping 139 points. Gold down slightly.

Gold has fallen so hard so fast we can't help but feel sorry for the losers. But who were they? Estimates of the total loss go upward from $1 trillion. Who has that kind of money to lose?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Stock Market Some Unwinding...Earnings Poor....Caution The Word.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

This was a week for the bears. They were able to take all of the key index charts and bring them down with a little bit of force. The indexes were down roughly 2.5% on average, somewhere between 2% and 3.5% depending on where you look. The market had grinded for many weeks and then a few days came with some decent selling which basically took out the gains from those previous weeks. When market fall they usually fall pretty fast and can remove many weeks of prior gains in a very short time span. Today was maybe the most interesting day of the week in that the market was bifurcated in reverse from what we're used to seeing. The market has been better for the bulls the past few months when they concentrated their efforts on the Dow and S&P 500 stocks but especially the Dow stocks. Lower P/E and lower beta stocks with dividends have led the way.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Mammoth Market Forces Prospects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“[O]n Friday, April 12, the Fed’s agents hit the market with 500 tons of naked shorts. Normally, a short is when an investor thinks the price of a stock or commodity is going to fall. He wants to sell the item in advance of the fall, pocket the money, and then buy the item back after it falls in price, thus making money on the short sale. …

 

“…with naked shorts, no physical metal is actually sold…

 

Consider the 500 tons of paper gold sold on Friday. Begin with the question, how many ounces is 500 tons? There are 2,000 pounds to one ton. 500 tons equal 1,000,000 pounds. There are 16 ounces to one pound, which comes to 16 million ounces of short sales on Friday.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Ominous Stock Market Warning Signs - Sell in May and Go Away / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Sy_Harding

As the potential Sell in May and Go Away influence approaches, problems for the stock market are stacking up from both the fundamental and technical sides.

On the fundamental side;

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 19, 2013

Simple Strategy for Outperforming Hedge Funds / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: There’s often a debate among Main Street investors that institutional investors—more specifically, hedge funds—can provide better returns compared to managing the money by themselves. The main reason for this is that institutional investors have resources: for example, access to data, the ability to perform in-depth analysis, and so on and so forth.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 19, 2013

Can Stock Market Continue to Rally Without the U.S. Economy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: We haven't stepped into the Twilight Zone, but it certainly seems that way when stocks are hitting historic highs yet the economy is still so weak that the Federal Reserve is printing money like a Third World nation.

It has the makings of a great prize fight between the largest market in the world and the largest economy in the world.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 19, 2013

Stock Market in Correction Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Puru_Saxena

According to our methodology, Wall Street is currently in ‘correction mode’ and additional near-term selling pressure cannot be ruled out.  At this stage, nobody can predict the duration or depth of the ongoing stock market correction.  However, until a new uptrend emerges, caution is warranted and investors should not allocate fresh capital to common stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 18, 2013

German Stock Market Just Took Out Its Economic Recovery Trendline / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Graham_Summers

More signs of trouble.

We’ve been told countless times that Europe was “fixed.” The problem with this is that the market is beginning to realize this is not true.

Much of the European recovery counts on Germany. The ECB owns the printing presses… but without Germany’s support, the Euro is done for.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Why Plunging Commodity Prices Are Great for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mitchell Clark writes: The big drop in the value of many commodities is very good news for this stock market.
All of a sudden, raw materials are cheaper in price. This is going to translate right to the bottom line of many corporations.

And one of the best developments is the weaker price of oil. Big oil stocks have done consistently well in the stock market, but smaller corporations have struggled due to the fact that the spot price has not been able to move much past the $95.00-per-barrel level. Now that spot oil is below $90.00 a barrel, transportation stocks are really going to benefit.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Euro Currency XEU Ready to Flash Crash Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

XEU has crossed the lower trendline of its Broadening Wedge, potentially triggering its own Flash Crash scenario.  The only support holding it is the Intermediate-term support at 129.92.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

The Next Great War and the 24-Year Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

The threat of war against the United States is making headlines and roiling investors' nerves. While full-scale war is likely not imminent, it's something worth considering in light of where we stand in the long-term War Cycle.

North Korea has stolen the geopolitical spotlight in recent weeks after making military threats against both the U.S. and South Korea. North Korea is the target of UN sanctions in response to a nuclear weapons test performed by the country in February. In reference to the test a spokesman for North Korea's Foreign Ministry declared the nation has a right to initiate "a preemptive nuclear attack to destroy the strongholds of the aggressors."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Stock Market Enters Flash Crash Territory / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX just declined through Intermediate-term support this morning, raising the probability of a Flash Crash to 50% or more, IMO. The chances rise to 90% when SPX falls through its 50-day moving average at 1541.42 and the lower trendline of its Broadening Top at 1535.00.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Hindenberg Omen For Gold, Death Bell For Overpriced Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andrew_McKillop

The Omen, largely based on Norman G. Fosback's High Low Logic Index is rarely applied by analysts to commodities, but applying the Omen's method to equities, bonds and other assets can identify probable future violent downward price movement affecting all markets. Basically, the method sets out to identify if markets are undergoing a period of extreme divergence — many assets at new highs and many at new lows. When this happens, pricing is evidently haywire or "stochastic-oriented", and this divergence is very rarely conducive to future rising prices. Conversely, a healthy market needs a semblance of internal coherence and uniformity whether the uniformity is down tilted, toward declining prices, or the opposite.

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