Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Valuation - Hear the Bear Growl? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: LewRockwell
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[S]tock prices have risen pretty robustly. But I think that if you look at traditional valuation measures, the kind of things that we monitor, akin to price-equity ratios, you would not see stock prices in territory that suggests bubble-like conditions.
- Janet Yellen, responding to a question in November’s nomination hearing
Monday, January 13, 2014
U.S. Stocks Bull Market Peak, New Bear Market At Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Hampson
First, a compilation of indicators and flags warning of a major market top in US equities:
Bull Market History Statistics
Dow is up more than 5% five consecutive years now and a sixth such year has not happened before in history.
A 5-year bull trend only occurred once before, in the 1990s, and was followed by 3 down years.
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Monday, January 13, 2014
How to Play Stock Market Seasonal Anomalies for Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: As all investors know, no two equities march to the same drum. This would then mean that, technically, it should be impossible to predict future returns based on readily available information. However, this might not be entirely true, as it turns out there may be something to be said for some seasonal investing patterns after all.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Stock Market Looking for Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Last week was a mixed bag for the eight world indexes in my international focus group. The first-of-year selling last week continued for three of the four Asia-Pacific contingent, with the Japan’s Nikkei and China’s Shanghai posting sharp losses. That’s a reversal for the Nikkei, but more of the same for the chronically slumping Shanghai. The US and European indexes, along with Hong Kong, posted small gains. All it took was a modest 0.60% for the S&P 500 to be the top performer.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Warnings of Impending Stock Market Top Suggest Decline into end February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
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Sunday, January 12, 2014
Slow Start for Stocks 2014 - An Asset Manager`s Dilemma / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EconMatters
The New Year has started and if you hadn`t noticed nobody is rushing in to buy everything that isn`t nailed down like last year where asset managers couldn`t wait from day 1 of 2013 to buy as much as possible.
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
I have told my students and mentoring clients that they are going to get a great lesson in the trading relevance of Dow Theory and technical analysis in the very near future.
For the last 10 trading days (two calendar weeks) the Dow Industrials have been trapped in a tight trading range. In Dow Theory parlance this is called a “line”. The longer this line progresses the more technically significant the breakout trend will be for savvy traders to exploit.
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Sunday, January 12, 2014
Stock Market Report - BRK Vs SPX (Where Buffett goes so does the SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
The title says it all.
I am not sure who leads who but the one thing I want to point out is that BRK is basically the SPX, well it has been from the 2009 lows.
If you overlay both markets you can clearly see that.
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Choppy Start to New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a choppy week. After Monday’s SPX 1824 low we counted seven small waves between SPX 1830 and 1843. Net progress for the week was mixed in the SPX/DOW, the NDX/NAZ was +0.85%, and the DJ World index gained 0.6%. On the economic front positive reports remained in control. On the uptick: factory orders, the ADP index, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, long term investor Sentiment; plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit, monthly payrolls, and the monetary base. Next week lots of economic data, highlighted by the FED’s beige book, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production. Best to your week!
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Poor Jobs.... Intense Complacency... Stock Market Holding Of Course.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
So naturally the market did well Friday, with the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) actually closing a few pennies above 184.00, although, by no means, far enough to call it a breakout. The Jobs Report was a true disaster, There were 74,000 jobs created versus the 200,000 those geniuses said it would be today. Only a 126,000 miss. So you would think the market would go away. You would think so anyway! It was not to be as there were periods of decent selling today, down near the breakdown level of 182.90 on the SPY. But each attempt was somehow bought up, allowing the SPY to close on the breakout at 184.00 (184.14). You really have to wonder what's going on here.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Rises After a Confusing U.S. Employment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The much anticipated December Employment Report was a bizarre mixed bag — weak job creation but a surprising decline in unemployment. Treasuries rallied in no uncertain terms. The yield on the 10-year note dropped nine bps to close at 2.88%. The S&P 500 was a bit more ambivalent in its reaction. The index hit its 0.27% intraday high a few seconds after the open and sold off to its -0.31% intraday low two hours later. It recovered to the flatline during the noon hour, and, after two hours of uncertainty, got a 3PM buy signal. The index closed with a 0.23% gain for the day and a 0.60% gain for the week.
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Diamond is Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Diamond Formation is back, which is really quite exciting. You can see that the SPX closed right at its hourly Cycle Top as well as the down-slope trendline of the Diamond with all momentum oscillators overbought.
It has been a long time since I have reported on a Diamond Formation. A downside break gives a very high probability 20-21% decline with 95% of those declines meeting or exceeding their targets. That could put the SPX under 1500.00 for this formation.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
U.S. Jobs Report Rained On New Fed Chair Yellen’s Honeymoon Period / Stock-Markets / Employment
By: Sy_Harding
Once again, the Labor Department’s monthly employment report lived up to its reputation of providing a surprise in one direction or the other.
The economy created only 74,000 new jobs in December compared to the consensus forecast for 200,000.
No one saw that coming, and the bull/bear debates over what it means have begun.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Jobs Shock, the Walking Dead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
The Jobs number sucked out loud this morning, as the economy added a meager 74,000 jobs, compared to an expected number of 197,000. That's a swing and a miss. Both hourly earnings and average workweek missed as well. Today's box scores are included below.
The good news was that the unemployment percentage dropped hard from 7.0% to 6.7%. Huzzah! Stocks rally back, and the VIX plummets.
Friday, January 10, 2014
Huge Miss on U.S. Non Farm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The December Department of Labor Monthly Payroll report showed a huge miss with only 74,000 new hires in the month of December. Perversely, the unemployment rate declined from 7.0% to 6.7% due to the cessation of extended benefits for 1.6 million people.
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Historic Stock Market Optimism 2014 - What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
How do you know when the market is getting ready
for a change? This quote from Bob Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer
the Crash, looks at investor psychology at extremes in the markets:
The engine of high stock market valuation is widely shared optimism. The greater the degree of the advance that is ending, the greater the optimism at its peak. Optimism also tends to remain strong in the early stages of a bear market ...Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 10, 2014
Surprising Hedge Fund Plays of 2014 - Bitcoins and China / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
A number of hedge fund managers have already begun to make waves at the start of the New Year. In this commentary we’ll look at a couple of areas where hedge funds have taken big stakes and which could have major repercussions in the year ahead.The first surprising hedge fund play of 2014 has emerged not in an established stock or commodity, but in the emerging digital payment platform known as Bitcoin. While purists insist it is neither a currency nor a commodity, there’s no denying the growing popularity of Bitcoin. The digital unit of stored value is attracting more and more interest from a wide array of individuals seeking an alternative to fiat currencies. Now it seems that even major financial institutions are set to enter the fray.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
The Great Rotation - Why It's Time to Buy the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Calling what we're experiencing a bull market is like calling the Grand Canyon a ditch.
First of all, this rally - the one that sprung us from the depths of the Great Recession, and has pushed the S&P 500 170% above its 2009 low - has largely regained lost ground. This historic "rally" has taken the bellwether index just 265 points beyond its October 2007 peak.
In other words, 153 percentage points of the rally since 2009 were necessary just to get us back to 2007.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
Stock Market Fourth Loss in Five Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, we were treated to the ADP report claiming a better-than-expected 238K nonfarm private jobs growth in December. Would this be another “good news is bad news” number for the market? Indeed the S&P 500 sold off to its -0.35% intraday low in the first 20 minutes of trading. But it then reconsidered and rallied to its 0.12% intraday high 45 minutes later. In yesterday’s snapshot I speculated that the Fed minutes were unlikely to hold any major surprises since the initial taper plans had already been announced. The inevitable knee-jerk reaction at 2PM was short-lived. The moderate selling over the next 90 minutes reversed in the final 30. At the closing bell, the index posted its fourth loss in the first five sessions of 2014, but it was a mere -0.02%.
Wednesday, January 08, 2014
The Invisible Power Behind the World's Best Stock Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: Over the years, I've explained a lot of Wall Street's "secrets"...
I've explained how discounted bonds are sometimes vastly better investments than stocks. I've covered how selling naked puts is almost always safer and more profitable than buying stocks outright.
These concepts (and others) are critical to active investors. They all play a role in giving you the tools you need to increase your returns. You ought to know all about them and be able to use them tactically to take advantage of opportunities in the market.
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