Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, July 21, 2012
Stock Market Trend Forecast, Put Your Seatbelts On, It’s About To Get Bumpy! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was just about a year ago today when the S&P was sitting at fresh highs and everyone was enjoying a rather upbeat summer. It was a nice summer, the markets were calm, and there was a surreal sense of optimism. Then, in the matter of a few days, things got real ugly, real quickly.
Well, it doesn’t seem like too much has changed since then. We’ve had mixed earnings reports, ever-evolving worries in Europe, and the always looming fiscal mess in the U.S. Once again, are we in the calm before the storm?
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Saturday, July 21, 2012
Spain and CMG... Stock Market Smacked Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Sometimes there's an event that takes place to hit the markets in a negative fashion. Sometimes there are multiple things that occur that can bring a market lower. We saw it today in the form of earnings, the markets number one focus these days, and from news in Spain regarding more bailout talks and defaults. None of it is very good news, and thus, the market had a very bad day today. No fun.
Saturday, July 21, 2012
Stock Market Seasonality Mid-Year Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Even with the S&P 500 up a whopping 107% in the bull market that began three years ago, investors were still pulling their money out of stocks and mutual funds in the first half of 2012, and pouring it into the perceived safety of Treasury bonds.
You can’t blame them. It’s been an extremely rough time for most since the market peak in 2000. Two full-fledged recessions in the economy in the subsequent eight years, two severe bear markets, with the market losing 50% of its value in each.
Friday, July 20, 2012
How Long More for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Equity indices may be selling off after 3 consecutive rising days, but this weeks shrugging of poor data by equities cannot be ignored. Equities resilience to pervasively negative economic data (US and abroad) is taking a life of its own.
9-month lows in the US June leading economic indicators index, 8-month lows in US existing home sales and double digit negative reading in the June Philly Fed indexall on the back of the 3rd consecutive monthly decline in US retail sales should be sufficiently negative for equities. Yet indices were still up 2.7-3.0% since Monday.
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Friday, July 20, 2012
Why Won't Fine Art Market Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Adrian_Ash
What were once merely baubles are now being touted as investment necessity...
The ODDEST THING thing about today's Great Depression? asks Adrian Ash at BullionVault. The lack of a collapse in the art market.
Previously a bellwether for the global economy, turnover in fine art sank by three-fifths in the early '90s. It tanked again in the early Noughts, taking the revenues (and equity valuations) of the big auction houses down with it.
Friday, July 20, 2012
FXE and Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
EURUSD just traded under1.2150, down over 130 pips on the day. The question is - will we see the ubiquitous rip-roaring reversion rally into the European close again?
The answer is “no.”
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Thursday, July 19, 2012
End of the Bernanke Put is Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Graham_Summers
For well over a year, even after Ben Bernanke admitted that the consequences of QE outweighed the benefits, the financial media world is awash with claims that QE 3 is just around the corner. It doesn’t matter than it’s been over a year. Nor does it matter that the Fed has staged 10 FOMC meetings without launching more QE, everyone claims QE is coming.
Thursday, July 19, 2012
Markets Kicking and Screaming, Gold Bottom in Place / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: HRA_Advisory
With summer doldrums well and truly upon us markets have been drifting lower on low volume and trying to hold their May lows. Most metals and certainly gold have performed better and seem to have bottoms in place.
After such a long bear run it's not likely we will get a huge bounce during the summer when so many are trying not to think about the market. Not every stock is falling however. As we note in the updates there are three companies on the HRA list that have been getting a lot more attention from traders and several others that are getting traction based on results to come. That isn't much but it is an improvement. We don't know yet how "real" any of these discoveries are, but new finds are the shortest route to renewed investor interest in the sector.
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Markets Turning Against QE, What About the Gold Price? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Jan_Skoyles
For many months now we have been writing about Quantitative Easing (QE) and disregarding it pretty quickly. As with the gold price manipulation debate, few people were eager to join us on our side of the sound money fence.
However, it now seems that we no longer have to use basic economic theory and continuous arguments to explain why QE is so useless and dangerous. People and organisations are working it out for themselves. Several reports and studies have been released of late reiterating our beliefs with solid evidence. Even better, we are now seeing an interesting change in the mainstream media. I note that many British journalists this weekend were less than impressed with recent decisions to inject a further £50bn into the UK economy.
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Peter Schiff Warns America Heading Towards Next Crash Worse than 2008 Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: John_Rolls
John Rolls submits: According to author and investor Peter Schiff, the U.S. economy is heading for an economic crash that will make 2008 look like a walk in the park. Stimulus programs can delay this day of reckoning, but only for so long and only at the expense of making the eventual meltdown much, much worse.
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
The New York Fed Confirms U.S. Economy Runs on Zombie Money / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The world is waiting for more of those cryptic messages from the head of the Fed, who today listens to the name Ben Bernanke and speaks on Capitol Hill. Today may not be an FOMC announcement occasion, but there's still the eternal hope that Ben will give a sign, even though it will undoubtedly be excruciatingly small and ambiguous, that more free public money is on the way for the financial system. There's a nice report out on how and why that works. But first, to give some perspective, here's this from UPI today:
Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Cape And Tobin Say Sell!! Bubbleomics Says Buy!! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andrew_Butter
I recently got into trouble for having the temerity to question the divine orthodoxy of CAPE, reference Tom Armistead’s excellent article about “The Disciples”. http://seekingalpha.com/...An indignant disciple berated me for questioning the divine wisdom of my betters and I was told in words of one syllable that CAPE is for predicting real rate of return for a minimum of ten years in the future; so I should kindly keep my snide comments about the recent performance, or lack of, to myself.
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Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Markets Liquidity Cycle Reaches A Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that FXE may be finished with its corrective bounce, or nearly so. There are a couple of ways to label this pattern and the chart shows the most conservative wave pattern. I am tempted to re-label, but we have time to evaluate what transpires over the next three weeks. Tomorrow is day 43 of the liquidity cycle and a turn date. Remember, I had mentioned that we have been seeing significant turns on or near dates divisible by 43. This may be one of them.
Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Stock Market Relative Strength Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Ed Carlson writes: Certain sectors of the market are known as being market leaders; financials, technology, small caps, etc. Technicians have long-known that without participation by those “market leaders”, rallies in the broader averages won’t be able to sustain themselves. Others, often called defensive sectors, are said to “outperform” in a down market; utilities, healthcare, consumer staples, etc. The term “outperform” should not be equated with “profitable”. It simply means these sectors will do better than others in a particular environment (bull or bear market). Knowing which groups are outperforming gives us an important clue as to which direction the broader market is headed. So how can we tell which sectors are outperforming? Ratio Charts.
Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Stock Market Sliding Sideways...Endlessly It Seems.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Wednesday and Thursday of last week we saw the market take a move lower that appeared to be the beginning of a breakdown. The bears were licking their chops as the time was here for them. Then along comes Friday and a gap up that ruins the best laid plans. The market surges with the daily charts becoming very neutral once again. Today, instead of following through to the upside, we fall again. Nothing major, but, of course, no follow-through of any kind. And so it goes. Endlessly it seems. We are to the point, or at least I know I am, where I am begging for some type of breakout or breakdown that shows something more directional in nature. This whipsaw is so boring it makes it tough to get through the day, extremely boring as the volatility is gone. We simply move back and forth between a few hundred Dow points.
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Tuesday, July 17, 2012
To QE or Not to QE, Disinflation May Be In the Cards / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
In its most recent Meeting Minutes for June 19-20, which were released on July 11th, the FOMC gave no indications of another round of stimulus or QEIII. Nevertheless, the monetary policy making committee did reiterate that it would continue its “Operation Twist” program of bond repurchases through the end of this year.
While the immediate reaction to the FOMC Meeting Minutes depressed precious metals prices and drove the U.S. dollar higher, markets corrected afterwards. The price of gold dropped marginally, and the price of silver actually rose by 10 cents per ounce.
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Monday, July 16, 2012
Sorry Stock Market Bulls, The Fed Will Not Engage in More QE. / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Graham_Summers
For well over a year now, I’ve been stating that the Fed will not be able to engage in Quantitative Easing (QE) unless systemic risk hits (think another 2008). My reasons for this are as follows.
First off, the political consequences of hitting “print” (inflation) have made themselves evident to everyone. Indeed, Bernanke was talking about this point as far back as May 2011. The below quote is from a Q&A session with Bernanke during that month.
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Monday, July 16, 2012
The Ultimate Stock Market Death Cross / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
And now, for the main event:
Finally I want to share with you news that the S&P is on the verge of an “ultimate” death cross (see chart below). This is where a 50-month moving average (currently at 1152) falls below the 200-month average (currently 1145). The Trend blogspot (link) tries to make some sense of this very rare event. They note that the averages came close to crossing in 1978 towards the end of the 1965-82 secular bear market, but just held. By contrast Japan suffered a monthly death cross in 1998 and 14 years later we are still in the firm embrace of the bear. Watch this space.
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Sunday, July 15, 2012
Beginning Sovereign Debt Crisis Endgame, Attack of the Zombie Banks and the New Religion of Europe / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: John_Mauldin
About this time two years ago I began to seriously work with Jonathan Tepper on our book Endgame: The End of the Debt Supercycle and How It Changed Everything. It came out the following March. I remember vividly that in November of that year, as crisis after crisis hit Europe, and the first of about 20 summit meetings which were supposed to solve the crisis was convened, that Jonathan and I worried that the book would not be out in time to actually catch the Endgame before it happened (at least in Europe).
Sunday, July 15, 2012
Stock Market Significant Top, Downturn to Send Prices Into an Abyss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Darah_Bazargan
The broad market averages are now revealing overwhelming evidence that a significant top is upon us. And in the coming weeks, I fully expect the world to witness a dramatic downturn that sends prices into an abyss.
Get ready Folks, as this upcoming event will be a force not to reckon with, and for those who deny such could suffer major losses in their investment portfolio.
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