Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 25, 2012
Bernanke Ponders The Financial Crisis Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brady_Willett
Three months ago Ben Bernanke gave a series of lectures and defended the Feds actions during the financial crisis. In what was tantamount to a post-crisis victory lap, Bernanke contended that we did stop the meltdown, and we avoided what would have been, I think, a collapse of the global financial system. These sentiments echoed similar self-congratulatory remarks made by Mr. Bernanke in 2011 and 2010. For that matter, they mirrored those made by Bernanke as far back as August 2009:
Monday, June 25, 2012
SPX Turns Down, The "Bernanke Put" Won't Happen Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- VIX has now completed a 77.9% wave [2] correction. A normal Fibonacci correction would be .78.6%. It appeared that the VIX may have made its correction low on June 11, its Primary Cycle low. However, The Master Cycle opted for an early low on June 21, which was three weeks earlier than the normal low. This is very bullish for the VIX, since it presumes 4 months of rally may follow.
Monday, June 25, 2012
Is the Stock Market SPX Index Resuming its Intermediate Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX is probably putting the finishing touches on an intermediate-term bottom.
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Monday, June 25, 2012
Stock and Gold Bugs Remember It's Always Darkest Before The Dawn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: David_Petch
The above proverb refers to the fact that it is always darkest one hour before the sun rises has metaphorical meaning, in that a situation may seem bleak or about as dark as it possibly could get...but soon is about to get better (i.e. Light will pour open and remove all feelings of despair). At present, I think it is safe council to state that every gold bug on the planet is probably sick and tired of waiting for the first glimmer of light on the horizon, hoping that it will soon illuminate and drive away all despair...many on the other hand probably feel a similar feeling to Charlie Loman in the Death of a Salesman who "Remembers the good ol' days" (2001-2003, 2005-2007) as he crashes his car. There are many "shades of grey" out there for how people feel at present (no, the reference has nothing to do about Anastasia or Christian).
Saturday, June 23, 2012
Stock Market Neutrality.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
That's what we're dealing with, a lot of neutral messages. When I studied the charts late in today's session, I noticed many different buy and sell points on all the daily charts. It didn't matter whether I was looking at an index chart, or the chart of any number of individual stocks. They all had mixed messages behind them. For instance, most charts printed inside days meaning the candles from today traded inside the previous day's stick. In addition, they did so near the bottom of yesterday's sticks. They also did so on lighter volume. All of this usually means the trend will follow through again on Monday. However, if I study the MACD's, they look different. They are holding up well with the slow or negative line racing up to the fast or positive line. That usually happens when things are more bullish. There's the problem for playing long or short. It's unclear.
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Saturday, June 23, 2012
Major Market Hopes Were Dashed, What Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Global markets have rallied for two weeks, which has investor hopes high that the rally marks the end of the market correction that began in March.
But the rally has run into serious problems in the news, as well as technical resistance on the charts that make the thought of the correction already being over questionable to say the least.
Friday, June 22, 2012
My Favorite Investment in the World's Newest "Sweet Spot" / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Having lived in Singapore as a child I've always been fond of Southeast Asia.
Fifty years later, though, I like it for a slightly different reason. It's become a place where I like to invest.
In fact, I believe the region is the world's newest "sweet spot" for investors.
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Friday, June 22, 2012
Minimize Stock Market Volatility With These Two ETFs / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Benjamin_Shepherd
The S&P 500 has given up 7 percent since peaking in April 2012, primarily because of uncertainty regarding Greece’s commitment to the terms of its bailout.If a second round of elections in Greece on June 17 fails to produce a government—or if anti-austerity factions gain control—the stage will be set for the country to exit the euro, with a potentially disastrous domino effect across the Continent. The US also faces economic and fiscal challenges, as well as its own contentious elections in November.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2012
Is The Stock Market Rally For Real…Or Just Part Of the Games Bankers Play? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: The markets are rallying, again. Will this time be different? Or is this just another head fake?
The truth is the current rally is not surprising given what's coming out of the G20 meeting, what's likely to come out of the Fed's Open Market Committee meeting today and Jamie Dimon's Congressional testimony yesterday.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2012
Stock Market Rally, Did S&P 13.74 Point Rally Finish the Move? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: EWI
There were few "fundamental" reasons to be bullish on U.S. stocks on Friday morning (June 15).
If anything, the news that the U.S. unemployment rose in 18 states in May sounded downright bearish. But stocks rallied anyway -- for a seemingly unlikely reason, explained the pundits: Because all the bad news lately makes it likely that the Fed will step in again.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2012
How Can VIX Get So Low When Market Risk is High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Traders are scratching their heads about the dismal showing in the VIX today. How in the world can the VIX get so low when the market is so much at risk? Well, as the saying goes, the market will do what it wants to do. In this case, it is due, not only for a Primary Wave [2] low, but also a Master Cycle low. In Cycles jargon, tomorrow is a Primary Cycle pivot day, as well.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2012
Ending of Extend and Pretend Means Capital Flight, Capital Controls and Capital Fear / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Nicole_Foss
The ending of extend-and-pretend is ushering in a new era of fear and uncertainty which is rapidly evolving into the next phase of the on-going credit crunch.
It is becoming clearer to many that the problems run much deeper than they had perceived, and more people all the time are realizing the systemic nature of the risks we are facing. Fear leads to knee-jerk reactions. In financial markets, it leads to volatility and self-fulfilling prophecies to the downside. It leads to capital flight, and then to capital controls.
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Monday, June 18, 2012
Lets Talk Stock and Commodity Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I hope your weekend went well.
I wish to discuss how the cycles have played out and what we may expect in the following days. First, I must admit that I missed the Master Cycle low for FXE and the other ETFs that follow the “liquidity cycle.” Apparently it happened on May 31 for the euro. My Elliott Wave analysis called that low a wave (3) and the inability to rally forcefully caused me to continue waiting for the final wave (5) that didn’t come. Thursday, June 17 was day 254, which is the average duration of the Master Cycles that I have tracked for the past 10 years. The market ramp on June 8 may have been an intervention to stop the decline before options expiration. What followed was another ramp into options expiration and its final high that did not add any appreciable value.
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Monday, June 18, 2012
Stock Market Elliott Wave Forecast for the Dow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Joseph_Russo
Given the heightened sense of both fear and euphoria respectively associated with the outcome of Greek elections and the cartel of global central bankers pledging if need be, to do all that is necessary to further distort the price mechanism, we thought it appropriate to publically share our forecast for the Dow.
In our view, there is no better means by which to observe the rapidly changing state of global economic conditions than to grasp and interpret the clear inferences attained in accurately reading the price mechanism at work in real time.
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Monday, June 18, 2012
DJIA Leads Stock Market Rally Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX is probably putting the finishing touches on an intermediate-term bottom.
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Monday, June 18, 2012
Value Line Geometric Index Predicts Major Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Steven_Vincent
Last week I posted analysis showing that the monthly RSI divergence which formed at the 2011 and 2012 highs is a very reliable indicator of a stock market decline of almost 28% lasting 11 months. I continue to see many, many companion signals which confirm this.
The Value Line Geometric Index is showing a technical condition which has also been a strong indicator of major market tops.
Monday, June 18, 2012
U.S. Stock Market Uptrend Appears Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
After last week’s market surge, (+3.65%), the market started the week with a gap up. But it was sold off and the market remained quite choppy until early thursday. Then the rally resumed. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.5%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.5%. Growth stocks appear to be lagging, somewhat, as the 2 year tech cycle low approaches. Asian markets gained 1.4%, European markets rose 1.2%, and the DJ World index rose 1.6%. Economic reports for the week were heavily biased to the downside: 2 up and 12 down. On the uptick: business inventories and the monetary base. On the downtick: export/import prices, retail sales, the CPI/PPI, the NY FED, industrial production, consumer sentiment, and the WLEI. Also, the budget deficit, current account deficit, and weekly jobless claims all rose. Overall, it was a good week for stocks as the economy continues to weaken. FOMC meeting concludes this wednesday.
Sunday, June 17, 2012
Greece Elections Puts Fed On Deck..... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Those are two nice little events we can all go through together over the next several days. We will start, with the Greece elections over the weekend that will have a real impact on the markets. The market is clearly telling us it thinks, and believes, the party that wins will be the one that has promised to stay in the Euro-zone and not create chaos. If the party that gets in is the one that creates market uncertainty, the market will be very unhappy come Monday morning, but the opposite is true if the right party gets elected. Monday morning will have fireworks for sure.
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Sunday, June 17, 2012
Financial Markets And Governments Are Rolling The Dice! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Global markets had been plunging since March on worries about the dangerous eurozone debt and banking crisis and its threat to global economies.But over the last two weeks they’ve been rallying quite impressively, even as the crisis in Europe has taken another frightening turn for the worse, and as tomorrow’s Greek election neared, with its outcome just as critical and uncertain as before.
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Sunday, June 17, 2012
Global Stock Markets Too Calm Before the Storm: Strength or Seduction / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Doug_Wakefield
Isn't it nice to have someone bigger than you to look out for your investments? You know, someone who no matter what happens in the world is always "buying the dip"; someone who is totally unphased by the events taking place in Europe, China, Japan, the US or any place on the globe. Certainly, this is a sign of great strength and faith in the Almighty Dow.