Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, March 29, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Get Benefit of Doubt, Though End of QE2 Concerning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
James Bullard, President of the Fed’s St. Louis Bank, is speaking in Prague today. According to Bloomberg:
Read full article... Read full article...He said four areas in particular are raising “macroeconomic uncertainty.” These included turmoil in the Middle East and north Africa, the natural disaster in Japan, “the U.S. fiscal situation and the possibility of a government shutdown,” and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis.
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has given no indication the central bank will deviate from its plan to buy bonds through June to spur economic growth and reduce 8.9 percent unemployment.
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
The Final Four Ways to Invest in Global Demographic Trends / Stock-Markets / Demographics
Larry D. Spears writes: Stock-market icon Warren Buffett once said that "our favorite holding period is forever."
Clearly, if you want to be a stock-market winner, you need to find profit opportunities that offer a predictable, long-term payoff.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
Stock Market Refuses To Die.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Day after day we seem to hang in there better than most would expect when you looks at things fundamentally. We have global problems. Japan has to deal with nuclear fallout after dealing with a major earthquake and tsunami. We know about the headaches in Libya. Portugal has default problems. Some of our own states here at home are dealing with bankruptcy with help from our Government. There certainly is enough out there to keep us wondering just how the stock market hangs so tough to the up side of the equation. Add in unemployment and a dead housing market and you sit there shaking your head each day you wake up and see the futures aren't bad at all.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
What's Driving Russia's Stock Market Outperformance? / Stock-Markets / Russia
The Russian MICEX Index, which increased 22.5 percent in 2010, has jumped 15 percent so far in 2011, significantly outperforming many other markets.
China is the second-best performer of the BRICs, rising more than 5 percent, while India (down over 10 percent) and Brazil (down over 2 percent) have lagged. Overall, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has dropped just over 1 percent.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Crude Oil Price Impact on Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Whilst the mainstream press as ever looks in the rear view mirror to pick events as reasons for the rise in the oil price, such as the ongoing breakout of freedom in the middle east, however as stated in the January 2010 Inflation Mega-trend ebook (FREE DOWNLOAD) and updated below, the consequences of peak oil ensures an escalator effect for the ramping up of oil prices into ever higher trading ranges that will one day make today's high oil prices look cheap, as oil prices continue a volatile mega-trend to north of $200 per barrel.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
End of QE2 Could Trigger Blood on the Streets / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, when speaking to reporters in France on March 26, stated,
Read full article... Read full article...“If the economy is as strong as I think it is, then I think it may be reasonable to send a signal to markets that we’re going to start withdrawing our stimulus, and I’d start by pulling up a little bit short on the QE2 program… We can’t be as accommodative as we are today for too long, we’ll create a lot of inflation if we do that.”
Monday, March 28, 2011
Still Time to Conquer the Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"If you were fortunate enough to have read the first edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash, your money was safe and sound as stocks, real estate, commodities and many bonds plummeted." Conquer the Crash, 2nd edition, (quote from inside book sleeve)
The New York Times bestseller Conquer the Crash published in 2002: As the quote above suggests, Bob Prechter advised readers to avoid risky assets and embrace cash and cash equivalents.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Japan's Nikkei Stocks Bear Market Resumes / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
During the past several weeks Japan has experienced a number of devastating natural and manmade disasters. In the months and years ahead Japan will certainly recover, and the global community will assist them in their endeavors. As a result of these recent events we have reviewed the long term charts to determine the impact on investor psychology for Japanese investments for the next several years.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Optimistic Investors and Eager Fund Managers Will Fuel Global Market Growth / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Jon D. Markman writes: Despite a significant amount of global turmoil, markets are surging ahead and giving interested investors nice returns.
Stocks motored briskly higher over the past week with a devil-may-care attitude, shrugging off renewed concerns about European debt, bad news on the nuclear emergency in Japan, intensified air-to-ground fighting in Libya, renewed unrest in Syria and several undesirable data points on the U.S. economic recovery.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Current Outlook for Stocks, Commodities and the US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Since my analysis of March 17th, "Stock Market Buying Opportunity", US and European stock indices have risen 5-8%. Indices have broken through key resistance, key moving averages and made positive MACD crosses, plus small caps have outperformed, which is typically bullish. On the bearish side, volume has made a negative divergence, as shown below, and we do not see a typical positive Nymo divergence which would usually require another corrective leg down.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Are Obama's Policies Burying the US Economy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
When Obama ran for president I warned that the man is a dogmatic leftist and Americans -- those with any sense, that is -- would rue the day he sat in the Oval Office. Since then I, along with many others, also pointed out that if unchecked his policies would result in economic stagnation and inflation. Well, this now seems to be the case.
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Monday, March 28, 2011
Stock Market Needs Additional Accumulation Before Trending to New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
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Sunday, March 27, 2011
India’s Stock Market BSE Sensex Index Heading to New Highs / Stock-Markets / India
Nothing has changed longer term. India’s Sensex entered a multi-decade Cycle wave [3] in the spring of 2009. The current multi-year bull market is only Primary wave I of this Cycle wave, and we’re still expecting the Sensex to reach 34,000 during this bull market.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Unintended Consequences of Central Banks Money Printing, Bubbles in Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
The central banks of the developed world are printing money and are engaged in a very-low-interest-rate regime. What does that mean for emerging markets? It is more than just a dilemma, it is a tri-lemma – they have problems not just coming and going but also sitting still! I am in Zurich tonight after a long day, with a 4:30 AM wake-up call to get back home, but deadlines are deadlines. So, to make this one easier on me as well as hopefully instructive for you, you will get chapter 15 of my new book, Endgame, in which coauthor Jonathan Tepper and I speculate about the future of emerging markets in general and investments in them in particular. We once again are on the New York Times best-seller list this week, by the way (thanks to many of you).
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Stock Market Correction May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Markets worldwide just had their best week since the beginning of November 2010. The SPX/DOW gained 2.9%, and the NDX/NAZ was +4.2%. Asian markets gained 3.5%, European markets were +4.0%, the Commodity equity group gained 2.4%, and the DJ World index was +3.2%. US economic reports, for the first time in months, were mostly on the negative side. Existing/new home sales declined, along with, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders, public sentiment, and the WLEI. On the positive side, Q4 GDP rose along with the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims declined. Next week will be highlighted by Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI and the monthly Payrolls report.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Stock Market Bulls Hold Strong..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A tough group these bulls. They don't like to give things too easily. Just when it looked like things would fall apart as they lost those 50-day exponential moving averages, they fought back strong and took those levels back in no time at all. The Nasdaq in particular gave up that critical 50-day at 2712 with relative ease. No real fight as those high beta froth stocks were taken down in a big way. No mercy on some of those stocks as they took 20% hits. Others were hit quite a bit more than that off their most recent highs. Not pretty as many stayed oversold and refused to bounce as their prices seemingly went lower.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
Could There Really Be a Bernanke Put? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Back in 1998, the U.S. stock market had become overbought and was in a normal correction, while Asian markets were plunging due to a currency crisis. When on top of those situations, giant hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management collapsed, causing problems for some major banks, the U.S. Fed worried that the combination might send the U.S. economy into a recession. So it quickly and dramatically cut interest rates. The economy did not slow into a recession, and the interest rate cuts encouraged the stock market, which turned back to the upside and kept going into the 1999 bubble.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Investor Opportunities and Threats, Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Sir Alan Greenspan spent almost 20 years serving his masters who own the Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and many more. The Fed has no independence – it takes orders from these banks and brokerage houses. This same group controls Congress by paying off 95% of the representatives and senators via campaign contributions and via lobbying. Thus, with the assistance of the Fed, Wall Street and banking, they not only control money, supply, credit, interest rates and Washington, but they control our entire economic and financial scene and the lives of every American. Booms and bubbles can be blamed on politicians, but the real culprits behind the scenes are Wall Street and banking in which we spent 29 years of our lives and for many of those years owned our own firm. If you do not know and understand these realities you should not be an investor or a financial and economic journalist.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Stock Market Showing Great Resilience But Has it True Bull Legs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The recent sell-off in the S&P and other leading equity markets in reaction to the earthquake/natural disaster in Japan and fighting in Libya, appears to have run its course, since the S&P has rejected the recent lows.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Leading Market Indicators and Tipping Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
As a financial markets trader I can only make money by successfully predicting the future to some degree. Therefore I am more interested in market analysis and less interested in market commentary. I am more interested in leading indicators and less interested in coincident and lagging indicators. I am more interested in tipping points and less interested in known issues. I understand that all data flow and newsflow is by necessity after-the-event, but I can focus on flow that has historically consistently correlated with future market performance.
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