Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, April 04, 2011
Sun Spots Solar Activity and the Financial Markets Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
If you have not already read the first part of my analysis on Solar Activity and the Financial Markets, please do so here, as it provides important background for part II.
In that article I provided evidence that rising solar activity into a solar peak is correlated with periods of inflation and that in historical secular commodities bull markets the relative pricing of hard assets to stocks has each time peaked at the solar peak. Commodities are sought after in inflationary times and their prices are a key ingredient in consumer price inflation levels, producing a feedback loop, but given that stocks also usually perform well in inflationary times is there any correlation between stocks and solar cycles?
Monday, April 04, 2011
Stock Market Cycle Review, Don't Tell the Retail Investor, but.. / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: readtheticker
In Richard Wyckoff writings he suggest that the retail investor is always the last in, they tend to buy at the tops and sell at the bottoms. We dont tell them, just between you and me, we are closer to a top than a bottom. I recently saw dshort.com QRAtio market valuation of stocks and it also suggest that stocks are handsomely priced. Lets review some cycles to find if we concur.
Monday, April 04, 2011
U.S. Dollar's Impact on S&P 500, Gold, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I was starting to put on my bullish hat on Friday morning when out of the blue an ugly close has forced me to rethink my position. After viewing a few hundred charts, I have determined that while I am still leaning into higher prices at this point in time, I will not totally rule out a rollover on the S&P 500. In coming days the news flow will be extreme and headline risk will be everywhere we look. The S&P 500 has been able to deflect worry for quite some time now and in every case the resiliency is unquestionable.
Monday, April 04, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Before Going Higher Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
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Sunday, April 03, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks stealth bull market passed its second anniversary this month (March 2011), having trended from trough to peak on the Dow Jones Industrial Averages stock Index from 6470 to 12,400, a gain of over 91%. This in-depth analysis seeks to formulate a concluding trend forecast for the remainder of 2011 and into early 2012 (over 9 months). Whilst this article contains key analysis and the concluding trend forecast, the full analysis and implications of are contained within NEW FREE Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 Ebook, that will be made available for download within the next few days, ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE Newsletter to get access to the FREE ebook download.
Sunday, April 03, 2011
NYAD … Stock Market Breadth Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
As a follow up to our previous post: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/01/17/nyad-market-breadth/ we provide an update on the NYAD charts.
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Sunday, April 03, 2011
Understanding American Fascism, the Insider Trading Shows / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Gary_North
"I seen my opportunities, and I took 'em." ~ George Washington Plunkett (of Tammany Hall)
Oh, boy! A scandal among the rich – the very, very rich – and famous. Warren Buffett's would-be replacement got his hand caught in the cookie jar. He is no longer in the running in the Buffett-replacement sweepstakes.
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Saturday, April 02, 2011
Stock Market Confirmed Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
The SPX/DOW confirmed a new uptrend this week. The uptrend will be counted as Major wave 3 of Primary wave III. This uptrend should last into June with a targeted range of SPX 1440-1462. For the week economic reports were mixed: ten improving and nine declining. On the upbeat we had personal income/spending, PCE prices, pending home sales, auto sales, the monetary base and leading wbase, the WLEI, the payrolls report, and the unemployment rate declined.
Saturday, April 02, 2011
Stock Market Strong Week...Friday Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
This is the question we have to ask ourselves tonight. The market had a very nice week with today being the day we tested back up to resistance on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The old high on the S&P 500 being 1344 with some resistance at 1332 first. We hit 1337 today right in the middle. The Nasdaq had strong horizontal resistance off a gap down at 2800 to 2808. We hit 2802 today on the highs. So in essence, both indexes hit their strong resistance levels today. The reason this is so important to look at is because we want to see what happened after resistance was hit.
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Saturday, April 02, 2011
Excess Liquidity & Cheap Money Runs Rampant on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Dian_L_Chu
If one studies markets trading during the week, one thing becomes glaringly obvious-- there is too much cheap money sloshing around markets these days (See Chart Below). You no longer have healthy, two-sided markets in most asset classes.
Friday, April 01, 2011
Strong Corporate Earnings Mean a Strong Stock Market, Right? / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: EWI
Earnings season is upon us, so it's a good time to delve into how earnings affect stock prices. Here's an excerpt from Bob Prechter's February 2010 Elliott Wave Theorist. It considers the conventional belief in a cause/effect relationship between earnings and stock prices. EWI's 50-page Independent Investor eBook includes the entire report on the effect 10 different economic events, political events, and monetary and fiscal policies have on the market. You can download it now for free.
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Friday, April 01, 2011
The Fed Still Can’t End Stimulus Efforts! / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Sy_Harding
The strong jobs report for March has expectations rising that the Fed will dial back its QE2 stimulus right away, and begin raising interest rates soon.
Even prior to the jobs report the president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, and a voting member of the Fed’s rate-setting committee, said he expects a “big upward movement” in inflation, making it “certainly possible” that the Fed will raise interest rates this year. He said the so-called Taylor Rule, a method of predicting interest rates based on inflation, points to a sizable 0.75% increase in the Fed Funds rate if the rate of inflation he expects shows up.
Friday, April 01, 2011
Will 1970s-Style Inflation Derail the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Inflation can adversely affect corporate profits, household discretionary spending, and stock prices. Rising costs for raw materials have a dampening effect on profits. Increasing costs of food and energy begin to account for larger and larger portions of a household’s disposable income. From an investment perspective, when the annual inflation rate jumped significantly between 1971 and 1974, stock market (SPY) returns eventually suffered as shown below.
Friday, April 01, 2011
The Higher the Dow, the More Dangerous It Becomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bill_Bonner
The Dow went up more than 70 points yesterday. The higher it goes, the more dangerous it becomes.
What’s the matter with this downturn? Shouldn’t it lower stock prices? Shouldn’t it empty tables at fancy restaurants? Shouldn’t it close down some of these luxury shops and make it easy to upgrade to business class?
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Stocks Should Bolt Higher, Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bob_Clark
Where have all the the trillions gone? The Fat Boys have nicked them, one by one. There are dark forces about.
They don't skulk in the shadows, but live in the light. They thrive in a time of ignorance, greed, sloth and complacency. They are seen as the light. The Illuminati. They are the chosen ones. They are our financial leaders.
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Friday, April 01, 2011
Five Reasons To Consider Locking In Some Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Grandey
Here are your “Into The End Of The Quarter” Trend Channel charts.
Thursday, March 31, 2011
U.S. Dollar and Stock Market Trend Relationship, Currency and Real Wars / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis seeks to determine the impact of the USD index on the stock market trend, which forms part of a series of analysis that is working towards formulating a detailed trend forecast for the stock market for the remainder of 2011.
The consensus view is that a rising US Dollar is bearish for the stock market whilst a falling Dollar is bullish. The below graph illustrates that more or less this has been the trend relationship between the two markets for the past 10 years.
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
Anne Hathaway and Automatic Stock Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Robert_Murphy
A humorous financial story making the rounds concerns the apparent relationship between media mentions of the actress Anne Hathaway and jumps in the stock price of shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway.
The presumed culprits are algorithmic trading programs, which raises the question, What does Austrian economics have to say about computers buying and selling shares of stock?
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
A Lesson from Charlie Sheen (about the Stock Market) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jared_Levy
Maybe I am a fan of Charlie's because of his role in the movie Wall Street, which motivated my career in finance. Perhaps it's the fact that I have enjoyed his films and his comedy.
I have to admit that Mr. Sheen has been accused of (and is guilty of) actions that I do not approve of or condone, but what I have found interesting is undeniable about the man -- he speaks his truth! (As irrational as it may seem or offensive as it may be.)
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
Are Stocks and Commodities About To Start Another Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past couple months everyone seems to have been preparing for a sharp market correction. Crazy part is that the SP500 dropped about 10% from the high and that is a typical bull market correction. The thing is… the stock market has a way of slowly unfolding making it look and feel minor, then before you know it, the correction is over and it’s back to an uptrend. That is kind of how this one unfolded. Read full article... Read full article...