Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
U.S. Treasury Bonds, Yen, Euro and Dollar Chart Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Justin_John
Treasury: Close to entering a long term bear market on US treasury on 10 year duration. We believe the COT captures the true picture of the developing situation in the US as FED moves in with QE3 which will be close to $400-500 billion of asset purchase. COT for week ended Feb 26 indicates that shorts have increased their position with nearly 148k contracts shorted, an increase of 32k new shorts for the week.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Crude Driving Stock Market, Elliott Wave Analysis for Week Starting 28th Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
This week markets, worldwide, took their biggest hit since the second week in November on civil unrest in Libya and a spike in Crude oil prices. WTIC started the week at $88.80/bbl and spiked, in three days, up to $103.40 on supply concerns. The US equity market responded with its largest pullback since November: -3.7%, on economic concerns of surging energy costs. Crude pulled back in the last day and a half to end the week at $97.90, upper mid-range for the week. Equity markets rebounded on that pullback. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.9%.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Fibonacci and the Pricing Mechanism of Financial Markets, S&P500 and US Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
Evidence is mounting that the pricing mechanism of global markets creates spontaneous order out of the chaos of billions of people pursuing their self-interested purpose. Arriving at a price for products, services and financial assets is the heart of this process. There are successes and failures in every round of pricing, which are priced into the next cycle of human action in global markets.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Stock Market Topping, Treasuries Recovering and Gold is on a Tear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Initial Claims Drop 22K To 391K, On Expectations Of 405K, Durable Goods Collapse - (ZeroHedge) Initial Claims, which were obviously revised higher from 410K to 413K, dropped well below expectations, printing at 391K, on expectations of 405K. With claims continuing to hug the 400K line, this means that unfortunately the economy is not creating nearly enough jobs: as a reminder per the CBO, the US needs to create over 100K jobs a month just to stay in line with population growth. Continuing claims dropped from an (upward) revised 3935K to 3790K, as more and more people hit the 6 month continuing benefits cliff. They also are hitting the end of their 99 week extension period: those on extended benefits dropped by -111,087. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Stock Market Finds A Way...Expect Some Chop Next Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
It found a way to get back through the 20-day exponential moving average. The Nasdaq tested down two times yesterday below the key 50-day exponential moving average, but closed above while showing a positive divergence on the 60-minute short-term charts at that double bottom. The close above with the positive divergence told us a move up off oversold was on the way, but I didn't expect the 20-day exponential moving averages to be captured back in one day. This is why you never short a bull market. You should rarely play counter trend. If you want cash that's fine, but counter trend playing makes little sense. 2769 was the level the Nasdaq needed to take back and it did just that. Nothing explosive above, but above, nonetheless. Impressive. The price of oil had led this market lower. It printed near 103.00 per barrel yesterday, and that was the reason for the brief loss of those 50's on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 and Dow never fell below.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Stocks SPX Index, Crude Oil, Silver Technical and Geopolitical Risks Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
“You can’t lose what you don’t put in the middle.” Mike McDermott, Rounders
While this week was shortened due to the President’s Day holiday, it has been quite a ride for traders and investors. The 24 hour news cycle certainly intensifies current market conditions as any news focusing on oil or the Middle East protests moves markets. Thursday the International Energy Agency came out and indicated that the expected drawdown in crude oil supplies coming from Libya was being exaggerated. Immediately upon the release of this information light sweet crude oil got hammered and stocks rallied from day lows.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Gain from Chaos Investing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Yes, you.
And Trichet, and the rest of the Central Bank fools.
But especially you, Bernanke.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
A Warning Shot For Investors? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Stock Market Fear Levels and the VIX... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
The VIX (Volatility Index) spiked up when the Libyan revolt started to unfold.
Today, there is talk of a possible Libyan massacre today which would be a real negative should that occur because it could end up meaning U.S. intervention.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
China Risks and Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / China Economy
By: Puru_Saxena
Opinion is currently divided on the world’s second largest economy.
On one hand of the spectrum, the bears believe that China is a train-wreck and that its economic growth is unsustainable. These sceptics love to highlight the property bubble in China and they never miss the opportunity to mention the fact that fixed asset investment accounts for a disproportionately large chunk of the Chinese economy. According to the bearish camp, China’s economy is not real; rather, its breakneck economic growth is centrally planned by Beijing. Furthermore, the bears argue that China’s vast foreign exchange reserves are meaningless and that they will be used up in dealing with the aftermath of the Chinese real estate bust.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Crude Oil and Middle East Crisis Requires Defensive Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We head into Thursday’s trading session with an extended market that now has two negative fundamental factors to focus on; the Middle East and rapidly rising oil prices. Regardless of how long oil prices remain elevated, the market sees it as a reason to sell. According to today’s Wall Street Journal:
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Beginnings, There Goes the First Sector / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
Bear markets begin when something fundamental breaks. Usually the sector initially affected will roll over before the general market and tends to be a warning sign of what lies ahead.
The last bear market was triggered when the credit bubble created by Greenspan's foolish monetary policy burst. It was exacerbated by Bernanke's foolish attempt to debase the currency and reflate the bubble. All he succeeded in doing was to inflate oil to $147, which put the finishing touches on an already crumbling economy.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
What the Looming Inflation Tsunami Means for the U.S. Housing Market and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes: A few weeks ago, Money Morning Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson warned readers about the looming inflation tsunami threatening the United States.
Easy money policies like those of the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks have helped raise prices in emerging markets, as well as the United States, and sent the commodities sector surging.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Stock Market Downside Follow Through! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the day with a little bit of a bounce to the upside, and then rolled over immediately. At that point they spent the rest of the morning dropping. By midday they reached their session lows, and in the early afternoon they started to bounce back. That lasted until about 45 minutes to go, when they backed off again to increase the losses.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Rough Few Days For The Stock Market Bulls.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets tend to catch the masses off guard. It's an old story with the stock market. The bull-bear spread has stayed quite high, and actually increasing in the number of bulls, and decreasing in the number of bears over the past few weeks. More and more are getting bullish which explains how the weekly charts got so extremely overbought, especially on the S&P 500 and Dow. High-70 readings on the Dow, and mid-70 readings on the SPX said it was time to reign it in some.
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Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Time To Buy Stocks In The Face Of Fear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Grandey
The MARKETS HATE UNCERTAINTY and that’s where we are at currently.
That uncertainty can be summed up in a few words MID-EAST, from Libya to Bahrain and then some is what’s creating the uncertainty. Should Libya fall then some of the uncertainty will with it. We’ve all seen it before once some sort of certainty comes back into the markets the futures will be up big in after hours markets (think 1991 Iraq). When Libya’s Saturday Night Live dictator falls (and how), sure it could create a knee jerk down on the news event but keep in mind fast that a level of uncertainty will have diminished too.
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
The Fastest Doubling of the S&P 500 Since the Great Depression! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
Since its low in March 2009 the S&P 500 Index has doubled. Last week The Wall Street Journal stated that it was the fastest doubling since 1936. That rally began in March 1935 and reached the 100 percent gain mark in 501 days. The red vertical line in the chart below depicts the start of the rally.
This time the market needed a bit longer to double … 707 days.
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Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Stock Market Calls for Incremental Approach / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As of 7:50 a.m. ET, the markets are stable, which is a good sign for now. The situation with Col. Moammar Gadhafi needs to be monitored closely. This morning’s Wall Street Journal (WSJ) provides a good visual of the unrest:
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Federal Stimulus Should Keep Stock Market Bulls Happy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks rose fitfully last week in a typically strange, exciting, exasperating options-expiration week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index all ended roughly 1% higher, while the Russell 2000 small-caps rose 1.5%
Treasurys enjoyed their firmest session of the past month in part due to an unexpected rise in unemployment claims. Bonds love misery because it suggests that inflation -- their arch enemy -- will remain under control. Inflation will be a problem as long as home prices retreat, jobs are scarce and wage hikes are a far-off dream.
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Secular Stock Market Insights, Stay Out of the ROOM / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
One of my favorite analysts is Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research. We used to get together a whole lot more when he lived in Dallas, but he has since moved to the wilds of Oregon. Ed’s first book, Unexpected Returns, is a classic work that I think is a must-read for all stock market investors.
And now he favors us with yet another book, called Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights, in which he takes on the mostly silly research, done by so many analysts, that purports to show what an investor can expect to make from his retirement portfolio over time. I can’t tell you how disastrous this simplistic analysis can be for retirees.