Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

What Are the Big Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

I will be spending most of today flying back to North Carolina ... so I will make today's update short and sweet.

This morning, we will look at the recent and past Accumulation and Distribution actions by Institutional Investors.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Stock Market Investors Anticipate "V" Shaped Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The third quarter is rapidly coming to a close with another double-digit gain in the equity markets. Investors are nearly giddy over the possibility of a “V” shaped economic recovery that they are falling over each other to buy stocks. Will the fourth quarter pull the curtain on the recovery? Will the Fed begin to signal an end to their very easy monetary policy? Will home prices ever go up again? So many questions and a mere page to cover it all!

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

China FXP ETF Downtrend Readying to Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The action in the ProShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index ETF (NYSE: FXP) since mid-June exhibits a series of lower-lows in price, higher-lows in momentum (RSI), and declining volume into weakness, all of which are warning signals that the current downtrend in the FXP is extremely stressed – and ripe – for a period of countertrend movement.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Stock Market Close to Major Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: David_Petch

The daily chart of the Gold miners bullish percentage index (BPGDM) is shown below, with the HUI shown in green. In the past whenever the BPGDM reached 85 or higher, it was often associated with a top. At present the BPGDM has declined from 87 to 67, with an accompanying decline in the HUI. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K beneath the %D in stochastics 1 and 2. Based upon extrapolation of the trend, the potential downside could last for 3-4 weeks. Expect continued weakness in the gold stocks.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Bond Yields Yet to Confirm the New Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Over the past two decades, the US yield curve has been a very reliable indicator to the major peaks and troughs in the stock market. The periods in which the curve is steepest correlates closely to the bottom of the bear market. The opposite develops at market tops. When the yield curve is flat, this occurs at the top in the bull market.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Stock Market Critical Support Holds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Jack_Steiman

I talked about the first important, though not critical, support level on the indexes being the 20-day exponential moving averages. We tested down to those levels late last week but held and closed right near them. The key was to see if we were in a more immediate selling phase or not, which would be known by how the market responded today. It left little doubt about where we are on the journey.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Trade Wars Guarantee An End To The Stock Market Party / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Captain_Hook

On one side of the formula we have the continued need for speed in monetary creation by whatever means, capably characterized by Doug Noland in his weekly commentary explaining that while it will all end badly, government largesse will likely get out of control before its all over. The point he is getting at here is that because of all it’s meddling, the government (and us) is locked in an inflation death grip it necessarily needs to keep building on or face implosion. So in essence, Doug is alluding to the risk of hyperinflation, or the closest we will ever come to it on a macro-scale. And he is perfectly correct in this accounting of our dire circumstances, and the eventual disastrous effects of all this government intervention to keep the bailout finance bubble growing. One day this thing is going to pop, like all bubbles do, and it will be game over for the global economy, US Dollar ($) hegemony, runaway socialism, and unchecked fiat currency regimes.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Stock Market Rally will End When the Last Bear Gives Up / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bill_Bonner

Personal conversions sometimes mark dramatic turns in history. Saul of Tarsus saw a vision so bright it left him blind. The next thing you know, he had changed his name and was pushing Christianity all over the world. According to Gibbon, the Roman Empire fell as a consequence. Then, on the advice of his mistress, Gabrielle, Henry IV became a Catholic, leading to the Edict of Nantes and its subsequent revocation.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Stock Market Pullback Would Be Healthy / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

A pull back should be viewed as healthy within a strongly trending market. However, the "moon shot"rally that started in July, 2009 has been characterized by nary a pullback, so the current 2.2% drop in the S&P500 must be producing a little bit of angst amongst the bulls. Relative to the past 2 months, a 2.2% drop counts as deeply oversold. But really, very little has changed. The major indices are still within ascending channels. Investor sentiment remains extremely bullish. As I have been stating for several months now, there is an upward bias until the extremes in bullish sentiment are unwound.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Inflation, Deflation or Economic Growth? Markets Will Answer Soon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: The_BullBear

Markets are at an important inflection point and the inflation vs. deflation vs. growth debate may be resolved soon.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Stock Market Major Downtrend Awaits Confirmation of Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Near reversing! The intermediate move which started in March is coming to an end. But we will need confirmation by trading below the main trend line which is currently just a little above 1000.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Big Upside in this "Life or Death" Stock Market Sector / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector

By: GrowthStockWire

The diagnostics industry was once regarded as a red-headed stepchild for medical investors.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Stock Markets Retreat on Realisation that Fed Could Cut Emergency Economic Support / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

After hitting its best levels of the year on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) communiqué, the S&P 500 Index ran into heavy weather on the realization that the Fed could start scaling back on emergency support of the economy. US equities dropped further later in the week on renewed concerns about the state of the troubled housing market and weaker-than-expected durable goods orders.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Miss the Stock Market Rally? Currencies an Alternative Investment Class / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Bryan_Rich

I normally talk only about currencies here in my Money and Markets column. But today I want to address some commonly held misconceptions many investors have about how their investment portfolios should be performing in today’s market.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market S&P 500 Index Vulnerable to Downside Test of Lower Bollinger Band / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The juxtaposition of the Bollinger Bands with the price structure has caught my attention ahead of the weekend. Let¹s notice that since Wednesday¹s peak at 1075.75, which reversed from just beneath the upper BB, the S&P 500 emini price declined directly towards the rising 20-day moving average, which represents the mid-point between the upper and lower BBnds. Within a bull trend accompanied by rising momentum (RSI), it is typical of a decline to hold in and around the 20 DMA and then turn to the upside to continue to higher-highs. Such was the case during April, May and then again from mid-July to the present.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market Third Consecutive Down Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices were down again for the third consecutive session, which is the first time in quite a while, and may have confirmed the the post-FOMC announcement reversal that took place on Wednesday may have turned out to be a significant top.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market Trend Up But Tired / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Peter_Navarro

[Thanks to all of for buying Always a Winner last Friday. You helped the book make the Top 100 in business and investing books!!!]
I had the great pleasure of meeting one of my CNBC favorites last week at a conference, Bob Pisani. What I love about Bob is his opinion-free market analysis that is based on facts rather than rants.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market Reverses Down Off of Uptrend Channel / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has been on a move higher the past couple of weeks but with one major difference over the move up the previous weeks and months prior to that as was noted in last weeks report. Late last week the market started to print Doji Candlesticks, often a precursor to a change in trend move up against major trendline resistance which can be seen in our three index charts. The recent move up had become a grind. Like glass on a blackboard.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market SELL Signals and Inflation Missing from 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Early in the week I went hunting for signs for high UK inflation in the analysis -UK Inflation Forecast, Will RPI Deflation Return to Inflation? However despite zero interest rates and all the money printing to date, I was surprised not to find it, not for 2009 and not for the whole of 2010! and given the double dip depression (more on this tomorrow), probably beyond. What does this mean ? It means the Bank of England NEEDS to act to CREATE inflation AHEAD of the double dip Depression (again more on this tomorrow).

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Stock Market Cycles and the Big Picture  / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

I have recently received a few e-mails asking about cycles and their application to the market.  So, in today’s wrap up I will attempt to present a brief and very simplified explanation of how cycles can be used as a very powerful technical tool once they are understood.   I will then apply this simplified cyclical concept to the market.