Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stock Market Crash Investor Overreaction Value Investing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
- How Should We Then Invest?
- Those Wild And Crazy Analysts
- The Evidence for Investor Overreaction
- Stock Prices Are In Our Heads
- Or, Maybe Investors Are Just Head Cases
- Can We Actually Predict Earnings?
- Buffett versus Grantham
- Back to 1974?
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Markets Discounting Recessionary Fears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Is October over yet?? The markets are down over 25% for the month, however on the four up days that actually did occur during the month, the indexes managed to gain over 20% - just image the carnage without the those fabulous four days! Liquidations by both mutual and hedge funds have made the last hour of trading something of an art form as investors guess whether the markets will tack on or drop a few hundred points. The recessionary fears of just a month ago have now morphed into full-blown depression fears and not just here, but around the world. The historic market declines to this point likely have already captured much of the economic pain we will experience in the weeks/months ahead.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Market Late Slide Takes Out Support Levels / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets ended with a nasty session, particularly on a late slide that closed them at the lows for the day going away.
As has been happening over the last few days, the indices gapped lower on negative futures, immediately bounced, retested and when that was successful they backed and filled and then churned higher, reaching the session highs and testing Friday afternoon's rally highs on both the NDX and S&P 500. But when they failed to punch through at mid afternoon, they sold off, bounced late in the afternoon, but couldn't get through intraday resistance, and then rolled over hard, particularly in the last 10 minutes.
Monday, October 27, 2008
Have Stock Market Investors Panicked and Capitulated? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Robert Prechter examines historical stock activity to identify how and when fear and panic is recorded in stock market price. He even provides unique insight for whom you should vote in November.
Ever since mid-September, we have read that the bottom is in because investors have ‘panicked' and ‘capitulated.'"
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Monday, October 27, 2008
When Will the Stocks Bear Market End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Accelerated panic levels have hit the World Stock Markets ... What's next?
Let's start by discussing what is happening and why ... and then move on to our stock market Bull/Bear chart.
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Monday, October 27, 2008
Stock Market Bottom Near? We Don't Think So / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Market timing is not a good idea, but standing aside when a global train wreck is happening in proportions that rival the worst periods in modern history is not market timing — it is self-preservation.
Being out of the market makes deciding how to re-enter problematic, and some opportunity could be missed, but far greater opportunity is missed if capital is destroyed.
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Monday, October 27, 2008
Investor Sentiment Signaling The Great Depression II / Stock-Markets / Economic Depression
That's what investors simply will not do today because they are the same spoiled brats that make up the bureaucracy. Stubborn – stubborn – stubborn – that's what both investors and bureaucrats are today, with no sense of proportion or morality, and unwilling to give up the ghost in speculation games. The moral hazard that has been instilled into the public and bureaucracy alike over the past twenty years has finally caught up to reality, where as discussed in ‘ The Missing Ingredient ' the other day, investors are convinced the bureaucracy will engineer another stick save for the stock market right in front of the election, and for this reason speculators are hesitant to short the market. And it's not as if the bureaucracy isn't throwing the book at the problem attempting to arrest the meltdown – they are. But alas, without the suckers (put buyers) to squeeze stocks higher, prices continue to plunge like never before in history .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
The Securities Investors' Bill Of Rights (SIBORAP): Part 2/4 / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
SIBORAP includes these ten specific sections: (1) Product Transparency, (2) Regulation and Education, (3) Protection from Speculators (4) Control of Hedge Funds, (5) Brokerage Account Statements, (6) Retirement Account Investments, (7) Executive Compensation, (8) Corporate Financial Statements, (9) Taxation of Investment and Retirement Income, and (10) Transactional Greed and Fear Controls.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
Global Stock Markets Contagion Blowback / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
From GLOBAL CONTAGION April 26, 2006
“A highly deceptive global contagion of the bullish kind appears well underway”
“The basic concept of meeting the demands of large growing populations with finite world resources has always been one of extreme challenge and controversy.
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Monday, October 27, 2008
How the Fed Creates Bull and Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
I received an e-mail recently that is typical of the pop economic philosophy being heavily touted today in various financial forums. The e-mail contained a petition for the elimination of the Federal Reserves system. The gist of the e-mail was that the credit crisis was caused by the Fed's “loose money policy.”Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 27, 2008
Panicking Investors Rush to U.S. Dollar and Yen Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The past week witnessed mounting evidence that the world economy was facing a sharp downturn, causing unrest to engulf financial markets. Stocks and emerging-market currencies and bonds remained under heavy selling pressure as risk-averse investors rushed to liquidate positions, with the US dollar , Japanese yen and developed-market bonds providing perceived safe havens.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 25, 2008
NYSE Stock Market Crash Circuit Breakers No Help to Portfolios / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The New York Stock Exchange will implement new circuit-breaker collar trigger levels for fourth-quarter 2008 effective Wednesday, October 1, 2008. Circuit-breakers represent the threshold levels at which trading is halted market wide for single-day declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Circuit-breaker levels are set quarterly as 10, 20 and 30-percent of the DJIA average closing values of the previous month, rounded to the nearest 50 points.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Stock Market Long-Term Projections Not Pretty / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The enclosed weekly chart of the DJIA has the look of unfinished business on the downside prior to completing the decline off of the October 2007 high. My annotated directional lines show what the chart would look like based on my current scenario of the Dow heading towards the October 2002 low below 7200.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Stock Market Impressive Rallies Fail to Change Bearish Trend / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: With commodity prices falling, our enemies are going broke.
Short Term - Many of the short term indicators are off the charts, trying to read anything into them is too risky. Last week Alan Greenspan admitted to making mistakes.
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Saturday, October 25, 2008
Stock Market Indices Sharply Off Lows, but the Bleeding Continues / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
It was another negative session on Wall Street, a nasty way to end the week, but at least they came sharply off the early lows. Pre-market futures were limit down, as worldwide markets were down 8-10%, and the indices opened sharply lower, but immediately reversed and had a 3-wave rally that brought the NDX from 1148 to about 1225 in the first couple hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
Government Intervention Changes the Rules of Stock Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention
The government is stepping in to rescue Wall Street and Main Street. This money comes with many strings attached that stem from good intentions. We will get further "help" from the government when a new administration takes over, even if we do not want it. Therefore, investors need to prepare themselves for all this help and the unintended consequences.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
Stock Market Invest for the Long-Term- the Very Long Term / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Note: Horizontal line is where the Nikkei 225 closed on October 22, 2008.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
The Top 10 Stocks that Institutional Investors are Selling / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
What have the Institutional Investors been doing on the "core holdings"?
Which stocks are they Selling off and rotating out of?
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Friday, October 24, 2008
Anatomy of Financial Disaster -The Next Stop / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
These past few weeks we have laid the groundwork for the upcoming economic and financial mess. Lacking a textbook definition of a depression and outright refusal by the media and government to even admit we're in a recession, I will use the unscientific and arbitrary term ‘mess' to describe both the current and upcoming realities. After all, ‘mess' is a scalable term.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
Securities Investors' Bill Of Rights (SIBORAP): Part One of Four / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
We the securities investors of the United States, in order to form more transparent financial markets, establish effective regulations, defend against destructive speculation and manipulation, promote financial well-being, preserve working capital, and protect retirement income, do establish this Securities Investors Bill of Rights and Protections (SIBORAP).Read full article... Read full article...