Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 11, 2008
Dow Jones Reverses 860 Points Higher in 40 Minutes, but Still Closes Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Another historical day and probably one of the most volatile days I've ever seen, including a late historical rally as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Stock Market Bottom, Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
These are unprecedented times. The markets are showing their true animal nature because they are trading on emotions, rather than on technicals or fundamentals.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
1929 Style Financial Markets Panic: The De-leveraging Margin Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Panic levels are reaching levels not seen since 1929. We are now in the 3rd. Phase of a de-leveraging process.
Some of you may remember the NYSE Margin chart I posted in late 2007. Basically, it showed that 2007 margin levels were starting to drop from an "extreme" level. Historically, every time we have reached extreme margin levels, they always got unwound . That is where we are now, in an accelerating Phase 3.
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Friday, October 10, 2008
Trading Stock Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Last week was one of the wildest witnessed in the stock markets in modern history. On Monday September 29th stocks started plunging immediately after the US House of Representatives voted down the Wall Street bailout. This steep decline ignited a massive fear spike unlike anything seen in years. It was awe-inspiring to behold.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Capitulation Lows? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
So, the $64,000 question is whether or not we saw THE capitulation low during the first 20 minutes of trading this morning, or one of a series of capitulation lows that will be forthcoming in the upcoming hours/days? Let's be aware that all of the major indices remain in negative territory on the session, which eliminatesRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Stock Market Crash 2008 Performance Round-up / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
I normally publish a performance review of global stock markets at the end of each month, but the meltdown around the world of the past few days necessitated an update.
“If a man does not know what port he is steering for, no wind is favorable to him,” said philosopher Seneca in 4 BC 65 AD. Why am I constantly reminded of this quote when looking at some of the rather haphazard actions taken by governments to alleviate the financial turmoil?
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Friday, October 10, 2008
China Stocks Attractive After Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Larry Edelson writes: Other than cash, gold, and a few select natural resource stocks, the only other investments I'd make in these wild and crazy times are in Chinese companies, buying them hand over fist for the long haul.
Yes, that's right. Even bearing in mind the recent milk/melamine scandal, which is outrageous.
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Friday, October 10, 2008
Central Banks Panic as Bailouts Fail to Halt Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The global economic dam has now cracked wide open. Water is pouring everywhere. The bursting of the dam is a fitting tribute to Paulson's and Bush's $700 billion boondoggle to add liquidity to banks.The public was overwhelmingly against the plan (and rightly so) as were close to 200 economists. Paulson, Bush, Trichet, and Brown all goaded Congress to waste $700 billion of taxpayer money on grounds there would be a global meltdown if the plan was not passed. Congress had it right the first time. The $700 billion bailout helped bust the dam.
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Friday, October 10, 2008
Investment Grade Value Stocks Hit Ten Year Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
There has never been a correction that has not proven to be an investment opportunity. While everything is down in price, there is actually less to worry about than when prices are historically high. More money has been lost by people who bought into last year's markets than by those who will buy into this one, at this stage of the correction. When the going gets tough, the tough go shopping.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
Dow Jones PANIC Selling Crash of 7.3% Worst Since 1987 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Dow Jones led Global stock markets into a continuing to crash as there is no end in sight to the panic selling which today was sparked by the failure of the LIBOR interbank rate to respond to Wednesday unprecedented co-ordinated interest rate cuts by the U.S. Fed, Bank of England and the European Central Bank (ECB), in conjunction with extra liquidity and in Britain's case a bank bailout package that could total as much as £500 billion or 41% of GDP which is on par with the amounts as a percentage of GDP the United States required to recover from the 1930's Great Depression.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
Stock Markets Crash as LIBOR Fails to Respond to Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Jennifer Yousfi writes: Global markets had deep sell-offs as short-term credit markets remained tight, with the three-month lending rate for banks hitting a yearly high.
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) for three-month dollar-denominated loans hit 4.75%, its highest rate so far this year. The LIBOR rate for overnight lending dropped, to 5.09%, but still remains well above the Federal Funds target rate of 1.5%.
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Thursday, October 09, 2008
Stock Market, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
In a July 24, 2008 article, Commodity Breakdowns Warrant Defensive Action , I wrote the following based on the ugly look of the chart of financial stocks (XLF): "While financial stocks have hit a violent intermediate bottom and could rally for a while longer the odds favor lower lows in the months ahead as housing prices continue to decline. The chart below illustrates the structural nature of the problems facing the housing and financial industry.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
NYSE Extreme New Lows Amidst Panic Stock Market Selling / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Which index is now 101.3% higher than the highest reading during the last Bear Market?
The answer is the New Lows on the New York Stock Exchange. The highest level of new Lows was 912 in 2002. Yesterday, the New Lows reached an unprecedented level of 1836. This is a clear sign of panic selling with NO buyers interested in perceived bargains.
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Thursday, October 09, 2008
Stock Market Trouble and Strife, Catch a falling knife? Not on your life / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Hundreds, if not thousands –perhaps even millions– of traders, investors and technicians are waiting eagerly on the sidelines like the boomer sooners of the Oklahoma land rush hoping to catch the bottom of the panic. This is known in the trade as catching the falling knife. It is not a recommended strategy (what is the difference between a tactic and a strategy? as John McCain would say).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
U.S. Treasury To Take Ownership Stake In Banks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
The Fed and Treasury are perplexed. Liquidity schemes like the TAF, PDCF, TSLF, TARP, ABCPMMMFLF, and the CFFF did not help stimulate bank.Liquidity measures cannot solve the crisis or stimulate lending for reasons stated in Pushing on a String In Academic Wonderland and Thoughts On The Commercial Paper Funding Facility .
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Thursday, October 09, 2008
Stock Market Tickertape Death March towards Financial Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Pardon the jumpy style, not burdened by depth, preferring breadth instead. The events of the last few days continue to be remarkable, alarming, chaotic, surreal, and desperate. The globe is slowly realizing that the United States is careening toward a probable financial death experience. Nothing has worked to date, and nothing will work in the present, not bailouts, not liquidations, not nationalizations, not papered over fraud, and surely rate cuts. The stark reality contains a blur of a massive locomotive derailed, having run over the mountain ledge, heading downward in a freefall, subjected to the force of gravity, and ripping through a gigantic erected paper net designed to halt its crash.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
Stock Market Indices Unable to Hold Snapback Rally Gains / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had an extremely volatile session today with wild and wide swings both ways. The day started out with a move lower and sharply from the get-go as pre-market futures were sharply lower. At that point the Nasdaq 100 dipped under 1300 to 1296, and the S&P 500 got down to just under 971.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 09, 2008
European Government's Panic Triggers Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
October 6th , 2008 Issue #32 Vol. 2Black Monday ended with European stock markets down by between 7% and 9%, wiping out more than $2 trillion from global market capitalisation as markets collapsed in response to the disunified panic moves by individual european governments to guarantee all deposits at 100% which is contrary to the outcome of the weekend crisis meeting of European leaders that's only significant result was for a £12billion package of loans for small businesses.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Russian Stock Market Crash and the Currency Factor / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
After taking yet another beating on Monday, Russia found its stock market down 60% on the year-- sixty percent!Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Financial Crisis 2008 Similar to 1987 Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
It's been almost five years since my oldest son and I produced a 45 minute film to see what could be learned from studying the history of certain monetary trends that have been unfolding for decades. And, in our July 2007 newsletter, when I told our readers that we appeared to be at the beginning of a worldwide credit contraction, I quoted from President Franklin Roosevelt's May 7th , 1933 fireside radio chat to the nation.Read full article... Read full article...