Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Expert Views on the Stock Market Credit Crisis and Global Economy / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: John_Mauldin
This week we do something a little different in our Outside the Box. Every weekend I get a very information-filled blog called Investment Postcards from Cape Town ( http://www.investmentpostcards .com ) by Dr. Prieur du Plessis. In it he highlights what he thinks is the most important portion of the writings of 10 to 15 analysts from around the world on the state of the economy and investing, and summarizes the news and data. I find it very useful, as Prieur generally finds a lot of interesting pieces that I miss and go on to read in my effort to stay on top of the markets. You can subscribe on your own if you like by activating the subscription option on the blog.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Long Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares - The Fed Rate Cut Must Succeed! / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So why am I net long the market here, in the form of the Q's -- Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (Nasdaq: QQQQ)?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Use Short Bear Funds to Hedge Crashing Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Donald_W_Dony
With the introduction of the bear fund, analysts and investors have another very valuable tool to review the markets that was not available before. The use of fundamental analysis can provide investors with an inside look at the financial health of a company, its management skills and spot potential difficulties for the organization in the near future. Technical analysis allows the investor to review large numbers of securities, in different time frames, for profit opportunities, but normally only from one perspective; the buy side. The bear fund offers that mirrored image of a security that when used properly, can greatly expands the investors vantage point and provide valuable data that is not available through simple fundamental reviews or only buy-side technical analysis.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Retrospective: The Mysterious Case of Massive Liquidity / Stock-Markets / Money Supply
By: Mack_Frankfurter
“ Perhaps when a man has special knowledge and special powers like my own, it rather encourages him to seek a complex explanation when a simpler one is at hand. ” — Sherlock Holmes, The Adventure of the Abbey Grange (1904)
It now seems so long ago, but it is only a year since global equity markets were entrenched in a relentless march upward, spurred by the “world growth story” and a wave of global liquidity. U.S. and European stock markets gained double-digit returns in 2006 while the emerging markets did even better. Alongside the upward trajectory came a remarkable decline in volatility with the VIX, known as the “fear gauge,” falling to 13-year lows in November and December that same year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Dow Jones Stock Market Diamond Pattern Formation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Captain_Hook
At first glance at the title above, because of the proliferation of Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's), with Dow Diamonds one of the most highly traded examples, one might think a discussion on the related subject matter is what we intend to talk about here today. Of course if you were an experienced market technician, and have been following the trade of late, you might have known right away this is not the case at all. You would have known what we are talking about is a technical formation in the trade that acts as a pivot at tops, usually in relation to larger degree trading ranges. And you also may have known that the Dow is almost finished tracing out another diamond at present, with the timing and circumstances when compared to the 1999 / 2000 sequence similar enough to take notice. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 21, 2008
US Stock Markets - Near Term Bottom or Waterfall Crash? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Joseph_Russo
Hauntingly Familiar
Here we are once again, suddenly embroiled amid a frenzy of financial crisis, and looming bail-out interventions.
The jury is still out as to whether or not this crisis will turn out to be “the big one” that will take down the entire house of cards.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 21, 2008
Stocks Bull Market Ahead: Indicators Read Warp Speed Eight / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Joseph_Dancy
With talk of a serious U.S. economic recession now being commonly heard on every corner, and with the massive write-offs now being taken in the financial sector soon to be followed by massive layoffs, it is a difficult time to be invested in the market. Volatility has been extreme, and we expect that will remain so for the first quarter of 2008. But our indicators point to the fact that later in the year we could see some very positive trends for investors.
Keep in mind that last year was a very poor year for small capitalization stocks. In fact, in general the smaller the company the worse the stock performed.
Monday, January 21, 2008
Stock Market Wake-up Call / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Two years ago I made a call that anyone who's read this newsletter long enough will remember or at least have heard about. In July 2006, with the market at multi-month lows, TTC got long the S&P futures for a move to 1360 that seemed incredible at the time – certainly no one else was seeing it, let alone trading it. But, by October the S&P futures had rapidly advanced 200 points and my target was hit.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 20, 2008
US Stock Markets Crash and Burn Whilst The Fed Fiddles / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
I hate to bash Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, but I'm going to for a few pages. Here's the deal. The current economic threat is screaming for an aggressive inflation solution. Inflation comes from the Fed. Forget about the inflation the Fed has caused over the past 90 years, and the doubling of the money supply to goose markets for the past eight. A lot of that was dead wrong, a theft of our children's future, coming at an unnecessary time.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Bullish for Stock Markets When Economy Hits Bottom / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Roger_Conrad
Sixteen years ago, I was fortunate to work on what I still consider to be one of the best guides to understanding the stock market for US investors: “Market Timing for the Nineties” by Stephen Leeb. At first glance, this book is dated automatically by its title. Its basic premise, however, applies to any decade. In fact, it's more relevant than ever here in 2008, where recession worries have taken over the market mood.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Financial Sector Crash Continues with Gigantic Bad Debt Write-downs / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: The stock market is in a state of near-panic. The Dow tanked another 307 points yesterday, continuing a string of triple-digit declines that have marred the new year. The latest action is proof positive that the credit problems that began in the housing and home mortgage market are spreading out in concentric circles.
They're forcing builders to cut back furiously on home construction. They're causing companies to slash jobs. They're weakening the broader economy, helping drive losses on credit cards, auto loans, and other products higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Bush's Election Year Tax Cut Gimmick as Wall Street Tumble Continues / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The looming economic recession is getting “deer-in-the-headlights” recognition by the politicians in Washington . The unfortunate response is to offer “sound byte” solutions rather than real economic stimulus. The Bush administration and the presidential candidates are all vying for who can offer the most attractive stimulus to voters rather than offer the best solution for a healthy economy. The Wall Street Journal offers some insight into the dilemma that we face. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2008
Financial Markets Roadmap for 2008! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: Today, I'm going to give you my updated roadmap to the markets — a general guide you can use to determine the trends in all the major markets I cover.
My projections are based on actual signals from my computer models. I watch these indicators very closely because they tell me when a fork ... a speed bump ... or a U-turn is coming in the markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2008
Stock and Commodity Market Forecasts 2008 - Enormous Investment Opportunities - Part I / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Ty_Andros
2008 is going to be one for the record books. Like a roller coaster or thrill ride at an amusement park, the economic and financial ups and downs will thrill you and chill you! The opportunities in this year, and the next ten years, are ENORMOUS and as big as ever witnessed in history as the globe evolves and globalization unfolds. As a billion people in the G7 pay the price for their FAILURE to learn history's lessons, ask questions of their elected officials and demand accountability. Three billion people in the emerging world stand poised to ascend to thriving economies and new middle classes on the recipe of that little known economic school of thought called AUSTRIAN economics. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 18, 2008
US Stock Markets Dome Top Signals Tragic End of the Bull Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clive_Maund
The large top area now forming in the main US stock market indices is now approaching completion. Given the horrifying fundamentals it is a wonder that they haven't broken down and gone into freefall already. Only 2 things have supported the market since the major financial crisis burst out into the open last August. One is massive injections of liquidity - money that was created artificially out of nowhere by the Fed and central banks worldwide in order to paper over the cracks and buy time, which must feed through into higher inflation. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Stock Markets Fall to Critical Support - The Moment of Truth? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Marty_Chenard
Are we approaching a "moment of truth"? ... where the market finds a bottom, or loses critical support that has a more serious down move?
Let's explore 3 charts where we can get an understanding of the juncture we have now come to.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Corporate Earnings Estimates for 2008 Defy Logic - Analysts Are Last to Embrace Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Michael_Pento
What a start for the year! The S&P 500 began with its worst initial 5 trading day performance ever, Goldman Sachs joined the chorus of those who are predicting a recession for 2008, consumer confidence sunk to a record low of 56.3 and the Markit CDX North American Investment Grade series 9 index (a measure of corporate bond default risk) climbed to 100 basis points—the widest since the index's inception four years ago.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 17, 2008
2008 Asset Class Investment Outlook Studies Point to Commodities Out performance / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Chris_Ciovacco
2008 Off To Rocky Start As we all know, asset markets do not like uncertainty. With SIVs (structured investment vehicles) and countless shaky mortgages floating through the financial system, uncertainty abounds. Since none of us know how bad things may get or how long this may last, adding some diversification to your portfolio might seem appealing. Below, is a brief look at the relative attractiveness of several asset classes based on what we know today and what we have experienced in the past. As in any environment, there is no perfect way to address the problems of the current day. However, some alternatives appear to be more attractive than others. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Casino Royale Investment Markets - The House Always Wins? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Brian_Bloom
Let there be no misunderstanding. The “investment” markets across the globe have become like casinos and, in trying to make a buck in any of these markets, you are betting against the house. If you want commodity prices in general to rise, and the gold price in particular to rise, you can be sure that the house wants these prices to fall. If you want the price of industrial equities to fall, you can be sure that the house wants them to rise. Who will pocket the most winnings in this monstrous game of roulette? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Investment Portfolios Face Destruction as Credit Crunch Intensifies / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Doug_Wakefield
Are The Levees Starting to Break? - “I have often stopped to ponder our human condition – specifically, our uncanny ability to dismiss the seriousness of an event beforehand and to lament our lack of preparation after it has happened. How many New Orleans residents stated, in some form or fashion, that they never expected the storm to break the levees? But, it's easy to see the rational behind their unresponsiveness. They had been through countless storms since the levees were first established and nothing that dire had ever happened.” – September 2006, The Investor's Mind: Too Costly to Bear Read full article... Read full article...