Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, August 09, 2016
SPX at the Edge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is only a point higher after a failed ramp attempt. A decline beneath yesterday’s low at 2177.85 breaks the first support line. The second is also at Short-term support at 2168.39. Both VIX and the Hi-Lo are far enough away from their triggers that it is likely that the second break may also correspond with their trigger levels.
Yesterday’s trading had the lowest volume of the year.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
Stock Market Low VIX...Low Volume....Disconnect Widens...Negative Divergences On Daily Charts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is getting more and more boring as volatility gets lower and lower. This is due to complacency setting, which is causing the VIX to drop while volatility falls off the earth. This can play on the emotions of traders as things barely move, and they get bored, which causes over playing and more poor choices for their trading portfolio. The market grinds higher as a bull market gets more mature due to the bears leaving the game for the most part. All that is left are the bulls. But let's face it, most are in the game. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. With the bulls in and the bears gone, there's not much to move the averages one way or the other, so the market trades in very thin ranges for most of the day and most of the time as well.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a down day today, but they did come back in the last half hour. The day started out down, they went down sharply, then bounced off support, retested in the afternoon, held, and then came on strong, but did not manage to get back in the plus column.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 14.24 at 18,529.29, 27 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 1.98 at 2180.89, 3 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 6.47 at 4784.74, 14 points off its low.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 2) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Knowing where you are within a trend helps you see around the next corner
In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Financial Fire Hoses and Helicopters / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost.” – Ben Bernanke
Modern finance ultimately comes down to managing serious crises and transitions in a way that is profitable for policy makers and elite. The inevitable chaos, like the death of a fiat currency and the return to a real market price equilibrium, is much more dramatic.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
FTSE Possible Double Top Before Lengthy PBrexit Consolidation / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Ken_Ticehurst
The FTSE has had a dramatic run since Brexit and appears on a short term basis to be overbought, our current forecast is for a high over the coming weeks at or about 7,000, this short term top remains likely as long as the 10, 20 and 50 day moving averages remain in positive alignment.
You will notice the 300 day moving average beginning to turn up in a positive fashion in our forecast whilst price becomes weak, that is a perfectly reasonable part of a consolidation process. The 50 day moving average should act as support if we get a mini consolidation before we get to 7,000.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Today is a Stock Market Pi Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is marginally higher, along with the global equities markets.
ZeroHedge reports, “The meltup continues with the S&P500 set to open at new all time highs as futures rise 0.2% overnight, with European, Asian stocks higher, as job data pushed MSCI Asia Pacific Index towards highest close since Aug. 2015. Germany, U.K. economic data seen positive, with dollar, oil rising, and gold declining.”
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Beware the False Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Beware of a false breakout early week. This is how big money gets out of a position. They create a breakout and then sell to the clueless retail traders that buy the breakout. Buying breakouts rarely works in modern markets.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Stock Market Headed for 10% Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
All the cycles that I follow are topping for the stock market. In fact, ideally, the SPX should top on Monday 8/8 near 2189. I believe we see 1972 by September 1.
The week ahead should see weakness after initial strength. A rally on Thursday should be the “b” wave of an a-b-c type drop into Friday. The expected large drop on Friday could be a monetary issue as Venus squares Saturn on the 13th as Saturn turns stationary/direct. Venus rules money. Saturn also conjuncts the moon Friday (the moon in Sagittarius is often times the low of the cycle); is also an 8 TD low from the 5 week low last week on August 2.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Nasdaq Composite Cup With Handle / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
I expect we will have new highs in Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq by next week. This is actually a better set-up to short but does not mean this trio will all make new highs next week.
The chart below is of the Comp., with a cup and handle chart pattern. You may have to use a little imagination, but it is there.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
New Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Now The Markets Themselves Are Too Big To Fail / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
The First Rebuttal website has coined a term that gets to the heart of an increasingly dysfunctional system: The too-big-to-fail stock market. The general thesis is that most major countries are over-leveraged to that point of maybe being unable to survive a garden variety equities bear market – and are doing whatever it takes to keep that from happening. Here’s First Rebuttal on the effects of such a prop-up-asset-prices-at-any-cost policy:
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks Bull Market Climbs Wall of Worry, Bubble? When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow once more appears imminently ready to set a new all time high after closing Friday at 18,543, barely 50 points away from the last closing all time high of 18,595. Well given the perma-doom of not just the past year but for the duration of this bull market then it should be clear that most stock market analysts, perhaps as many as 95% just don't get it, and likely never will. Which is indicative of a systemic defective thought process which again should not be so surprising since its a case of new analysts learning from old failed analysts forced to make a living by writing and selling books on trading markets.
Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks will have a Waterfall Decline and Silver Price will Skyrocket in August! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it. The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious metals rising. Silver has industrial uses as well as monetary ones, which will come to the forefront as the gold bull market progresses.
Sunday, August 07, 2016
SPX Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2174. After making an all time high on Monday at SPX 2178 the market pulled back to 2148 on Tuesday. After that the market worked its way higher to make another new all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, consumer debt, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, and Q3 GDP estimates. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, Business inventories and Export/Import prices. Best to your weekend and week!
Saturday, August 06, 2016
Donald Trump Warns of ‘Very Scary Scenarios’ for Stocks Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I’m not sure Trump is aware of this Jubilee year, but he certainly understands that the stock market is at a highly dangerous level.
“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump told Fox in an interview, HERE. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”
That is absolutely true and unheard of to be acknowledged by a front-running Presidential candidate.
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Saturday, August 06, 2016
Jobs Report, Stock Market Impetus To The Breakout....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
In the very recent past we experienced a poor Durable Goods Report along with a poor ISM Manufacturing Report. This put a lot of doubt in today's Jobs Report and probably explains to some degree why the market was meandering the past few days. The meandering did some good in that it allowed the oscillators to unwind quite decently on the daily index charts.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Why Most Unloved Stock Market Bull Will Continue to trend higher whether you like it or not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Do not anticipate trouble, or worry about what may never happen. Keep in the sunlight.- Benjamin FranklinThe masses do not believe this market can trend higher; sentiment is decidedly negative, and this has been confirmed time and time again. For months on end investors in the neutral or bearish camp have ranked higher than those in the bullish camp. What is surprising is that the higher this market trends, the more anxious the masses become. In a nutshell, that is precisely why this market will continue to run higher and higher.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
A Global Derivatives Expert Shines the Light on Systematic Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parade-Goer,
As promised in last week’s edition of The Passing Parade, below you’ll find my notes from a wide-ranging and very interesting conversation I had with a friend of mine who recently retired from a position as a very senior risk manager for one of the world’s largest banks.
Unlike most people in his elevated position, my friend—we’ll call him John—is about as down to earth as can be. He lives simply, drives an old truck, and exudes none of the arrogance found in many of his peers.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting day on Thursday. The day started out with a firm opening, they had a hard hit that held support, and then rallied into midday. At that point, they meandered back and forth, and actually drifted lower on the S&P 500, tried to rally late in the day, got back up to the highs on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 fell short and they pulled back. They finished nearly flat, closing mixed on the day.
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