Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Stocks Could Easily Fall 40% From Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
The US is in a recession.
Quarterly earnings by publicly traded corporations have fallen for SIX straight quarters. That covers a time of 18 months.
This has never happened outside of a recession.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Stock Market Unwinding...Nothing Bearish...Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Can you believe it! The market pulled back for a whole day. Who knows, it may do two days in a row. You never know. It's not unusual for a market or a stock to come back and test the level from which it broke out. In this case it's S&P 500 2134. I don't know that we'll get that low, but it's always possible for this market to back test. The fact that it shot decently past 2134 allows it to have a reasonable pullback without breaking support as it unwinds. It would be healthier for the market to back test and get some unwinding, but if it does actually do that, it would likely scare folks that we had a false breakout. I don't think that will occur. It would if the market was playing the real world, but since the market rarely does that it's quite unlikely that we'll break far below 2134 on the S&P 500, thus causing a false breakout from a couple weeks back. The bulls waited a long time to get this breakout, and, with the bears mostly silent, it would be a surprise if this move was a false one. Anything is possible, but it makes little sense.
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Monday, July 25, 2016
Declines in Multiple Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
WTIC is making new lows beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline at 44.25. It may make its target by the next Pi date on August 11. If so, that also leaves the door open for a longer decline into the end of August.
Monday, July 25, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors React To Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, July 25, 2016
Stock Market Top is Expanding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is at an all-time high.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 has continued to a new high.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 24, 2016
Stock Market Has Topped; GDX Continues Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The signs of a stock market top came on July 22 when the SPX made a truncated pseudo 5th wave failure at 2175. There were many astro/cyclical signs pointing to a July 19/20th top. My thinking regarding a continuation higher for the stock market is now not warranted.
GDX is about to break an important uptrend line and the technical/cyclical read is down hard next week to near $25 .20. Gold and silver could make a final bottom in early August.
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Saturday, July 23, 2016
Stock Market Wealthbuilder Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Technical Overview:
Short Term Trend: Bullish
Medium Term Trend: Bullish
Long Term Trend: Rising From Neutral.
Long Stochastics: Overbought
Short Stochastics: Overbought
Vix: Very Low/ Risk High.
McC. Oscillator: Bullish
A/D Line: Bullish
This market is very much overbought. However, the McClennan Oscillator indicates that prices could easily move higher without too much effort as its price is positioned in the middle of its current trading range.
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Saturday, July 23, 2016
SPX Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2162. The market had a small bounce on Monday, then pulled back to SPX 2159 on Tuesday. Wednesday the market opened higher and rallied to SPX 2176, a new all time high. Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2160, then rallied on Friday to end the week at 2175. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.55%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: the NAHB and the Philly FED. On the uptick: building permits, housing starts, existing home sales, the FHFA, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting and Q2 GDP.
Saturday, July 23, 2016
Stock Market Caution ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Time goes on, but risk levels remain high ... here is why ...
Take a look at this 10 year chart of the VIX that we posted below and observe two things.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
The Serious Warning No One’s Talking About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
On Tuesday, a huge event happened in the investing world.
But if you’re like most Americans, you probably haven’t even heard about it.
The mainstream media didn’t discuss this event much. It was too busy pointing out that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have hit new all-time highs.
Meanwhile, something much bigger was happening on the other side of the world.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
NASDAQ Pulling the Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The Nasdaq Nov/Dec high may act like a magnet to pull the S&P 500 price higher before generating a half cycle top.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Rally IS Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Joseph_VanDerveer
VIX verse OEX
Many fund managers and analysts are calling for much higher prices in the market near term, medium term, and long term, extremely bullish sentiment. These are the ingredients for making a top in the market. We have very high sentiment, overbought oscillator, and some other technical clues illustrated below.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Insight from Greed, Volatility, and Put/Call Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I was recently looking at the CNN money website where they post this fear & green index. I caught my attention because many other aspects of the market are now also showing signs an imminent correction in the stock market.
This analysis is a contrarians play, meaning you believe that when mass majority of market participants are thinking and doing the same thing, you believe the market is about to change direction.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
S&P 500 Suggests Much Higher Prices Coming In 2016 And 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: InvestingHaven
Let’s get things straight: when an asset consolidates for more than 2 years, refuses to break down when the whole world seems to be falling apart, but then decides to break out from its consolidation pattern, it is a clear message that it has sufficient energy to go much higher.
We are talking U.S. stocks.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Stock Market Aggressive Short Entry Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced from the trendline, as expected. This may be a good aggressive entry point…
…Please understand that the bounce may either be finished or continue in the morning.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Investments - If You Can’t Touch it, You Don’t Own it / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Thomas
The pending Brexit has, not surprisingly, caused a shakeup in the investment world, particularly in the UK. Of particular note is that, recently, asset management firms in Britain began refusing their clients the right to cash out of their mutual funds. Of the £35 billion invested in such funds, just under £20 billion has been affected.
For those readers who live in the UK, or are invested in UK mutual funds, this is reason to tremble at the knees.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
What Will Happen To the Stock Market When Interest Rates Rise? / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Charles_Carnevale
Interest rates have been in a freefall for the better part of the past two decades. Moreover, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury, which is the flagship interest rate benchmark, has mostly been below 2% since the beginning of 2012. The 10-year Treasury note did reach 3% by the end of 2013 but has promptly fallen ever since to its current level of 1.59 percent.
In contrast, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 hovers at an all-time high. Moreover, after the stock market bottomed in February 2009 as a result of the Great Recession, stock market investors have enjoyed a strong bull market that is now almost halfway into its 8th year running. Interestingly, as it relates to the thesis of this article, the stock market had one of its best performances in 2013 in spite of the 10-year Treasury note rising from 1.78% to 3.04% by the end of the year. To be clear, in direct conflict with conventional wisdom, both the stock market and interest rates rose dramatically in 2013.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
How to Escape the World’s Biggest Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
It’s the top story in the investment world right now…
As we showed you yesterday, the S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high, topping 2,130 for the first time since May 2015.
But it's not just stocks that are ripping higher.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Don’t Get Sucked Back Into the Stock Market - The Big Picture Hasn’t Changed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
Stocks are on a tear right now…
Today, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high. It topped 2,130 for the first time since May 2015. The benchmark index is now up 6.9% over the past two weeks.
All good, right?
It might seem that way…if we were only analyzing U.S. stocks.
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Thursday, July 21, 2016
Stocks are Pressing Against Their Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is nudging at the Trading Channel trendline at 2170.00. A decline beneath it would be considered an aggressive sell signal. More conservative traders would still consider the trendline at 2160.00 as an aggressive sell signal, instead. Take your pick. There is still time for the trade to develop.
Aggressive traders should be used to whiplash by now. However, there is much to be said about a well-placed trade.
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