Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, July 29, 2016
The Next Recession is Coming - Expect Around 0% Returns for the Next 7 Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
The next recession is coming, and it will be severe.
My friend Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research just updated his Economic Cycle Dashboard and sent me a personal email with some of his thoughts.
Here is his chart (click on it to see a larger version).
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Friday, July 29, 2016
Good Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very interesting day with it opening lower, then jumping higher, pulling back by midday, holding support on both indices, rallying sharply in the afternoon, and then pulling back in the last few minutes. They managed to eke out a positive day on the Nasdaq 100, which was led by Amazon.
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Friday, July 29, 2016
Is the Stock Market Tape Being Painted for Hillary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
In the old-school lexicon of Wall Street, the term "painting the tape" referred to the large scale purchase of market-moving stocks by insiders for the purpose of giving the market an appearance of strength. Painting the tape was practiced by "pools" and large firms who were in the know; it was designed primarily to present a picture of strength when there was an undercurrent of weakness. Painting the tape was also done in some cases to trick amateur traders into buying certain individual stocks by means of manipulating the stock's trading volume.
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Friday, July 29, 2016
SPX is Shaking and Rolling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I don’t believe that I have seen anything quite like this before. I am certain that Citadel and the central banks are doing their utmost to keep equity values at their elevated levels. It appears to be the only thing left to do to validate their existence.
Nonetheless, there appear to be cracks in the structure leading to a possible breakdown. All of this reminds me of the Tacoma Narrows bridge, otherwise known as “Galloping Gertie.”
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Stock Market Insiders Are Secretly Selling, Cycle Top Next Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was “Panic Buying” that pushed the Dow Jones and the SPX Indices to record highs. To be sure there is trouble brewing in this rally. Smart money has left the stock market, as the charts at the end of this article will display!
While Wall Street insiders appear to know that something is seriously amiss with the economy, no one is warning the retail investor.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
SPX Premarket is Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Futures are still on a rollercoaster as the earlier rise in the Premarket is given up to a flat scenario.
ZeroHedge reports, “Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, with the BBDXY down 0.5% in early trading after slipping 0.4% over the previous two sessions.”
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Stock More Short-Term Uncertainty - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, July 28, 2016
The Stock Market Is Now Set Up For a Monster Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday, I pointed out that the markets were severely overvalued relative to earnings.
Today, I’m going to show you just how extended the S&P 500 is.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Zero Percent Mortgages Debut Setting up the Next Stage for this Stock Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Sol_Palha
Although gold dust is precious, when it gets in your eyes it obstructs your vision.
Hsi-Tang
Economists stated that main trigger for the financial crisis of 2008 was the issuance of mortgages that did not require down payments. The ease at which one could get mortgages in the past is what drove housing prices to unsustainable levels. Post-crisis all banks vowed to end the practice forever, or that is what they wanted everyone to believe. When the credit markets froze, we openly stated that the 1st sign that banks were getting ready to lower the bar again would come in the form of Zero percent balance transfer offers that had all but vanished after 2008. A few years after 2008, banks started to mail these offers out, and now everywhere you look you can find 0 % balance transfer offers ranging from 12 months to 18 months. The next step after that would be for banks to lower the 20% down payment required to something much lower. Currently, Bank of America and a few other banks are offering 3% down mortgages.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
SPX, TNX May Finish their Rallies. BKX May lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
At last there may be some resolution to this rally. The Triangle formation is an introduction to the terminal thrust for this rally. A Triangle formation also suggests this may be the last of the rallies. I drew the upper channel trendline in the same manner as the 2-hour chart. It shows a probable terminus of the last thrust closer to 2185.00. Given the rise in volatility that the Fed meeting may engender, it may be a more likely top than the minimum 2180.00 that I mentioned yesterday.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Topsy-Turvy, Volatile Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market had a topsy-turvy, volatile session. The indices were up sharply in the morning, came down sharply midmorning, rallied back midday, came down again in the afternoon, made higher lows, and then rallied back at the end of the day, finishing mixed on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 19.31 at 18,473.75. The S&P 500 was up .70 at 2169.18. The Nasdaq 100 was up 6.18 at 4672.11.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Stock Market Should be Going Down And Yet... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
Everything seems to say this market should be going down... and yet... price is always the final arbiter. July through October is a seasonally bullish period of the year for the VIX. The VIX closed last Friday at 12.02. The last time the VIX was below 13.00 was last August just before the S&P 500 declined over 11.00%... and yet...
Sentiment is at an extreme. The CNN Fear & Greed index is at 83 which is a level described as "extreme greed". The NAAIM Exposure index is at 96 which is as bullish as it has ever gotten... and yet...
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Deutche Bank Stock Price Crash - The EU Has Problems Far Beyond the Brexit / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Harry_Dent
The Dow dropped nearly 1,000 points (5%) and the London FTSE dropped 10% after the Brexit vote surprised the markets on June 23. After two days though, markets were marching back up again.That’s just like markets on “crack!” They react to political events, but totally miss the fundamentals.
Yes, Brexit is important. Years from now it will be recognized as the beginning of the end for the great Eurozone experiment.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
SPX is Flat, Crude is Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is flat this morning. Normally, at the beginning of the Fed meetings, I would expect the SPX futures to be higher. That may be the case prior to the open. If this is a “buy the rumor, sell the news” moment, I would anticipate that all the rumors may have already been played out.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Nasdaq Pulling the Stock Market Up, and Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Markets don’t generally go through a major resistance zone on the first try. Notice it took the S&P 5 tries before it could break through the 2015 high.
I think we can expect the same thing when the Nasdaq tests the all-time highs. It should pull back, and I expect it will take the rest of the markets down with it. Nasdaq will likely pull back to the 5,000 level.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Nasdaq Closed Flat Despite Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the week on a very weak note, and although an afternoon comeback from midday hold of secondary support created a market rally that saw a late afternoon pullback consolidation, and then a strong surge in the last half hour to take back a big chunk of losses back. However, they were unable to get to through to the positive side, although the Nasdaq 100 closed nearly flat on the day after being down as much as 15 points.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Stocks Could Easily Fall 40% From Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
The US is in a recession.
Quarterly earnings by publicly traded corporations have fallen for SIX straight quarters. That covers a time of 18 months.
This has never happened outside of a recession.
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Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Stock Market Unwinding...Nothing Bearish...Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Can you believe it! The market pulled back for a whole day. Who knows, it may do two days in a row. You never know. It's not unusual for a market or a stock to come back and test the level from which it broke out. In this case it's S&P 500 2134. I don't know that we'll get that low, but it's always possible for this market to back test. The fact that it shot decently past 2134 allows it to have a reasonable pullback without breaking support as it unwinds. It would be healthier for the market to back test and get some unwinding, but if it does actually do that, it would likely scare folks that we had a false breakout. I don't think that will occur. It would if the market was playing the real world, but since the market rarely does that it's quite unlikely that we'll break far below 2134 on the S&P 500, thus causing a false breakout from a couple weeks back. The bulls waited a long time to get this breakout, and, with the bears mostly silent, it would be a surprise if this move was a false one. Anything is possible, but it makes little sense.
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Monday, July 25, 2016
Declines in Multiple Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
WTIC is making new lows beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline at 44.25. It may make its target by the next Pi date on August 11. If so, that also leaves the door open for a longer decline into the end of August.
Monday, July 25, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors React To Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral