Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally End It’s Close… very close / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Ed_Carlson

The biggest rallies occur in bear markets and equities have had an impressive run after leaving behind a double-bottom in January and February - but the “end is near”.  In election years, March is a seasonally strong month for equities but this year, the March rally got started early in the first half of February. Several signs point to a top either last Friday or sometime this week.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Waning Enthusiasm for Stock Buybacks Signals Major Stock Market Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: EWI

"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)

Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Stock Market Myths, and What’s Wrong with the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Stock market myths

Over the decades we have all learned to accept that earnings drive stock prices. Rising earnings – rising stock markets and stocks. Falling earnings – falling stock markets and stocks. In fact, there have been numerous studies, using current, future and lagging earnings, to determine an appropriate market price earnings multiple. Then standard deviations from that multiple are used to suggest a risk-on or risk-off investment climate.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

US Dollar, Oil and Bonds Three-way Dance... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD closed at the bottom of its trading range today, beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance at 97.17. The Cycles Model suggests the USD may continue its decline through March 25 and possibly longer.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

FANG Annihilated....Energy Leading....Changes Abound....Again!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

We have had a bifurcated market for the entire year. The Nasdaq is now down nearly 7% for the year, with the S&P 500 down only a drop over 2%. Why is that you ask? Simple really. The bear market is froth, but still hasn't died as evidenced by the action in the world of the FANG!! Facebook, Inc. (FB), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), all slaughtered big time today, along with all of them losing key, exponential moving averages. Some lost all three in today's action alone. Merciless selling in leaders with high beta and higher P/E's.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Is This Whole Stock Market Bounce Just One Big Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

I don’t trust this rally.

Few analysts realize that the sharpest, most aggressive rallies occur during bear markets. The reason for this is that during bear markets, investors tend to go short (borrow shares to bet on a collapse).

So when the market rallies even a little bit, it often will go absolutely vertical as these individuals panic and cover their shorts (which increases the buying).

Monday, March 07, 2016

The Rebound in Stocks Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

After taking a beating in January the S&P 500 has rebounded by about 5% in February, and this uptrend has continued into March. But before you think it's safe to jump back into long positions, it's important to realize why the market went down in the first place, and why February's rebound won't last.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Stock Market SPX Index Below Key Supports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket declined beneath the 2-hour Cycle Top at 1994.33 and the weekly mid-Cycle support at 1993.04 this morning.

ZeroHedge Reports, “In the aftermath of last week's disappointing G-20 Shanghai summit, there was much riding on this weekend's start of the China's People's Congress, and specifically what if any stimulus announcement Beijing will make; sadly for stimulus addicts Chinadisappointed and after the unimaginative scope of growth proposals none of which it will come remotely close to hitting, it is hardly surprising that European stocks and US equity futures have taken a leg lower, even if Chinese stocks rose and certain commodities such as Iron Ore soared overnight on hopes China will either "rationalize" capacity or at least build some more roads to nowhere. Others, such copper were less lucky.”

Monday, March 07, 2016

Stocks Bear Market to Begin in Earnest / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: Our forecast algorithm is currently predicting a global stock market rout to begin in earnest over the next few weeks and months, below is our monthly forecast for the S&P 500 which we believe is about to enter a correction lasting until early 2017.

Monday, March 07, 2016

SP500 Stock Market Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: David_Petch

Interesting charts to present today with the S&P 500 Index, which is probably a better market to follow to reflect global economy. As we are all aware, the US Dollar still remains the reserve currency of the US Dollar and with that privilege, it extends into the US stock market. As uncertainties build around the globe, money will look for a home...it may not be the prettiest home, but it is likely the securest.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Facebook TOP Formation - Stock Market Crash Condition Signal Recorded / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Dr_David_J_Harris

This article presents an analysis of Facebook stock price. The novel mathematical technique adopted here is an exciting new way to analyze price movement.

• A new market timing technique has been developed by the author to identify significant top and bottom events in price movement.
• The new market timing tool shows that Facebook has a single 14 week window of opportunity from late January to late April for a significant top to be recorded in 2016.
• An additional mathematical model has been developed by the author to predict and identify stock market bubbles and crashes.
• The bubble identification model shows a current score of 96% for Facebook indicating that the top of the bubble has been reached or is close at hand, and a crash condition is now in effect.
• The model predicts that all bubbles must deflate back to the point where the bubble started to grow, which will mean a drop of at least 30% to 50% for Facebook over coming months.
• This technique was originally used to successfully identify the top of Apple Inc. and has also been used to propose a recent US stock market top in late Spring 2015.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Gold Has Topped, Higher Highs Expected in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The SPX 8 TD top was due Thursday and we are in the mid band of the Sun translation to Neptune, Saturn and Jupiter on Friday (TD 9). This reversal band has a 10 TD reversal time frame from March 4th, which points to March 18 (OPEX) as the latest we could see a top in the stock market. My chart and indicators corroborates a March 18th top and an early April first low. The 16 TD low is due Monday, so a pullback Monday would not surprise me and we could go as low as 1959 to as high as the 1971/82 area.  A 76 point rally from Monday into Wednesday looks likely. June looks likely to be a nesting of lows for the next move down and then late October after that.

Sunday, March 06, 2016

Stock Market Max Projection Complete - Distribution Should Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend:  Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend – .618 retracement reached.  End of rally likely.

 Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, March 06, 2016

Stocks About To Collapse Or Rally To All-Time Highs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: InvestingHaven

It really is as black-and-white for stock markets: stocks will either collapse in a 2008-alike fashion or shine soon at all-time highs, at least that is what our data points are telling us. Let’s review our key indicators in order to forecast which scenario is playing out right now.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Stocks Have Rallied Based on Hope (Nothing’s Changed) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

What a different four weeks makes.

Four weeks ago, the S&P 500 had just taken out critical support. Everyone was panicking that the market was about to implode.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally Nearly Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 1948. On Monday the market rallied to SPX 1958, then sold off to 1932 by the close. Tuesday, however, kicked off a rally with a gap up opening that carried the market to SPX 2009 by Friday afternoon. Then after a pullback to SPX 1993 the market closed 2000. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.45%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.50%, and the DJ World index gained 4.0%. On the economic front reports again came in negatively biased again. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, the ADP, factory orders, monthly payrolls and the GDPn. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, auto sales, ISM services, the WLEI, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week two FED speeches on tap Monday, then the ECB meets on Thursday.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Stock Market VIX Short-Term Bottoming Candle?....Bullish Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

So many questions. Not sure I have all the answers you're looking for, but we can do our best to try and understand what's taking place. The VIX has been in a stealth down trend off the top. Other than the occasional up day, it had not had the classic gap-down day that turned hollow at the end of the day.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Stock Market Pop-n-drop is Probable...or Maybe just a Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

As mentioned last night, the algos took the SPX futures to 2002.50 before rolling over. This appears to be the final probe of the rally. Although the Premarket may currently show a positive number, chances are that the market may open in the red.

The only reason that I can give for this final surge is that the 61.8% retracement level is 1999.44.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Stock Market Technicals Stay Strong Despite Early Morning Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really good session, even though they were down in the morning, and looked like they could be breaking, especially the Nasdaq 100. Both the advance-decline and up/down volume were very strong, even during the down part of the session. It led me to believe we would get a rally, and we did, taking the S&P 500 to new highs, but the Nasdaq 100 closed down on the day.

Thursday, March 03, 2016

SPX Breaks its First Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX just broke its 2-hour Cycle Top at 1980.09, suggesting an end to this swing rally. It is now in a retracement back above that support. When it is broken a second time this may be a good aggressive short entry for any dry powder at hand. Confirmation may not come until SPX declines beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 1937.03. However, the decline has the potential to be massive, so take your best shot.