Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

The Stock Markets Are Misreading the Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The US markets are in a quandary.

On the one hand, some of the data (GDP growth, unemployment, etc.) suggests the Fed should continue to hike rates. On the other hand, other data points (food stamp usage, labor participation rate) suggest the US never actually entered a real recovery.

More importantly, how can the jobs data suggest such a strong employment situation… when one in seven Americans are on food stamps?

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

That Makes TWO Central Bankers Ringing Bells At Market Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

In the last month, we’ve had two major confessions from Central Bankers.

We’ve already detailed the first, which came from the Head of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda.

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

Stock Market Primary Cycle ...in hours! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX closed precisely at the trendline of its Broadening (bearish) Flag formation. The rally from February 11 to the top took almost exactly 86 hours. This was no coincidence.

This would be considered a Primary Cycle in hours. Primary Cycles are often described in superlatives. Unfortunately, my Cycles Model works in days and I have to do the additional calculation for the hours.

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

Stock Markets Dow, FTSE Tracking Crude Oil Rally Towards New All Time Highs 2016! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow's latest 350 point surge higher to 16,836 has put the stocks index within 4% of setting a new high for the year, so it's not looking like it's going well for the stocks bears who at least into early February were proclaiming that the Great Bear Market Apocalypse was upon us. Instead for the past couple of weeks or so have been increasingly going into hibernation. Though I have to give it to the perma bears, those who have been wrong for the longest are still out there pumping out bear market and crash rhetoric of 30%, 40% even more than a 50% drops!

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

Spectacular Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market definitely had a turn-round Tuesday as the indices exploded from the get-go. They ran very sharply higher until midday when they consolidated, and then stair-stepped their way higher at a shallower angle, but still continued strong until the close when they spiked right into the close to finish at the highs for the day going away.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 348.58 at 16,865.08. The S&P 500 was up 46.12 to 1978.35. The Nasdaq 100 was up 132.50 to 4333.61, up 132% and more than 3% for the day.

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

Stock Market In Like a Lion, Out Like a Lamb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

"In like a lion, out like a lamb" is a proverb describing the month of March. The month of March usually starts with cold, unpleasant weather, but ends mild and pleasant. Seasonality in equity markets during the eighth year of a Presidential term had led me to expect quite the opposite but it now appears equity markets may more closely resemble weather expectations. My Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high on February 29 (or very close to it) is outlined below.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

SPX Makes a Broadening Flag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX is completing a Broadening Flag formation at 1970.19. Its average target appears to be 1504.10. These are different from a Broadening Top, since they are reversal formations, while a Broadening Flag is a consolidation formation indicating a resumption of the previous move and may be more potent in terms of its ultimate target.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Stock Market, Gold Topping Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The charts below were sent out to my subs last night. The SPX is in a bearish rising wedge formation and it looks like a top on March 2 near 1980 is in the offing. Gold and GDX are breaking down. The GDX charts below are just a possibility, but often times tops like this take longer than that projected in the charts below. March 14th is the new projected low for the stock market. A minimum of around 1840 SPX looks likely by that date. A rally into or around March 24 at this point looks likely for the stock market.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Is the Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"An ounce of patience is worth a pound of brains." ~ Dutch Proverb

Throughout this bull-run, a plethora of reasons has been laid out to indicate why this bull should have ended years ago. Mind you most of those reasons are valid, but that is where the bucket stops. Being right does not equate to making money on Wall Street. In fact, the opposite usually applies. The Fed recreated all the rules by flooding the markets with money and creating and maintaining an environment that fosters speculation.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

DOW Stocks Index Set For Bullish 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Austin_Galt

Ahh, the Ides of March. This is a time when stock market participants get the heebie-jeebies and it is my expectation that the first part of the month will play into this superstitious claptrap. However, once an expected higher low is in place, then a big move to the upside will be witnessed that sees March end impressively in the green.

The January analysis outlined the expectation of a move down to put in a higher low. Bingo. The February analysis outlined the expectation of another downside test that puts in another higher low. Bingo again. In this March analysis, I'm gunning for the jackpot prize in calling for one final downside test to put in yet another higher low before price launches higher big time.

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Disturbing Global Shift Toward Financial Conservatism - Global Markets 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: EWI

An excerpt from our new State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition

Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

Stock Market Nothing Bearish Yet...Hesitation For Now...Still Nowhere... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Right now is an EXTREMELY critical time for the market, and I'll explain why so pay attention. On Thursday of last week, we made a triple top breakout on the S&P 500 above 1947. A full candle day above that key level as we closed on the highs. The key was to see follow-through the very next day, Friday. We got just that. A nice follow-through early in the day, but we got overbought. Overbought can stay that way, but not this time, as we fell back and closed at 1948. One tail up, thus, not the best action for the bulls. We came in to today no longer overbought, so no more excuses. We started out slightly red, but blasted higher as the morning went along. Halfway through the afternoon the fun stopped on the up side.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Overseas Stock Markets are Down. SPX Targeted by HFTs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is marginally lower this morning. However, it has not crossed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 142.90, so anything may happen at the open.

The largest influence on the markets appears to be China. ZeroHedge reports, “After the G-20 ended in a wave of global disappointment, leading to the biggest Yuan devaluation in 8 weeks, and sending Chinese stocks into a tailspin on concerns the PBOC has forsaken its stock market as well as speculation the housing bubble is now sucking up excess liquidity which in turn pushed global market deep in the red to start the week, it was the PBOC's turn to scramble in a panicked reaction to sliding risk exactly one month after Japan unveiled its own desperation NIRP, and as reported before unexpectedly cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 0.5% to 17.0%, the first such cut in 2016 and the 5th since the start of 2015.”

Monday, February 29, 2016

Another Pull Back in the Stock Market Due? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I was doing what most traders were doing, being swayed by the momentum indicators.  Last time we saw the momentum indicators where they are now we pulled back a little and then continued on up.  That was early October 2015. The problem is, the current e-wave formation has an irregular bottom that formed after the February 8 low and that was on February 11, which suggests a move below the last low of SPX 1810 and soon.  And here we have the astros confirming along with the very short term momentum indicators agreeing.

Monday, February 29, 2016

Is the Stocks Bear Rally Ending At A 50% Retracement? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Next down-phase close at hand.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, February 28, 2016

“Somebody” Stepped In to Prop Up Stocks Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

At this point the manipulations are getting ridiculous.

“Someone” decided to step in a prop up stocks yesterday. How do we know it was a market prop and not real investors?

There were several “tells.”

Sunday, February 28, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Nearing its Peak / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 1918. After a gap up opening on Monday the market rallied to SPX 1947. After that it pulled back, aided by two gap down openings, to SPX 1891 by Wednesday. Then helped by two gap up openings the market rallied to SPX 1963 by Friday, and ended the week at 1948. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.55%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.80%, and the DJ World index gained 0.90%. Economic reports for the week were neutral. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, durable goods, the FHFA, personal income/spending, the PCE, and existing home sales. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, the WLEI, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims increased. Next week’s reports are highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week!

Saturday, February 27, 2016

Challenging S&P 500 1947/Breakout....Sentiment Changes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

A very interesting week as the S&P 500 made a strong move upward towards the double top breakout at 1947. It succeeded at getting through. That was as of the close yesterday, so naturally when you get a breakout what you want to see is follow-through, which was the case this morning when we woke up to some very strong futures. The breakout was on with a move to 1962 early on in the day. A nearly 1% move, which can be confirming, but only on a closing basis. When the day was over we saw the S&P 500 pull back, and, thus, it closed only one point above the breakout level, which is not enough to yet confirm that breakout move. Above, but not by enough. So yes, the market has made its strong move off the bottom, but now we get some deeper understanding about what's taking place. About whether this was a rally in a bearish environment, or whether the market is ready for much higher prices. When you study this evening's charts you'll see some very interesting back tests that got stopped today.

Saturday, February 27, 2016

Stocks Rally on Lies, Fantasy, and Hope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

What should we make of the rally in stocks, world stocks, metals, materials, oil, junk bonds, and everything else that could be counted as an asset in the third week of February, 2016? Well, not much. When central banksters want a rally, we get a rally!

The stock rally can easily be explained through ‘calendar-ization’. This is a term that I coined a few years back so if you reuse it, send me some money. What it means is this. Every year, central bankers and their shills (Wall Street, bankers, financial media) goose asset prices in the fourth quarter so investors will get a pretty statement in January. Knowing that the next quarterly statement doesn’t get printed until April, these same manipulators take off the better part of January to rest and restock their inkjet money printers. Naturally, asset prices swoon. Realizing that most investors get monthly statements as well, these manipulators go into panic mode and begin to goose asset prices to mute the damage of January. If the selling in January is too brutal, as was the case this year (2016), the manipulators hold off until February. Then we get a rerun of the same movie.

Saturday, February 27, 2016

Learn Why 2015 Was a Key Transition Year for Stocks, Early Stages of Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Steve Hochberg explains why he thinks we're in the early stages of a bear market

Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg talks to Moe Ansari on Market Wrap Radio. You'll hear his take on what we've seen in the markets so far in 2016 -- and why Steve thinks 2015 was a "transitional" year.