Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Japan Has Officially Lost Control of Its Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words.
The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE).
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Why This Financial Crisis Will Be Worse Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.
All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Stock Market Drop Likely Monday, Gold Price Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The technicals, cycles and astro-read suggest a high probability of a severe drop in the stock market Monday to as low as the low/mid SPX 1840’s. The SPX likely completed the 100 TD low 16 TD’s on February 11. The SPY grid lines below shows lines of support and resistance.
Sunday, February 21, 2016
India Stock Market BSE SENSEX Bombay's Last Hurrah / Stock-Markets / India
By: Austin_Galt
The BSE SENSEX is the Indian stock index which trades out of Mumbai or Bombay for those with a sense of nostalgia. Price hit a low of 22600 on the 12th February 2016 which was just over 24% down from the 2015 high of 30024.
So, is that the end of the bear market? In my opinion, the answer is both yes and no. What? That sounds like I'm having a bob each way which is not uncommon for many technical analysts, I dare say!
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
An eventful holiday shortened week. The market started the week on Tuesday at SPX 1865. After gap up openings on Tuesday/Wednesday the SPX reached 1931. After that it pulled back to 1902 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.7%, NDX/NAZ gained 3.7%, and the DJ World index gained 3.8%. Economics reports for the week were again biased negative. On the uptick: the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, GDPn, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: NY/Philly FED, NAHB, housing starts, building permits, leading indicators and the WLEI. Next week we get the second estimate to Q4 GDP, the PCE, and more housing reports.
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment...Looking At The Technical World..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is showing some very interesting pattern set-ups on the daily index charts. The oscillators on the attempted pullback on those daily charts are holding nicely with many of the bear market stocks not showing a move lower on those oscillators as their price pulls back. A sign of many bear-market stocks bottoming? It could very well be, but that answer only comes with certainty when we experience the next strong down move. So far so good. Many stocks are in very deep bear markets, even though our indexes are not. Individual stocks from all over the stock-market world are experiencing some horrific moves lower. There are some signs based on positive divergences that this process may be in the very beginning stages of turning around.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Stock Market Danger Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may ask, “Why the rally back to the zero line?”
The first answer is, “Because it can.” That’s what support and resistance lines are meant to portray. They represent pockets of buying power or selling pressure, depending on which side you are coming from.
There is another reason. Computer algorithms can be trained to “sense” these areas and use them to the owner’s advantage. In this case, it may be to the owner’s advantage to maintain the market at this level so that certain options will pay off.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Equity Outflows Resume... It’s Time to be All-in Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off Intermediate-term support at 1904.40 this morning. There are a couple more supports that must be taken out today so progress may be slow, but steady on the downside. This assumes no catalyst rears its ugly head to spark the panic decline today.
Despite the three-day rally, we have seen the longest streak of equity outflows since 2008.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Premarket Stock Market Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has fallen to its 2-hour mid-Cycle support in the Premarket. This is unusual for OpEx in the Index Futures. It suggests some turmoil that may carry over to the open. OpEx Fridays are usually more volatile than normal, but this type of activity before the open is unusual.
ZeroHedge reports, “Not even this morning's mandatory European open ramp has been able to push US equity futures higher, and as a result moments ago the E-mini hit session lows on rising concerns about Brexit as talks drag on in Brussles, but mostly as a result of overnight confusion about China's loan explosion and whether the PBOC has lost control over its maniacally-lending banks.”
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Stocks, Commodities, Bonds, Gold and Currencies Weekly Views / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
It occurs to me that in public writing I tend to bludgeon people with macro fundamentals (like gold vs. positively correlated markets, yield relationships and even confidence in global policy makers), market indicators (VIX, Equity Put/Call, Gold-Silver ratio, Sentiment, Participation, etc.) and other views beneath the surface of things. So much so that I sometimes forget that people might like to see simple nominal charting as a frame of reference.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Support for Stock Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
The recent downward slide for North American indexes appears to have found a floor.
After declining for much of the last six weeks, the key U.S. indexes have all reached their 200-week moving averages (m/a) and stopped.
Only the commodity-heavy TSX went right through its 200-week m/a and settled on the lower support level of 12,000.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
How Rogue Market Price Spikes Can Make You Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Stocks are taking a breather today from the recent rally off our cycle lows and support level. As explained and shown in this morning’s video we are expecting stocks to stall out over the next 5 days and become choppy.
Any weakness in stocks means money will flow into metals and that is what happened on Thursday afternoon.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
How Investors Can Leverage the Most Powerful Force in the Universe / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016
By: Investment_U
Andrew Gordon writes: Investing in the early days of an initial public offering (IPO) isn’t what it used to be.
Last year’s IPOs are a shining example. Shares of tech companies that IPO’d in 2015 averaged around a 40% drop from their first-day closing price to current prices.
The kind of gains you would have gotten from Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) (over 35,000% since its IPO), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) (over 53,000%) and Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) (nearly 16,000%) are nowhere to be found among newly minted public companies.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The short-covering rally in SPX appears to be broken. Confirmation of the reversal is close by, at Intermediate-term support/resistance at 1911.56.
The peak in the cash market was at 14:21 hours yesterday. The rally was 21.5 market hours in length after a 56 hour decline. SPX is now going into a Wave C panic decline that may last between 4.3 and 6.14 days. Wave A will look like a picnic by comparison.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Donald Trump is Scaring Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
Oaktree's Howard Marks spoke with Stephanie Ruhle and David Westin on Bloomberg TV's "Bloomberg <GO>" on how the presidential election and Trump are scaring investors. He also discussed his bet on Jeffrey Gundlach's upstart investment firm, DoubleLine Capital.
On how the presidential election is impacting markets, Marks said: "They're scaring the hell out of people." Of Trump he added: "Donald says, the Chinese are killing us. The Mexicans are killing us. The Japanese are killing us. But we're going to get the jobs back. And I think that people tend to believe him…The others compete to be equally fearful and dramatic."
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stocks Have Taken Out Critical Support… Prepare Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
One of the most critical lines to watch is the 12-month moving average for stocks.
Historically this line has served well as a proxy for determining if stocks were in a bull or bear market. When stocks rallied above this line, they were in a bull market. When they fell below this line, they were in a bear market.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Strong Stock Market Session with Strong Underlying Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a big day today. They gapped up big, pulled back early on, and then stair-stepped their way higher all day, until they reached the session highs with an hour to go. They pulled back late in the session, and bounced in the last 15-20 minutes to finish with a very strong gain on the session.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 257.42 at 16,453.84, 30 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 31.24 to 1926.82, 4 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 94.77 to 41.99.10.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stock Market Exploring Possibilities....Sentiment... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
hroughout 2015 I felt the market was in a topping phase due to complacency along with massive, negative divergences on those key, monthly index charts. The market didn't fall much in 2015, but it refused to have sustainable upside action. In the end, the markets were down slightly for the year. It took all of 2015 for the market to finally stop its upward thrusts.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Wealthbuilder Stock Market Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Time for steady state economics to be introduced.
As a student of economics and monetary theory one of my greatest heroes is M. King Hubbert.
He was an American scientist born in Texas in 1903. He was a man of great integrity,
intellectual honesty and courage. He was a visionary who believed in the power of ideas
and the need to use intellectual rigor to analyze and manage change.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Perverse Sort of Stock Market Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This has been a difficult retracement to follow. Here is the detail of what has happened.
The first Wave down from 1947.20 is clearly a Wave (a), since does not have a five wave structure. What fooled me was that I had assumed that Wave [b] was really a larger degree Wave B, which meant that Wave C of (3) would begin at 1881.60. Instead, it was the final wave [c] of A.
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