Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Elites Set to Wipe Out Stock Market Shorts Before Next Downwave... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clive_Maund
The recovery rally in the US stockmarket that we have been expecting for a week or two started on Friday with a robust advance that gathered strength into the close. The trigger was Japan's announcement that it is going into NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) in a big way, which means that as they slip deeper into the abyss of bankruptcy they are going to resort to robbing savers. This is real "endgame stuff" - another milestone on the road to ruin, and it looks like it was the result of the Japanese attendees at Davos being taken to one side and given their "marching orders". The US stockmarket reveled in this news of course, because it means that the Fed's proposed interest rate rises will never happen and instead they will get ready to launch a massive QE blitz, in concert with Central Banks around the world, in a desperate effort to fend off the gathering forces of deflation. The end result of this QE blitz will be hyperinflation and chaos. At some point the penny will drop with investors and there will be a stampede into gold and silver, although latest COTs suggest that this is still some way off.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Stock Market A-B-C Correction Unfolding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 31, 2016
As Goes January, So Goes the Year... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jesse
And so we say goodby to January 2016.
There is an old saying on Wall Street that as goes January, so goes the year. This is also known in some circles as the 'January barometer.'
If this is the case it is going to be a good year for precious metals and a very wild ride for stocks.
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Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week! The week started off at SPX 1907, traded down to 1876 on Monday, then rallied to 1917 on Wednesday before the FOMC statement. After the statement was released the market traded down to SPX 1873, retested that low on Thursday, then rocketed higher on Friday to end the week at SPX 1940. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%, and the DJ World index gained 2.10%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA, consumer confidence, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods, Q4 GDP, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on the PCE, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls.
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stock Market Bears Pulverised by BOJ Knock Out Punch, Non Technical Take Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Stock market ended Friday sharply higher, up 396 points or 2.5% on the day at Dow 16,466, continuing its recovery towards the middle of a 6 month long trading range. Whilst my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for 2016 remains pending, however here is my non technical take of Januarys crazy price action that garnered much bearish doom and gloom commentary for much of the month, with the bears literally on the receiving end of a BOJ knockout punch on the months last trading day -
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Stock Market, BOJ Negative Rates...Poor GDP...Up We Go...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Many bear markets in the past have gotten oversold, but one thing did not happen. The daily MACD's didn't cross back up from those oversold conditions. They met and kissed off back down, but today we saw crosses from those deeply compressed levels, which tells you we're likely to stay up for a while, although that level of up and how high is truly unpredictable. Will it only be a test of the 20-day exponential moving average, or will it get through the lost uptrend line, or beyond that, will it get back up to the 50-day exponential moving average? No way to know, but the uptrend line is at 1940. The 50's are all the way up at 1977. With the MACD crosses getting to the 50's is not out of the question.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Volatility Index Funny Business / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The volatility index, or the VIX, is commonly thought to be an index that gauges index volatility. Actually, the VIX is an index that gauges the expense of put options. Put options of course are designed to gain advantage when the underlying asset declines in price. In this case, the VIX is a measure of the expense of buying put options on the S&P 500 index. Normally, prices are set by buyers and sellers. More buyers than sellers generally leads to higher prices and fewer buyers than sellers generally leads to lower prices. Normally.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Be Prepared for Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX overshot its mid-cycle resistance, which is not unusual. The retracement lasted exactly 51.6 hours (12 X 4.3), which was longer than I had expected. The retracement amount was 116.43 points, which amounted to a 43.2% bounce from the low.
Friday, January 29, 2016
Market Friendly BoJ Action Means more Unfriendly CNY Devaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The BoJ's decision to cut the interest rate on current account balances to -0.10% highlights the beginning of the end of Japan's asset purchase program due to insufficient bonds held by banks, pension funds and insurance companies.
The fact that the BoJ voted 5-4 in favour of negative rates and 8-1 to keep monthly assets purchases unchanged exposes the controversial nature of the decision to re-enter negative rates and the unfeasibility of adding fresh QE.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
What a night in the futures and forex markets! The Premarket is up, but this is to be expected in the final ramp of Wave (v) of [c] within a Broadening formation. So the Premarket is higher, but still under the previous high. Whether it makes a higher point 5 in the 5-point reversal is yet to be known. Either way, the reversal may be abrupt and strong. It is likely that the reversal into Wave 3 may begin by the end of the day.
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Friday, January 29, 2016
Steve Forbes Speaks Out on the Presidential Race, Fed Recklessness, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Forbes Pulls No Punches in Exclusive Interview with Money Metals Exchange
Mike Gleason, Director, Money Metals Exchange: It is my great privilege to welcome Steve Forbes, Editor-in-Chief of Forbes Magazine, CEO of Forbes, Inc. to our Money Metals Exchange podcast. Steve is also author of many fabulous books, including Flat Tax Revolution, How Capitalism Will Save Us, and his latest work, Reviving America: How Repealing Obamacare, Replacing the Tax Code and Reforming the Fed Will Restore Hope and Prosperity. He's also a two-time Presidential candidate, having run in the Republican primaries in both 1996 and 2000. It's a tremendous honor to have him with us today. Mr. Forbes, thank you so much for joining us and welcome.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Gloom and Doom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
Sharply lower global equity markets since last August reflect years of Fed-led central banks’ money printing madness, running headlong into economic contraction and instability.
China when thriving is a key engine of world economic growth, a depressant when declining. Official numbers conceal how much, at best a small fraction of its earlier annual double-digit increases.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Market Technicals Update: Can We Trust This Stock Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The stock rally of the last few days has investors wondering if the bottom is in.
Unfortunately, it very likely is not.
High Yield bonds have lead stocks to the upside. They are now leading to the downside, and the High Yield bond market indicates we have further to fall. The stock rally looks out of place here.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Stock Market Broadening Formation May be in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX ramped this morning from the Premarket and is carrying over into the open. We may be seeing a Broadening formation in motion. If so, the trendline top is near 1920.00 and the mid-Cycle resistance is 1929.79. All of this action is meant to punish both sides as stops are run again in both directions.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
FOMC Announcement Sends Stock Market Indices South... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today, coming down hard in the morning, back up midday, they backed off until the FOMC, and then spiked right after the news for a few minutes, reversed very sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4218 down to 4112, more than 100 points. The S&P 500 then dropped from 1915 to 1872, a total of 43 points. It was a very nasty slide indeed. They managed to bounce, but really formed nothing more than bear flags, and closed down on the day.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Fed Message.....Global Economy Stinks!!!!... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
Fed Yellen made herself known to the world today by saying that she would keep the rates at 0.25 percent, for now, because she wanted to watch how things go globally on the economic front. That's what she said. What she didn't say, but clearly implied, was that the global economic situation is worsening far worse than I had envisioned. I blew it big time, and I don't know what to do. Someone help me as we're toast. She might raise 4 times, but it'll take many, many years for that to happen. She wanted to please the markets a month ago, so she raised a quarter, and said she'll keep raising in the hope the global situation would correct itself. It didn't! It worsened and worsened hard. She's stuck, and she knows it, and doesn't have a clue as to how to right her wrongs. Wrongs she continued after Bernanke blew it, and Greenspan blew it before them. No one worse than Greenspan.
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Thursday, January 28, 2016
Watch The Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Marty_Chenard
The VIX closed at 22.50 and will be testing an important fan line support today (the support/fan line that the VIX was sitting on at the close yesterday).
Note the sequence of higher highs from December to now ... so the concern would be centered around a possibility that the VIX could rise higher than the previous high. (Since the VIX moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, that would be a negative.)
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Rally is Over. Hope You're Short or in Cash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today’s action made me glad that I had gone short on Friday. Today’s move was virtually untradeable, since if you had waited for the Wave (v) of [c], you would have done worse than going short last Friday.
The Wave (v) of [c] was truncated, leaving what appears to be a double zigzag Wave 2. Both the truncation and double zigzag in a Wave 2 are rare. The total time elapsed for the retracement was just shy of 37 hours [2(4.3 squared)] and would have been so, had Wave (v) gone above Wave (iii).
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Stock Market Crash: Is the Dow headed for a Repeat of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Sol_Palha
Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous
We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune. Take a look at some of the recent headlines:
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Italian Bank Panic & Bail-In - The Next Domino To Fall / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
On January 1st of this year the European Union passed into law an official “bank bail-in” clause. The bail-in legislation put into law, across Europe, what was done in Cyprus in 2013 where bank account holders had their funds seized to “save” the bank. To us, and anyone who is paying half-attention, this was a clarion call to get your funds out of European banks.