Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 06, 2015
Dow Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The final high to the Dow's bull market was put in on the 20th May 2015 at 18351. This was outlined in client analysis the following day titled Dow Final High. For those following the continuous intraday charts, there was a clear bearish double top around 18350. It is my expectation that a bear market is now underway. I don't wait for any mainstream nonsense that requires a 20% fall. I leave that stuff for the fools.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Marc Faber Warns of Greece Crisis Contagion Very High Risk / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Marc Faber, Editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Olivia Sterns and Matt Miller about the contagion risk posed by the Greek debt crisis and the prospects for a resolution. He also discussed the Chinese stock market.
When asked whether we are actually going to see contagion spread further, Faber said: "I think the likelihood of contagion is very high. And I have to say when you have a borrower, you also have a lender. And it's actually, in my view, amazing how the EU kept on pumping money into Greece, partly also to bail out their own banks. And suddenly now the debt is no longer manageable."
Monday, July 06, 2015
Greece to Print Counterfeit Euros or IOUs, Hyper-Inflation Beckons / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The shock decisive NO referendum vote as the Greek electorate fell for Syriza propaganda that painted a picture of Greeks being the victims of the evil Troika has seen mainstream press focus turm (perhaps after googling) turn to Greece's banking system collapse that remains closed with as little as Euro 50 per day being allowed for withdrawals, as the banks are fast running out of Euro bank notes with cash points expected to completely run dry by Wednesday.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market, Investing Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The past four years or so have been extremely frustrating for investors like me who have structured their portfolios around the belief that the current experiments in central bank stimulus, the anti-business drift in Washington, and America's mediocre economy and unresolved debt issues would push down the value of the dollar, push up commodity prices, and favor assets in economies with relatively low debt levels and higher GDP growth. But since the beginning of 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied 67% while the rest of the world has been largely stuck in the mud. This dominance is reminiscent of the four years from the end of 1996 to the end of 2000, when the Dow rallied 54% while overseas markets languished. Although past performance is no guarantee of future results, a casual look back at how the U.S. out-performance trend played out the last time it had occurred should give investors much to think about.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
“Oxi!” - Greeks Defy Eu As Varoufakis Resigns To Ease Tensions With “Partners” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Brave Greeks vote overwhelmingly against austerity
- Varoufakis resigns to clear air for next phase of negotiations
- We think a Greek debt deal is highly likely over the next few days
- EU elites had hoped “yes” vote would force the replacement of Syriza with unelected technocratic experts
- Syriza may nationalize banks to protect depositors from “bail-ins”
- UK slashes Deposit Insurance from £85,000 to £75,000
- Europe and the world now in uncharted waters, gold will protect
Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market Rally in a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market is Going Take Another Spill! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last weekend, I was negative on the stock market. I also expected an 8 TD top by July 2. We got a late week rally. Now we have the Sun opp. Pluto today and Sun/Mars making a cardinal t-sq. to Uranus/Pluto into July 12. This makes for wild swings in the market. I have a TLC low due 7/8, but the shallow angle begs for a low the day before or 7/7 (as happened last week) right on the 4 TD low.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Syriza Convinces Greece to Commit Suicide, GrExit Beckons, Market Reaction / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Syriza has successfully managed to convince the mass of the people of Greece of their victim hood at the hands of the evil Troika and thus to vote NO in a referendum engineered for such an outcome as phrased by a question which basically boiled down to "Do you want Austerity", "YES or NO", to which obviously on face value 90% would be inclined to vote NO. However, it had been hoped that most Greeks would be able to see through Syriza's thick propaganda smoke screen that in recent days had been ramping up the message of a virtual paradise to follow a NO vote.
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Sunday, July 05, 2015
Greece's Problems are the Tip of the Iceberg, China Crisis Underway / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: America celebrates the July 4th holiday under the threat of homegrown terrorism while global financial markets face a trifecta of threats from Greece, Puerto Rico and China.
And those are just the immediate threats – the world still has to deal with the longer term threat of hundreds of trillions of dollars in debts that it can never hope to pay back and the pursuit of failed central bank policies that are destined to send markets over the cliff sooner rather than later….
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Sunday, July 05, 2015
Financial and Commodity Markets Become Scary: Crash Point Or Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
We cannot remember having seen so many markets at critical points simultaneously. It is truly astonishing. Scary movie or turning points? We do not know for sure, but let’s review the strategic assets in order to get an understanding of the likely scenarios going forward.
First and foremost, the TED spread is about to cross a critical resistance level. We look at the TED spread as a fear indicator, a signal that a correction is coming. The steady rise of the TED spread since last summer is not a healthy signal. The trillion dollar question is how far it will go, and which markets it will hit.
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Saturday, July 04, 2015
Happy 4th of July Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The week started off at SPX 2102, then dropped to 2057 on a gap down Monday. After that the market gapped up three days in a row, but only managed to get back to SPX 2085 by Thursday. Then ended the holiday shortened week at SPX 2077. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.25%, and the DJ World lost 1.6%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, auto sales, factory orders, plus weekly jobless claims rose and payrolls declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services and Consumer credit.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Fed’s Full Normalization and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US Federal Reserve has been universally lauded for the apparent success of its extreme monetary policy of recent years. With key world stock markets near record highs, traders universally love the Fed’s zero-interest-rate and quantitative-easing campaigns. But this celebration is terribly premature. The full impact of these wildly-unprecedented policies won’t become apparent until they are fully normalized.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Stock Market Where are we? And where are we Going? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
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SPX
These are the questions we all want answering. The gap down last week from the Greece announcement that there would be announcement, potentially it could suggest a possible truanted high in place at 2130. Although we have yet to see a 5 wave decline from 2130SPX, so depending on the outcome to the Greece, may or may not push the markets much lower, although I would favor a large gap down should the vote favor leaving the Euro, similar to last weekend.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
China's Stock Market Rollercoaster Ride Continues / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
But There is a way to endure the wild ride -- with Elliott wave analysis
"Chao gu" is the Chinese term for speculating in stocks. Roughly translated, it means "stir-frying" shares. Lately, though, for millions of Chinese investors, it means getting fried.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Capital Controls and a Bank Holiday in Greece… Here’s How You Can Profit / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By Nick Giambruno
For the unprepared, it happens like a mugging…
When you hear a central banker or politician deny that something is going to happen to bank depositors, you can almost be certain that it will happen. And probably soon.
Thursday, July 02, 2015
Three Total Wealth Stock Investor Tactics You’ll Need Because Greece Isn’t Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Greece actually missed its payment last night, exactly as we thought it would. And in doing so, it became the first Eurozone country to ever default on its debt. Some say that the country is in “arrears,” but that’s splitting hairs.
At this point, “everybody” wants quick resolution.
Things are so bad that nearly 14,000 people have contributed to a crowdfunding page started by a 29 year old Londoner, Thom Feeney, on Indiegogo.com. As of yesterday, donations totaled $245,000.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Greece Good....Greece Bad....Greece Vote Sunday..... Stock Market Froth Still High.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Greece is the number one headline these days. We have other factors to look at from froth to horrific-looking monthly-index charts. But, by far, the most popular and important subject with regards to the health of the stock market is based on how things are moving along, or not, with Greece. Will they default after the vote on Sunday? Will the public speak up and vote yes on the sanctions for which the Euro zone are asking? Will Tsipras give in to the people? No one knows the answers to those questions.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Greek Debt Crisis: "Too late to prepare now" - Video / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
An Elliott wave perspective on the Greek crisis
Today, I got on the phone with Brian Whitmer, editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Stock Market Increased Risk Levels ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The VIX (see the chart below) is showing increasing stress levels.
Note that the VIX has risen above the blue dotted resistance line level. Since the VIX moves opposite to the stock market, this was a bad event on Monday.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2015
Greece Debt Crisis Trigger for Stock Market Crash or Bull Rally? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow stocks index has been on a volatile slide since making its 18,350 new all time high of Mid May, having recently nudged to a low of 17,600 that many have attributed in large part to the unfolding Greece debt crisis, the latest of which is Greece missing its deadline for a Euro 1.6 billion repayment to the IMF Tuesday that has galvanised stock market bears to once more proclaim that the stocks bull market is over and a new bear market has begun.
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