Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Dow Closed Above 13000: What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Kerri Shannon writes: he Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 13000 yesterday (Tuesday) for the first time since May 19, 2008, as investors remain optimistic amid global economic unease.
The Dow gained 0.18%, or 23.61 points, to close just above the mark at 13005.12.
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Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Stock Market Breadth Aligns With Pullback Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Yesterday, we noted some bad news would probably be needed to tip the scales in this market. This morning’s economic data fits the “bad news” bill. From Reuters:
Read full article... Read full article...New orders for long-lasting manufactured goods fell in January by the most in three years as demand slumped across the board, suggesting the economy started the year on weaker footing than expected. Durable goods orders dropped 4.0 percent, the biggest decline since January 2009 when the country was still mired in a deep recession, according to Commerce Department data on Tuesday.
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
MF Global Crime, Comedy and the Cover-Up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
MF Global's October 2011 bankruptcy was the eighth largest bankruptcy by assets in the United States. James Giddens, the bankruptcy trustee, issued a press release on February 6 stating that his investigation found that money from customer accounts that was supposed to be segregated was improperly used to fund MF Global's daily activities. Improper transfers of customer money occurred regularly in amounts under $50 million before MF Global's bankruptcy. MF Global wasn't caught, because it put the money back before customers knew it was missing.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Gold Stocks and U.S. Dollar What To Expect Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
This morning we are seeing the US Dollar index move higher retesting a short term breakdown resistance level. What this means is that the dollar fell below support and is not slowing drifting back up to test the breakdown level. As we all know once a support level is broken it then becomes resistance. So if that holds true with the current move in the dollar we should see stocks and commodities find a short term bottom and continue higher today or tomorrow from the looks of things.
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Monday, February 27, 2012
Stock Market Short-term Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.
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Monday, February 27, 2012
2012 & Beyond: Pain at the Pump is Here to Stay, But it Won't Doom the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Monday, February 27, 2012
The Irrelevant Dow Industrials Stock Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
With the ‘breaking news’ on Tuesday morning being the fact that the Dow Jones Industrials had broken 13,000 for the first time since 2008, the immediate spin from the majority of the mainstream press revolved around ‘see, its all better now’. Their evidence for this ridiculous statement? The performance of 30 stocks and an index that changes more than a flip-flopping politician during campaign season.
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Sunday, February 26, 2012
Stock Market Uptrend Topping / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Another quiet week in the US equity market as the entire range for the week was between SPX 1352 and 1369. While the SPX did not make a new print high, above 1371, it did make a new closing high for the bull market. Now all four major US indices are in new bull market territory. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.6%. Asian markets gained 0.4%, European markets lost 0.2%, and the DJ World index was +0.9%. On the economic front it was a quiet mixed week. On the uptick: consumer sentiment, new home sales, the WLEI, and the monetary base made a new high. On the downtick: existing home sales, FHFA housing prices, the M1 multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we’ll get a look at the first revision of Q4 GDP, the FED’s beige book, Case-Shiller and PCE prices. Best to your weekend and week!
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Saturday, February 25, 2012
Financial Markets 2012: Bombs... er Government Bonds, Fiat Currencies and Gold / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
The UNFOLDING destruction of the developed world's economies and financial/currency systems continues apace. Public servants are trying to defy Mother Nature with the stroke of a pen; she will not yield to this. Radical Marxist POLITICAL solutions to practical problems are at the end of their collective ropes (double entendre intended). You CANNOT store wealth in paper, PERIOD. Those who do will get what they deserve: NOTHING. It has been and will be printed endlessly from this point forward as Socialist government policies have destroyed wealth creation and substituted Ponzi asset-backed economies in their place. Now those economic models have reached their COLLECTIVE endpoints.
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Saturday, February 25, 2012
Stock Market Another Week Of Solid Action...And At Overbought...Risk Increasing... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Not that the market did very much this week. It did very little. However, it did hold well considering how long the daily RSI's on many of the major index charts have been overbought. 70 RSI's have been normal behavior for several weeks. They went a few moments below from time to time, but overall the market has been staying overbought. Because of this reality, the majority of people are starting to act as if the market is due for a stronger pullback, but I'll cover more on that in a bit. With a market this overbought for this long, it makes sense that each day is losing its volatility as the VIX is now well below 20 again. Things can be awfully boring with a VIX well under 20. So little movement.
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Friday, February 24, 2012
Stock Market and 2012 Presidential Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
With the 2012 elections looming, politics are increasingly dominating newsflow. And it is only going to get worse, news will be all politics all the time by summer. Speculators and investors will be watching with great interest, as these elections’ outcome will impact the markets for years. But provocatively, the fortunes of the stock markets will heavily influence voters’ psychology and therefore the results.
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Friday, February 24, 2012
Greek Debt Nightmare and a Macro-View for Investor Profit and Protection / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012
“A “strictly confidential” report on Greece’s debt projections prepared for Eurozone finance ministers reveals Athens’ rescue programme is way off track and suggests the Greek government may need another bail-out ..
“The 10-page debt sustainability analysis, distributed to Eurozone officials last week but obtained by the Financial Times on Monday night, found that even under the most optimistic scenario, the austerity measures being imposed on Athens risk a recession so deep that Greece will not be able to climb out of the debt hold over the course of a new three-year, €170billion bail-out
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Friday, February 24, 2012
The Greatest Episodes of Market Manipulation's…Is Silver Next? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Don Miller writes: Market manipulation has a long and storied history.
From the Tulip Mania of the 1600s all the way to the recent housing bubble, market manipulators have employed a wide range of tactics to lighten the wallets of unsuspecting investors.
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Thursday, February 23, 2012
Greece Debt Bailout: Why I'm Mostly Bullish about the Eurozone / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: Last week's news that Eurozone GDP declined by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2011 set all the usual pundits moaning about the inevitable decline of Europe.
Even Andrew Roberts, a wonderful historian with whom I almost always agree, wrote in the Financial Times that "Europe's fire has gone out."
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Thursday, February 23, 2012
Five Savvy Ways Investors Can Conquer the Wall of Worry / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you like extreme risk and consider living on the edge to be "normal," today's column isn't for you.
Today I'm writing to the millions of investors who are completely terrified by the prospect of what's next and who simply want their faith restored - not to mention their investments.
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Thursday, February 23, 2012
Stock Market Rally Just Won't Quit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes. It's not healthy.
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Thursday, February 23, 2012
Stock Market New Dow High, Is Dow Theory No Longer Useful? / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
The price action earlier this month carried the Dow Jones Industrial Average above its May closing high. This has occurred in the wake of the so-called "Dow theory sell signal" from back in August when the averages closed below their June lows. How could this be? Is Dow theory no longer valid? Is Dow theory no longer useful? What went wrong?
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Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Don't Buy Government Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Lee Cooperman, the billionaire chief executive officer of Omega Advisors Inc., spoke to Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker this morning about his hedge fund's investments. Cooperman said investing in U.S. Treasuries "makes no sense," he considers stocks the best investment today and that he likes gold, the S&P and Apple.
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Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Herding Greek Cats From Bondage, Gold and Silver Battleground / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Listen to the empty words of the last bailout for Greece. Credibility with the Jackass was lost back on the third bailout, well over a year ago, out of the six bailouts in total. Perhaps it is seven comprehensive final bailouts. The pattern is clear. The politicians, without popular support, forge agreements on debt coverage with the Greek officials. The deals fall through, hit the ground, and expose the lack of support even from the European bankers, led by the Germans. The pattern has been vividly clear for over a year, enough for my dismissal of new accords right away on the basis that the German bankers will not conform and agree to the deals struck. The political leaders in France (Sarkozy) and Germany (Merkel) are due to lose their offices, yet they continue to march around at useless summits attempting to cut last ditch agreements that mean nothing. The people are not willing in Germany to hand over any more than the $3 trillion to date, from the start of the common Euro currency experiment. The bankers, like at the Bundesbank, should attend the summits, but that would be too obvious on where the majority of power is held. What is unfolding is a comprehensive Greek Govt debt default from the inability to contain the situation, the impracticality of the austerity budgets put in place, the wreckage that has come to the Greek Economy, and the intractable solution.
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Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Stock Market Frustrates the Bears Whilst a Falling Dollar Will be Bullish for Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Tom De Mark pins us around a top here, still suggesting roughly a 5% retreat from here in total, in an up-down manner that frustrates bears, before the market then advances again. He makes the following analogy with 1987:
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