Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Do Low Interest Rates Power Stock Markets Higher? / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

Back in the day, one of the first things I "learned" about investing was that low or declining interest rates are good for stock prices.

I've since had to "unlearn" this.

Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Markets Risk Train Chugs Along, Overbought Does Not Mean a Correction is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Capital3X

This market has been overbought since mid January 2012 and it has shown very little signs of slowing down leave alone reversal. The action post Ben speech yesterday was another breakout and this time unless its fake in which case we will know in the next 48 hours, this train is picking up speed. While we were not along in fading this market in feb but we have quickly reversed positions with strong evidence (laid below) of a new wave of risk buying if we get through key levels and days (feb 9 is imp day)

Wednesday, February 08, 2012

How Corporate Debt Deleveraging Looks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Tony_Pallotta

I found an interesting pattern in studying corporate debt. Specifically yield spreads which is the difference between investment grade and below investment grade yield. As investors grow risk averse they prefer to move to the safety of investment grade debt thus driving yields lower. They do this buy selling below investment grade debt thus driving yields higher. The result are higher spreads.

Tuesday, February 07, 2012

Timing the Market: Predicting When the FED Will Act Next (Feb 12) / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Chris_Riley

Sadly, we have reached the point where markets are largely driven by government & central bank action. Their principle policy tool is monetary easing, which is used to shoot-up markets, against a market driven backdrop of de-levering. So in order to predict what the actors are likely to do, we need to understand the political constraints & incentives that they find themselves under: the principle actors being the central bankers and their politician friends.

Tuesday, February 07, 2012

Stock Market Counter-Trend Moves Continue to Spark False Hopes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

The bearish Dow theory primary trend change that occurred in August remains intact. As price moved into that low, and the October low that followed, bearish sentiment was at levels not seen since 2008. However, I said then, in articles written here, that not all Dow theory trend changes were created equally. I explained that rather than a meltdown, my work was suggestive of a low and that higher prices would follow. This has all proven correct. I also said then that this was all part of a much larger trap for both the bull and bear alike. In light of the volatility seen following the August/October lows, this has been proven correct as well. But, I also continue to believe that there is still a trap being set on an even larger scale, which has yet to be proven correct. What I mean is, the higher the rally out of the August/October low has gone, the more comfortable the masses have become with the rally. We are now seeing a sense of optimism and people have by and large forgotten about the pain and fear they experienced into October. All the while, they do not realize that its all really part of a bigger setup.

Tuesday, February 07, 2012

Stock Market Staying Overbought....Larger Pullback Coming Soon... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

But that doesn't mean we won't wiggle our way up a few more percent in this market before the bigger selling kicks in. It will kick in, folks. It's not if, but when. The selling will be extremely healthy, and it's very necessary, but since we're still in the buy-all-pullbacks phase of this rally, the market still works its way up higher in the days, and weeks, ahead before it gets a bit nasty to the downside. It's also important that the stocks go up some more, before the larger pullback kicks in, because the selling should be decent. The bulls want to be able to protect the breakout at 1320, or the long-term down trend line, they worked so hard to take out. If the market were to sell hard from here, it's quite likely we'd lose 1320.

Monday, February 06, 2012

Wary Stock Market Investors Give U.S. Stocks Another Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: John_Browne

Recently, the stock market has been roaring, with the S&P 500 up a stunning 22% from October 3, 2011, which was the low of last year. In fact, the first month of 2012 has been one of the best Januaries on record for US stocks. On top of that, last Friday's better-than-expected jobs report seems to provide further evidence that we're turning a corner.

Monday, February 06, 2012

Did Friday's Gold Price Action Signal a Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

“You can’t feel the heat until you hold your hand over the flame.

You have to cross the line just to remember where it lays.” ~ Rise Against. “Satellite” Lyrics ~

Friday morning traders and market participants awaited the key January employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reaction to the supposedly wonderful report was a surge in the S&P 500 E-Mini futures contracts as well as several other key equity index futures.

Monday, February 06, 2012

Monday Financial Markets Madness – What’s This Greece Thing? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

NOW Greece is going to matter?

Just when we were planning to get bullish, the Futures are off half a point as concerns about Greece, of all things, come back to the forefront as pretty much the entire country is poised to strike this evening on the expected news that even stricter austerity measures will be jammed down the throats of a Nation that is already suffering from 20% unemployment.

Monday, February 06, 2012

Stock Market Investors Dangerous Times Ahead, Will Impact Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

Friday's big rally on the better than expected employment report has now generated the kind of euphoria that often creates intermediate degree tops. This coming week will be the 18th week of the current intermediate cycle. As you can see in the chart below the intermediate cycle runs on average 18-25 weeks from trough to trough.

Monday, February 06, 2012

Stock Market Next Short-term Top in Sight / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Sunday, February 05, 2012

Stock Market Weekend Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

The US market opened the week on a down note, dropping to SPX 1300, but ended at new uptrend highs, SPX 1345. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.90%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.95%. Asian market were mostly higher, gaining 0.6%. European markets were all higher, gaining 2.8%, and the DJ World index was up 2.4%. Positive economic reports for the week outpaced negative reports 11 to 6. On the downtick: personal spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP index and factory orders. On the uptick: auto sales, personal income, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, the twin deficits and consumer sentiment. Best to your weekend/week!

Saturday, February 04, 2012

Are US Treasury Bond Markets a Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Impressive gains on stocks, it seems nothing can derail this trend atm.

Finally however we meet some awaited targets, although I will be the 1st to admit I am really pushing the boat here and allowing for the bears to come up with some magic before I potentially revert and relinquish and ideas of seeing a reversal.

Sometimes you got to know when to fold, we are at that point where if the bears don't come up with something, then the likely hood is that the markets are in something special and a test of the Oct 2007 highs are most probable.

Saturday, February 04, 2012

Is the U.S. 'Decoupling' From the European Debt Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Clif_Droke

Selling pressure earlier in the week gave way to strong demand for equities as concerns over the European debt crisis have been moved to the backburner. Investors have instead been focusing on the improved U.S. economic and employment picture.

In an article by Reuters reporter Edward Krudy earlier this week there was a significant quote worth mentioning. The quote is from Ryan Larson, head of equity trading at RBC Global Asset Management. Larson said, "The U.S. appears to be slowly, slowly in the early stages of a decoupling from the euro zone."

Saturday, February 04, 2012

The Fed's BFF / Stock-Markets / Central Banks

By: Adrian_Ash

Cheap money was trending long before "the" Facebook lost its article and 845 million people lost the rights to their lives...

The U.S. FED'S status update last month about how it still loves cheap money always and forever was sure to work magic. Even if the pixie-dust did blow straight past output, incomes and capital formation.

Saturday, February 04, 2012

U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Interesting Market Divergences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Capital3X

NFP printed 243K, higher than forecast. As expected markets took out all resistance's and moved to the almighty important level of 1345/50.

Key highlights from NFP report

Friday, February 03, 2012

Essential Investor Preparations for The Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“The U.S. economic and systemic-solvency crises of the last five years continue to deteriorate.  Yet they remain just the precursors to the coming Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression.  The unfolding circumstance will encompass a complete loss in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar; a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity; a collapse in the U.S. financial system, as we know it; and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment.  Outside timing on the hyperinflation remains 2014, but events of the last year have accelerated the movement towards this ultimate dollar catastrophe.  Following Mr. Bernanke’s extraordinary efforts to debase the U.S. currency in late-2010, the dollar had lost its traditional safe-haven status by early-2011.  Whatever global confidence had remained behind the U.S dollar was lost in July and August.  That was in response to the lack of political will—shown by those who control the White House and Congress—to address the long-range insolvency of the U.S. government, and as a result of the later credit-rating downgrade to U.S. Treasury debt.

Friday, February 03, 2012

Five Ways Investors Can Get Better Results 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I hear it everywhere I go. I'll start investing again...

...when the debt problem is fixed.

...when the markets pull back a little.

Friday, February 03, 2012

Banking Crisis 2012 "Robo-Signing" of Foreclosure Affidavits Just Tip of Iceberg / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: What may be good news for delinquent credit card holders may also be really bad news for banks.

It turns out the "robo-signing" of foreclosure affidavits is just the tip of the iceberg.

In what one judge called "robo-testimony," falsely attested-to statements by bank document custodians have been submitted in courts around the country by banks trying to win judgments against delinquent credit card debtors.

Friday, February 03, 2012

Stock and Financial Markets Crash is Coming, Key Signs of Reversal / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: FNN24

2012 has begun with a bang for risk assets and there is no doubting the rally. Never trade your bias. You may want the markets to crash for the cause of the crisis that the world faces, but markets were never created to reflect the reality. It is a facade and there are rules of the game. If you obey the rules unwavering, you will make money. FNN24 in association with Deutsche Boerse provides real time news and FNN24 traders provide quant based trading analysis.