Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Stock Market Crash Watch is Still On / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As you can see, Cycle Bottom resistance is keeping the SPX from advancing.  The same is happening with the NDX.  Domestic equities have one more day to bounce higher, since the ½ cycle turn occurs on Thursday.  Even if the market rallies tomorrow, the rally may be short lived and untradable. 

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Perfect Storm, European Banks Heading for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Panic is spreading says Steen Jakobsen, chief economist at Saxo Bank. Steen eyes the perfect storm including a potential "Chapter 11" call for European banks.

Via Email

This morning there is too much bad news.

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Russell Napier on Generational Cycles, Stocks Bear Market Bottoms and West Vs. East / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Aftab_Singh

Russell Napier (renown financial historian and consultant for CLSA) has articulated some fantastic insights on the generational cycle, bear market bottoms and currencies in recent years. So for this reason we decided to compile a ‘Russell Napier’s Greatest Hits’ video for you to enjoy. See below for the video and summary.

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

MF Global Revelations Keep Getting Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Janet_Tavakoli

· Shortfall estimated at $1.2 billion or more (up from $600 million)
· “Repo-to-Maturity” is a “Total Return Swap-to-Maturity,” a Type of Credit Derivative
· Probable Shortfalls Throughout 2011
· Regulators Waive Required Tests for Jon Corzine

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Will Stock Market Turn Positive For Thanksgiving Holiday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX back-tested the bottom trendline of the Broadening Wedge and Cycle bottom Resistance at 1200.64.  There are two potential paths for the SPX from here.  The first pattern would recognize the top of wave ii at 1277.55.  That suggests a further drop to 1145, fulfilling the minimum target for the upward-slanting Head & Shoulders neckline before a bounce back to Cycle bottom resistance, or higher.  I favor that pattern, although it has some flaws. 

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Super Dud Committee... Not Really.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Having expectations when you look at where we're at fundamentally makes little to no sense whatsoever. What was the super committee really going to be able to come up with when you break it down? We have the entire euro zone ready to go under, and many brilliant minds have been unable to come with any good solution. Why would they be able to? The structural problems are so deep that sometimes you have to throw your hands up in the air and say I give up. There truly is nothing we can do. We want to help, but maybe helping would only create deeper problems in the long-term, and that's something we all have to watch closely. Hopefully, there will be no more sacrificing the moment to get some relief for long-term destruction. Everyone seems to be more aware of that, but let's hope that they don't lose sight of it all when things get worse.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Stock Market Extreme Over Valuation Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: EWI

This is one of our favourite charts, it depicts two different valuation measures. On X axis, we show the S&P500 annual dividend yield, and on the Y-axis the S&P Industrials' price to book value ratio. The box shows you normal valuation, at least as it was established in the 20th century. You can see that the dividend yield fluctuated from around 3% at tops in the market to 6 or 7 percent at bottoms in the market.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Gold and Stock Market Trading Surrounded by European Sovereign Debt Crisis Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

The current trading environment is one of the most difficult that I can recall in recent memory. Risks abroad regarding the European sovereign debt crisis is keeping market participants on edge as headline risk seemingly surrounds traders at every turn.

In addition to the risk posed by Europe, the market’s reaction to the Congressional Super Committee’s upcoming statements also poses risks. As it stands now, the media is reporting that the committee is in gridlock and has yet to compromise. The deadline for the Super Committee is Wednesday, November 23rd. The gridlock leads to uncertainty, and Mr. Market hates uncertainty. High levels of uncertainty corresponds with increased volatility levels, thus caution is warranted.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Stock Market Emini S&P Nearing Key Fib Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

A big picture perspective of the e-mini S&P 500 shows that the decline off of the Oct 27 high at 1289.25 is nearing key Fibonacci support plateaus at 1179.25 and then 1153.50.

Let's notice that since last Thursday's weakness, the e-SPZ has broken and sustained beneath the prior "bullish" coil pattern, as well as my "directional" EMAs of 14, 30, 50 and 200, all of which have rolled over into varying degrees of a negative slope.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Stock Market Outlook Still Favors Bearish Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Numerous problems are facing investors:

1. The flawed structure of the Eurozone is coming back to haunt global leaders. The markets want the European Central Bank (ECB) to print money, but the golden rule applies: “He who has the gold makes the rules.” In Europe, Germany “has the gold”. Germany has seen what money printing can do and thus, is vehemently opposed to cranking up the printing presses.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Stock Market Sitting on Nothing But Air, Dollar About to Breakout? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- The VIX pullback to intermediate-term trend support at 32.08. It is on a weekly buy signal, having crossed above its 4-year cycle support at 27.26 (red line).  The buy signal is confirmed on the daily chart, as it is necessary to remain at or above intermediate-term Support/Resistance. The current buy signal remains in effect for a probable three weeks or longer.  That indicates the probability of strong positive momentum in the Volatility Index lasting through early December.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Stock Market Still Consolidating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The rally from 1075 is most likely expanding its consolidation. It's probably too early to start another major leg down.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

On the Verge of Huge Stock Market Crash, Implications For Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Willem_Weytjens

We might be on the verge of another huge market crash, one similar to 2008.
Check out the following chart below, and you will see why…
- The RSI hasn’t been overbought anymore in a long time, indicating weakness in stock markets… The same was true in 2008.
- The SP500 found heavy resistance in the 1260-1280 zone (just as we warned our subscribers), which was the low of June 2011. A similar thing happened back in May 2008, where price ran into resistance of the November 2007 low.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Stock Market Chart Patterns Beauty Of Symmetry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

There are no other words to describe the symmetry between these two chart patterns than simply beautiful.

I purposely left the scale and dates off the charts as to not distract your eyes. It is simply too powerful to ignore yet that is what many have done, self included over the past two weeks as the 200MA blurred our vision. A somewhat meaningless number took our eyes off the pattern playing out before us.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Stock Market Reply of 2008 Financial Armageddon Panic All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Willem_Weytjens

When I was looking at some long term charts, I found out that the current situation for the SP500 is very similar to the situation in 2008.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Has the Stock Market Bear Returned? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Toby_Connor

The recent market action has me wondering if the next leg down in the cyclical bear market has begun.

I always expected that we would see a very convincing rally out of the October yearly cycle low. I thought it even possible that we would test the 200 day moving average. Most bear markets do rally out of the initial leg down and test the 200 day moving average.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Stock Market Bull or Bear, This Correction Should Tell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

For the third week in a row the market had a turnaround tuesday event. Three weeks ago it hit the SPX 1215 low. Two weeks ago the SPX 1278 high. And, this tuesday the high for the week at SPX 1264. Economic reports for the week were again biased to the upside. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, retail sales, business inventories, housing starts and the Philly FED. On the uptick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the NAHB housing index, building permits, leading indicators, the monetary base, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. For the week the SPX/DOW were -3.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were -4.15%. Asian markets lost 3.0%, European markets lost 2.9%, and the DJ World index lost 3.9%. Next week’s holiday shortened economic highlights are Q3 GDP, PCE prices and the FOMC minutes.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Japan Stock Market Bearish Trigger Whilst Everyone Is Watching Europe / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Adam_Brochert

I have been closely following the Japanese Nikkei Stock Market Index ($NIKK) lately waiting for it to break down below the neckline of a big "head and shoulder-y"-type topping pattern that has been going on for over 2 years now. Well, this week it finally broke on a weekly basis. Ignoring other important global markets is a mistake for American and European traders. The fact that Japan broke down this week means there should be very little weight given to the bullish case for common equities in my opinion (unless this break down quickly reverses course, which seems unlikely at this point).

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Stock Market Rally, It's a Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tim_Wood

So far, the high for the year occurred on May 2nd at 12,876 on the Industrials and on July 7th at 5,627.85 on the Transports. In turn, this left an upside non-confirmation in place and on August 4th both the Industrials and the Transports closed below their previous secondary low points. This was the first time since the March 2009 low that this has occurred. In doing so the primary trend turned bearish in accordance with Dow theory.

Saturday, November 19, 2011

S&P Stock Index Unable to Sustain Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As the e-mini S&P 500 circled unchanged near the end of Friday's session, we noticed the price action had failed to lift off of the lower Bollinger Band line at 1206.25 on the daily chart.

In an underlying, very constructive technical set-up, a traverse from the upper BBnd line (1289.25 on Oct 27) to the lower BBnd (1207 on Nov 17) usually resolves itself in a potent upmove off the lower line, which renews the dominant uptrend.