Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, November 07, 2011

Long-term Cycles vs. Short-term Market Potential / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

A reader has asked the following question, which addresses a problem confronting many investors right now: 

Monday, November 07, 2011

Soveriegn Debt Crisis, It's All Greek To Me / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

We ended last week’s newsletter “Europhoria” less than europhoric, with Phil’s statement, “We take a series of BALANCED trades – SELLING as much premium as we can so that time (theta decay) is always on our side. We take our profits off the table and, when we have to, we take our losses. However, we try to adjust the losing sides of our positions with the expectation that the markets will remain in a trading range and make the occasional reversals... Our bearish expectations are based on possible Yentervention by the BOJ, negative analysis of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) over the weekend, and LACK of additional stimulus by the US, China and Japan to match the strong but Globally inadequate EU contribution.”

Monday, November 07, 2011

How to Trade This Headline Driven Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

With all eyes on the unemployment report and Europe, the CME Group’s PR Department nearly created an all out panic with their announcement after the market close on Friday relating to futures maintenance margin. The original statement was vague and I was quite concerned until I checked out the CME Group’s web-page and the PR Department sent an update clarifying their position. At this point I think the crisis has been averted, but this is just another reminder that we live in “interesting times.”

Monday, November 07, 2011

Debt Credit Crisis, Something Is About To Break / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

When Dexia was nationalized I said the clock was now ticking. Counterparty risk was the new threat to the global economy. When confidence is gone the system simply shuts down. What does that mean though? How do you measure confidence or lack thereof?

Simply look at where cash is going. Recently released data shows a record jump in the foreign reverse repurchase agreement balance held at the Federal Reserve (first reported by Zero Hedge on November 3).

Monday, November 07, 2011

Stock Market Intermediate Trend Still Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate trend which started at 1075 as a proposed bear market rally is still alive. Should the strength continue for a period of time, the concept of being in a bear market will have to be re-visited.

Monday, November 07, 2011

Stock Market Bears Fight Back on the Back of US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

In last week's article you may recall that I suspected the rally from the Oct 4th lows was going to a 3 wave move, which would create a problem for the bulls and that whilst it was a strong move, being 3 waves, it still confirmed that the bounce was part of something that likely over the coming weeks should surrender itself to lower prices.

If you further recall I mentioned about the DX 76 area and the bulls needed to respect any move that saw price move back above that area.

Sunday, November 06, 2011

EU Debt Crisis has Not Been Solved, Could take the Entire Financial World Down / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Most believe the European debt crisis is solved, but not so fast. In spite of being told by the German federal court that leverage could not be applied to bailout loans, but they approved leverage anyway. The court says they will redefine their position by the end of the year. Thus, there is no deal until the court says there is one and constitutionally it’s legal. The Bundestag must believe the court will change its mind. Now we will just have to see what transpires. In the meantime Mr. Juncker of the European Union said there would be concessions for financial aid. As a result of those disclosures early last Monday the “President’s Working Group on Financial Markets” was busy at work trying to keep the stock market indexes from crashing and viciously attacking gold and silver overnight. What else would one expect in a rigged market?

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Stock Market Update Still Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

After four successive weeks of rising prices the major indices pulled back this week. The hardest hit was Europe with a 4.8% decline, Asian markets were -0.9%, and the US markets were -2.25%. On the economic front upticking and downticking reports were about even. On the upside: ADP, factory orders, the unemployment rate, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downside: ISM manufacturing/services, the Chicago PMI, construction spending, auto sales, the monetary base, and the payrolls report. The economy is still in contraction mode. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.9%. Bonds rose 1.7%, Crude gained 0.7%, Gold gained 0.7%, and the USD was +2.5%. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by the Trade/Budget deficits, Import/Export prices and Consumer sentiment.

Saturday, November 05, 2011

U.S. Jobs, Greece, Are We Sitll Doomed? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

Papandreou is trying to convince us he almost destroyed (the) Universe to get my consent. - Opposition leader Antonis Samaras

Ah the old "destroying the universe" ploy.   It's the same one the Republicans are using in the Senate as they once again kill Obama's $60Bn infrastructure program that was meant to provide direct aid for highway and rail projects and set up an infrastructure bank. Without 60 votes, bills can't even make it to the Senate floor so nothing gets done.  

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Stock Markets Holding Just Fine...Fear Still Abounds..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

High put-call readings day after day. Most folks are talking like the end of the world is here, thanks to Europe, and the inevitable fallout from defaults most guaranteed to come. People just hate stocks and the stock market. There are no good vibes running around. I don't think any of you are hearing much from the bullish side of things. If you are, you're pretty much alone, because I'm tuned in, and I don't hear a thing. People just don't feel good about things. That's sad, but it usually means things aren't as bad as they seem. That's just the way the stock market works. It goes against conventional thinking, but what we all hate, the market loves. I'm not saying we're about to embark on anything special, I'm just saying I don't think it makes too much sense to be taking a very bearish approach to things.

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Insolvent Banking System, Investor Opportunities in the New Abnormal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Folks, the EFSF, the bailouts, China coming to the rescue, all of that stuff is 100% pointless in the grand scheme of things. Europe’s ENTIRE banking system (with few exceptions) is insolvent. Numerous entire European COUNTRIES are insolvent. Even the more “rock solid” countries such as Germany (who is supposed to save Europe apparently) have REAL Debt to GDP ratios of over 200%. The Germans still have not recapitalized their banks. Again, it does not matter what Sarkozy and Merkel say. It does not matter how much leverage the EFSF gets. Europe is broke, end of story. Those investors who get suckered into betting this mess will work out well are very likely going to lose everything. The impact of the fallout from this will make 2008 look like a joke. The EU is the largest economy in the world. So if its banking system collapses (and it will), we are facing a full-scale global financial meltdown, that even the IMF has warned about. What happened in 2008 was literally just the warm up. The real deal is coming in the next 14 months. It is going to involve corporate, financial, and sovereign defaults.”- Graham Summers, Phoenix Capital Management

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Gold, Treasuries Still In Bearish Camp For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

The bulls have is significant feather in their cap in the form of conviction. While numerous fundamental and technical factors point toward negative outcomes for equities, the force with which stocks have rallied looks more like the early stages of a bull market, rather than a bear market. Having said that, numerous market ratios, including the gold:Treasury ratio, have not broken into bull market territory yet.

Friday, November 04, 2011

Stock Market Fearmongering / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

October was truly an epic month for the stock markets.  The flagship S&P 500 stock index rocketed 10.8% higher!  As its best month since December 1991 and best October since 1982’s, October 2011 was inarguably awesome.  While it remains fresh in our minds, it is important to remember the psychology leading into it.  Fearmongering ran rampant in late September, hyper-bearishness reigned supreme.

Friday, November 04, 2011

Financial Crisis Inside Story, How the Regulators Let Us All Down / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Did you hear the story about MF Global?

No, not the headlines about its bankruptcy - the real story. If you haven't heard it yet, it goes something like this.

MF Global became a primary dealer only eight months ago.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Euro, Stock Market Countertrend Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Anyone who can grab a microphone in Cannes is jawboning the Solution, the Euro, and the Euro-zone commitment to go forward with Greece ... in one big loveliest, which has goosed the Euro/USD up above this morning's "rate-cut" rally peak at 1.3835 to another marginal new intraday high at 1.3855.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Economic and Investing Insights From a Lord of Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: David_Galland

David Galland, The Casey Report writes: Of all the social memes related to the economic and investment landscape, none is more dominant than that there is a small cadre of powerful Wall Street money men who, working behind the scenes, effectively control investment markets, the global economy and the politicians that play such a big role in that economy.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Stock Market Entering the Flash Crash Zone / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The VIX completed a 47% retracement of its impulse off its Master Cycle low at 24.44.  It now has the ability to rally through the end of December, according to the predominant cycle patterns.  It is probable the VIX may put in its 13-year cycle high in December, or possibly early next year.  This is something that I have been saying for the better part of the last year. 

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Return of Fear for Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

We said in Sept first week to be prepared for “Bloody September”, then we said in first week of October that be prepared for an October rally and now we update our analysis for November.

So if October was where the bears digested their food from September as they slept through bull run on October, we could see them coming back in November.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Low QE2 Volume and Inside Day Point To More Stock Market Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

The media likes to imply the Fed is on the verge of cranking up QE3. Here is Reuters take on Wednesday’s Fed statement and press conference:

The Federal Reserve is prepared to take further steps to help an economy that is “close to faltering,” Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday in his bleakest assessment yet of the fragile U.S. recovery.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Some Fat For Stock Market Bulls to Chew On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Adam_Brochert

I am a secular bear on financial assets like stocks. This is my bias. Although I understand we cannot have a replay of the 1930s in America (unlike Prechter), it has already occurred in Greece with an 87% loss from the 2007 peak to recent lows in October (versus 89% for the Dow in the USA in the 1929-1932 bear market). It is different in America because we can use the printing press while Greece cannot, unless Greece decides to leave the Euro. Hard core Gold advocates need to understand that a paper currency can result in deflation, as long as it is not aggressively debased/abused relative to the needs of the debtor (governments that issue currency are almost always wretched debtors with no intention of repaying their debts in nominal terms).