Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Stock Market Entering the Flash Crash Zone / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The VIX completed a 47% retracement of its impulse off its Master Cycle low at 24.44.  It now has the ability to rally through the end of December, according to the predominant cycle patterns.  It is probable the VIX may put in its 13-year cycle high in December, or possibly early next year.  This is something that I have been saying for the better part of the last year. 

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Return of Fear for Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Capital3X

We said in Sept first week to be prepared for “Bloody September”, then we said in first week of October that be prepared for an October rally and now we update our analysis for November.

So if October was where the bears digested their food from September as they slept through bull run on October, we could see them coming back in November.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Low QE2 Volume and Inside Day Point To More Stock Market Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

The media likes to imply the Fed is on the verge of cranking up QE3. Here is Reuters take on Wednesday’s Fed statement and press conference:

The Federal Reserve is prepared to take further steps to help an economy that is “close to faltering,” Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday in his bleakest assessment yet of the fragile U.S. recovery.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Some Fat For Stock Market Bulls to Chew On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Adam_Brochert

I am a secular bear on financial assets like stocks. This is my bias. Although I understand we cannot have a replay of the 1930s in America (unlike Prechter), it has already occurred in Greece with an 87% loss from the 2007 peak to recent lows in October (versus 89% for the Dow in the USA in the 1929-1932 bear market). It is different in America because we can use the printing press while Greece cannot, unless Greece decides to leave the Euro. Hard core Gold advocates need to understand that a paper currency can result in deflation, as long as it is not aggressively debased/abused relative to the needs of the debtor (governments that issue currency are almost always wretched debtors with no intention of repaying their debts in nominal terms).

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Solid Close to Volatile Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a solid up session at the close, but it was whippy and volatile today. They gapped up sharply at the opening, pulled back much more steeply so on the Nasdaq 100, and then came on again to reach the session highs late morning with the NDX just below 2230 and the S&P 500 at around 1242. They rolled over fairly hard to new pullback lows and new session lows on the NDX just under 2300. The S&P 500 held around 1226. After they double-bottomed early afternoon they were able to come back up in a steady run to retest the highs, but fell short, and closed up with a solid gainer on the day.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Fed Speaks... Stock Market Listens.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

And what it heard it mostly liked. He talked about how our economy is not in all that bad shape. Not in very good shape, to be sure, but not so bad either. He talked at length about the headaches in Europe, and how those headaches could adversely affect all of us here. That was the troubling part of the speech, but he also said he has tools available to him should the worst case scenario take place in Europe in order to protect the United States from crashing into a recession. He didn't state what those tools were, but somewhat hinted it wouldn't be a QE program, which I think the market liked as it showed no real panic about the condition of things here at home. It was good to hear him say that things here weren't as dire as they were in previous months. He was clear to state that we have a long way to go to get where he'd like us to be, so we shouldn't feel too good about things.

Wednesday, November 02, 2011

The Unpunctured Stock Market Cycle, The EU Flunks The Test / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Submissions

Giuseppe L. Borrelli writes: When is a plan not a plan? Whenever you have politicians involved and a printing press thrown into the mix for good measure. Last week we told you to take the announce-ment of the EU’s “solution” to the sovereign debt crisis with a grain of salt. Today we see the wisdom behind that advice as Greece announced they would hold both a political and popular referendum regarding the EU bail-out/austerity plan. The Greek Prime Minister, George Papandreou, announced the measure last night. Greece will hold a referendum on the deal the government struck with the EU last week, under which private investors will take a 50% write-down on their holdings of Greek bonds. The popular referendum, which will most likely take place in January, creates significant uncertainty about Europe’s efforts to contain the debt crisis, with concerns especially escalating over Italy’s soaring borrowing costs.

Tuesday, November 01, 2011

Europe...Overbought Brings The Stock Market Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

That doesn't mean things have gone from good to bad all in one day for the bulls. In this type of market environment you have to be on your guard as things can change overnight. But that's not the case for the moment. Things did sell off decently today, but the Nasdaq wasn't all that bad, and from a points perspective, the Nasdaq has barely fallen off the top. I'm not saying today isn't some type of red flag as we closed not too far away from S&P 500 1260, the key level the bulls broke through to the up side just last week.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Stock Market Rally Will Continue for a While / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Bloomberg

Barton Biggs of Traxis Partners spoke to Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu this morning about his investment strategy.

Biggs said he's now "80% net long" on stocks and that the U.S. market rally is "going to continue for awhile." Biggs also said that he's "intrigued" by European stocks, but he isn't buying them.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Stock Market, How Are Large Speculators Positioned / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

As previously stated the Commitment Of Trader's Report is a wealth of information as it discloses long and short positions across the entire futures and commodity complex. I want to share with you some aggregated data on one specific group, non-commercial which represents hedge funds, banks, anyone considered a large speculator.

Monday, October 31, 2011

Stock Market Time for Caution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate trend which started at 1075 as a bear market rally may be about to end shortly. Time for caution!

Monday, October 31, 2011

Stock Market Oktoberfest: When The Music (Money) Stops Playing (Flowing)… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Willem_Weytjens

Last week, the markets rallied sharply on news that banks were willing to take a 50% haircut on their Greek Bond holdings.
It was a hell of a party, as many asset classes were joining “Oktoberfest” : Gold, Copper, Silver, Oil, Stocks,…
The party was organized by Merkel and Co:

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Dollar Breakdown Triggers Stock Markets Risk Rally, It's All About the 3's / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

Dollar Breakdown Triggers Stock Markets Risk Rally, It's All About the 3's

Last week I wrote about the key support that needed to hold for the DX at 76.50, the rest is history, but it's clearly obvious with the strength that we saw towards the middle of the week in risk markets, you saw a significant breach of that support, which suggests that all we saw is a 3 wave rally.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

The Unfortunate Truth About an Overbought Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Writing about financial markets is probably the most challenging endeavor I have ever immersed myself into. I am a trader first and a writer second, but I have really come to enjoy scribing missives about financial markets because it really forces me to concentrate on my analysis.

Writing for the general public has really enhanced my perception of the market and forced me to dig deeper and learn new forms of analysis. I find myself learning more and more every day and the beauty of trading is that even for the most experienced of traders there is always an opportunity to learn more. As members of my service know, I strive to be different than most of my peers as my focus is on education and being completely transparent and honest.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Emerging Stock Markets Telegraphing Trouble in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: David_Knox_Barker

During the last global long wave winter season that occurred in the 1930s and 1940s major economic changes took place that were similar to what the global economy is experiencing today. The big glaring difference at that time was that free market capitalism was losing vast swaths of global markets to communism, dictatorship and stifling socialism. During this long wave winter a new middle-class that numbers in the billions is coming on stream in emerging markets, greatly countering the long wave forces at work. Presently however, stock markets in emerging markets are signaling that investor expectations got ahead of the final long wave turn into a new long wave spring.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Stocks Bear B Wave Rally or New Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another positive week for US equities as they gained ground for the fourth week in row. The majority of the gains occurred on thursday after the ECU had agreed upon a solution to their credit crisis wednesday night. Most of the economic reports swung to the positive side this week after remaining negative to neutral for months. On the downside: consumer confidence, FHFA housing prices, durable good orders, pending home sales, PCE prices and the M1-multiplier. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, Case-Shiller, new home sales, personal income/spending, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims downticked. The SPX/DOW gained 3.7% and the NDX/NAZ were +3.3%. Asian markets soared 6.6%, European markets gained 4.3%, the Commodity equity group soared 7.6%, and the DJ World index gained 5.7%. Next week’s economic events will highlighted by the FOMC meeting, the monthly Payrolls report, ISM and monthly Auto sales. Best to your week!

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Strong Week For Stock Market Bulls... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Everyone who participates in the stock market knows this was a great week for the bulls as they accomplished something most thought impossible. That was to blow through S&P 500 1260, and to do it with strong internals, such as strong volume and a great advance-decline line. We got close to 1260 some days back and failed, but refused to fall to far below. After pulling back a few percent, the market tried again and succeeded in getting through 1260 S&P 500 this week, the level from which there was a triple-bottom breakdown some months back that led to a huge eleven-day fall of 19%.

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Investors Positioning for Five Impending Investment Critical Events / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“The end crisis will be postponed until the sovereigns go bankrupt.” Marc Faber, 10/27/11

Eurozone issues are critical for many reasons including the fact that they are a harbinger of those facing the World’s largest Economy and Reserve Currency. Issuer, the USA, in the not too distant future.

Friday, October 28, 2011

Friday After the Stock Market Rally Promising a Very Profitable Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

Yesterday on Thursday the market rallied off of a plan that the Euro zone leaders had promised and investors had demanded. That alone came as a relief to markets given how low expectations had fallen. The S&P not only broke the key resistance level of 1257 but blew away the 200 day moving average and closed at 1284.59. The Dow broke the psychologically 1200 level and closed at 12208.55. Sadly, the plan falls short of the comprehensive plan that Euro zone leaders had promised and the best hope is that this deal buys a little more time.

Friday, October 28, 2011

European Debt Crisis Contagion Turns Positive, Will it Last? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Everybody loves a rally.

After European leaders announced a plan to stem Eurozone and global panic over Greece's potential default and shore up capital at beleaguered banks, positive contagion is lifting stock markets from one end of the planet to the other.