Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 22, 2011
Investors Essential Portfolio Considerations into 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“…the world is a lot poorer than it was in June. But back then people still thought the Bernanke team was engineering a ‘recovery.’ Now we know, recovery hopes were fantasies. This is not an economy that can recover. It has to die. Then, a new economy will take its place.”
The Developed World Shifts from “More” to “Better”
Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning, 10/3/11
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Ominous Signals for Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
On October 20, we outlined several divergences and hurdles for the stock market to overcome. Since silver has more real world uses than gold, silver tends to be a good economic barometer, similar to copper. As we have mentioned in the past, silver tends to be in greater demand when (a) the economy is expected to grow, and (b) when inflation expectations are high.
Friday, October 21, 2011
Stock Market Will Fall, World is Drowning in Debt, much of which is Unpayable / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bob_Chapman
It could then be that this is the top of the stock market, which is fundamentally very overpriced. The latest rallies are the result of statements by French President Sarkozy and German chancellor Mrs. Merkel that a financial solution is at hand for Europe. This announcement named the end of the month as the date for release of this information.
Friday, October 21, 2011
Four Moves to Make Before Greece Defaults / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
David Zeiler writes:
The very austerity measures that Greece implemented to remedy its sovereign debt crisis have crippled its economy so badly the country is actually sinking deeper into the red, making default all but inevitable.
Already suffering from a four-year-old recession, the Greek economy has been dragged down further by the series of austerity measures - tax increases combined with cuts in pensions and wages. As a result, the Greek economy is expected to contract 5.5% this year and 2.5% in 2012.
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Friday, October 21, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally Faces Numerous Hurdles / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As we mentioned yesterday, a fear-induced buying climax may occur in the coming days as shorts cover and managers sitting on cash move to the “I can’t take it anymore” stage. While a sustained break above the 1,266 to 1,276 range on the S&P 500 would increase the odds of stocks continuing to march higher, evidence still suggests the current move is a bear market rally that will be fully retraced.
Friday, October 21, 2011
Stock Market Poised For A Sharp Pullback Near Term says Dr Copper / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Banister
Back on October 3rd I wrote a public article forecasting a major market bottom at around 1088 on the SP 500 index. I surmised we were about to complete a 5 wave move to the downside that commenced with the Bin Laden highs of 1370 in early May of this year. The following day we bottomed at 1074 intra-day and closed over my 1088 pivot and continued higher as we all know. That brings us to the recent highs of 1233 intra-day this week, a strong 159 point rally off the 1074 lows in just a few weeks.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 20, 2011
Stock Market Establishing A Range?...Froth Destroyed.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has made a run from S&P 500 1074 on an intraday basis all the way up to 1233. An incredible move. No one is unhappy about this move who played the long side today. The short side got hit hard, especially the crowded trade down at those lows. Loads of shorts just coming into the short side thinking at the lows. That's about par for the course in this emotional game. After such a strong move, and especially since the move has taken us up to key resistance at 1235, it would be very normal for the market to calm down for a while and trade in a range. That range looks to be setting up between the 20-day exponential moving average near 1180 and the 200-day exponential moving average at 1235. That's 45-point range, or just about 4%.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
Comparing the S&P in 2008 to Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The analog pattern that pops out of my work is not 1998, but Oct 2007 to Jun 2008, which certainly more closely resembles the fundamental world in which we find ourselves now.
Let's notice that in March 2008, the S&P 500 completed a 20% correction off of its Oct 2007 high. The subsequent rally climbed nearly 15%, smacked into and pierced above some key declining weekly EMA's prior to a powerful downside reversal that initiated a period of acute SPX weakness.
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Thursday, October 20, 2011
Stock Market Unpunctured Cycle Report “Risk Off” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Robert M. Williams writes: When I last wrote about the stock market it appeared that we had experienced a major break to the down side as the Dow, the S & P and the Transports all closed at new lows for the year. This took place on October 3rd with the Dow closing at 10,655 and well below the August low of 10,713. This of course was confirmed by the Transports as they closed at a new low of 4,038 on that exact same day. October 3rd was the second of two consecutive 90% down days and was highlighted by 836 stocks reaching a new 52-week low. Then on October 4th we saw even more stocks, 1,202 altogether, closing at new 52-week lows and I don’t remember so many stocks making new lows, at least over the last twenty years. This of course was a sign that sellers had finally exhausted the urge to part with stocks at any priced and I saw it at the time but failed to recognize it for what it was, i.e. an exhaustion of some sort.
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Stock Market, Apple Earnings, and Feeding the A.D.D. Monster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The last hour of trading was intense on Tuesday and then all eyes were focused on Apple’s earnings which were released around 4:30 ET. The initial reaction to the earnings release is negative although as I write this AAPL is bouncing sharply higher in after-market trading on strong volume.To put the final hour’s volatility into perspective, at 3 P.M. Eastern Time the S&P 500 Index was trading at 1,217. A mere 12 minutes later the S&P 500 Index pushed 15 handles higher to trade up to 1,232. Then sellers stepped in and pushed the S&P 500 lower by nearly 12 handles in the following 20 minutes.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Realpolitik / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: HRA_Advisory
Go Angela!
More mayhem, debt downgrades and a bank failure in Europe finally concentrated the minds of EU politicians, something the market has been waiting a year for. German Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy are promising a plan for bank recapitalization. If we get one and it makes sense then we should see further gains.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Fractal Self-similarity and the Stock Market Crash Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
In tracking the 2007-2008 decline, I noticed that there was a certain repetition (self-similarity) in the wave structure that may also be playing out today. One of the few rules in the wave structure is that third waves are never the smallest. From there, we can use guidelines (not rules) that suggest general wave behavior.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
After SPXU Has its Day - UPRO is Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Several weeks ago, for the second time, I called for a buy of SPXU too early. The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. Conversely, Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
The Stock Market Will Rally Significantly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: The_Gold_Report
Steve Palmer, founder and chief executive of the Toronto-based investment manager AlphaNorth Asset Management, prefers metals that have uses beyond sitting in a basement safe or gift-giving. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Palmer explains why he is looking closely at hardworking base metals that could take off with increasing global demand and a market rally he is forecasting through the end of the year.
Monday, October 17, 2011
Deflation and the Secular Stocks Bear Market, The Most Important Decision Bernanke Will Ever Make / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
As many of you know who have read my work in the past, the dollar put in a major three year cycle low back in May. It has been my expectation all along that the rally out of that major bottom would coincide with another deflationary period and the next leg down in the stock secular bear market. So far this has been the case as stocks topped in May at the same time the dollar bottomed.
Monday, October 17, 2011
Stock Market Breakouts and Breakdowns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX has broken out of its downtrend this morning. It's turn date was on Saturday, so there are no surprises here. Its next target is 65.62, the average target for the Orthodox Broadening Bottom formation.
Monday, October 17, 2011
Is the Stock Market Being Manipulated By the Fed and its Banks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: LewRockwell
The U.S. economy has continued to falter since the housing bubble burst. Virtually every part of the economy has worsened, and continues to do so. This is also true on a global scale. Whether discussing unemployment, housing, inflation, GDP, retail sales, etc., the picture is clear, we are still in a depression. Even though the economic picture is bleak, the stock markets have continued to go up in value during this period. Why is this happening? After the market collapse of 2008 and 2009, where losses were generally around 55%, the markets have gone up substantially. During that same period were QE1 and QE2. This is no coincidence. Bernanke took full credit for the rise in the stock markets, and for good reason.
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Monday, October 17, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally or New Bull Advance? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Broader global markets have rallied substantially since the start of the new cycle. The NYSE Composite has advanced 14% from October 4th (Chart 1), the EURO 100 has climbed over 11% and many Asian indexes have jumped 12%-17%. But is this the start of a new bull market or just a rebound rally within a longer bear trend?
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Monday, October 17, 2011
Technical Analysis of Stocks, Currencies, Bonds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- When I last discussed the VIX two weeks ago, I had mentioned that the VIX was getting quite a bit of attention in the popular media. I should have suspected that it was the "kiss of death" for the continuation of the rally at that time. Although the formation appeared to be ready for an upside breakout, it was due for a Master Cycle low, first. It now appears that the low may be in, or nearly so. The VIX cycle turn date occurred on Saturday, so I am allowing one more trading day for the turn to happen.
Monday, October 17, 2011
Stock Market Ready for a Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - A very strong uptrend typical of bear market rallies has begun. However, the existing pattern suggests that a correction is due.
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