Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 10, 2011
No Damage (Yet) to Downtrends in Gold, Oil, Euro/USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Apart from Sunday's announcement from leaders Merkel and Sarkozy that both agree that European banks must be recapitalized (the details of which will have to wait until Nov 2), let's notice that today's almost euphoric reaction has propelled the Euro/USD as well as gold and silver only towards a test of their prior recovery highs.
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Monday, October 10, 2011
Can Stock Markets Find the Road Back to Positive Territory? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: John_Derrick
As we began last quarter, we asked: “Is the market set to take off?” In a world full of uncertainty during the third quarter, global investors gave a definitive answer: No.
U.S. stock markets suffered through the worst quarter since 2008, with the S&P 500 Index dropping nearly 14 percent for the quarter; more than half of this drop occurred in September alone. Only 54 companies in the S&P 500 saw positive returns during the month, while more than 200 dropped at least 20 percent, TheStreet.com reports.
Monday, October 10, 2011
Gold, Silver And The US Dollar Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Willem_Weytjens
Last week, we wrote that gold and gold stocks could be at – or very close to – a bottom. So far so good, as the miners rallied out of oversold conditions.
Gold found support at the 35 weeks Exponential Moving Average, and RSI held above 50. That’s a good sign so far:
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Monday, October 10, 2011
European bank pledge lifts markets in early trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Regent_Markets
The weekend's pledge from Germany's Merkel and France's Sarkozy has been taken as a sign that the Eurozone finally has the will and the unity to get to tackle the crisis. There is increasing belief in the optimistic view that Greek default will be contained by full support of European banks. This comes as French and Belgian authorities guarantee 90bn euros of Dexia debt.
Monday, October 10, 2011
Start Of A Secondary Reaction In A Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate uptrend has begun.
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Sunday, October 09, 2011
How Long Before The Eurozone Debt Crisis Catastrophic Avalanche Occurs? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
By: DK_Matai
1. Time left is limited now, as a number of well placed sources envisage weeks � not months � before the Eurozone crisis deteriorates into a catastrophic avalanche;
2. October 8th is the date the Greeks were expecting to receive 8bn Euros from the IMF-EU-ECB troika to enable payments of wages to public sector workers by mid-October and to maintain public services. This payment has been postponed as the conditions for the bailout and the total sum involved are being recalculated by the troika;
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Sunday, October 09, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Bullish Set-Up vs. Europe, Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
For the past eight weeks, this market has been difficult for bulls and bears alike. I do not recall a more difficult two month stretch in terms of volatility and the magnitude of the ups and downs. Here are the peak-to-trough losses for a few ETFs since the spring 2011 highs:
Sunday, October 09, 2011
Market Short Squeezes and Trading Ranges, Risk On? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Wow!, every time I see one of those short squeezes they still blow me away at the speed and aggression they show, it clearly shows how many are selling this market, as without doubt that was another aggressive short squeeze you saw this past week.
Last week I left you with this chart, and the FX markets were suggesting that we were on the verge of a reversal.
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Sunday, October 09, 2011
Stock Market Breaking Down The Bullish Argument / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Equity bulls have found solace in the abnormally high bearish sentiment readings. Seems everyone wants to be considered a contrarian. Rather than follow the herd these free thinkers venture out into the cold dark tundra alone and unafraid. They proclaim to the world "huge bearish sentiment to propel the stock market rally."
Saturday, October 08, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Deja Vu? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week on Wall Street. For the past two weeks the market had made the high for the week on tuesday, and then sold off for the rest of the week. This week, however, the market made a new bear market low on tuesday, and then rallied for the rest of the week. Markets, worldwide, were generally higher with the DJ World index gaining 1.7%. In the US the SPX/DOW were +1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.9%. Economic reports for the week continued their downward trend with negatives outpacing positives 6 to 4. On the positive side: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales and non-farm payrolls. On the negative side: factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. The ADP index and the unemployment rate both came in unchanged. Next week the FOMC minutes, the twin deficits. and Retail sales highlight the economic agenda.
Saturday, October 08, 2011
Is the Stock Market About to Stage A Multi-Month Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The S&P 500 must have taken notice of the multitude of headlines coming at market participants and proceeded on a path of pure chaos. Since October 4th, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) managed to trade in a range that spanned from 1,074 to as high as 1,171 in 4 days. To put the past 4 days price action into perspective, the S&P 500 Index rallied 97 points or 9% in less than 96 hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 08, 2011
Too Many Uncertainties Remain In Place! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Consumers, businesses, and stock markets hate uncertainty, and they sure have been subjected to more of it than they can handle so far this year. As a result, consumer and business confidence is at very low readings, and stock markets around the world are in serious corrections, many down more than the 20% that marks their entry into bear markets.
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Saturday, October 08, 2011
Investor Gainful Navigation Aids / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
"Governments all over the world have created trillions of currency units since 2007 in the mistaken idea that it would create prosperity. The Americans, but also the Europeans, the Chinese and others, have papered things over for the short run mainly by inflating the stock markets, artificially depressing interest rates, and slowing the fall of the real estate market. All that extra currency has made people think they are richer than they are, and has encouraged extra consumption, which is a large part of the problem. Now they [central bankers] are out of bullets. We are coming out of the eye of the hurricane and it is going to be much more serious than it was in 2007, 2008, and 2009. That is because all those currency units they created are causing tremendous price rises on the retail level. It is going to be devastating for the average guy. A complete breakdown in confidence is happening right now in the US dollar. The Chinese, or at least their central bank, have more US dollars than anybody else, and they want to get rid of them. They are trying to offload those dollars, for instance in Africa, to get rid of them for real wealth. Nearly everybody in the world feels this way. The new deals that they cut, with the Iranians and the Argentines for instance, are almost like barter deals. Nobody wants to use the paper currency of an unreliable third party.
Friday, October 07, 2011
Hyper Oversold Stock and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
The recent sharp selloffs in stocks and commodities have fueled an incessant drumbeat of pessimism plaguing the financial markets. Greece is doomed, Europe is fracturing, China is slowing, the US faces a recession, the sky is falling! You’ve heard all the popular bearish arguments countless times. But as usual at major turning points, popular consensus is dead wrong. Oversold markets are very bullish!
Friday, October 07, 2011
Can Global Economic Stimulus Stop Deflation? / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Clif_Droke
The year 2011 has been a strange and unusual one on many counts. If anything, 2011 can be characterized as the first year since the credit crisis started in which deflation wasn't actively opposed by central bankers and financial regulators.
In some cases, fiscal policy has been designed seemingly to assist the deflationary trend. In just the past few months, for instance, we've seen the abrupt end of the Federal Reserve's attempt at bolstering asset prices, the dramatic increase in margin requirements for several key commodities, talk of increasing taxes and regulatory burdens on businesses and other pro-deflationary measures. It's enough to make you wonder if perhaps the regulators actually want to introduce a certain level of deflation into the economy and financial markets.
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Friday, October 07, 2011
Stock Market What's Next ... Will We Have a Rising or Falling Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
The most important market test of the past two months is coming up soon as seen on today's chart.
Note how the market Strength has behaved on our C-RSI, 30 day indicator. It has been in a down trend since April, and it has been in Negative Territory since the end of July. That has translated into a DOWN condition for the market during the past few months.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Gold, DAX Stocks Index and US. Dollar Still Pointing to Sharply Lower Prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past month has been a wild ride for both equity and commodity traders around the globe. Novice traders have had their heads handed to them and their investment accounts drained. When fear, uncertainty and volatility are running high, some of the best opportunities become available to those who know what to look for. These market conditions force you to focus and strive for perfection in finding low risk entry setups and to also actively managing positions with laser focus because within hours a winning trade can turn into a losing trade.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 06, 2011
Stock Market Like March 2008 or August 2008? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We have been calling for the markets to make new lows for eight weeks. The new low occurred on Monday. Given the similarities to March 2008 that have surfaced since Monday’s low of 1,074 on the S&P 500, it is prudent to understand how sharp bear market rallies can be. The bear market rally off the March 2008 lows pushed the S&P 500 14% higher.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Continues To Signal Equity Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Looking purely at the Vix one could say it is moving down as fear comes out of the market. Equities are moving higher, Vix moving lower, all is coming back to normal. But if you look behind the Vix it is signaling a completely different picture.
What I see is something pulling back before a final assault and highly probable defeat of the 48.00 line in the sand. I see the Vix moving up to the 60 range in a matter of days. Perhaps that will lead to the final push lower in equities before some form of a tradable bottom is put in. Perhaps it is already in but judging by the divergence between volatility and the SPX I highly doubt it.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
S&P 500 Stock Index Testing Key Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Why did I bail out of my long ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) position (+7% in a day and a half)? Largely because the e-mini S&P 500 was bumping up against an important one-week resistance line at 1129.00, which in THIS market could elicit a negative reaction.
That said, so far there has been very little weakness after the initial bump against 1129. Should the e-SPZ hurdle and sustain above the resistance line, then my next optimal upside target zone is 1139-1143.
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