Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Did the Past 7Weeks Stocks Rally Lull You to Sleep? Bear Markets Are Cunning Beasts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Bear markets are cunning beasts.
Don't get me wrong -- we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially.
An "official" bear market begins when the stocks indexes decline 20%. The DJIA's decline from the May 2, 2011 high to the September 21 low is about 17%. Close, but no cigar.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Southeast Asia: Strong Economic Growth, Humming Factories, No Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
Martin Hutchinson writes: Gloom has enveloped most of the investment landscape these days, but there is still one region that offers strong growth and serious returns.
I'm talking about Southeast Asia.
There was a time when investors scoffed at the likes of Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. But no one's laughing now. The naysayers currently are all too busy pulling their money out of the regions they always assumed were safe - the United States, Europe, and even the trendy BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China).
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
BBC Speechless As Trader Warns of Stock Market Crash and Economic Collapse Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"know the stock market is finished. The euro, as far as they're concerned, they don't really care".
"For most traders, we don't really care that much how they're going to fix the economy, how they're going to fix the whole situation — our job is to make money from it," he said.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Most Likely A Prudent Time To Cover S&P 500 Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There is a sound axiom in the markets – “When the market does not do what you expect it to do, it is time to pay attention.” In terms of timing an entry point, our rationale for adding to our S&P 500 short positions (SH, RYURX) was based primarily on last Thursday’s breakout from a bullish flag pattern (see below). Yesterday’s sharp rally from 2:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m. after the CNBC announcement pushed SH back into the flag below, meaning the breakout was in jeopardy of failing. This morning’s futures indicate we will get confirmation of the failed breakout at the open. Consequently, we will most likely exit our SH position within the first hour of trading today.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Euro-Zone Prepares to Print Trillions in Advance of Greece Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
It's not just the financial and economic world that's being turned upside down with fast changing events in motion that will impact for many years. Last week saw that maybe energy does not equal mass X the speed of light squared. Eeeek ! There goes Einstein's theory of general relativity and the past 100 years of physics (if true) over the event horizon and into a black hole, though the theory has always had something major missing which is why there existed the fundamental disparity between quantum mechanics and general relativity that maybe we will get much closer towards understanding if E=MC2 is busted.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Prepare to Profit From the Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Hutchinson writes: The notion of a stock market crash is a terrifying thought for most investors.
But it shouldn't be. After all, stock market crashes, properly played, can be just as profitable - if not more so - than bull-runs.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Extreme Moves Leave Markets in Rare Territory / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
If you didn't pay much attention to global markets last week, here's what you missed...fears that the global economy is dangerously close to a recession due to the financial crisis in the eurozone and flatlining growth in the U.S. sent assets of all shapes and sizes into a tailspin.
Among the E7 and G7 countries, only two markets increased for the week--Pakistan (up 2.2 percent) and Japan (up 0.5 percent). Russia (down 12.2 percent) and Indonesia (down 10.7 percent) were the leaders in the opposite direction. The average return for the 14 countries was a 5.7 percent decline.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
A Strong Dollar Means Investor Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The Fed has been dumping billions of dollars into the US markets each and every trading day since late 2010. Because of this massive money creation the dollar became much weaker.
Movements in the dollar influence commodity prices, commodity prices influence bonds, which then influence stocks:
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Markets to Get Crushed, Gold to Soar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Markets got crushed last week as the main catalysts of economic collapse continued to converge and interact to eradicate risk capital appetite. Both the Fed and European Central Banks are exuding a “deer in the headlights” kind of paralysis. Their only strategy appears to be finding new ways to load up the countries wallowing in debt with more debt at lower rates but for longer durations. Meanwhile, the assets they demand as collateral are the only ones worth anything. Thus, the Greeks are getting raped, and nothing worth anyting in Greece will be owned by Greeks.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
How to Survive a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
David Zeiler writes: After a barrage of bad news -- a disappointing move by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a couple of really bad days for the world's key stock markets last week -- it would be understandable if you wanted to dump all your investments, stick the cash in a duffel bag, and move to the hills.
As an investor, that would be the biggest mistake you could make, says Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Euro Crisis, Too Big To Bail? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
During the first financial crisis whereby the like of Lehman Brothers failed we heard the war cry ‘Too Big To Fail’ trotted out by our political masters. As the next financial crisis approaches we might hear a new mantra; ‘Too Big To Bail’ as one or more of the larger banking institutions enters into bankruptcy.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Short China and the Not So Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Since February, I have called the market trend as a sideways pattern. This kind of trend dictates a move out of equities for the small active retail investors. I reiterate that call now and see far more risk to the downside than reward to the upside.
I note that anyone moving to cash as of my February call would have given away no upside profits and would, at this point in time, have been protected from a more than 10% loss.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Support Breached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Back to square one, with a good possibility that the 3-yr cycle will bring a new low. It already has for some other indices.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Buy SPXU, and Watch AGQ, SLV and PSLV for Once in a Lifetime Chance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Economic Collapse, Financial Manipulation and the Dollar Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The question plays out on three fronts. England quietly is immersed in its own financial problems, churning out their version of quantitative easing, as the US FOMC meeting rises in the distance for two days this time.
Will we get the twist? Of course we will. If we do not the bottom will fall out. That will signify the issuance of more funds plus what is needed to purchase some 80% of Treasury securities, or about another $850 billion.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Year-To-Date Performance of Various Financial Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Check out the Treasuries in the second chart, particularly the 30 Year Bond.
If the Fed had not been targeting assets to create some of these price moves it would be the best case for deflation which I have seen thus far.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Bull and Bear Market Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
After gold and silver got hit hard last week, some of you probably wonder if that was the end of the 10 year+ bull market for precious metals.
In this article, we will describe both the Bull & Bear Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks and we will also make some interesting comparisons.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Changing Markets Risk Perception Across Multiple Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
This week saw a lot of technical damage across multiple asset classes as demonstrated by the charts below. The biggest shift though appears to be that of perceived risk. In the past bad news was good news as it would bring further accommodative monetary policy such as QE1 and QE2. Market participants always believed the Bernanke put was alive and well and equity values would be defended. In other words the perception of risk was less severe.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stock Market Crash or Buying Opportunity Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
"Lost decade."
The phrase originally applied to Japan's stock market. Yet in terms of depth and scale, it more accurately describes today's markets and economy in the United States.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stocks Are Not Supposed to Fall in the 3rd Year of a Presidential Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
While I dont take much stock in things such as Super Bowl indicators or hem line indicators in terms of giving us a tell on where the economy or market is heading, one quite prescient indicator has been a simple one - the third year of a presidential term indicator. Generally, as a president heads to a re-election year he tries to push through some beneficial packages to help stoke the economy - which often leads to artificial bumps in GDP and profits - hence stocks follow. But in this case, we've been on massive stimulants for years in a row.
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