Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stocks, Silver, Gold and Bonds, Recession / Depression Until 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Let’s start with an update of an article I wrote on July 20th 2011. If the pattern isn’t broken soon, this could mean we are about to see 2008 all over again, and silver could drop another 50% from here:
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Bull Bear Market Phases, Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
According to Dow theory, both bull and bear markets have three phases. Between each of these phases there are important counter-trend moves. Our Dow theory founding fathers explained that these counter-trend moves are misleading and tend to be taken as a continuation of the previous long-term secular trend. Based on the longer-term phasing and value aspects of Dow theory, the evidence continues to suggest that the last great bull market began at the December 1974 low and peaked in October 2007. This data also continues to suggest that the decline into the March 2009 low was merely the Phase I decline and that the rally out of the March 2009 low serves to separate Phase I from Phase II of a much longer-term secular bear market.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Choppy Stock Market May Bottom Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After some big gains last week and a SPX 1216 close, the market gave it all back this week with a SPX 1136 close. Economic reports were light, but still mostly to the downside. On the positive were building permits, existing home sales, the monetary base and a downtick in weekly jobless claims. On the negative were declining housing starts, FHFA/NAHB housing prices, leading indicators, excess reserves and the WLEI. The big news for the week was the ‘sterilized’ Operation Twist. A $400 bln program to purchase long term debt with short term debt. The market apparently wanted more liquidity in the form of outright purchases. For the week the SPX/DOW were -6.45%, and the NDX/NAZ were -4.85%. Asian markets lost 5.0%, Europeans markets lost 5.2%, the Commodity equity group lost 10.3%, and the DJ World index dropped 7.7%. Next week will be highlighted by Q2 GDP, the Chicago PMI and Case-Shiller.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
No Shots Left in the Locker The Big Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
While the Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) promised more monetary easing on Wednesday, the announcement was overshadowed by an exceedingly gloomy report on the state of the economy. The official statement warned of “significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets.” That’s all it took to send shares tumbling as jittery investors jettisoned stocks and fled to the safety of risk-free US Treasuries. The Dow finished down 283 points on the day while the bloodbath spread overseas to Asian and European markets.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
Stock Market Rough Week...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And that's putting it mildly if you ask me. The market spent little time printing up ticks, and lots of time moving lower. It was a near crash on Thursday with the Nasdaq down nearly 90 points, and the Dow down nearly 400 points. Intraday it was down 525. Lots of bad news from overseas, especially from Greece, along with bad economic reports right here in the United States, really sparked the selling. It appears more and more as if we're headed for a global recession if we're not there already. Many of the reports coming in suggest were likely there right now with the markets action saying that is the case.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
The Perfect Storm in a Kondratieff Long Wave Winter / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Crashing global stock markets, debt defaults, overproduction, falling prices, tumbling interest rates, global debt deleveraging, and the clear necessity for austerity, they are all classic long wave forces now in full tilt, producing the perfect storm in a Kondratieff long wave winter. Only long wave theory explains the economic and financial events now unfolding daily in the global economy and financial markets.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
What If You Don’t Have A Five Year Investment Horizon! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I am so tired of hearing money managers and Wall Street spokesmen promoting stocks, talking on and on about the wonderful prospects of this or that corporation or sector, enticing easily led investors to buy them, hardly ever revealing they don’t mean investors should necessarily buy them immediately.That qualification, “if one has a five-year investment horizon”, is usually revealed in an unobtrusive phrase somewhere near the end of the interview, if at all.
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Markets Panic, What's Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Another horrible weak for investors right across the board. What's going on…?
WE HAVE SEEN another tumultuous week for global markets. Gold prices have been hit hard – with silver prices getting it even worse.
Stocks and commodities have also suffered – while US Treasury bonds have had to put up with Ben Bernanke 'Twisting' them.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
Explosive Moves in Gold, Silver, Oil, Dollar and Stocks, How to Catch The Next Move / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2011
Technical video analysis for Gold, Silver, Oil, Dollar and the Stock market.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Investors Prepare for More Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The debt markets have been warned…
‘The incremental parts of our foreign reserve holdings should be invested in physical assets… we will liquidate (U.S. Treasuries)…when…’
To my knowledge, this is the first time that a top adviser to China's central bank has uttered the word "liquidate."…
The Chinese are clearly vexed with Washington, viewing the Fed's QE as a stealth default on US debt. Mr Li came close to calling America a basket case, saying the picture is far worse than when Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher took over in the early 1980s.”
“China to 'liquidate' U.S. Treasuries, not dollars”
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph, London, 9/16/11
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Stock Market Urgent Report, Buying Opportunity Or Another Free Fall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
"Lost decade."
The phrase originally applied to Japan's stock market. Yet in terms of depth and scale, it more accurately describes today's markets and economy in the United States.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Eve Of Financial Collapse 2011, Like 1932? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is history about to repeat itself or rhyme? They will say, nobody saw it coming. Who could have predicted it...? It is worth noting that the 1932 stock market crash is deemed to be the worst in the 20th century and not the one in 1929. It occurred three years after the first crash. In September 2011, we are now approximately three years after the financial crash of 2008-09, which was triggered by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on September 15th, 2008.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Marc Faber Warns Stock Market Plunge is Discounting a Financial Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report, warns of a huge financial catastrophe on the way, which will make the 2008 financial crisis pale in comparison.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Stock Market SPXU Has Broken Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
The Vigilante's View on the Markets, Gold & Gold Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Times like these are why we are dollar vigilantes. Talk is incessant about a possible collapse of the European Union - something which we consider to be a certainty. They can let it collapse now or paper it over again and see if they can keep that dead man walking a little longer.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Crisis High 2011 and the Next Market Credit Crash / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The year 2011 is in many ways a Year of Destiny. The year-to-date has seen revolutions in the mid East, natural disasters in the U.S. and globally, a debt crisis in Europe and the potential of another economic recession in the U.S. On the financial front the year 2011 has also brought on the beginnings of a new bear market which should carry us into the fateful year 2014 when the dominant long-term 120-year cycle bottoms.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Markets Bloody September, Fed Twist Reimposed our Intermarket Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Bernanke has played a smart move here as he moves into the Twist operation. Effectively he has killed the game in the town: Borrow short and invest long term/play the commodities game. By announcing an intention to sell short curve, FED has now signaled its desire to bring down commodities in a heap. It is a one handle move to strangle speculative bank/hedge fund positions. Will there be a systemic crisis? Am not yet sure but I think the FED would have thought about this.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Monetary System In Ruin, Signals Of Systemic Collapse / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Wow!! The billboard signals of extreme crisis are overwhelming. Three years of near 0% with no recovery. A full year of ample USTreasury and mortgage bond monetization with no recovery. Tons of cash aid deliveries to the big US banks with no recovery. Some key corporate nationalizations with no recovery. Oodles of errant stimulus programs with no recovery. Some important misdirection in home loan aid initiatives with no recovery. The US Federal Reserve admits it can do nothing more as a recovery remains elusive. The USGovt is paralyzed by disguised fascist warmongers opposed by disguised marxist collectivists, but intent on maintaining the status quo among bank fraud. An approved accounting fraud directive is kept in place to present a picture of bank solvency. Intermediate credit markets have come to a standstill.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Reasons The Stock Market S&P 500 Index Is Headed Below 1,050 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There are numerous fundamental and technical reasons supporting a move below 1,050 on the S&P 500:
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Why Markets Booed the Fed's "Operation Twist' And So Should You / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Kerri Shannon writes: With "Operation Twist," U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers are attempting to use an old strategy to launch a new attack on the wheezing U.S. economy.
But the assault, announced after the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting concluded yesterday (Wednesday) afternoon, isn't expected to have much long-term success.
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