Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, October 10, 2010
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Closes Back Above Dow 11,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Today's a great day for numerologists - 10th day of the 10th Month of the 10th Year. What happened on past such days ? Apparently nothing!
The Dow on Friday closed above 11,000 at 11,006 for the first time since just before the May 6th Flash Crash. Off course no one saw the flash crash coming, but subsequently many of a perma mindset have eagerly anticipated its re-occurrence all the way back to above Dow 11k.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Stock Market Weekend Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 is at a crossroads as the price structure pierces above its resistance line off of the October 2007 high (1576.09), which cuts across the price axis at 1158.68. A sustained hurdle of the 3-year down trendline could (should) have significant near-term bullish implications for the SPX, and would in all likelihood be heading for a revisit of the April 2010 high at 1219.80 -- or another 5% beyond current prices.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
The Zero Sum – The Logical Imperative / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Courage of Convictions
Some things we read and hear over the course of Life we instinctively know at first blush are right – the hard part is figuring out “how”. Makes sense and sounds easy, but “how” ?
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
How Government Policies Affect the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One key element of our investment process at U.S. Global Investors is tracking and monitoring government policies. We believe policies are precursors to changes in the marketplace and taking a look at year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 Index is a good way to illustrate how.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Stock Market Rallys on Hot Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
U.S. Payroll Drop Tops Forecast on Teacher Firings
(Bloomberg) The U.S. lost more jobs than forecast in September as local governments fired teachers and other workers in response to declining tax revenue. Payrolls fell by 95,000 workers after a revised 57,000 decrease in August, Labor Department figures in Washington showed today. Private employers added 64,000 jobs, less than forecast. Wages and the workweek stagnated.
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Dow Closes Above 11,000 as Stock Market Indices Rally Late / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended the week with a bang, closing the S&P 500 near the 2010 highs. The day started out with some backing and filling, and then a rollover, but that held support. When that occurred, the indices rallied very sharply, pulled back mid-day and then rallied back into the close. With about five minutes left, they backed off in some late profit taking, but still closed above 11,000 on the day.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Stock Market Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This bull run for the last few months can be looked upon as the grind run. Nothing too explosive day to day, although, there have been some good days in there. Mostly, however, it's been a grind up. One step up and three quarters of a step back, yet, when you look back, we're higher. Up day after day with small pullback's along the way. Sticks aren't too large all that frequently, but when you add it up, it starts to feel like we're blasting higher, even though it's not that way in reality. Today was just that type of day.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
What are Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Institutional Investors still control over 50% of the stock market and because of this, they are a predominant force in the trending direction of the market.
Therefore, it matters ... it matters if Institutional Investors are in Accumulation or Distribution.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Investor Opportunities to Profitably Escape Paper Wealth Destruction During 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“…All told, the Fed has bought $20 billion worth of Treasuries in this fashion, $11.15 of which it purchased last week alone. With this kind of weekly money pumping in place, Bernanke and pals don’t need to continue their “behind the scenes” games (like the options expiration week money pumps).
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Stock Market Mixed, Choppy Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed and traded in choppy fashion all day today. The day started with a move up near the opening to test resistance, could not get through overhead resistance, came off sharply, and then bounced back just as sharply, with the Nasdaq 100 making nominal new highs and the S&P 500 failing to confirm.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Resources and Technology, and a New Investment Paradigm for the Next Decade / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Between the Century from 1908 to 2008, the world underwent stupendous transformation. I like to compare a photo of then vs now for an example:
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Drop in Jobless Claims Soothes Markets Economic Concerns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dodgy economic data continues to undermined confidence in the economic recovery and raises hopes for fresh Central Bank action. Hump days private employment gauge the ADP Employment number came in significantly worse than expected (at -29k versus the expected +20k) and dampened expectations for Fridays key non farm payrolls And its starting to sound like a broken record, but the Dollar (-.55 percent) came under pressure, Gold (+.6 percent) rallied, and the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell to 2.39 percent.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Stock Markets Downside Risk Mitigated By Fed, Economy, and Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
From current levels, the downside risk in stocks, and risk assets in general, is probably not as significant as many believe. Three factors mitigate the risks relative to a gut-wrenching correction in risk assets: (1) the Fed, (2) the economy, and (3) a significant band of support in the S&P 500.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
New Quantitative Easing Will Launch Emerging Stock Markets Boom / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: In Wall Street circles, it's known as "QE2" - for "Quantitative Easing - Round 2."
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England (BOE) are moving rapidly towards it, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has pledged to enact it.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
The Asset Allocation Model And Pension Value Investing / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
Academic Background - “In 1986, Gary Brinson L. Randolph Hood, and Gilbert L. Beebower (BHB) published a study about asset allocation of 91 large pension funds measured from 1974 to 1983. They replaced the pension funds' stock, bond, and cash selections with corresponding market indexes. The indexed quarterly returns were found to be higher than pension plan's actual quarterly return. The two quarterly return series' linear correlation was measured at 96.7%, with shared variance of 93.6%. A 1991 follow-up study by Brinson, Singer, and Beebower measured a variance of 91.5%.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Stock Market Leaders Are Now Lagging? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Wednesday’s session closed mixed on the day. The DOW posted a third of a percent gain while the tech sector closed down almost nine tenths of a percent. While technology stocks have been leading the market higher in the recent months, today they took the back seat while the DOW took control.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Nasdaq Gives Way in Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered losses today in the non-blue chip sectors as the Nasdaq 100 was down 18.11 at 2006.52. The S&P 500 ended up near-unchanged, down to 0.78 at 1159.97, and the Dow was up 22.93 at 10.967.65.
There was a distinct 3-wave decline today, as the indices dropped sharply in the morning, bounced mid-morning, and then dropped into early afternoon for the session lows near 1992 on the NDX and near 1155 on the SPX. At that point they worked their way back and took back some of the losses, but still ended up sloppy on the day.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
High Pole Stocks Snap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
You won't have to look long or hard to find carnage wherever you turn with those high pole stocks, meaning stocks that have run up straight with hardly a pullback for months. They're all over the place, and we warn you to stay away from them daily. Not only have they run straight up, but many of them have incredibly high PE's that are simply unsustainable. 100 PE's and sometimes 200 or more. Stocks such as VMware, Inc. (VMW), Equinix, Inc. (EQIX), Salesforce.com (CRM), and F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV) to name just a few of the carnage hits today.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for October 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Following the trend in the market is a well known strategy. Has the recent market action given us any clue on the current trend and if it is about to change?
The break through resistance that has lasted since Spring 2010 is not overwhelming. The market needs to at least pause before resuming its upward trend. On the other hand, this could be an overbought situation where we will see a pull back. I am leaning more toward a pull back. Time will tell.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Hussman Bearish on the Stock Market and Economy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
John Hussman is bearish on the economy and stocks. He backs up his beliefs with good commentary and a series of charts in Economic Measures Continue to Slow .
Please see the article for some excellent economic charts. Here are a few snips regarding equity returns.