Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, October 11, 2010
Stock Market Emulating 1930's Crash Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Damn The Economic Torpedoes – It’s Fiat Nirvana Or Bust - Little doubt can exist US central planners intend to go the full nine yards in attempting to overt a repeat of Japan over the past twenty years. We know this because the Fed told us in it’s last meeting it’s prepared to do anything to avoid such an outcome, which for them means they are willing to turn the screws on the printing presses without limit. Hence the title attempting to capture the condition our condition is in, damn the torpedoes – it’s fiat nirvana or bust – where just about every observer on the planet thinks such an outcome is now baked in the cake. This is of course a very dangerous condition sentiment wise, which we will expand on below. However for now it looks as though monetary authorities will pull it off, as many believe the markets are still in a position to accommodate such thinking.
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Monday, October 11, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis, Wave 3 Down?, and Quantitative Easing / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A Reader Asks All Word Questions at the Right Time
In the short time of running my own website I've received some great, interesting and well thought out questions, comments and data from readers. It's one of the things I truly enjoy, as it serves as a collective body of work from like minds with similar interests.
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Monday, October 11, 2010
QE2 And Corporate Earnings Are The Key This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks gained Friday, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 11,000 for the first time since before the May 6 crash, as worse than estimated jobs data raised speculation the Federal Reserve will enact stimulus measures. When the much awaited macro hit the tape, confusion reigned and persisted for the rest of the afternoon. The headline number was weaker (-95k v -5k cons) and initially sent markets lower, but wait, surely a worse number makes QE more likely? Up we went. The underlying NFP detail was mixed; the private payroll gain in September was close to expectations (+64,000), and there were upward revisions to July/Aug (+36,000 net), but, there was a very sharp 84,000 drop in state and local government jobs (primarily teachers).
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Monday, October 11, 2010
Global Stocks Set to Surge Higher / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Jon D. Markman writes: Indices across the world rose last week in what looks to be the beginning of a historic stock rally.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.6% last week, while the overseas developed-world large-caps - represented by the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US exchange-traded fund (NYSE: VEU) - rose 2.4%. Meanwhile, the iShares Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE: EEM) rose 1.7%, the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI) rose 3%, the iShares MSCI Switzerland Index fund (NYSE: EWL) rose 3%, and the iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (NYSE: EWA) rose 3.6%.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Should the U.S. be Classified as an Emerging Market for Investment Purposes? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
An interesting debate on CNBC on whether the U.S. should now be classified as an emerging market for investment purposes? While easy to laugh it off, the country is exhibiting many of the risk factors traditionally correlated with developing markets. For example:
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
US Stock Market Indices Continue Their Upward Trend / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news: The US market indices continue their upward trend last week as the Dow Jones industrial average broke above the 11,000 mark for the first time in over five months. The bad news: this latest market uptrend appears not to be driven by good economic news but rather by an emerging "carry trade" driven by the easy money policies of the US and a number of other countries around the world, including Japan.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Closes Back Above Dow 11,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Today's a great day for numerologists - 10th day of the 10th Month of the 10th Year. What happened on past such days ? Apparently nothing!
The Dow on Friday closed above 11,000 at 11,006 for the first time since just before the May 6th Flash Crash. Off course no one saw the flash crash coming, but subsequently many of a perma mindset have eagerly anticipated its re-occurrence all the way back to above Dow 11k.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Stock Market Weekend Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 is at a crossroads as the price structure pierces above its resistance line off of the October 2007 high (1576.09), which cuts across the price axis at 1158.68. A sustained hurdle of the 3-year down trendline could (should) have significant near-term bullish implications for the SPX, and would in all likelihood be heading for a revisit of the April 2010 high at 1219.80 -- or another 5% beyond current prices.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
The Zero Sum – The Logical Imperative / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Courage of Convictions
Some things we read and hear over the course of Life we instinctively know at first blush are right – the hard part is figuring out “how”. Makes sense and sounds easy, but “how” ?
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
How Government Policies Affect the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One key element of our investment process at U.S. Global Investors is tracking and monitoring government policies. We believe policies are precursors to changes in the marketplace and taking a look at year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 Index is a good way to illustrate how.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Stock Market Rallys on Hot Air / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
U.S. Payroll Drop Tops Forecast on Teacher Firings
(Bloomberg) The U.S. lost more jobs than forecast in September as local governments fired teachers and other workers in response to declining tax revenue. Payrolls fell by 95,000 workers after a revised 57,000 decrease in August, Labor Department figures in Washington showed today. Private employers added 64,000 jobs, less than forecast. Wages and the workweek stagnated.
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Dow Closes Above 11,000 as Stock Market Indices Rally Late / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended the week with a bang, closing the S&P 500 near the 2010 highs. The day started out with some backing and filling, and then a rollover, but that held support. When that occurred, the indices rallied very sharply, pulled back mid-day and then rallied back into the close. With about five minutes left, they backed off in some late profit taking, but still closed above 11,000 on the day.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Stock Market Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This bull run for the last few months can be looked upon as the grind run. Nothing too explosive day to day, although, there have been some good days in there. Mostly, however, it's been a grind up. One step up and three quarters of a step back, yet, when you look back, we're higher. Up day after day with small pullback's along the way. Sticks aren't too large all that frequently, but when you add it up, it starts to feel like we're blasting higher, even though it's not that way in reality. Today was just that type of day.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
What are Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Institutional Investors still control over 50% of the stock market and because of this, they are a predominant force in the trending direction of the market.
Therefore, it matters ... it matters if Institutional Investors are in Accumulation or Distribution.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Investor Opportunities to Profitably Escape Paper Wealth Destruction During 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“…All told, the Fed has bought $20 billion worth of Treasuries in this fashion, $11.15 of which it purchased last week alone. With this kind of weekly money pumping in place, Bernanke and pals don’t need to continue their “behind the scenes” games (like the options expiration week money pumps).
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Stock Market Mixed, Choppy Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed and traded in choppy fashion all day today. The day started with a move up near the opening to test resistance, could not get through overhead resistance, came off sharply, and then bounced back just as sharply, with the Nasdaq 100 making nominal new highs and the S&P 500 failing to confirm.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Resources and Technology, and a New Investment Paradigm for the Next Decade / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Between the Century from 1908 to 2008, the world underwent stupendous transformation. I like to compare a photo of then vs now for an example:
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Drop in Jobless Claims Soothes Markets Economic Concerns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dodgy economic data continues to undermined confidence in the economic recovery and raises hopes for fresh Central Bank action. Hump days private employment gauge the ADP Employment number came in significantly worse than expected (at -29k versus the expected +20k) and dampened expectations for Fridays key non farm payrolls And its starting to sound like a broken record, but the Dollar (-.55 percent) came under pressure, Gold (+.6 percent) rallied, and the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell to 2.39 percent.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Stock Markets Downside Risk Mitigated By Fed, Economy, and Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
From current levels, the downside risk in stocks, and risk assets in general, is probably not as significant as many believe. Three factors mitigate the risks relative to a gut-wrenching correction in risk assets: (1) the Fed, (2) the economy, and (3) a significant band of support in the S&P 500.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
New Quantitative Easing Will Launch Emerging Stock Markets Boom / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: In Wall Street circles, it's known as "QE2" - for "Quantitative Easing - Round 2."
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England (BOE) are moving rapidly towards it, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has pledged to enact it.
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