Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, October 01, 2010
China PMI Cheers Stock Markets While PIGS Fly Tighter / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US macro data sent the markets higher initially Thursday (GDP beat 1.7% v 1.6% cons; Chicago PMI 60.4 v 55.5 cons; weekly jobless data was also better), with the S&P500 breaking through the 1150 mark to new highs. However, the break did not last long as the futures desk’s month end flow was better to sell (the chatter from the US was that asset allocators were going to have to dump equities on the close given the outperformance of equities in September). The selling pressure eroded the majority of macro-led gains, leading to a finish in negative territory on the day.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market Big Rally Gives Up All Gains and Then Some... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The major indexes gap up and rally on news that Q2 GDP growth was slightly better than expected then all those gains went away with a trip lower by a like amount and a finish in the red...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
FTSE Stock Index Rresilient Hesitation Encourages Bullish Optimism / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Impending spending cuts and VAT increases scheduled for the start of 2011 may at best depress growth for a couple of quarters and at worst risk a double dip recession. Despite this the FTSE is only around 200 points off its 2010 highs.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Nasdaq Stock Market Not Doom & Gloom; Cyclical Investment Opportunity! / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Unfortunately investors as a group are slow to adapt to change, which can be a harsh and costly lesson to learn. But where there is turmoil there is also opportunity for those who can recognize change and make that adaptation.
From 1980 to 2000 the world enjoyed expanding credit and a seemingly forever growing stock market. By the end of the twenty year run in stocks the predictable investment environment led advisors and investors to believe in an apathetic strategy of ‘buy and hold’ and ‘forget about your investments’.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Stock Market Volatile Session Closes Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a volatile and difficult day, and ended lower today. The day started out, however, with a gap to the upside. They ran hard to reach new rally highs at 2029.65 on the Nasdaq 100, but pulled back at the end of the day to below 2000.
Net of the day, the Dow, which got up to 10,948.88, closed at 10,788.05, down 47.23, about a 140-50 point reversal, not the best result today. The S&P 500 closed down 3.53 at 1141.20 after being as high as 1157.16, a new rally high there. The Nasdaq 100 lost 11.04 to 1998.04.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Stock Market Confounds Press and BlogosFear September Plunge Fears By Closing Up 8% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market rallied during september right from the start of the month without any significant reactions against a solid uptrend that saw the Dow close at 10,788 (up 7.7%) which is contrary to the mainstream press and the BlogosFear mantra of first having pumped investors full of hindenberg crash omen fears during much of August, which then continued to scream Fear in a near relentless mantra for the whole of September by dredging up historic precedents that September is usually one of the worst months for stocks and therefore investors should seek to sell ahead of an anticipated slump or worse as illustrated below that NEVER materialised:
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Stock Market Resistance Proves Insurmountable... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The major indexes weren't able to cross above overhead resistance so followed the path of least resistance which was downward...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Time for a Paradigm Shift in Your Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
With gold and silver hitting new highs the markets are finally getting very exciting for those of us investing in the natural resource sector. Great gains are being made and the big move which we expect is still in front of us and could possibly unfold within the next 6 months.
This is the time investors should be asking themselves if they are correctly positioned to maximize their gains should this big move occur. One of the legends in the precious metals sector once said, "An investor invests 100% of their money to make 10% a year while a speculator will invest 10% of their money in the attempt to make over 100%."
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Market Tipping Points for Commodities, U.S. Dollar, Gold and Yuan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Now that Summer just ends, the Summer doldrums of inactive markets abates. What is next?
One thing that concerns me is a repeat of quasi bubble peaking behavior in general commodities – as well as gold in my view, as the USD also shows a bit of weakness after a year long rally to the low 80’s on the USDX. Also of a bit of quandary is the Yuan’s strength, and a bit of competitive currency devaluation amidst the other major currencies, with the Yen peaking a bit and foreboding a further unwind of the Yen carry trade?
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Market Report on SP500, Crude Oil, Gold and U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Wednesday the market didn’t tell us anything new. The equities market is still over extended on the daily chart but the market is refusing to break down. Each time there has been seen selling in the market over the past two weeks, the market recovers. Equities and the dollar have been trading with an inverse relationship and it seems to drop every in value each selling pressure enters the market, which naturally lifts stocks.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Stock Market Narrow, Losing Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices vacillated back and forth today, continued their consolidation, but held support while being repelled by resistance. Net on the day they were down a bit.
The day started out with a little bit of a gap down. They then bounced to retest the highs on the Nasdaq 100, but fell far short on the S&P 500. At that point 2000 support held on the NDX, as did 1140 on the SPX. They bounced again, but were unable to get back up to the early session highs on the NDX, although surpassed them on the SPX. They backed off mid-day, but in the early afternoon came on again only to fail at resistance and sell off over the course of the last 90 minutes. But in the last 30-35 minutes or so, they bounced again to pare back the losses.
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Thursday, September 30, 2010
Stock Market Basing Out Below S&P 500 1160... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By no means does that guarantee that the S&P 500 will ever break through this critical long-term down trend line that would send the bears running for the hills, if it ever did make the move. We have the GDP Report tomorrow along with jobless claims. Two huge reports that tells the market where things are on Main Street. A good report from either one can be a strong catalyst to getting closer to that holy grail of levels at 1160. But if both come in poorly, it will take the market down and test that critical 1131 all over again. That would be third time it does so over the short-term and wouldn't be the very best of behaviors for the bulls.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2010
Markets Waiting for Anglo Irish Clarity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US stocks opened lower Tuesday selling off sharply in response to a much weaker than expected consumer confidence number. But after the knee jerk reaction lower, equities found their footing and grinded higher for the remainder of the session with major indices finishing up 5.54 points on the S&P 500. Walgreen Co. led a rally in consumer staples and health companies and investors speculated the Federal Reserve will buy more debt to safeguard the economy. Walgreen, the largest U.S. drugstore chain, surged 11% as earnings topped estimates. Elsewhere Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson paced gains in health care shares as the Supreme Court agreed to hear an appeal by pharmaceutical companies seeking to block thousands of public hospitals from suing over a federal discount drug program. But Monsanto slid 8.1% on concern its SmartStax corn seeds aren’t performing as well as predicted.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2010
How Exchange Rates Could Torpedo Your Stocks Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Shah Gilani writes: When specialty-chemicals-maker H.B. Fuller Co. (NYSE: FUL) announced its third-quarter results earlier this month - with earnings and revenue coming in well below expectations - company shareholders suffered an 8% haircut in a single day.
Rising raw material costs appeared to be the headline reason for turbulence at the company. But there was another culprit - a frequent flier in cases of earnings shortfalls, but one that often remains unseen and misunderstood.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2010
Stock and Financial Markets Sober Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It is an unarguable fact that the world economy has become moribund against a background of overpopulation and environmental degradation.
That the gold price is rising in the face of such a fact – and against a background where markets are not showing signs of impending panic – is highly significant.
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Wednesday, September 29, 2010
The ONLY Reason Stocks Have Rallied This Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Fed generally claims that it stopped its first Quantitative Easing (QE) program back in March 2010 and that there were no additional debt monetizations between then and the announcement of its QE lite program in August.
Yet, as I’ve proven time and again, the Fed has continued to monetize Wall Street’s debts EVERY options expiration week since QE 1 ended… proving beyond a doubt that the Fed’s QE program did NOT actually end in March.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Stock Market Trade War Tuesday - China, Japan & U.S. at Odds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
War does not determine who is right, only who is left. - Bertrand RussellJust when you thought it was safe to go back in the water, Japan and China are at it again. We discussed the "fishing’ incident last week and Japan has released the Chinese captain who rammed one of their Coast Guard vessels.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Irelands Bonds In More Trouble, Stocks Slide / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Despite a pickup in M&A activity US Stocks posted modest losses Monday with financials leading the slide into the close. The sector shed 1.2 percent, which makes for the worst loss of any major sector. Regional banks were under some of the most pressure; they dropped 2.2 percent. Note of Irish interest MT&T slid 7 percent. The general mood wasn’t helped by chat of layoffs and bonus cuts at Morgan Stanley http://www.cnbc.com/id/39386390 and there was another flash crash Monday. Progress Energy fell from over $40 to around $4 in a few minutes (before recovering). It’s just one stock, but it confirmed that the post May 6 circuit breakers don’t work as advertised — another blow to confidence in the financial markets.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Singapore, Turkey, Thailand and Brazil Soaring Emerging Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Jon D. Markman writes: I'm focused like a laser beam on emerging markets this year, because there is much more at play than just relative strength. This is where the economic growth in the world is occurring.
I hope you are participating. And if you're not, don't worry - there's still time to get in and make a profit before the mainstream catches on.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Why QE Money Printing Does Not Work, QE2 Impact on Stock Market Sectors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Everywhere I turn is another article about Quantitative Easing Part 2. Will they or won’t they? My question last week was will it make any difference? After I sent my letter out, I came across this missive from the always fascinating Ed Yardeni. I like to read Ed because he is not afraid to take an out of consensus call. He is his own man, something of a rarity in the world of economists.
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