Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 02, 2010
Stock Markets Treading Water After a Big Up Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A hump day rally sparked by strong Chinese PMI and Aussie GDP data was followed up by much better than expected US ISM and the sentiment was for sure “RISK-ON” this was also helped by WSJ article about further stimulus from Obama administration and rumours of massive $6bn asset reallocation trade out of German bunds (the bond bubble) into S&P 500 futures as it was the start of a new quarter.
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Thursday, September 02, 2010
Stock Market Crash, Bull or Bear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Today’s rise in the stock market seems to have put in a near term bottom by advancing over the recent gap in price @ 1,071 on the SP500. Today, we had a strong move covering the gap resistance and the market closed right at its high and the 50 day MA. Above the 50 day MA is the next hurdle. MACD and RSI are turning up to support price.
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Thursday, September 02, 2010
SP500 and Gold At Crucial Pivot Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Wednesday was a big session with better than expected manufacturing surging the market 3%. In this article I will do a quick technical take on the current situation for the SP500 and gold as they are both trading at a key resistance level. also its important to know what type of price action we will get in the next 1-2 days so you can have your profit targets or protective stops in place depending on which side of the market you are currently playing.
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Thursday, September 02, 2010
ISM Manufacturing Sets Market On Fire..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Good news from overseas (China) gave our market a lift with regards to the futures over night. Economy there is doing very well. Our markets held on to their gains as things opened up, but there was a real headache staring us in the face once we got thirty minutes in to the trading day in the form of the big manufacturing report. The market did not want to see a number under 50 which is the dividing line between contraction and expansion. 55.2 was the number the previous month. We got 56.4. The market loved it. Showed we are still not double dipping at the moment.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Rally in Stocks, Commodities, and Risk-currencies Could be Sustainable / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Early September is very important for the financial markets; especially for the bulls. Numerous elements are in place for a rally to take hold now. The markets have been weak and the bears have been in control. If the bulls cannot make a stand soon, it will be a bad sign for risk assets. The good news for the bulls is several factors, across numerous markets and asset classes, are pointing to a possible rally in risk assets: Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
How the Stock Market and Economy Really Work / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Kel Kelly writes: The stock market does not work the way most people think. A commonly held belief — on Main Street as well as on Wall Street — is that a stock-market boom is the reflection of a progressing economy: as the economy improves, companies make more money, and their stock value rises in accordance with the increase in their intrinsic value. A major assumption underlying this belief is that consumer confidence and consequent consumer spending are drivers of economic growth.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
War is Over Wednesday, Stocks Bottom Fishing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
President Obama formally declared an end to the 7-year Iraq war last night.
This came as quite a surprise to the 50,000 soldiers who are still there but, so far, it sure beats the end of the Vietnam war where we had to get the hell out of Saigon as the city fell beneath us. To be fair, the Vietnam War had been going on for 116 years (the French began an unwelcome occupation in the 1800s) - we just came in for the last quarter…
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Chinese Data Cheers Stock Markets But NFP Looms / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By The Mole on 1 September 2010 at 14:08Category: Market Commentary, Market Watch by The Mole Comment US stocks rose, trimming the biggest August slump since 2001 Tuesday, as regulators approved a Chinese investment in Morgan Stanley and gains in home prices and consumer confidence tempered concern the economy is double dipping. Morgan Stanley added 1.1 percent as the Federal Reserve approved China Investment Corp.’s plan to buy as much as 10 percent of the company. AT&T Inc., JPMorgan and Merck both gained at least 1.2 percent to lead the Dow higher.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Warning Global Fiat Currency Financial System Collapse By Early 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Readers of my articles will recall that I have warned as far back as December 2006, that the global banks will collapse when the Financial Tsunami hits the global economy in 2007. And as they say, the rest is history.
Quantitative Easing (QE I) spearheaded by the Chairman of Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke delayed the inevitable demise of the fiat shadow money banking system slightly over 18 months.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Quantitative Easing Will Trigger Another Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
As I noted when the government started bailing out the big banks:
[The] Treasury Department encouraged banks to use the bailout money to buy their competitors, and pushed through an amendment to the tax laws which rewards mergers in the banking industry.
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Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Buy Stocks “In The Face Of Fear” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
TESTING 1 2 3 TESTING 1 2 3
And that folks is the order of the day when you look at the S&P 500 today.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
3 Reasons Now is Not the Time to Speculate in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
When it's sunny, you head outside without a thought, but when it's rainy, you look for your umbrella.
When the markets are trending up, you don't worry about your investments much, but when the markets turn bearish ... what do you do?
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Prelude to Meltdown: An interview with Bert Dohmen / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
When Bert Dohmen talks, smart investors listen.In 2007 when most investment analysts and economists were downplaying the developing credit market troubles, Bert warned investors that the probability was very high that the troubles would escalate into full-blown crisis and would produce a crash of historic proportions. He chronicled the developing credit crisis in the pages of his newsletter and also published a book in early 2008, Prelude to Meltdown, which provided his insightful views on the emerging crisis in depth. The book will surely go down as a landmark written by a financial visionary who was several steps ahead of his peers.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Stock Markets Pare Losses On Housing Data / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As I warned yesterday double dip fears returned to trump the temporary respite from Bernanke’s holding exercise at Jackson Hole & a flurry of M&A activity following yet more disappointing economic data which showed weaker than expected growth in US household personal income sending. This all helped push US equity indices to a 1.1% loss Monday. The 1020 area on the S&P 500 remains the key level to watch as this is the point from which we bounced back in early July. A break there I feel would see the market push substantially lower.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Total Stock Market Returns For USA, EAFE and Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Emerging stock markets are generally held to have the highest growth potential in the future. Their economies are generally in better debt/GDP shape than the aggregate developed stock market countries. Their GDP growth rates have been, are currently, and are expected to be higher than aggregate developed stock market countries.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
M&A Fails to Inspire Stock Market Investors... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The usual lift from sizable M&A activity failed to emerge as the major indexes gave back most of Friday's gains...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Stock Market Indices Spike Down into Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a down day to start the week, but did start with a little strength early on in the Nasdaq 100, when it retested that 1799-1800 zone unsuccessfully. The S&P 500 got up to 1064 and change and then began a slide that lasted the entire the session in stair-step fashion, which was fairly orderly until the last 15-20 minutes when it spiked down, leaving the SPX at the session lows.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Stock Market Warnings From Tech Sector – Bad News For Economy! / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Much of the hope for the economic recovery picking up momentum again has been driven by expectations that the technology sector will lead the way, the key expectation being that it’s about time for the ‘computer replacement cycle’ to kick in.Supposedly corporations and households have not been keeping up with the latest computer models, operating systems, and software from Dell, HP, Apple, and Microsoft, etc., and should begin purchasing to catch up.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Bullish Shanghai Stocks Index a Harbinger for SPX? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Today's sharp 2.5% upmove in the Shanghai Composite from Friday's close shows that the price structure held above -- and lifted off of -- its prior (Aug 13) pullback low at 2564, as well as near-term MA support in and around 2610. Today's up-move and close near the high of the day positions the China equity index for another test of key 4-month resistance at 2700, which if hurdled and sustained should trigger upside continuation towards an optimal measured target zone of 29.25/50, and possibly as high as 3000 to 3100. At this juncture, only a decline that breaks Friday's low at 2589 will compromise the current constructive technical set-up.
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Monday, August 30, 2010
QE II Money Printing Not Enough To Save Credit Cycle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
That should read widely anticipated Quantitative Easing (QE) is not enough to save the economy from a contraction in the larger credit cycle, however titles need to be catchy. And that’s basically what sparked the sell-off in stocks yesterday, reflected in a reversal of high yield bonds, which as you know we have been expecting to lead equities (hot money) lower. We were of course not disappointed in this regard, however sentiment readings still leave scope for increasing volatility (both up and down) over the next week or so, as options expiry approaches on the 20th.
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