Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, November 02, 2009

Stocks Bull Market Forecast Update Into Year End / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The update on the stocks bull market of early September called for a continuing trend towards a target range of 9,750 to 10,000 by late September / Early October to be followed by a correction in the region of 10% towards a target zone of 8,900 to 9,100, as illustrated below.

Sunday, November 01, 2009

Nailed the Stock Market Top? Probably / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Peter_Navarro

For the past month, as both market technical indicators and macroeconomic fundamentals have deteriorated, I’ve been warning of a possible market top in my Always a Winner newsletter. In preparation for that market top, I took my profits from the March run-up by closing almost all my long position.

Sunday, November 01, 2009

Stock Market Down Draft Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Since October 10, I have been singing a new tune and warning that "there is probably greater risk of a market down draft now than in past weeks," and on October 17, I even underlined these words for emphasis. I think this past week's high volume selling would qualify as a market down draft.

Sunday, November 01, 2009

Stock Markets Sharply Lower on Sustainability Worries of Global Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Rewind the movie to before the stock market lows of March 9: stocks down, corporate bonds down, commodities and gold down, emerging-market currencies down, safe havens in fashion, including the US dollar and government bonds. In short, risky assets closed sharply lower over the past few days as concerns mounted over the outlook for central bank policy and the sustainability of the global economic recovery, with investors only warming momentarily to the US emerging from recession as shown by the Q3 GDP report (announced on the 80th anniversary of Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929).

Saturday, October 31, 2009

U.S. Dollar Fiat Reserve Currency Root of the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Richard_Karn

Chapter 4:  “James Ross Clemens, a cousin of mine, was seriously ill two or three weeks ago in London, but is well now.   The report of my illness grew out of his illness, the report of my death was an exaggeration.”1

The matters discussed thus far in the first three chapters of our report, Credit and Credibility, may be summarized as follows:

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Financial Markets React Negatively to Reducing Emergency Economic Stimulus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Incomes are steady, but confidence is waning. -Spending by U.S. consumers fell in September for the first time in five months after the government’s auto-rebate program expired.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Is the Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The U.S. Economy bounced backed strongly in the third quarter, following Euro-zone second quarter recovery which is not so surprising given the amount of debt fuelled economic stimulus spending. Britain lags behind awaiting its bounce back in the fourth quarter due to the relative size of its financial sector.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Ominous Technicals for S&P 500 Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Friday's action could have been one of the more destructive technical sessions in recent memory. Not only did the day's weakness totally reverse Thursday's upside reversal gains, it closed on the low for the day and for the week. Furthermore, let's notice that on the enclosed weekly chart that this week's close broke and sustained beneath 1) the Aug-Oct support line; 2) the 10-week (or 50-day) MA; and 3) the major up trendline that originated off of the March 2009 low at 666.79. Finally, let's notice the very negative juxtaposition of the weekly slow stochastics and the weekly RSI.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Stock Market Negative Divergences Kick In Hard... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

I've been talking quite a bit lately about the very nasty negative divergences across the major indexes on the daily charts. In many cases, quadruple negative divergences. That's not something you see very often. When it takes place, at some point in time there will be a price to pay for that type of set up. We are seeing that take place now. The sad thing is, if you're a bull, these set ups often end a bull market. Once the wedges go, there's no looking back.

Friday, October 30, 2009

The Recession Has Ended! Has the Stocks Bull Market Also? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Sy_Harding

The Great Recession has ended. Halleluiah! It was the worst recession in many ways since the Great D. Just imagine. After four straight negative quarters the economy recovered in the third quarter. Not only did it recover, but GDP rose 3.5% in the third quarter, even more than the consensus forecast of a gain of 3.2%.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Financial Fairy Tale Antidotes Springboard For Garnering Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“…the Federal Reserve established and refined a program that permitted banks to pledge virtually any security as collateral…a guaranteed way for taxpayer capital to evaporate in the context of a disintegrating financial system, all with the purpose of bailing out Wall Street's major institutions…

…We uncovered numerous bankrupt companies' equities that were being pledged as collateral for what ultimately was taxpayer exposure. To our surprise, this discovery is not an exception, and in fact in the days immediately preceding the collapse of Bear Stearns…

Friday, October 30, 2009

World’s Greatest Investor Turns Bearish on Stocks, 25% Drop Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Q1_Publishing

The recession is over!

GDP grew at a 3.5% clip between July and September.

Wall Street’s fortunes seemingly turned around overnight.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

Nico Isaac writes: The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, Free.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Trading Financial Markets Using ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: INO

5 ETFs That You Need to Look at Right Now

The five ETFs that we are referring to are going to play a major role in the future and you need to know about them today.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Rydex Stock Market Timers Bailing Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.

Friday, October 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Premature Death Rumours and Necessary Stock Market 40% Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

Summary and Conclusion - Rumors of the US Dollar’s death may be premature. Indeed, rumors of the US economy’s death may be premature. What is needed is a period of cathartic healing to facilitate a process of ecdysis (shedding the old skin to reveal a new and healthy skin beneath). The equity markets need to be allowed to breath out and contract. A fall of up to 40% from current levels is necessary. Below the level of its immediately visible surface the US economy still has the potential to remain a powerhouse in the world economy.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Can U.S. Q3 GDP re-ignite the S&P Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The Technical Trader’s view:

WEEKLY CHART
Technically, in the weekly chart, the market is under some strain through the influence of the Gap resistance 1110-1077.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Modified Marc Faber Stock Market Sell Signal Model, More Insights / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems

By: Guy_Lerner

As the prior post shows, we can improve a simple moving average strategy by going to cash when the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury are strong.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Celebrating Stock Market Bears Take a Major Hit / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Yesterday we get some strong volume and blow through the 50-day exponential moving average on the Nasdaq. We fall only a bit below on the S&P 500 (4 points) and hold above it on the Dow. We didn't have all 3 major indexes trading below the 50-day exponential moving averages and that's what you want to see if you believe the market is ready for deeper selling than has already occurred. In addition, you don't want to clear by as little as we did on the S&P 500 as that's not a true breakdown. 4/10th's of 1% is not sufficient to say it's all clear for the bears.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Modified Faber Model Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

Back on June 29, 2009, I presented research that improved the efficiency of the Faber market timing model for the S&P500 by some 50%. By efficiency I meant that the new and improved model made more money with less time in the market and with less draw down. The research can be found in this article, "Inflationary Pressures Are A Legitimate Concern".