Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Stock Market Trending Towards Mid November Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Signals for an intermediate top continue to be elusive. The top of 1100, as expected, was only that of a short-term trend which may already have bottomed. The rally from the 1030 low is only a temporary move which is near its end and should be followed by a test of the low, at a minimum.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Stock Market Investment Sentiment, Changes Within The Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Every week that I put together these comments, I pay great attention to the words that I write. Last week's key points were: 1) the range continues; 2) seasonal tendencies and being at the bottom of a well defined trend channel argue for a bounce; 3) we need to see the excesses of bullish sentiment unwound before we have meaningfully higher prices; 4) the risk of a market down draft remains great. This week investor sentiment has become very convoluted suggesting even greater care in the words I choose. So let's get to it.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Nasdaq SOS Timing Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Here’s a quick update.
Here is this week’s SOS Timing Indicator:

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Goldman Sachs' and Warren Buffett's BRK Attempt Fannie Mae Tax Scam / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Trader_Mark

Some great posts this weekend over at "The Big Picture" by Barry Ritholtz; Barry is essentially the "trailblazer" of financial blogging and many a blogger has followed in his footsteps.  In my piece this past week on the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.a) Burlington Northern (BNI) buyout I didn't have time to get into it but detail oriented readers might of noticed this seemingly throwaway line I tossed in:

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Easy Money Continues to Boost Risky Financial Asset Prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained its extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy following its meeting on Wednesday. The communiqué had no surprises and said that the committee expected to keep the fed funds rate target in the 0-0.25% range “for an extended period”. As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) also kept interest rates unchanged at 1% and 0.5% respectively.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Stock Market Money for Nothing and Chop for Free! / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Piazzi

To the optimist, market held its own, looking to the future, and past the dismal job number.

To the pessimist market is rigged, and money is printed by the bundle and delivered on the wire to buy ETFs and futures.

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Familiar Feel to S&P 500 Stock Market Rally Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The strength of this week's upmove in the S&P 500 had a familiar 'feel'; to it. Why? After such a nasty close last Friday, prices managed to avert a plunge on Monday morning, turned up, and (perhaps with a nudge from Warren Buffet on Tuesday morning) did not look back. Friday's 'bad news is good news'; reaction to the Employment Report turned out to extend, perhaps fuel, additional strength for a fourth up-day this week.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stock Market Top Likely Reached / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Peter_Navarro

Last week, I called a market top; and the Dow Jones industrial average proceeded to reel off a 3.2% gain. There are a couple of important observations to make about this market action.

First, the tape never lies so it's important to be flexible when the market moves in the direction that you do not expect. While I entered last week slightly net short, I had a trailing stop loss on my major short position TWM and as the market rallied, I was able to close that short position and still preserve some my profits from the preceding week.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Bucking Bronco Stock Market Rising With Few Bulls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We now have the highest jobless rate since 1983 - The unemployment rate in the U.S. soared to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October and employers cut more jobs than forecast, underscoring why Federal Reserve policy makers say interest rates will remain near zero.

Payrolls fell by 190,000 workers last month, compared with a 175,000 drop anticipated by the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, figures from the Labor Department showed today in Washington. The jobless rate gained from 9.8 percent in September and exceeded 10 percent for the first time since 1983.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Broad Stock Market Percentages Supports Bullish Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

One of the most important charts that all investors should be watching is the level of bullish participation of stocks on the NYSE Composite. This graph illustrates the number of equities that are trading above their long-term 200-day moving average on the broad-based index. Currently that level is a very bullish 87.67%. This moving average is used by numerous money managers worldwide to determine the trading direction of securities.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Financial Transaction Taxes Would Cause Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Shedlock

Congress is discussing a horrible idea, putting a "transaction tax" on every stock or option purchase or sale. Please consider AFL-CIO, Dems push new Wall Street tax.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Global Leveraged Speculation Upsurge, Financial Crisis Not Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Bob_Chapman

Almost all the excessive hedge fund de-leveraging is over. Banks have continued to hold 40 to 1 leveraged positions, because they cannot exit them without a major economic recovery without going bankrupt. Our government remains trapped in the same old bubble mentality in its activist control banking and policymaking having issued $1.9 trillion in additional debt over the past year. Banks and government still do not see the warning signals. Any sane businessman who views the continued leverage being used by Fannie, Freddie, Ginnie and the FHA has to cringe in horror, as leverage increases daily without end.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stocks Secular Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

For some reason I have received numerous questions from readers about the big advance seen on November 3rd by the Transports.  The basic question that I’m being asked is whether or not that single 5% advance, as compared to the Industrials, had any predictive value from a Dow theory perspective.  The short answer is no.   From an orthodox Dow theory perspective, the magnitude of a move by one average verses the other average is immaterial as long as both averages are in gear with each other.  When I say in gear, I mean as long as both averages are operating above or below their previous secondary high or low point.   

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Stock Market Settles In To A Trading Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

We have a market setting up in what is clearly becoming more of a longer term lateral consolidation off the huge move up from the march 9th lows. Longer term lateral consolidations are usually what takes place after a strong move has been made one way or the other for a prolonged period of time. we had a huge move higher and instead of just quitting and rocking lower as many are calling for, this market is confusing the masses by setting up a whipsaw lateral consolidation that is playing heavily on the emotions of those who over trade.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

U.S. Economy, Investors Say No Worries Mate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Brian_Bloom

The only way that this analyst can reconcile the (apparently optimistic) behavior of US investors with the (neutral to negative) underlying facts is that investors are emotionally “comfortable” with what the Bernanke/Geithner team is doing.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

What Happened to the Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The big news of the week was the U.S. unemployment rate breaking above 10% to the highest rate in 26 years with all the expectations of the jobless recovery continuing well into 2010. Other news out of the U.S. came from the Fed confirming the view that U.S. Interest rates would be kept low for sometime.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Free Access to Robert Prechter's Current Elliot Wave Theorist and Financial Forecast Reports / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: EWI

It has been an exciting week in the markets. And FreeWeek attendees have been enjoying the ride.

FreeWeek Update: Elliott Wave International's publications have alerted subscribers -- and FreeWeek attendees -- that volume and breadth readings have been contracting throughout the multi-month rally, which signals a critical juncture ahead.

Friday, November 06, 2009

The Twist on the SPY's "Squeeze" / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

Remember last week when we discussed: "The SPY squeeze"?

In that update, we mentioned that: "the SPY's bottom support is rising toward the gap's resistance line." We mentioned it was a "squeeze" because the distance between the resistance and support was becoming a smaller and smaller as every day went by. In other words, resistance and support are converging on each other.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Financial Markets Profit Opportunity Thresholds Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“One of the great current myths that is being propounded by those in charge is that they are going to magically withdraw, at the appropriate time, the stimulus which is currently preventing the world economy from imploding.

What a bad joke, that is! Tim Geithner, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, may have given the whole ruse away when he said recently that it was important that the authorities publically discuss the subject of withdrawing the stimulus because it was important in sustaining the confidence of financial markets. Very simply, that’s what this is all about. It is a large con job to keep financial markets elevated so the average citizen will ignore the rot which is eating away at the foundation of the economy and the financial system.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Stock Market Investors Open Mind Warning on Highest U.S. Unemployment In 26 Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Investors Are Wise To Remain Flexible: The bearish spin on unemployment is obvious. The bullish spin is weak employment means low interest rates which is good for asset prices. Another possible spin by the bulls is "sell the rumor (weak employment) and buy the news (Friday's report)". Ultimately, it matters how the market (in the collective minds of participants) chooses to spin it, not how we at CCM choose to spin it. Nor does it matter how any one individual, one columnist, one market guru, one money manager, one firm, or one talking head chooses to spin it.