Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Perfect Setup for a Big Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Claus_Vogt

Since there’s no holy grail to analyze financial markets, the best approach is an eclectic one. So I incorporate as many tools as possible in my analysis, including: Fundamental valuations, macroeconomic models, monetary and fiscal policies, interest rate developments, sentiment and momentum indicators, and chart analysis.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Trend Depends on Liquidity Inflows and Outflows / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

Our Long Term Liquidity Indicator is a measurement of Liquidity Injections flowing into the market.

- Liquidity Expansion means that money inflows are at an expansionary rate which drives the market up. Decelerating Expansion is when the rate of inflows are decreasing while still net positive.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers Reminds Me Of My Own Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

In a show of doing the same thing over and over again or as I like to call it - hitting your head on the wall until it hurts - the Rydex market timer continues to anticipate a bounce in the market. This reminds me of my own market follies --only kidding!!

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Multi-Year Stock Market Top Could Be In / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Professor David Waggoner posted the following chart yesterday on Minyanville that I think is worth noting.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Black Tuesday Stock Market Crash Anniversary and a Return to Big Government / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Mike_Whitney

October 29, marks the 80th anniversary of the Stock Market Crash of 1929, the event which most historians point to as the beginning of the Great Depression. On Black Tuesday, traders dumped 16 million shares in one day sending the markets into freefall. In the months that followed, stocks rallied--sometimes for long periods at a time--but the underlying economy continued to deteriorate as consumers curtailed spending and cut back sharply on credit. As a result, hundreds of banks were shuddered, thousands of businesses failed, and unemployment soared to 25 percent. Public confidence plunged and the economy slipped into a decade-long slump. Tariffs were thrown up, international trade slowed to a crawl, and shanty towns began to sprout up across the country.

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Stock Market Bears Dismantling the Rally Step by Step / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

That's how the bears will have to do this. There is no straight down free fall into oblivion coming to a bear market near you. Step by step as we take on each level of support. We get there and get oversold. We bounce. We fall again and we bounce Usually on the third try we get through, but we have so many levels of support close by it's hard for the bears to gain any real momentum. 1080/1074/1060/1047. An average of approximately 1% between levels of strong support. Not exactly what the bears want to deal with but that's the game we're playing here. What's truly amazing is that each level puts up such a strong fight. Not a single one just goes away on the first try. That's how strong this bull market is.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Goldman Sachs, Hazardous to Underweight Brazil, But Hold the Big Mac / Stock-Markets / Brazil

By: Trader_Mark

Despite a 73% increase in the Bovespa this year and the country raising taxes to try to keep out an avalanche of Western central bank liquidity [Oct 20, 2009: Ben Bernanke's Money Printing Parade Forces Brazil to Slap a Tax on Outside Investors], Goldman Sachs still says the shares are cheap.  Certainly if EPS can grow 40%+ next year they might have a point, and who can argue against the fact this is one of the most attractive markets in the world.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Cautious on SPX Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Although the equity markets really are not doing much, I feel very uptight right now. Why? Take a look at the enclosed daily chart of the S&P 500. Let's notice that today marks the third session of weakness, and the decline has pressed slightly beneath the rising 20 DMA (now at 1070) AND, more importantly, is testing -- perhaps leaning against -- the Jul-Oct up trendline (1061.80).

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

S&P Stock Market Index Has Topped Out for the Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: INO

Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?

There is compelling evidence that we may have seen a top in the S&P index. In my new short video, I show you the evidence that I have found which may point to the fact that we are going to see a correction in this index.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Rydex Stock Market Timers Buying The Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

The Rydex market timer, as a representative sample of investors, was buying yesterday's sell off.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Stocks Almost at the End of the Rally Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Graham_Summers

Do you see the rising bear?

I’ve show the below bearish rising wedge to my readers several times. If you’re unfamiliar with this chart pattern, it occurs when the trading range shrinks as stocks rise higher. Typically these patterns precede SHARP moves downward. For that reason it’s extremely important to note when they occur.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Bears Trying to Break the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

Not exactly blowing the bull's house down but trying. A start. They were successful in at least taking the S&P 500 below 1074, and they did it without a gap down, although, that is actually the weakest way to do it because there's no wall of resistance directly above. However, props to the bears for finally getting things going their way. The bulls now have to find the right tonic of news, and fast, to get this market back over the 20-day exponential moving averages and above the S&P 500 gap or they're toast for a while. A gap down tomorrow morning would put a nail in the coffin of the bulls for at least the near term. A loss of support today followed by a gap down that holds tomorrow and it'll be a short all rallies market. The bears are now more in control than the bulls so set up your trades that way.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Fall of the U.S. Dollar on G-20 Finance Ministers Agenda / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Bob_Chapman

The G-20 finance ministers meet in Scotland on November 6th and 7th, and they will all be bleating about the fall in the dollar. France started this week, and the others will follow. Their currencies are rising in value and they do not like it.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Closing the Doors on Return Chasers: Mutual Fund Inflows Create Problems / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Paul_Petillo

Like a torrential downpour can overwhelm gutters, flood streets and generally create the kind of havoc only water can, too much money flowing into mutual funds can also leave a mark on both new investors and those of record.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Stock Markets Sudden Plunge on Obama Economic Policy News / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

This morning's sudden sell off on no apparent news must have the Obama economic team in a furor. After 7 months of unrelenting buying, the stock market actually went down. It was a terrifying sell off as the S&P500 lost 2% of its value in less than 60 minutes. This put the 401 k's and IRA's of average Americans at risk. Something must be wrong. What that something was wasn't readily apparent, but the economist in chief was going to get to the bottom of it.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Morgan Stanley Says Stock Market Rebound Rally in Last Stage; Prepare for Fallout from Tightening / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Trader_Mark

These words from Morgan Stanley's chief European equity analyst, Teun Draaisma are particularly interesting as we (the collective) sit awash in a world of government intervention and central bank liquidity, while ignoring the fact it is not endless.  Fascinating chart below as well.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Stock Market Fun, Pi, Phi and Armstrong Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Forkoholic_Serge

Fun with market dates! I was reading Marty Armstrong today and decided to play with his 8.6 year cycle—3141 days to be exact.

Lets start our count from October 11th 2007 top.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Stock Market Intra-Day Reversal Special Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Steven_Vincent

Today's intraday reversal in the equities markets follows a pattern that has been established of late of selling into rallies. Key support levels have been broken to the downside and without a late day recovery a close below those levels will likely usher in a significant pullback.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Not Inflation Or Deflation Or Even Stagflation But Speculation / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Captain_Hook

Call it what you want, the primary condition our condition is in is not inflation, or deflation, or even stagflation for that matter, although it’s much closer than the other two definitions in describing the macro. Why would the term stagflation better describe macro-conditions? Answer: Because the mature state of globalization that guarantees us a constant state of overproduction moving forward, which depresses prices, is being countered by monetary inflation, which has increased certain prices, but primarily only those under government influence, leaving the rest of the economy sluggish. And it gets worse when one realizes our fiat currency monetary system is also mature from this perspective as well, with gambling now the backbone of non-government activities within aged economies (US, Europe, etc.), which cannot go on indefinitely.

Monday, October 26, 2009

Time for New Stock Market Leadership? / Stock-Markets / Economic Recovery

By: John_Derrick

The market has rallied dramatically since the March 9 low, with the biggest beneficiary of this rally being low-quality companies.

This intuitively makes sense, given that companies with the most troubled outlooks are the ones most likely to have a strong recovery when the dire outcomes predicted at the bottom of the crisis failed to transpire.