Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, October 11, 2009
Stocks Rally Towards Double Top?, Whilst U.S. Dollar Holds onto Critical Support / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This week was the turn of UK Conservative party to announce how they will deal with Britain's budget deficit. Their answer was for cuts of £7 billion, a drop in the debt ocean. My Analysis clearly showed that it would require an additional £50 billion a year of spending cuts and tax rises to bring the deficit to under 6% of GDP, £7 billion is not going to do anything but set in motion another Black Wednesday when we wake up to the Financial Markets dumping sterling, and UK bonds, stocks and assets Iceland style.
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
Stock Market Bullish Consolidation Under The Gap Top At 1080 SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
These are more than interesting times. You have stocks continuing to move higher off the March 666 Sp lows. Every critical level of resistance struggles initially but eventually gets taken out to the up side over time. Each time it fails initially, the bears come out and say the top is in but that just hasn't been the case. The bulls fight and ultimately wear down the will of the bears and move the markets higher. The bears get frustrated because they feel the move higher is unjustified and really, based on the economy, who can blame them!
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
Fractional Reserve Banking System Basis of Bankster Fraud / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The heart of the modern monetary system is fractional reserve banking. This system is based on fraud. At the very heart of the modern economy is fraud – fraud on a gigantic scale.
What is the nature of this fraud? Counterfeiting. Banks are government-licensed institutions that issue bogus IOUs. Because these IOUs function as money, they are counterfeit money. This is the heart, mind, and soul of all modern banking.
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
The Most Hated Stock Market Rally in Wall Street History / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The rebound in U.S. consumer spending, driven by government stimulus, will wane as the unemployment rate surpasses 10 percent, a survey of economists showed.
“You just can’t see a lot of strength on the consumer side given how battered income is from job losses and weak hourly wage growth,” said David Greenlaw, chief fixed-income economist at Morgan Stanley & Co. in New York. “We’ve got a gradual recovery in the overall economy, but it’s not vigorous enough to knock down the unemployment rate by much.”
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
Stock Market Crash Alert for Indian Nifty / Stock-Markets / India
There has been some talk about Markets crashing worldwide from here on. But you also have lots of folks touting the upcoming festive and earnings season to help the market go even higher from here. Markets are at a very crucial juncture of 5K (Nifty) and it has been just hovering around this mark for a little while now. Neither bears nor bulls are able to make up their minds as to which way to go. However, bears seem to have the upper hand. At least volumes suggest the same with more Put options being traded than call options on the nifty in the last few days.
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
Why Stock Market Has Been Going Up / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
We have gotten so many emails from visitors and members on this blog in response to our earlier article Market Crash Alert for Nifty - StocksBuddy.com Exclusive asking us as to what is the main reason though for this market rally. Most visitors stated that the fundamentals and valuations do not match up and the hope that folks and FII's are showing may not be really real. Some even stated that this is forming of another bubble while we are still winding up from the previous bubble.
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Friday, October 09, 2009
Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987 Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As investors try to make sense out the of relentless bullish moves in asset prices, we’ll touch on a few timely topics:
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Friday, October 09, 2009
The Financial Crisis Fires That Blind Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
“Past performance does not guarantee future results.” Wall Street Mantra
While easily grasped, the above adage is not as easily respected. Rather, investors have a tendency to herd into what has performed well in the past. And in today’s financial world where asset class correlations are tied remarkably tight and the monetary powers that be are remarkably loose, this is an ominous contradiction.
Friday, October 09, 2009
Reality of the Economic State to Hit Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The following is an excerpt from the September Morgan Report. Many have asked what to expect after October 1, 2009. Well, that time has arrived and the following may give you the reader some insights into my thinking…
“[W]ith respect to future debt; would it not be wise and just for that nation to declare in the constitution they are forming that neither the legislature, nor the nation itself can validly contract more debt, than they may pay within their own age . . .” —Thomas Jefferson
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Stock Market Indices Close Higher, though Key Resistance Level Contains Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices finished with gains today, but gave back a good chunk of it in the last few hours. They started out with a gap up that broke out across key 2-day resistance. They then backed off and rested successfully and then came on strongly. By mid-day they reached their session highs at 1731 on the Nasdaq 100 and near 1070 on the S&P 500, then backed off into mid-afternoon, tried to rally but couldn't break out again, and finally backed off to close at the afternoon pullback lows.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Stock Market Rallies into Doji Resistance, Will it Matter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Let's take a moment and talk about doji's again. When a market over a period of some days is either in an up trend or in a down trend and we print a doji, it means we should reverse the opposite way for a few days. That the other side has caught up. A doji usually occurs on a gap up or down with the market being virtually flat the rest of the day.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Vietnam and Indonesia, Two Underappreciated Asian Tigers / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
Question: China, China, China — when are you going to tell us about something other than the Chinese economy and Chinese stocks?
Answer: Today!
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Probable Price Ranges for SPY, FXI, UUP and TLT / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
There is no way to realistically make a precise price prediction for a particular date for a traded security. It is possible, however, to observe the recent historical volatility (standard deviation) of a security to make realistic estimates of the probable range within which the security price may close through a future date.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
The Ultimate Stock Market Buy and Hold Investors are Betting Big Here / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
We’re entering earnings season once again and most investors are on edge.
Will companies be able to top estimates again? Earnings estimates are low, but they’re not as low as they were last quarter when 70% of the S&P 500 beat estimates.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Kiss the New Stocks Bull Market Theory Good-bye / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I’ve also been tracking the S&P 500 in relation to its 88-weekly moving average: THE definitive metric for what establishes a bull vs. bear market. As I said in the last two issues, if the S&P 500 breaks ABOVE the 88-weekly moving average and stays there, then YES, we’re in a new bull market. However, if it’s turned away and falls below the 88-weekly moving average… THEN LOOK OUT BELOW.
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
How to Trade China Stock Market Sectors with ETFs / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Right now, China is celebrating 60 years of Communist party rule. Most of the party-goers aren’t old enough to remember anything else, of course, but that isn’t stopping the nationwide festivities.
The sheer scale of China is mind-boggling! Just think about it …
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Thursday, October 08, 2009
Stock Market Consolidation Day Closes Strong, Ends Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets were mixed at the close, as today was mostly a consolidation-type day until the last hour or so. The indices vacillated between 1700 and 1710 on the Nasdaq 100 and between 1050 and 1057 on the S&P 500 over the first couple hours. Then they meandered sideways, drifted lower, tested the lows, and when that was successful they moved steadily higher over the last two hours of trading.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Stock Market Thin Range... Earnings Upon Us... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Often we explain why a market gets thin, meaning why it loses its volatility and trades in a narrow range. We have good support at 1044 with 20 resistance at 1060 or the bottom of that now often talked about gap. It's going to take something special, either positive or negative, for this market to make a move and open up things. It could be earnings folks. It should be earnings. We are at the precipice of another earnings season but this earnings season is not an ordinary one.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Stock Market Rally Warning, Investors Should Adopt a Defensive Posture / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Markets worldwide have been rallying on the assumption that more of the very same interventionist policies and malfeasance that caused the global financial crisis can in fact cure it. Our analysis of recent events concludes this assumption is misguided for a number of reasons, not least being:
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Three Reasons Why The Stock Market is Doomed... / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It never ceases to amaze me. After the market turns – even a little bit, as it has the past couple weeks – there seem to be no shortage of I-told-you-so analysts pushing over each other to loudly proclaim on CNBC that we "may" have had a top and there "may" be a pullback, and hand you an umbrella for yesterday's rain. Few tasks prove easier than predicting a 5-10% pullback when 3-4% has already occurred.Read full article... Read full article...