Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Stock Market Trading In the Middle / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Let’s see what the market has in store for us this week...

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Debt Spiral Financial Holocaust Fiat Currencies Zero Bound, the Next Down Leg / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Ty_Andros

The demise of the G7 financial systems, currencies and economies continues to march along as incomes collapse.  The social welfare states and their banking system’s Ponzi finance-based economies are BROKE, their obligations and promises irredeemable and unpayable.

A debt spiral is in full view, irreversible with policymakers unable or unwilling and opposed to making the changes required to CREATE PRIVATE SECTOR INCOME GROWTH and control SPENDING, and which must be done to avert the final CALAMITY.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment, I Am Still Singing That Song / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Last week I was changing my tune. This week's tune is the same old song: "Equities are for renting not owning at this juncture. I am not calling for a market top, but prices should trade more in a range, and if you intend to play on the long side, it will be important to maintain your discipline (for risk reasons) and buy at the lows of that trading range and sell at the highs to extract any profits from this market. The upward bias still remains as long as investor sentiment is still extremely bullish, but there is probably greater risk of a market down draft now than in past weeks."

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Dow Hits 10k as Bailed Out Banks Announce Huge Profits and Bonuses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Goldman Sachs lived up to expectations of huge profits and "two fingers up to the tax payer" bonuses (no it does not mean V for victory) as a consequence of the funneling of billions of U.S. tax payer cash onto their balance sheet and huge profit margins in the artificial tax payer funded banking system that squeezes retail customers and rewards failure which is not so surprising since the central banks remain firmly at the centre of the parasitic banking sector.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

U.S. and China Stock ETFs Volume and Money Flow Analysis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Richard_Shaw

In our last article, we estimated the probable price range of the S&P 500 based on historical and implied volatility, and suggested that the positive area of the range was more likely than the negative area for the next few weeks, because of the moving average trend indicators and the declining volatility of the 1-month and 3-month CBOE volatility indexes.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Peter_Navarro

For the last month, I’ve been warning about the possibility of a either a market pullback or bearish trend reversal. During this time, I’ve moved much of my own portfolio into cash while hedging my long term long holdings (primarily GE leaps). While the US stock markets have continued to rise, albeit at a slowing pace, technical analysis continues to indicate an ongoing deterioration. As Market Edge writes in this week's Market Letter:

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Stock Market Hits New 2009 High, Some Negative Divergence... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

We finally made the move over the 1080 level on the SP 500. It took quite a long time with lots of close calls that teased the bulls and gave the bears reason to wipe their brows in relief. The gap was on huge volume back in October 2008 thus it really came as no surprise that we failed the first tests up there. With the bears never really able to sell things off, the bulls finally found a way to get the job done. At the same time we cleared 1080 on the Sp, the Dow made a run and cleared 10,000. It felt really good to anyone who has a bullish slant. The real question that's being asked is whether or not we can hold over Dow 10k and above Sp 1080. There are some signs that short term, it will be tough for the bulls here.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Will Earnings Reports Support the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Sy_Harding

The rally off the March low has been remarkable. The market plunged too far to its March low, on fears about the economy that had not been seen since the Great Depression. So a substantial rally off that low was to be expected.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Dow 10,000 Stock Market Euphoria May be Shortlived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

U.S. Michigan Sentiment Index Decreased to 69.4. - Confidence among U.S. consumers fell more than forecast in October, a reminder that households remain nervous about the strength of the emerging economic recovery.   The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment decreased to 69.4 from 73.5 in September, which was the highest in more than a year. Measures of expectations for six months ahead and current conditions both fell. The index averaged 87.3 in 12 months leading to December 2007, when the recession began.

Friday, October 16, 2009

No Financial Armageddon... Yet! Gaining From Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: DeepCaster_LLC

The Litany of Negatives which, some days, seems to overwhelm honest observers of the Economy and Markets, should be counterbalanced by consideration of certain  Positive Realities.

While these Positive Realities will likely not endure for more than a few months, or a very few years, their existence now can be used to enhance gains and protect against future adversities.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Recovery Rally in China Stocks Short ETF / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My near- and intermediate-term work in the ProShares UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index (NYSE: FXP) argues that this week’s low at 8.21, which incidentally created a big positive momentum divergence compared with the Sep 17 low at 8.44, ended the downleg off of the Oct 2 high at 10.69. If my work is correct, then today’s up-gap open, followed by strong continuation, inaugurated a powerful new recovery rally period that projects initially towards a test of the prior rally peak at 9.05. Only a decline that breaks 8.38 will begin to compromise my current outlook.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Does the Stock Market S&P Remain Good Value? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

The Technical Trader’s view:

Friday, October 16, 2009

Stocks Primary Bear Trend About to Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

The chart below looks like it’s headed for overbought territory on the RSI and it the falling tops on the MACD seem to be signaling that the ratio might be about to pull back. By implication, either the Dow can be expected to pull back or the dollar index can be expected to rise, or both.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Stock Market Rally, Doing the Maths / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: StocksBuddy

The early part of the rally in the US began with a "Hope" that things will get better as days progress. In the subsequent days/months, almost all of the media, news channels and websites were inundated with news such as "Better than expected" which drove and is still driving the market higher. What is this "better than expected" and the math beyond this is what we intend to analyze here. You will be really surprised to see "The Math".

Friday, October 16, 2009

Reflation Supported By Stocks, Commodities, and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Last week in Gold, Recessions, Bonds, and 1987, we stated the following:

• A major objective of all the money printing, government intervention, and low interest rates is to create positive inflation, which includes asset price inflation.
  
• Asset inflation helps heal sick balance sheets and repairs a portion of the lost "wealth effect".
  
• When gold lies dormant, it means reflation is not working all that well in the minds of market participants. Gold’s recent breakout may indicate that in the minds of market particiapants reflation of assets is working. That mind set results from the fear of future inflation caused by money printing, intervention, etc.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Stock Market Breakout Holds.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

The bears tried this morning to take things lower after yesterday's clean breakout over S&P 1080. The futures were down pre-market but worsened once the earnings came out from Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and Citigroup, Inc. (C). The numbers from GS were solid but it had been straight up and needed a pause in the action. It certainly got that refresher pre-market as it was down about 5$. Citigroup, Inc. (C) was awful. Less of a loss than expected but they're still bleeding out badly and this hit the market even harder.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Wither the U.S. Dollar, Gold and Dow in Transition Mode / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Christopher_Laird

Now that the credit/bank crisis is two years old, and the Dow around 10,000, gold is at highs over $1000. One would think that with $3 trillion of direct US Fed bailout cash, plus $17 trillion of various guarantees and singlehanded support for the US mortgage/financial markets would do something.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

New Edition of Conquer the Crash to Be Released in Late October

Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it quickly became a New York Times–bestseller. Now he has updated the book with 188 new pages for a second edition, and it looks like it, too, will be published near a stock-market high. John Wiley & Sons plans to publish the new edition in late October. Visit Elliott Wave International for information on how to pre-order the new edition from major online retailers. 

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Deepening Financial Crisis As Stock Market Heads for a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Bob_Chapman

Our view is that the elitists are currently buying time for the dollar, and stalling the rally in precious metals, by weakening other currencies until they are ready for the big stock takedown/correction.  This process of supporting the dollar is becoming extremely expensive and difficult, so they had to take the Dow down 200 points on Thursday to start some stock contagion in Asia and Europe to flush some money into dollars and treasuries. 

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Two Reasons the Dow’s Rally to 10,000 Will Keep Moving Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Money_Morning

Jason Simpkins writes: The last time Dow Jones Industrial Average hit the 10,000 mark, it was plummeting from an all-time high of 14,163.53 as shell-shocked investors sought shelter from the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression. But this time around the blue chip index was on the upswing, surging 1.4% yesterday (Wednesday) to a close of 10,015.86.